Kalshi Markets: Lululemon, Trump's Press Secretary

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 16 at 8:30 AM ET through Oct 17 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 485 unique markets across 168 new events, plus 1,780 recurring bracket markets.

🗳️ Elections

1 event

1 market

🎬 Entertainment

6 events

99 markets

🏛️ Politics

9 events

95 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

13 events

126 markets

💹 Financials

139 events

164 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Lululemon Credit Card Spend in October: Above 53 bid 63¢ / ask 64¢, Above 45 bid 95¢ / ask 98¢, Above 49 bid 82¢ / ask 98¢

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?: Kat Timpf, Vanessa Broussard, Taylor Rogers all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?: Before Jan 1, 2029 bid 48¢ / ask 49¢, Before Jul 1, 2028 bid 36¢ / ask 37¢, Before Jan 1, 2028 bid 29¢ / ask 30¢

Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury?: Before Jul 1, 2027 bid 19¢ / ask 20¢, Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Before Apr 1, 2027 bid 13¢ / ask 14¢

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 20, 2026: Above 38.6% bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, Above 43.5% bid 89¢ / ask 98¢, Above 45.3% bid 86¢ / ask 97¢

Top Open Source AI this week: Thinking Machines, Nvidia, Meta all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?: At least 180 days bid 47¢ / ask 49¢, At least 60 days bid 78¢ / ask 81¢, At least 730 days bid 7¢ / ask 11¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🗳️ Elections

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Yisrael Beiteinu win?

🎬 Entertainment

🏛️ Politics

🔬 Science and Technology

💹 Financials

All New Events

🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Yisrael Beiteinu win?: Above 6 (bid 69¢ / ask 77¢) — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 10:26 AM ET

🎬 Entertainment — 6 events, 99 markets

World's best restaurant in 2026? — 30 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 5:02 PM ET

View market options (25 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Wing	bid 3¢ / ask 15¢
Trèsind Studio	bid 2¢ / ask 15¢
The Chairman	bid 2¢ / ask 15¢
Table by Bruno Verjus	bid 2¢ / ask 15¢
Sühring	bid 2¢ / ask 15¢
Sorn	bid 2¢ / ask 15¢
Smyth	bid 2¢ / ask 15¢
Sézanne	bid 2¢ / ask 14¢
Reale	bid 2¢ / ask 16¢
Quintonil	bid 6¢ / ask 20¢
Potong	bid 2¢ / ask 15¢
Plénitude	bid 2¢ / ask 15¢
Odette	bid 2¢ / ask 14¢
Nusara	bid 2¢ / ask 16¢
Narisawa	bid 2¢ / ask 14¢
Mingles	bid 2¢ / ask 15¢
Lido 84	bid 2¢ / ask 15¢
Kjolle	bid 7¢ / ask 21¢
Khufu's	bid 2¢ / ask 15¢
Ikoyi	bid 2¢ / ask 15¢
Gaggan	bid 7¢ / ask 21¢
Elkano	bid 2¢ / ask 15¢
El Chato	bid 2¢ / ask 15¢
Don Julio	bid 4¢ / ask 17¢
Diverxo	bid 9¢ / ask 23¢

+ 5 more outcomes

Which U.S. restaurant will rank highest in 2026? — 18 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 5:49 PM ET

View market options (18 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Smyth	bid 10¢ / ask 31¢
SingleThread	bid 5¢ / ask 27¢
Saison	bid 3¢ / ask 26¢
Penny	bid 3¢ / ask 26¢
Moon Rabbit	bid 2¢ / ask 24¢
Le Veau d'Or	bid 3¢ / ask 25¢
Le Bernardin	bid 6¢ / ask 27¢
Kalaya	bid 4¢ / ask 26¢
Kabawa	bid 6¢ / ask 27¢
Jungsik	bid 4¢ / ask 27¢
Emeril's	bid 3¢ / ask 26¢
Dakar NOLA	bid 7¢ / ask 29¢
Chubby Fish	bid 3¢ / ask 25¢
César	bid 8¢ / ask 29¢
Atomix	bid 9¢ / ask 30¢
Atelier Crenn	bid 3¢ / ask 26¢
Aska	bid 3¢ / ask 26¢
Albi	bid 7¢ / ask 29¢

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: Yeshanagula, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), TRALALA, Shararat, Parvati, Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video), KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 12: z5y8Clp_TdE], KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 5: xvT1jH8B9AM], GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION], Dai Dai, Casa Tupka Anthemo, Blue Moon, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 18, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: WTF GOIN, Todo Lo Fue, The Aura Farmer - Horror Skunx (official song), The Live Footage That Launched Van Halen on MTV | Oakland Coliseum 1981, Tate McRae - Housewife (Official Video), Olivia Rodrigo - expectations (feat. Chappell Roan) (Official Music Video), Nicole Kidman, Going On A Date - NSP, Flower In A Hurricane [from GTAVI], Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 9: hLOheGDwD_0], Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 6: nUsrYVxrDwI], Blue Moon, BbY WOW, AH HA

🔗 View on Kalshi →

The Game Awards: Game of the Year — 6 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 9:02 PM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Forza Horizon 6	last 6¢ (book empty)
007 First Light	last 6¢ (book empty)
Mina the Hollower	last 6¢ (book empty)
Gears of War: E-Day	last 6¢ (book empty)
Mewgenics	last 1¢ (book empty)
Trails in the Sky 2nd Chapter	last 1¢ (book empty)

🏛️ Politics — 9 events, 95 markets

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? — 59 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 1:21 PM ET

View market options (25 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Vanessa Broussard	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Taylor Rogers	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Tricia McLaughlin	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Tulsi Gabbard	last 1¢ (book empty)
Tucker Carlson	last 1¢ (book empty)
Taylor Budowich	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Sage Steele	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Sean Spicer	last 1¢ (book empty)
Spencer Pratt	last 1¢ (book empty)
Scott Jennings	bid 18¢ / ask 20¢
Steven Cheung	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Roma Daravi	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Rachel Campos-Duffy	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Peter Doocy	last 1¢ (book empty)
Pat Adams	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
No new person	last 1¢ (book empty)
Natalie Harp	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Matt Walsh	last 2¢ (book empty)
Margo Martin	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Mark Levin	last 1¢ (book empty)
Monica Crowley	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Mike Cernovich	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Matthew Boyle	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Maria Bartiromo	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Lara Trump	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

+ 34 more outcomes

How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last? — 8 brackets — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 3:52 PM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 730 days	bid 7¢ / ask 11¢
At least 7 days	bid 91¢ / ask 95¢
At least 60 days	bid 78¢ / ask 81¢
At least 365 days	bid 27¢ / ask 32¢
At least 30 days	bid 82¢ / ask 87¢
At least 180 days	bid 47¢ / ask 49¢
At least 14 days	bid 86¢ / ask 91¢
At least 100 days	bid 62¢ / ask 67¢

When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 2:24 PM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Oct 30, 2026	bid 19¢ / ask 30¢
Before Oct 23, 2026	bid 6¢ / ask 9¢
Before Nov 27, 2026	bid 52¢ / ask 60¢
Before Nov 20, 2026	bid 39¢ / ask 60¢
Before Nov 13, 2026	bid 37¢ / ask 46¢
Before Nov 6, 2026	bid 19¢ / ask 45¢
Before Dec 4, 2026	bid 63¢ / ask 73¢

Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 11:56 AM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2029	bid 48¢ / ask 49¢
Before Jul 1, 2028	bid 36¢ / ask 37¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 29¢ / ask 30¢
Before Oct 1, 2027	bid 22¢ / ask 23¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 9¢ / ask 10¢

Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 11:56 AM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2029	bid 32¢ / ask 89¢
Before Jul 1, 2028	bid 23¢ / ask 89¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 18¢ / ask 71¢
Before Oct 1, 2027	bid 14¢ / ask 71¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 19¢ / ask 20¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 13¢ / ask 14¢

Lisa Cook departure announced? — 4 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 12:12 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 2027	bid 5¢ / ask 15¢
Before Jan 2028	bid 10¢ / ask 20¢
Before Jul 2028	bid 15¢ / ask 25¢
Before Jan 2029	bid 20¢ / ask 30¢

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 23¢ / ask 29¢) — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 3:02 PM ET

Will Katie Zacharia take another Trump administration role?: Katie Zacharia (bid 52¢ / ask 63¢) — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET

Will FIFA scrap its Peace Prize at its December meeting?: Yes (bid 25¢ / ask 48¢) — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 11:54 AM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 13 events, 126 markets

Top Text to Speech AI this week — 17 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET

View market options (17 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
VUI Labs	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
StepFun	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
SpeechifyAI	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
SpaceXAI	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Smallest.ai	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
OpenAI	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Nvidia	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Mistral	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
MiniMax	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Inworld	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Google	bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
Fish Audio	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
ElevenLabs	bid 81¢ / ask 87¢
Cartesia	bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
Async	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Amazon	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Alibaba	bid 1¢ / ask 8¢

Top Open Source AI this week — 13 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET

View market options (13 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Xiaomi	bid 75¢ / ask 82¢
Thinking Machines	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
OpenAI	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Nvidia	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Mistral	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
MiniMax	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Meta	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Kimi	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Google	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
GLM	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
DeepSeek	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Cohere	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Alibaba	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Top Text to Image AI this week — 11 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
SpaceXAI	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Reve	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Recraft	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
OpenAI	bid 87¢ / ask 94¢
Nvidia	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Microsoft	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Krea	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
HiDream	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Google	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Bytedance	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Black Forest Labs	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢

Top Text to Video AI this week — 10 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET

View market options (10 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Vidu	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
SpaceXAI	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Skywork AI	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
PixVerse	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
MiniMax	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Lightricks	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
KlingAI	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Google	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
ByteDance	bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
Alibaba	bid 77¢ / ask 84¢

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 20, 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET