📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 16 at 6:30 PM ET through Oct 17 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 225 unique markets across 148 new events, plus 1,377 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Lululemon Credit Card Spend in October: Above 53 bid 63¢ / ask 64¢, Above 45 bid 96¢ / ask 98¢, Above 49 bid 91¢ / ask 99¢
OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18: Above 166T tokens — bid 3¢ / ask 10¢
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?: 4.64% or above bid 92¢ / ask 99¢, 4.52% or above bid 89¢ / ask 99¢, 4.5% or above bid 82¢ / ask 99¢
C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth in October: Above 140 bid 6¢ / ask 43¢, Above 136 bid 6¢ / ask 47¢, Above 144 bid 1¢ / ask 47¢
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?: George Santos — last 1¢ (book empty)
The Game Awards: Game of the Year: Trails in the Sky 2nd Chapter last 1¢ (book empty), Mewgenics last 1¢ (book empty), Gears of War: E-Day last 6¢ (book empty)
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026: Training Season (Live), TRALALA, Shararat all at ask 91¢ (no bids)
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
- Game Awards: Best Game Direction
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026
- The Game Awards: Game of the Year
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?
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- C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth in October
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- Lululemon Credit Card Spend in October
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All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 1 market
OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18: Above 166T tokens (bid 3¢ / ask 10¢) — listed Oct 17, 2026 at 10:21 AM ET
🏢 Companies — 1 event, 3 markets
Starbucks headcount in fiscal 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 17, 2026 at 1:01 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 12 markets
Who will be Knesset Speaker after the election? — 12 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 17, 2026 at 5:12 PM ET
Tracking: Vladimir Beliak, Ram Ben-Barak, Ofir Katz, Oded Forer, Orit Farkash Hacohen, Matan Kahana, Meirav Cohen, Merav Ben Ari, Gilad Kariv, Chili Tropper, Boaz Bismuth, Amir Ohana
🏛️ Politics — 2 events, 2 markets
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?: Ric Grenell — listed Oct 17, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?: George Santos (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Oct 17, 2026 at 1:08 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 5 events, 56 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula | — |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | — |
| Training Season (Live) | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| TRALALA | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Shararat | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Parvati | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video) | — |
| KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 12: z5y8Clp_TdE] | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 5: xvT1jH8B9AM] | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION] | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | — |
| Casa Tupka Anthemo | — |
| Blue Moon | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | — |
| Training Season (Live) | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| TRALALA | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Shararat | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Parvati | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video) | — |
| KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 12: z5y8Clp_TdE] | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 5: xvT1jH8B9AM] | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION] | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | — |
| Casa Tupka Anthemo | — |
| Blue Moon | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| WTF GOIN | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Todo Lo Fue | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| The Aura Farmer - Horror Skunx (official song) | — |
| The Live Footage That Launched Van Halen on MTV | Oakland Coliseum 1981 | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Tate McRae - Housewife (Official Video) | — |
| Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video) | — |
| Nicole Kidman | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Going On A Date - NSP | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Flower In A Hurricane [from GTAVI] | — |
| Dai Dai | — |
| Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 9: hLOheGDwD_0] | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 6: nUsrYVxrDwI] | — |
| Blue Moon | — |
| BbY WOW | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| AH HA | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
The Game Awards: Game of the Year — 6 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 9:02 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Forza Horizon 6 | last 6¢ (book empty) |
| 007 First Light | last 6¢ (book empty) |
| Mina the Hollower | last 6¢ (book empty) |
| Gears of War: E-Day | last 6¢ (book empty) |
| Mewgenics | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Trails in the Sky 2nd Chapter | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Game Awards: Best Game Direction — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 17, 2026 at 9:44 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Phantom Blade Zero | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| 007 First Light | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Big Walk | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Onimusha: Way of the Sword | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Forza Horizon 6 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
💹 Financials — 138 events, 151 markets
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Oct 17, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.64% or above | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.62% or above | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| 4.6% or above | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| 4.58% or above | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| 4.56% or above | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
| 4.54% or above | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| 4.52% or above | bid 89¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.5% or above | bid 82¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.48% or above | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
| 4.46% or above | bid 19¢ / ask 99¢ |
C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 17, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 136 | bid 6¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Above 140 | bid 6¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Above 144 | bid 1¢ / ask 47¢ |
Lululemon Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 17, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 53 | bid 63¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 49 | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 45 | bid 96¢ / ask 98¢ |
USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
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GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
1,377 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 📊 Economics | 922 | 54 | Daily Diesel Price, Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand, West Virginia gas price, +51 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 373 | 54 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more |
| 💹 Financials | 40 | 2 | 10Y how low weekly, 10Y how high weekly |
| 🏛️ Politics | 27 | 4 | VoteHub GCB, Trump approval rating, Number of Trump Truth Social posts today?, +1 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 15 | 1 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.