📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (May 28 at 8:30 AM ET through May 29 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 397 unique markets across 63 new events, plus 5,665 recurring bracket markets.

🌍 World
1 event
1 market
🗳️ Elections
3 events
7 markets
🏛️ Politics
3 events
16 markets
📊 Economics
8 events
93 markets
💹 Financials
24 events
117 markets
🎬 Entertainment
24 events
163 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Love Island USA S8E1: Elimination: Zach bid 38¢ / ask 39¢, Vasana bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, Trinity bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

Love Island USA Week 1: Elimination: Zach bid 66¢ / ask 67¢, Vasana bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Trinity bid 7¢ / ask 8¢

EV commodity prices on May 29, 2026: Above 1311.82 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Above 1301.82 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above 1261.82 bid 66¢ / ask 67¢

Love Island USA S8: Winners: Zach bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, Vasana bid 48¢ / ask 49¢, Trinity bid 27¢ / ask 28¢

Will Trump pull CBP from a sanctuary city airport?: Before Sep 1, 2026 bid 43¢ / ask 44¢, Before Jul 1, 2026 bid 10¢ / ask 12¢, Before Aug 1, 2026 bid 20¢ / ask 22¢

Annual Return: S&P 500 vs. S&P 500 Equal Weight Index: S&P 500 Index bid 58¢ / ask 59¢, S&P 500 Equal Weight Index bid 41¢ / ask 43¢

Love Island UK Week 1: Elimination: Sean bid 11¢ / ask 12¢, Samraj bid 28¢ / ask 29¢, Sam bid 7¢ / ask 8¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🌍 World
🗳️ Elections
🏛️ Politics
📊 Economics
🎬 Entertainment
💹 Financials

All New Events

🌍 World — 1 event, 1 market

Will Elon Musk join Instagram before July 4th?: Before Jul 4, 2026 (bid 8¢ / ask 14¢) — listed May 28, 2026 at 9:03 PM ET

🗳️ Elections — 3 events, 7 markets

NYC efficiency savings in FY2027? — 5 brackets — listed May 28, 2026 at 12:03 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $800 millionbid 46¢ / ask 47¢
Above $600 millionbid 59¢ / ask 60¢
Above $400 millionbid 72¢ / ask 73¢
Above $1.2 billionbid 18¢ / ask 19¢
Above $1 billionbid 32¢ / ask 33¢

Alaska Governor primary: who will advance?: Bill Walker (bid 15¢ / ask 28¢) — listed May 28, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

Alaska Governor winner? (Person): Bill Walker (bid 7¢ / ask 10¢) — listed May 28, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

🏛️ Politics — 3 events, 16 markets

Who will attend UFC Freedom 250? — 7 outcomes — listed May 28, 2026 at 10:38 AM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Kash Patellast 90¢ (book empty)
Joe Roganbid 90¢ / ask 99¢
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.last 99¢ (book empty)
Mark Zuckerburgbid 21¢ / ask 93¢
Jake Paulbid 28¢ / ask 54¢
Mike Tysonbid 4¢ / ask 50¢
Benjamin Netanyahubid 4¢ / ask 19¢
View market options (5 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Miles Taylorbid 13¢ / ask 28¢
Lisa Monacobid 3¢ / ask 18¢
Andrew Weissmannbid 18¢ / ask 33¢
Reid Hoffmanbid 8¢ / ask 23¢
George Sorosbid 28¢ / ask 42¢
View market options (4 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Jan 1, 2027bid 57¢ / ask 61¢
Before Sep 1, 2026bid 43¢ / ask 44¢
Before Jul 1, 2026bid 10¢ / ask 12¢
Before Aug 1, 2026bid 20¢ / ask 22¢

📊 Economics — 8 events, 93 markets

Italy GDP growth rate YoY adv for Q2 2026 — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 29, 2026 at 8:01 AM ET

Italy GDP growth rate QoQ adv for Q2 2026 — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 29, 2026 at 8:01 AM ET

France GDP growth rate YoY prel for Q2 2026 — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 29, 2026 at 8:01 AM ET

France GDP growth rate QoQ prel for Q2 2026 — 15 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 29, 2026 at 8:01 AM ET

EV commodity prices on May 29, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed May 28, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 1331.82
Above 1321.82last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1311.82bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above 1301.82bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 1291.82bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Above 1281.82bid 8¢ / ask 10¢
Above 1271.82bid 35¢ / ask 61¢
Above 1261.82bid 66¢ / ask 67¢
Above 1251.82bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1241.82bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1231.82bid 96¢ / ask 97¢
Above 1221.82bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1211.82bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1201.82bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1191.82bid 99¢ (no asks)

Euro area deposit facility rate for 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 29, 2026 at 8:01 AM ET

US new home sales for May — 8 brackets — listed May 28, 2026 at 10:31 AM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 700,000bid 20¢ / ask 21¢
Above 680,000bid 36¢ / ask 37¢
Above 660,000bid 52¢ / ask 53¢
Above 640,000bid 64¢ / ask 65¢
Above 620,000bid 84¢ / ask 85¢
Above 600,000bid 89¢ / ask 90¢
Above 580,000bid 92¢ / ask 93¢
Above 560,000bid 97¢ / ask 98¢

US personal saving rate below 2% in 2026?: Below 2.0% (bid 70¢ / ask 71¢) — listed May 28, 2026 at 2:23 PM ET

💹 Financials — 24 events, 117 markets

NASDAQ-100 price at year-end? — 17 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 28, 2026 at 9:06 PM ET

S&P price at year-end? — 17 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 28, 2026 at 8:08 PM ET

Meta family daily active people in Q2 — 7 brackets — listed May 28, 2026 at 11:08 AM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 3.68 billionbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 3.66 billionbid 16¢ / ask 17¢
Above 3.64 billionbid 28¢ / ask 29¢
Above 3.62 billionbid 49¢ / ask 50¢
Above 3.6 billionbid 65¢ / ask 66¢
Above 3.58 billionbid 82¢ / ask 83¢
Above 3.56 billionbid 91¢ / ask 92¢
View market strikes (7 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 7%bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Above 6%bid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Above 5%bid 14¢ / ask 15¢
Above 4%bid 15¢ / ask 21¢
Above 3%bid 28¢ / ask 29¢
Above 2%bid 37¢ / ask 38¢
Above 1%bid 63¢ / ask 64¢
View market strikes (7 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 4.5%bid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Above 4%bid 22¢ / ask 23¢
Above 3.5%bid 25¢ / ask 30¢
Above 3%bid 36¢ / ask 37¢
Above 2.5%bid 45¢ / ask 46¢
Above 2%bid 56¢ / ask 57¢
Above 1.5%bid 67¢ / ask 68¢

CAVA same restaurant sales growth in Q2 — 6 brackets — listed May 28, 2026 at 11:08 AM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 9%bid 43¢ / ask 44¢
Above 7.5%bid 56¢ / ask 57¢
Above 6%bid 66¢ / ask 67¢
Above 4.5%bid 78¢ / ask 80¢
Above 3%bid 87¢ / ask 88¢
Above 10.5%bid 34¢ / ask 35¢

Snap daily active users in Q2 — 6 brackets — listed May 28, 2026 at 11:08 AM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 500 millionbid 7¢ / ask 10¢
Above 496 millionbid 13¢ / ask 14¢
Above 492 millionbid 25¢ / ask 28¢
Above 488 millionbid 43¢ / ask 50¢
Above 484 millionbid 73¢ / ask 80¢
Above 480 millionbid 92¢ / ask 98¢
View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 4200bid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Above 4180bid 29¢ / ask 30¢
Above 4160bid 50¢ / ask 51¢
Above 4140bid 62¢ / ask 63¢
Above 4120bid 83¢ / ask 84¢
Above 4100bid 95¢ / ask 96¢
View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above -7.5%bid 95¢ / ask 96¢
Above -5%bid 48¢ / ask 49¢
Above -2.5%bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Above -10%bid 95¢ / ask 96¢
Above 2.5%bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above 0%bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 46300bid 18¢ / ask 19¢
Above 46200bid 27¢ / ask 28¢
Above 46100bid 39¢ / ask 40¢
Above 46000bid 52¢ / ask 53¢
Above 45900bid 66¢ / ask 67¢
Above 45800bid 88¢ / ask 89¢
View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 5.5%bid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Above 5%bid 23¢ / ask 24¢
Above 4.5%bid 39¢ / ask 40¢
Above 4%bid 62¢ / ask 63¢
Above 3.5%bid 84¢ / ask 85¢
Above 3%bid 92¢ / ask 93¢
View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 6%bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Above 5%bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
Above 4%bid 46¢ / ask 48¢
Above 3%bid 67¢ / ask 68¢
Above 2%bid 80¢ / ask 81¢

Starbucks total stores in Q3 — 4 brackets — listed May 28, 2026 at 11:08 AM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 41500bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
Above 41400bid 37¢ / ask 38¢
Above 41300bid 70¢ / ask 71¢
Above 41200bid 90¢ / ask 91¢
View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before 2027bid 72¢ / ask 77¢
Before Septemberbid 41¢ / ask 43¢
Before Novemberbid 61¢ / ask 63¢
View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Performance Drone Worksbid 75¢ / ask 84¢
Unusual Machinesbid 72¢ / ask 79¢
Neros Technologiesbid 75¢ / ask 84¢

Annual Return: DXY vs. Gold — 2 outcomes — listed May 28, 2026 at 6:48 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Goldbid 40¢ / ask 44¢
U.S. Dollar Indexbid 55¢ / ask 57¢
View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
S&P 500 Equal Weight Indexbid 41¢ / ask 43¢
S&P 500 Indexbid 58¢ / ask 59¢

Sweetgreen profit margin in Q2: Above 15% (bid 11¢ (no asks)) — listed May 28, 2026 at 9:11 PM ET

Netflix price increase this year?: Before 2027 (bid 20¢ / ask 21¢) — listed May 28, 2026 at 2:10 PM ET

Spotify Premium Duo Plan price increase this year?: Before 2027 (bid 21¢ / ask 24¢) — listed May 28, 2026 at 2:05 PM ET

Spotify Premium Family Plan price increase this year?: Before 2027 (bid 25¢ / ask 26¢) — listed May 28, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

Spotify Premium Individual Plan price increase this year?: Before 2027 (bid 21¢ / ask 24¢) — listed May 28, 2026 at 1:55 PM ET

Claude Pro price increase this year?: Before 2027 (bid 14¢ / ask 17¢) — listed May 28, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET

Sea Garena paying users in Q2: Above 69 million (bid 69¢ / ask 76¢) — listed May 28, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET

🎬 Entertainment — 24 events, 163 markets

Love Island USA: Winning Couple — 36 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 28, 2026 at 8:39 PM ET

Tracking: Vasana and Zach, Vasana and Sincere, Vasana and Sean, Vasana and KC, Vasana and Gabriel, Vasana and Bryce, Trinity and Zach, Trinity and Sincere, Trinity and Sean, Trinity and KC, Trinity and Gabriel, Trinity and Bryce, Melanie and Zach, Melanie and Sincere, Melanie and Sean, Melanie and KC, Melanie and Gabriel, Melanie and Bryce, Kenzie and Zach, Kenzie and Sincere, Kenzie and Sean, Kenzie and KC, Kenzie and Gabriel, Kenzie and Bryce, Beatriz and Zach, +11 more

Love Island UK: Winning Couple — 36 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 28, 2026 at 5:33 PM ET

Tracking: Robyn and Sean, Robyn and Sam, Robyn and Samraj, Robyn and Ope, Robyn and Lorenzo, Robyn and Aidan, Mica and Sean, Mica and Sam, Mica and Samraj, Mica and Ope, Mica and Lorenzo, Mica and Aidan, Lola and Sean, Lola and Sam, Lola and Samraj, Lola and Ope, Lola and Lorenzo, Lola and Aidan, Jasmine and Sean, Jasmine and Sam, Jasmine and Samraj, Jasmine and Ope, Jasmine and Lorenzo, Jasmine and Aidan, Ellie and Sean, +11 more

Love Island USA S8E1: Elimination — 12 outcomes — listed May 28, 2026 at 8:05 PM ET

View market options (12 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Zachbid 38¢ / ask 39¢
Vasanabid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Trinitybid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Sincerebid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Seanbid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Melaniebid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Kenziebid 2¢ / ask 3¢
KCbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Gabrielbid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Brycebid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Beatrizbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Aniyabid 2¢ / ask 3¢

Love Island USA Week 1: Elimination — 12 outcomes — listed May 28, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

View market options (12 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Zachbid 66¢ / ask 67¢
Vasanabid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Trinitybid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Sincerebid 26¢ / ask 27¢
Seanbid 20¢ / ask 21¢
Melaniebid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Kenziebid 8¢ / ask 9¢
KCbid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Gabrielbid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Brycebid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Beatrizbid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Aniyabid 10¢ / ask 11¢

Love Island USA S8: Winners — 12 outcomes — listed May 28, 2026 at 7:58 PM ET

View market options (12 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Zachbid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Vasanabid 48¢ / ask 49¢
Trinitybid 27¢ / ask 28¢
Sincerebid 23¢ / ask 24¢
Seanbid 18¢ / ask 20¢
Melaniebid 20¢ / ask 24¢
Kenziebid 11¢ / ask 12¢
KCbid 16¢ / ask 17¢
Gabrielbid 7¢ / ask 9¢
Brycebid 18¢ / ask 19¢
Beatrizbid 22¢ / ask 23¢
Aniyabid 22¢ / ask 23¢

Love Island UK Week 1: Elimination — 12 outcomes — listed May 28, 2026 at 5:18 PM ET

View market options (12 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Seanbid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Samrajbid 28¢ / ask 29¢
Sambid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Robynbid 21¢ / ask 22¢
Opebid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Micabid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Lorenzobid 22¢ / ask 23¢
Lolabid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Jasminebid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Elliebid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Angelistabid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Aidanbid 12¢ / ask 13¢

who will be eliminated on show — 12 outcomes — listed May 28, 2026 at 1:57 PM ET

View market options (12 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Seanbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Samrajbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Sambid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Robynbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Opebid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Micabid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Lorenzobid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Lolabid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Jasminebid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Elliebid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Angelistabid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Aidanbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
View market options (4 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
The Whisper Manbid 6¢ / ask 14¢
The Adventures of Cliff Boothbid 33¢ / ask 41¢
Cry to Heavenbid 16¢ / ask 24¢
The Invitebid 6¢ / ask 14¢

Oscar nominations for Best Director? — 3 outcomes — listed May 28, 2026 at 10:56 AM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
James Ashcroftbid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Cristian Mungiubid 51¢ / ask 58¢
Janus Metz Pedersenbid 16¢ / ask 24¢

Oscar nominations for Best Actor? — 3 outcomes — listed May 28, 2026 at 10:57 AM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Robert DeNirobid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Adam Scottbid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Sacha Baron Cohenbid 2¢ / ask 7¢

Oscar nominations for Best Picture? — 3 outcomes — listed May 28, 2026 at 10:51 AM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Club Kidbid 26¢ / ask 32¢
The Whisper Manbid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Obsessionbid 13¢ / ask 21¢
View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
A Place in Hellbid 6¢ / ask 14¢
The Black Ballbid 17¢ / ask 24¢
The Invitebid 13¢ / ask 19¢

Oscar nominations for Best Actress? — 2 outcomes — listed May 28, 2026 at 11:03 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Michelle Monaghanbid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Shailene Woodleybid 6¢ / ask 14¢

Oscar for Best Actor? — 2 outcomes — listed May 28, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Sacha Baron Cohenbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Jacob Tremblaybid 1¢ / ask 4¢
View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Robert DeNirobid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Adam Scottbid 6¢ / ask 14¢

Will Casa Amor happen in Love Island USA S8?: Before Aug 31, 2026 (bid 66¢ / ask 97¢) — listed May 28, 2026 at 10:06 PM ET

Will Katy Perry and Chief Keef make a song together this year?: Before 2027 (bid 21¢ / ask 81¢) — listed May 28, 2026 at 9:10 PM ET

Oscar nominations for Best International Feature Film?: The Dreamed Adventure (bid 21¢ / ask 29¢) — listed May 28, 2026 at 11:48 AM ET

Oscar nominations for Achievement in Casting?: UNABOMBER (bid 16¢ / ask 24¢) — listed May 28, 2026 at 11:48 AM ET

Oscar nominations for Best Makeup and Hairstyling?: UNABOMBER (bid 16¢ / ask 24¢) — listed May 28, 2026 at 11:47 AM ET

Oscar for Best Director?: Janus Metz Pedersen — listed May 28, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

Oscar for Best Actress?: Shailene Woodley — listed May 28, 2026 at 11:42 AM ET

Oscar nominations for Best Music (Original Score)?: Whalefall (bid 11¢ / ask 19¢) — listed May 28, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET

Oscar nominations for Best Cinematography?: The Whisper Man (bid 6¢ / ask 14¢) — listed May 28, 2026 at 10:55 AM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

5,665 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.