📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 06 at 8:30 AM ET through Jul 07 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 124 unique markets across 30 new events, plus 1,360 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Maine Senate winner? (Person): Patrick Dempsey bid 1¢ / ask 1¢, Nirav Shah bid 8¢ / ask 8¢, Shenna Bellows bid 12¢ / ask 13¢
When will KATSEYE release a new song?: Before Sep 1, 2026 bid 88¢ / ask 89¢, Before Oct 1, 2026 bid 96¢ / ask 97¢, Before Nov 1, 2026 bid 95¢ / ask 96¢
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?: Valli Geiger bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Troy Jackson bid 51¢ / ask 52¢, Sara Gideon bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Will Graham Platner drop out?: Before Jul 11, 2026 bid 84¢ / ask 85¢, Before Jul 10, 2026 bid 80¢ / ask 81¢, Before Jul 9, 2026 bid 70¢ / ask 71¢
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic (7/6 - 7/12): July 12 bid 15¢ / ask 16¢, July 11 bid 16¢ / ask 17¢, July 10 bid 18¢ / ask 19¢
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12): Above 300 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Above 275 bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, Above 250 bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?
- Maine Senate winner? (Person)
- Will Graham Platner drop out?
- Grammy nominees: Song of the Year
- Love Island UK Week 6: Elimination
- Love Island USA S8: Top 3 Couples
- When will KATSEYE release a new song?
- Who will perform at the World Cup final halftime show?
- Will Ella Langley hold all Top 3 spots on the Billboard Hot 100 this year?
- Fear & Greed Index on Jul 10, 2026?
- Fear & Greed Index on Jul 17, 2026?
- Fear & Greed Index on Jul 24, 2026?
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down
All New Events
🏛️ Politics — 2 events, 16 markets
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/6 - 7/12) — 9 brackets — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 1:01 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 300 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 275 | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 250 | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 225 | bid 21¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 40¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above 175 | bid 62¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Above 150 | bid 80¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 125 | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic (7/6 - 7/12) — 7 outcomes — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| July 12 | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| July 11 | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| July 10 | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| July 9 | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| July 8 | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| July 7 | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| July 6 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
🔬 Science and Technology — 3 events, 18 markets
Top Coding AI this week — 9 outcomes — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 10:39 AM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Qwen | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| MiniMax | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kimi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Grok | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| GLM | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Gemini | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Dola | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Claude | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| ChatGPT | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Best AI this week — 8 outcomes — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 10:39 AM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Grok | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| ChatGPT | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Muse | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Gemini | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Dola | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Claude | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Amazon Nova | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Qwen | last 2¢ (book empty) |
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?: Above 150 (bid 50¢ / ask 55¢) — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 9:35 AM ET
🗳️ Elections — 3 events, 30 markets
Maine Senate winner? (Person) — 14 outcomes — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 1:44 PM ET
View market options (14 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Troy Jackson | bid 37¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Susan Collins | bid 39¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Nirav Shah | bid 8¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Janet Mills | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Graham Platner | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Patrick Dempsey | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| Valli Geiger | — |
| Brian Bryant | — |
| Shenna Bellows | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Dan Kleban | — |
| Mattie Daughtrey | — |
| Sara Gideon | — |
| Stephen King | — |
| Angus King | — |
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026? — 12 outcomes — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 5:07 PM ET
View market options (12 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Valli Geiger | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Troy Jackson | bid 51¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Sara Gideon | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Shenna Bellows | bid 20¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Patrick Dempsey | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Nirav Shah | bid 17¢ / ask 18¢ |
| No one | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Mattie Daughtrey | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Janet Mills | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Graham Platner | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Dan Kleban | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Brian Bryant | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Will Graham Platner drop out? — 4 outcomes — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 8, 2026 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Before Jul 9, 2026 | bid 70¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Before Jul 10, 2026 | bid 80¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Before Jul 11, 2026 | bid 84¢ / ask 85¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 6 events, 32 markets
Love Island UK Week 6: Elimination — 20 outcomes — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 12:36 PM ET
View market options (20 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yasmine | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Tommy | bid 29¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Simba | bid 29¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Sean | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Samraj | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Priya | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Mica | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Martha | bid 41¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Mara | bid 89¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Lorenzo | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Lola | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Kavan | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Julia | bid 35¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Jordon | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Jasmine | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Finley | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Ellie | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Charleen | bid 78¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Angelista | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Aidan | bid 66¢ / ask 68¢ |
When will KATSEYE release a new song? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 6:51 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 88¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | bid 44¢ / ask 45¢ |
Grammy nominees: Song of the Year — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 06, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Tracking: drop dead, the cure, WHERE IS MY HUSBAND!, hate that i made you love me
Who will perform at the World Cup final halftime show?: Alicia Keys (bid 1¢ / ask 18¢) — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 4:31 PM ET
Will Ella Langley hold all Top 3 spots on the Billboard Hot 100 this year?: Ella Langley (bid 35¢ / ask 36¢) — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET
Love Island USA S8: Top 3 Couples: Tierra and KC (bid 62¢ / ask 65¢) — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 12:26 PM ET
💹 Financials — 16 events, 28 markets
Fear & Greed Index on Jul 24, 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 8:42 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Extreme Greed | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Extreme Fear | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Neutral | bid 20¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Greed | bid 19¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Fear | bid 35¢ / ask 36¢ |
Fear & Greed Index on Jul 17, 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 8:42 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Extreme Greed | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Extreme Fear | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Neutral | bid 28¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Greed | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Fear | bid 37¢ / ask 38¢ |
Fear & Greed Index on Jul 10, 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 8:42 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Extreme Greed | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Extreme Fear | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Neutral | bid 28¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Greed | bid 17¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Fear | bid 39¢ / ask 40¢ |
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 100.9310 — listed Jul 07, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 06, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
1,360 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 989 | 11 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, S&P 500 range, +8 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 📊 Economics | 68 | 5 | CPI-U index in [month], US gas price up, US gas price up, +2 more |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 10 | 1 | Top model |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 4 | 2 | Will Album be runner up this week?, Billboard Top 200 #1 |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.