📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 02 at 6:30 PM ET through Jun 03 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 181 unique markets across 34 new events, plus 5,741 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Love Island USA S8E2: Will a new Bombshell enter?: Yes — bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Which banks will take Anthropic public?: Rothschild & Co bid 30¢ / ask 31¢, Greenhill & Co bid 32¢ / ask 33¢, William Blair bid 40¢ / ask 42¢
Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran?: Before Sep 1, 2026 bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 11¢ / ask 12¢, Before Aug 1, 2026 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Will Donald Trump issue a public apology?: Before Jul 1, 2026 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Love Island USA S8: Winners: Kayda — bid 16¢ / ask 17¢
Love Island USA S8E2: Eliminations: Zach bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Sincere bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Sean bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Brazil inflation rate in July: Above 5.20% bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Above 5.10% bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, Above 4.40% bid 91¢ / ask 92¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Bill Pulte sworn in as Acting DNI in Jun 2026?
- Who will attend UFC Freedom 250?
- Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
- Will Donald Trump issue a public apology?
- Will Trump meet Mamdani before Jun 9, 2026?
- Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran?
- Alaska commercial salmon harvest in 2026?
- Brazil inflation rate in July
- Brazil inflation rate in June
- EV commodity prices on Jun 3, 2026
- How high will CPI get this year?
- How high will inflation get this year?
- How high will Tokenized Treasuries climb this year?
- Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?
- CAVA restaurants in Q2
- Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 2
- Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 3
- Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 4
- Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
- Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?
- Which banks will take Anthropic public?
- Which banks will take OpenAI public?
- Love Island USA S8: Winners
- Love Island USA S8E2: Eliminations
- Love Island USA S8E2: Will a new Bombshell enter?
- Love Island USA Season 8: 2nd Place Couple
- Love Island USA Season 8: 3rd Place Couple
- Love Island USA Week 1: Elimination
- Love Island USA: Winning Couple
- Mega Gengar ex ASC Up or Down: June
- Pikachu ex ASC Up or Down: June
- Pokémon Charizard ex SV151 Up or Down: June
- Pokémon SV151 Pack Up or Down: June
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market
Who will advance from the WA-04 primary?: Matt Boehnke (bid 37¢ / ask 53¢) — listed Jun 02, 2026 at 11:09 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 6 events, 10 markets
Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran? — 4 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 12:05 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Will Donald Trump issue a public apology? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 11:12 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
Who will attend UFC Freedom 250?: Sean Strickland — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 6:08 PM ET
Will Trump meet Mamdani before Jun 9, 2026?: Yes (bid 38¢ / ask 90¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET
Bill Pulte sworn in as Acting DNI in Jun 2026?: Yes (bid 38¢ / ask 45¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 12:53 PM ET
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?: Steve Buyer (bid 42¢ / ask 49¢) — listed Jun 02, 2026 at 11:11 PM ET
📊 Economics — 8 events, 54 markets
EV commodity prices on Jun 3, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Jun 02, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1361.01 | — |
| Above 1351.01 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1341.01 | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1331.01 | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1321.01 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1311.01 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1301.01 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 1291.01 | bid 13¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 1281.01 | bid 61¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 1271.01 | bid 96¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1261.01 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1251.01 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1241.01 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1231.01 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1221.01 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Brazil inflation rate in July — 11 brackets — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 9:15 AM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5.20% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 5.10% | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 5.00% | bid 20¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Above 4.90% | bid 32¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 4.80% | bid 40¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 4.70% | bid 52¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Above 4.60% | bid 65¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Above 4.50% | bid 78¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above 4.40% | bid 91¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 4.30% | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 4.20% | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
Brazil inflation rate in June — 11 brackets — listed Jun 02, 2026 at 7:22 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5.20% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 5.10% | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 5.00% | bid 8¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 4.90% | bid 19¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above 4.80% | bid 34¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above 4.70% | bid 47¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Above 4.60% | bid 58¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 4.50% | bid 75¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Above 4.40% | bid 88¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 4.30% | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 4.20% | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
How high will Tokenized Treasuries climb this year? — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 03, 2026 at 2:26 PM ET
How high will CPI get this year? — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 03, 2026 at 4:35 PM ET
Alaska commercial salmon harvest in 2026? — 4 brackets — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 3:49 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 105 million | bid 71¢ / ask 79¢ |
| At least 100 million | bid 78¢ / ask 85¢ |
| At least 145 million | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least 150 million | bid 15¢ / ask 23¢ |
Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?: Below $150B — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 6:21 PM ET
How high will inflation get this year?: At least 7.0% (bid 1¢ / ask 9¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 4:28 PM ET
💹 Financials — 8 events, 79 markets
Which banks will take OpenAI public? — 15 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 1:01 PM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| William Blair | bid 38¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Stifel Financial | bid 50¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Rothschild & Co | bid 12¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Raymond James | bid 37¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Qatalyst Partners | bid 8¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Perella Weinberg Partners | bid 1¢ / ask 43¢ |
| PJT Partners | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Piper Sandler | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Needham & Company | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Moelis & Company | bid 8¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Lazard | bid 1¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Greenhill & Co | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Evercore | bid 8¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Centerview | bid 1¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Allen & Company | bid 1¢ / ask 25¢ |
Which banks will take Anthropic public? — 15 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 12:36 PM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| William Blair | bid 40¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Stifel Financial | bid 62¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Rothschild & Co | bid 30¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Raymond James | bid 40¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Qatalyst Partners | bid 15¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Perella Weinberg Partners | bid 15¢ / ask 22¢ |
| PJT Partners | bid 20¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Piper Sandler | bid 10¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Mizuho | bid 60¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Moelis & Company | bid 15¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Lazard | bid 17¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Greenhill & Co | bid 32¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Evercore | bid 17¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Centerview | bid 17¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Allen & Company | bid 40¢ / ask 42¢ |
Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 4 — 12 brackets — listed Jun 02, 2026 at 7:08 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above $4900 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| above $4800 | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| above $4700 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| above $4600 | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| above $4500 | bid 5¢ / ask 7¢ |
| above $4400 | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
| above $4300 | bid 42¢ / ask 43¢ |
| above $4200 | bid 44¢ / ask 46¢ |
| above $4100 | bid 90¢ / ask 92¢ |
| above $4000 | bid 90¢ / ask 92¢ |
| above $3900 | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
| above $3800 | bid 94¢ / ask 96¢ |
Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 3 — 12 brackets — listed Jun 02, 2026 at 7:04 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above $4700 | bid 5¢ / ask 7¢ |
| above $4600 | bid 6¢ / ask 8¢ |
| above $4500 | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| above $4400 | bid 17¢ / ask 23¢ |
| above $4300 | bid 29¢ / ask 30¢ |
| above $4200 | bid 14¢ / ask 66¢ |
| above $4100 | bid 46¢ / ask 50¢ |
| above $4000 | bid 52¢ / ask 54¢ |
| above $3900 | bid 64¢ / ask 66¢ |
| above $3800 | bid 79¢ / ask 81¢ |
| above $3700 | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
| above $3600 | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 2 — 9 brackets — listed Jun 02, 2026 at 6:57 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above $950 | bid 65¢ / ask 66¢ |
| above $900 | bid 66¢ / ask 67¢ |
| above $850 | bid 79¢ / ask 84¢ |
| above $1250 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| above $1200 | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| above $1150 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| above $1100 | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| above $1050 | bid 3¢ / ask 11¢ |
| above $1000 | bid 36¢ / ask 38¢ |
Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO? — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 3:58 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| No Listed Underwriter | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Morgan Stanley | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| JPMorgan Chase | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Goldman Sachs | bid 76¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Citigroup | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Bank of America | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 3:52 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| No Listed Underwriter | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Morgan Stanley | bid 28¢ / ask 91¢ |
| JPMorgan Chase | bid 1¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Goldman Sachs | bid 4¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Citigroup | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Bank of America | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
CAVA restaurants in Q2 — 4 brackets — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 12:58 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 476 | bid 21¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 477 | bid 15¢ (no asks) |
| Above 478 | bid 13¢ (no asks) |
| Above 479 | bid 11¢ (no asks) |
🎬 Entertainment — 11 events, 37 markets
Love Island USA S8E2: Eliminations — 12 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 9:59 AM ET
View market options (12 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zach | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Trinity | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Sincere | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Sean | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Melanie | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Kenzie | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| KC | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Kayda | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Gabriel | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Bryce | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Beatriz | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Aniya | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
Love Island USA Season 8: 3rd Place Couple — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 11:03 AM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Kayda and Bryce | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Kayda and Gabriel | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Kayda and KC | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Kayda and Sean | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Kayda and Sincere | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Kayda and Zach | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
Love Island USA Season 8: 2nd Place Couple — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 11:02 AM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Kayda and Bryce | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Kayda and Gabriel | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Kayda and KC | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Kayda and Sean | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Kayda and Sincere | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Kayda and Zach | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
Love Island USA: Winning Couple — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 11:02 AM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Kayda and Bryce | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Kayda and Gabriel | — |
| Kayda and KC | — |
| Kayda and Sean | — |
| Kayda and Sincere | — |
| Kayda and Zach | last 3¢ (book empty) |
Love Island USA S8E2: Will a new Bombshell enter?: Yes (bid 9¢ / ask 10¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 2:22 PM ET
Love Island USA S8: Winners: Kayda (bid 16¢ / ask 17¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 10:04 AM ET
Love Island USA Week 1: Elimination: Kayda (bid 3¢ / ask 5¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 10:02 AM ET
Pokémon SV151 Pack Up or Down: June: Above $30.57 (bid 71¢ / ask 72¢) — listed Jun 02, 2026 at 7:25 PM ET
Pokémon Charizard ex SV151 Up or Down: June: Above $452.60 (bid 67¢ / ask 74¢) — listed Jun 02, 2026 at 7:14 PM ET
Pikachu ex ASC Up or Down: June: Above $1244.60 (bid 40¢ / ask 41¢) — listed Jun 02, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET
Mega Gengar ex ASC Up or Down: June: Above $1360.59 (bid 10¢ / ask 18¢) — listed Jun 02, 2026 at 7:04 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,741 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 5,029 | 11 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 range, +8 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 282 | 12 | What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, +9 more |
| 📊 Economics | 141 | 11 | Truflation Bitcoin Purchasing Power Index, CoinMarketCap Total Market Cap , Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index, +8 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.