📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 18 at 6:30 PM ET through Aug 19 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 979 unique markets across 98 new events, plus 4,110 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Minnesota Republican Governor primary recount: margin shift?: No change bid 19¢ / ask 20¢, Lindell gains 41 or more bid 26¢ / ask 32¢, Lindell gains 1 to 10 bid 2¢ / ask 9¢
How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?: above 13,500,000 bid 96¢ / ask 97¢, above 14,700,000 bid 44¢ / ask 51¢, above 14,600,000 bid 58¢ / ask 65¢
Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $5.535 bid 69¢ / ask 70¢, Above $5.530 bid 75¢ / ask 76¢, Above $5.465 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 20, 2026?: 4.56% or above bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, 4.74% or above bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, 4.72% or above bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 20, 2026?: 4.3% or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 4.26% or above bid 1¢ / ask 6¢, 4.14% or above bid 61¢ / ask 74¢
Swedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place: Sweden Democrats, Moderate Party, Liberals all at bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Swedish Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place: Swedish Social Democratic Party, Liberals, Left Party all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 20, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 20, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 20, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 20, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 20, 2026?
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 10am EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 11am EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 12pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 1pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 2pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 3pm EDT
- Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- Closest House race in 2026?
- Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election winner?
- How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?
- Minnesota Republican Governor primary recount: margin shift?
- Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029?
- Swedish Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Swedish Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
- Swedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
- When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?
- When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority?
- Who will be a part of the next government of Sweden?
- Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028?
- Will the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?
- America’s Got Talent Season 21: Quarterfinal 2 Elimination
- America’s Got Talent Season 21: Quarterfinal 3 Elimination
- America’s Got Talent Season 21: Quarterfinal 4 Elimination
- Grammy winner: Album of the Year
- How many #1 songs in 2026?
- How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
- MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 20, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 20, 2026
- The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 20, 2026
- Who will be featured on Trippie Redd's next album?
- Who will have a #1 album this year?
- Court rules against NYC's pied-à-terre tax rollout in 2026?
- How many FY2027 continuing resolutions will become law?
- How many states will enact a minimum wage increase in 2027?
- Pete Hoekstra out as US Ambassador to Canada?
- Trump's approval rating on Aug 20, 2026?
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term?
- Which Senators will vote for Heidi Overton?
- Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028?
- Will the House pass a cap on federal student loan interest rates?
- Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank?
- Will the Treasury purchase Bitcoin?
- Will Trump make a recess appointment?
- Alabama vehicle production in 2026
- Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
- Arkansas broiler production in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- California permitted housing units in 2026
- Colorado permitted housing units in 2026
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- EV commodity prices on Aug 19, 2026
- Georgia film and television production spending in FY2027
- Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
- How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
- How high will Tokenized Treasuries climb this year?
- Port of Mobile container volume in 2026
- Port of Savannah container volume in 2026
- SOFR at end of Q3 2026
- South Dakota corn yield in 2026
- US building permits for August
- US defaults before 2028?
- US defaults before 2029?
- US defaults before 2030?
- US housing starts for August
- US SPR level for the week ending August 21, 2026
- Visitors to Florida in 2026
- Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
- Will Alaska crude oil production increase YoY in 2026?
- Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026?
- Will California home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?
- Will Canada inflation be above Euro Area inflation in August?
- Will Colorado home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?
- Will Colorado ski-area visits increase YoY during 2026–27?
- Will Connecticut insurance-industry employment increase YoY in 2026?
- Will Connecticut’s minimum wage exceed $18.00 per hour on January 1, 2028?
- Will Delaware credit-intermediation employment increase YoY in 2026?
- Will Delaware franchise-tax revenue exceed its FY2027 forecast?
- Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- Will Hawaii visitor spending increase YoY in 2026?
- Will Idaho potato production increase YoY in 2026?
- Will Illinois home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?
- Will Orlando hotel room demand increase YoY in 2026?
- Will O’Hare set a new passenger record in 2026?
- Will UK inflation be above Euro Area inflation in August?
- Will US core inflation be above UK core inflation in August?
- Will US prime-age participation exceed 84% by July 2027?
- Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027?
All New Events
💹 Financials — 12 events, 495 markets
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 4pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,570 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,565 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,560 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,555 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,550 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,545 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,540 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,535 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,530 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,525 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,520 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,515 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,510 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,505 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,500 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,495 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,490 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,485 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,480 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,475 | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,470 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,465 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,460 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,455 | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
| At least $53,450 | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 3pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,570 | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,565 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,560 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,555 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,550 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,545 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,540 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,535 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,530 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,525 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,520 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,515 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,510 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,505 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,500 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,495 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,490 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,485 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,480 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,475 | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,470 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,465 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,460 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,455 | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
| At least $53,450 | bid 43¢ / ask 63¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 2pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,570 | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,565 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,560 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,555 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,550 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,545 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,540 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,535 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,530 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,525 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,520 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,515 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,510 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,505 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,500 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,495 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,490 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,485 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,480 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,475 | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,470 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,465 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,460 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,455 | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
| At least $53,450 | bid 43¢ / ask 63¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 1pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,570 | bid 24¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $53,565 | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,560 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,555 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,550 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,545 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,540 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,535 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,530 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,525 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,520 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,515 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,510 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,505 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,500 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,495 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,490 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,485 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,480 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,475 | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,470 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,465 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,460 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,455 | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
| At least $53,450 | bid 43¢ / ask 63¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 12pm EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,570 | bid 24¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $53,565 | bid 24¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $53,560 | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,555 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,550 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,545 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,540 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,535 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,530 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,525 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,520 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,515 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,510 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,505 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,500 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,495 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,490 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,485 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,480 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,475 | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,470 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,465 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,460 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,455 | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
| At least $53,450 | bid 43¢ / ask 63¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 11am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,570 | bid 22¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $53,565 | bid 23¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $53,560 | bid 24¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $53,555 | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,550 | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,545 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,540 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,535 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,530 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,525 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,520 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,515 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,510 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,505 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,500 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,495 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,490 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,485 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,480 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,475 | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,470 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,465 | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $53,460 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,455 | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
| At least $53,450 | bid 43¢ / ask 63¢ |
+ 35 more
Dow Jones Industrial Average (Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Aug 20, 2026 at 10am EDT — 60 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $53,570 | bid 19¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least $53,565 | bid 20¢ / ask 40¢ |
| At least $53,560 | bid 21¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least $53,555 | bid 22¢ / ask 42¢ |
| At least $53,550 | bid 23¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least $53,545 | bid 24¢ / ask 44¢ |
| At least $53,540 | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| At least $53,535 | bid 26¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $53,530 | bid 27¢ / ask 47¢ |
| At least $53,525 | bid 28¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least $53,520 | bid 29¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least $53,515 | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
| At least $53,510 | bid 31¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least $53,505 | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| At least $53,500 | bid 33¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least $53,495 | bid 34¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least $53,490 | bid 35¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least $53,485 | bid 36¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least $53,480 | bid 37¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least $53,475 | bid 38¢ / ask 58¢ |
| At least $53,470 | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least $53,465 | bid 41¢ / ask 61¢ |
| At least $53,460 | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
| At least $53,455 | bid 43¢ / ask 63¢ |
| At least $53,450 | bid 44¢ / ask 64¢ |
+ 35 more
30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 20, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.44% or above | — |
| 5.42% or above | — |
| 5.4% or above | — |
| 5.38% or above | — |
| 5.36% or above | — |
| 5.34% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 5.32% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 5.3% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 5.28% or above | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| 5.26% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 5.24% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 36¢ |
| 5.22% or above | bid 19¢ / ask 42¢ |
| 5.2% or above | bid 36¢ / ask 88¢ |
| 5.18% or above | bid 55¢ / ask 93¢ |
| 5.16% or above | bid 55¢ / ask 99¢ |
10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 20, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.84% or above | — |
| 4.82% or above | — |
| 4.8% or above | — |
| 4.78% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 4.76% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 4.74% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 4.72% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 4.7% or above | bid 5¢ / ask 24¢ |
| 4.68% or above | bid 20¢ / ask 38¢ |
| 4.66% or above | bid 36¢ / ask 53¢ |
| 4.64% or above | bid 53¢ / ask 57¢ |
| 4.62% or above | bid 69¢ / ask 83¢ |
| 4.6% or above | bid 84¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.58% or above | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.56% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 20, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.69% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 4.67% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 4.65% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 4.63% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 4.61% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 4.59% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 4.57% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 4.55% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 20¢ |
| 4.53% or above | bid 12¢ / ask 32¢ |
| 4.51% or above | bid 25¢ / ask 45¢ |
| 4.49% or above | bid 40¢ / ask 60¢ |
| 4.47% or above | bid 54¢ / ask 74¢ |
| 4.45% or above | bid 66¢ / ask 86¢ |
| 4.43% or above | bid 77¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 4.41% or above | bid 86¢ / ask 99¢ |
5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 20, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.49% or above | — |
| 4.47% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 4.45% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 4.43% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| 4.41% or above | bid 4¢ / ask 22¢ |
| 4.39% or above | bid 7¢ / ask 25¢ |
| 4.37% or above | bid 36¢ / ask 49¢ |
| 4.35% or above | bid 48¢ / ask 61¢ |
| 4.33% or above | bid 61¢ / ask 78¢ |
| 4.31% or above | bid 79¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 4.29% or above | bid 84¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.27% or above | bid 87¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.25% or above | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.23% or above | bid 96¢ (no asks) |
| 4.21% or above | bid 96¢ (no asks) |
2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 20, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.34% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 4.32% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 4.3% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 4.28% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 4.26% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 4.24% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 17¢ |
| 4.22% or above | bid 20¢ / ask 40¢ |
| 4.2% or above | bid 26¢ / ask 45¢ |
| 4.18% or above | bid 47¢ / ask 63¢ |
| 4.16% or above | bid 55¢ / ask 74¢ |
| 4.14% or above | bid 61¢ / ask 74¢ |
| 4.12% or above | bid 82¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.1% or above | bid 84¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.08% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.06% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
🗳️ Elections — 13 events, 128 markets
Closest House race in 2026? — 34 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 2:36 PM ET
Tracking: WI-03, WI-01, VA-01, TX-35, TX-34, TX-23, TX-15, SC-01, PA-01, OH-09, NY-21, NY-17, NV-02, NC-11, NC-01, MT-01, MN-01, MI-10, MI-07, MI-04, ME-02, IA-03, IA-02, FL-25, FL-22, +9 more
How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026? — 11 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET
Who will run for Pennsylvania Senate in 2028? — 11 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 2:14 AM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Susan Wild | bid 17¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Summer Lee | bid 67¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Malcolm Kenyatta | bid 37¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Larry Krasner | bid 37¢ / ask 42¢ |
| John Fetterman | bid 42¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Chris Rabb | bid 37¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Conor Lamb | bid 72¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Chrissy Houlahan | bid 37¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Chris Deluzio | bid 37¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Bob Casey Jr. | bid 3¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Brendan Boyle | bid 41¢ / ask 44¢ |
When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET
Tracking: Before Nov 19, Before Nov 14, Before Nov 7, Before Nov 5, Before 4AM Nov 4, Before 1AM Nov 4, Before Nov 4, Before 11PM Nov 3, Before Jan 5, Before Dec 3
Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029? — 8 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET
Tracking: Vice President, State Legislator, U.S. Senator, U.S. Representative, President, Mayor, Governor, Cabinet Secretary
When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority? — 8 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 2:37 PM ET
Tracking: Before Nov 14, Before Nov 11, Before Nov 6, Before 4AM Nov 4, Before 1AM Nov 4, Before Nov 4, Before 11PM Nov 3, Before Jan 1
Swedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place — 8 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 2:07 AM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Swedish Social Democratic Party | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Sweden Democrats | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Moderate Party | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Liberals | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Left Party | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Christian Democrats | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Green Party | bid 17¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Centre Party | bid 22¢ / ask 31¢ |
Swedish Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — 8 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 2:06 AM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Swedish Social Democratic Party | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Sweden Democrats | bid 24¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Moderate Party | bid 63¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Liberals | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Left Party | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Christian Democrats | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Green Party | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Centre Party | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Swedish Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — 8 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 2:06 AM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Swedish Social Democratic Party | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Sweden Democrats | bid 68¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Moderate Party | bid 3¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Liberals | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Left Party | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Christian Democrats | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Green Party | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Centre Party | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
Who will be a part of the next government of Sweden? — 8 outcomes — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 8:48 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Swedish Social Democratic Party | bid 81¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Sweden Democrats | bid 9¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Moderate Party | bid 11¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Liberals | bid 23¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Left Party | bid 67¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Christian Democrats | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Green Party | bid 69¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Centre Party | bid 66¢ / ask 67¢ |
Minnesota Republican Governor primary recount: margin shift? — 7 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 4:01 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Lindell gains 41 or more | bid 26¢ / ask 32¢ |
| No change | bid 19¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Lindell gains 1 to 10 | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Demuth gains 1 to 10 | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Lindell gains 11 to 40 | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Demuth gains 11 to 40 | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Demuth gains 41 or more | bid 26¢ / ask 33¢ |
Greater Wellington Wairarapa by-election winner? — 6 outcomes — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 7:32 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Michael Birch | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| John Hart | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Jill Greathead | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Colin Olds | bid 25¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Alistair Plimmer | bid 20¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Amber Craig | bid 25¢ / ask 34¢ |
Will the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?: Yes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 2:37 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 13 events, 134 markets
Who will be featured on Trippie Redd's next album? — 22 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:16 PM ET
View market options (22 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Young Thug | bid 49¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Yeat | — |
| The Weeknd | — |
| Travis Scott | — |
| Sexyy Red | bid 49¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Swae Lee | — |
| Ski Mask The Slump God | bid 49¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Rema | bid 49¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Quavo | bid 49¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Playboi Carti | — |
| PARTYNEXTDOOR | bid 49¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Lil Wayne | bid 49¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Lil Uzi Vert | — |
| Key Glock | — |
| Kodak Black | bid 49¢ / ask 97¢ |
| GloRilla | — |
| Future | — |
| Drake | — |
| Doja Cat | — |
| Chris Brown | — |
| BigXThaPlug | bid 49¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 21 Savage | — |
MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform — 20 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 11:40 AM ET
View market options (20 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zara Larsson | bid 3¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Yung Lean | bid 3¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Taylor Swift | bid 3¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Tate McRae | bid 4¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Stella Lefty | bid 3¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Shakira | bid 3¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Sabrina Carpenter | bid 9¢ / ask 59¢ |
| PinkPantheress | bid 4¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Olivia Dean | bid 4¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Madonna | bid 10¢ / ask 60¢ |
| LISA | bid 3¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Lady Gaga | bid 3¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Any member of KATSEYE | bid 4¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Any member of GENER8ION | bid 3¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Doja Cat | bid 3¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Any member of CORTIS | bid 3¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Bruno Mars | bid 3¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Billie Eilish | bid 3¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Bad Bunny | bid 3¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Ariana Grande | bid 8¢ / ask 58¢ |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 20, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| เพราะพี่รักจริง | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tera Mera Rishta | — |
| Sunflower | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sebebi Yar | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Life Goes On | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | — |
| Jaiye Sajana | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | — |
| Dai Dai | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barsaat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 20, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| เพราะพี่รักจริง | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tera Mera Rishta | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sunflower | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sebebi Yar | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Life Goes On | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jaiye Sajana | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barsaat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 20, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sunflower | — |
| Pooh Shiesty - Reap What You Sow [Official Audio] | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Life Goes On | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Janice STFU | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| ICONIC BY MISTAKE | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | — |
| Ghetto Love Story | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dead Fresh | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Choosin' Texas | — |
| Big Guy | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Be My Friend (The Verity Band) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Beat It | last 1¢ (book empty) |
America’s Got Talent Season 21: Quarterfinal 4 Elimination — 11 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 6:01 PM ET
Tracking: Young and Strange, Unitree, Tyrone and Margo, Travis Garland, Rubén Roldán, Lara D, Jesse Joe, Cesar Dias, Cameron Logsdon, Bird and Byron, Akira
America’s Got Talent Season 21: Quarterfinal 3 Elimination — 11 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:47 PM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Pynk Beard | bid 17¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Maria | bid 39¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Lai Noelle | bid 9¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Kameron Marshall | bid 46¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Isaac Atkins | bid 13¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Holland and Sienna | bid 46¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Herwan Legaillard | bid 47¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Guy Kelton Jones | bid 47¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Elsie | bid 49¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Daniel Alvarez | bid 49¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Acro Canine Crew | bid 5¢ / ask 55¢ |
America’s Got Talent Season 21: Quarterfinal 2 Elimination — 11 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:34 PM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Veronika Goroshkova | bid 28¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Patrox | bid 46¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Nyjah Music and Zyah Rhythm | bid 46¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Nene Royal | bid 40¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Mackenzie Sol | bid 20¢ / ask 70¢ |
| LaRussell | bid 32¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Geno Ploeger | bid 32¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Come Here | bid 46¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Butter and Grit | bid 46¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Brad and Tracy | bid 46¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Bety | bid 25¢ / ask 75¢ |
How many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season? — 8 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 10:13 AM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above 14,800,000 | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| above 14,700,000 | bid 44¢ / ask 51¢ |
| above 14,600,000 | bid 58¢ / ask 65¢ |
| above 14,500,000 | bid 72¢ / ask 79¢ |
| above 14,250,000 | bid 79¢ / ask 86¢ |
| above 14,000,000 | bid 86¢ / ask 94¢ |
| above 13,750,000 | bid 90¢ / ask 97¢ |
| above 13,500,000 | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
Who will have a #1 album this year? — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 11:12 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Dahi | — |
| Victoria Monet | bid 30¢ / ask 50¢ |
How many #1 songs in 2026? — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 11:01 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| More than 15 | bid 54¢ / ask 63¢ |
| More than 16 | bid 45¢ / ask 54¢ |
The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year: Big Walk (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET
Grammy winner: Album of the Year: Lost Weekend (bid 4¢ / ask 12¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 11:03 AM ET
🏛️ Politics — 15 events, 65 markets
Which Senators will vote for Heidi Overton? — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 4:46 PM ET
Tracking: Thom Tillis, Tim Kaine, Susan Collins, Rand Paul, Ruben Gallego, Mitch McConnell, Maggie Hassan, Lisa Murkowski, John Fetterman, Bill Cassidy
Trump's approval rating on Aug 20, 2026? — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 39.5 | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 39.5 | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 39.4 | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 39.3 | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
| 39.2 | bid 35¢ / ask 44¢ |
| 39.1 | bid 11¢ / ask 19¢ |
| 39.0 | bid 3¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 38.9 | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Below 38.9 | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
Which cryptocurrencies will the Treasury purchase during Trump's term? — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 5:39 PM ET
Tracking: XRP, Solana, Hyperliquid, Ethereum, Dogecoin, Cardano, Bitcoin
How many FY2027 continuing resolutions will become law? — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 2:38 PM ET
When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 4:45 PM ET
Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2027, Before Feb 1, 2028, Before Dec 1, 2026, Before Aug 1, 2027, Before Apr 1, 2027
How many states will enact a minimum wage increase in 2027? — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 2:38 PM ET
Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 2:18 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Annual Wealth Tax | bid 11¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Mansion Tax Increase | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Inheritance Tax Rise | bid 37¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Council Tax Replacement | bid 21¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Capital Gains Tax Rise | bid 70¢ / ask 79¢ |
Pete Hoekstra out as US Ambassador to Canada? — 4 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 2:18 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 22¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Before Jan 26, 2027 | bid 7¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 12¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Before Dec 12, 2026 | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
Will Trump make a recess appointment? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 2:38 PM ET
Tracking: Before Jan 21, 2029, Before Jan 1, 2028, Before Jan 1, 2027
Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank? — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 2:18 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 37¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Before Nov 11, 2026 | bid 25¢ / ask 32¢ |
Will the House pass a cap on federal student loan interest rates? — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 2:13 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 3, 2027 | bid 7¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Before Oct 2, 2026 | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Before Dec 12, 2026 | bid 4¢ / ask 10¢ |
Will the Treasury purchase Bitcoin? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 5:07 PM ET
Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2028, Before Jan 1, 2027
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?: Dan J. Sullivan — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:19 PM ET
Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028?: Yes — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET
Court rules against NYC's pied-à-terre tax rollout in 2026?: Before 2027 (bid 42¢ / ask 48¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 8:48 PM ET
📊 Economics — 45 events, 157 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.555 | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above $5.550 | bid 1¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above $5.545 | bid 6¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above $5.540 | bid 48¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above $5.535 | bid 69¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above $5.530 | bid 75¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above $5.525 | bid 61¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $5.520 | bid 82¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $5.515 | bid 82¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $5.510 | bid 83¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.505 | bid 92¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.500 | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.495 | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.490 | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.485 | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.480 | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.475 | bid 93¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.470 | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.465 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.460 | bid 94¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.455 | bid 94¢ (no asks) |
EV commodity prices on Aug 19, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1304.35 | ask 81¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1294.35 | ask 71¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1284.35 | ask 71¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1274.35 | last 11¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1264.35 | last 3¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1254.35 | ask 26¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1244.35 | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 1234.35 | bid 2¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above 1224.35 | bid 9¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above 1214.35 | bid 72¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above 1204.35 | bid 74¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1194.35 | bid 93¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1184.35 | bid 97¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1174.35 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1164.35 | bid 60¢ (no asks) |
US SPR level for the week ending August 21, 2026 — 14 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
View market strikes (14 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 297M | bid 1¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 296M | bid 1¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 295M | bid 1¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 294M | bid 1¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 293M | bid 1¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 292M | bid 1¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 291M | bid 7¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 290M | bid 19¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above 289M | bid 12¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Above 288M | bid 50¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Above 287M | bid 65¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 286M | bid 76¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above 285M | bid 49¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 284M | bid 49¢ / ask 99¢ |
US housing starts for August — 8 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 9:19 AM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1.500M | bid 1¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 1.450M | bid 2¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above 1.400M | bid 3¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Above 1.350M | bid 5¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Above 1.300M | bid 21¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 1.250M | bid 34¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 1.200M | bid 46¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.150M | bid 51¢ / ask 99¢ |
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026 — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET
US building permits for August — 7 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 9:49 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1.550M | bid 1¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 1.500M | bid 1¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 1.450M | bid 2¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 1.400M | bid 32¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above 1.350M | bid 48¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1.300M | bid 49¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1.250M | bid 49¢ / ask 99¢ |
Port of Mobile container volume in 2026 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 10:49 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 600,000 TEUs | bid 3¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 575,000 TEUs | bid 10¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 550,000 TEUs | bid 17¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 525,000 TEUs | bid 37¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Above 500,000 TEUs | bid 65¢ / ask 68¢ |
Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 10:49 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $750 | bid 92¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $1,750 | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above $1,500 | bid 24¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above $1,250 | bid 51¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Above $1,000 | bid 79¢ / ask 86¢ |
Arkansas broiler production in 2026 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 10:49 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 8.4 billion pounds | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 8.2 billion pounds | bid 9¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above 8.0 billion pounds | bid 56¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Above 7.8 billion pounds | bid 81¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 7.6 billion pounds | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
Colorado permitted housing units in 2026 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 8:47 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 38,000 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 36,000 | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above 34,000 | bid 49¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Above 32,000 | bid 77¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 30,000 | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 6:36 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 9.8 million | bid 51¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above 9.6 million | bid 89¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 9.4 million | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 10.2 million | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 10.0 million | bid 5¢ / ask 13¢ |
South Dakota corn yield in 2026 — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 19, 2026 at 3:09 PM ET
Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 2:35 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 260,000 jobs | bid 48¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above 255,000 jobs | bid 67¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above 250,000 jobs | bid 82¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Above 245,000 jobs | bid 87¢ / ask 93¢ |
Alabama vehicle production in 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 10:49 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1.25 million vehicles | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 1.20 million vehicles | bid 16¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 1.15 million vehicles | bid 70¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Above 1.10 million vehicles | bid 88¢ / ask 96¢ |
California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 10:49 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 730,000 | bid 5¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 720,000 | bid 11¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Above 710,000 | bid 46¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 700,000 | bid 82¢ / ask 89¢ |
California permitted housing units in 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 10:49 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 120,000 | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 115,000 | bid 15¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Above 110,000 | bid 61¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Above 105,000 | bid 90¢ / ask 92¢ |
Visitors to Florida in 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 7:03 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 146 million | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 144 million | bid 16¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above 142 million | bid 71¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Above 140 million | bid 87¢ / ask 88¢ |
Port of Savannah container volume in 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 6:37 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 6.0 million TEUs | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 5.8 million TEUs | bid 25¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above 5.6 million TEUs | bid 75¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Above 5.4 million TEUs | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
Georgia film and television production spending in FY2027 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 6:37 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $3.0 billion | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above $2.5 billion | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above $2.0 billion | bid 54¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Above $1.5 billion | bid 91¢ / ask 92¢ |
How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026? — 3 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 2:58 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 91,500 MW | bid 71¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 92,500 MW | bid 21¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 93,000 MW | bid 11¢ / ask 20¢ |
US defaults before 2030?: Defaults (bid 2¢ / ask 51¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:37 PM ET
US defaults before 2029?: Defaults (bid 2¢ / ask 9¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:27 PM ET
US defaults before 2028?: Defaults — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:17 PM ET
Will US prime-age participation exceed 84% by July 2027?: Above 84.0% (bid 32¢ / ask 38¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 5:06 PM ET
Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027?: Above 3.7% (bid 21¢ / ask 29¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 4:44 PM ET
SOFR at end of Q3 2026: Above 3.25% (bid 86¢ / ask 99¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET
How high will Tokenized Treasuries climb this year?: Above 20 Billion — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 3:07 PM ET
Will UK inflation be above Euro Area inflation in August?: United Kingdom higher? (bid 1¢ / ask 55¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 12:18 PM ET
Will Canada inflation be above Euro Area inflation in August?: Canada higher? (bid 45¢ / ask 95¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 12:04 PM ET
Will US core inflation be above UK core inflation in August?: United States Core Inflation Rate YoY — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 9:59 AM ET
Will Alaska crude oil production increase YoY in 2026?: Above 153.607 million barrels (bid 84¢ / ask 85¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 10:49 PM ET
Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026?: Above 24,431 employees (bid 45¢ / ask 52¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 10:49 PM ET
Will California home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?: Above 419.85 (bid 37¢ / ask 44¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 10:48 PM ET
Will Colorado ski-area visits increase YoY during 2026–27?: Above 10.5 million skier visits (bid 90¢ / ask 95¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 8:47 PM ET
Will Colorado home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?: Above 679.21 (bid 52¢ / ask 53¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 8:47 PM ET
Will Connecticut insurance-industry employment increase YoY in 2026?: Above 54,600 employees (bid 4¢ / ask 5¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 8:47 PM ET
Will Connecticut’s minimum wage exceed $18.00 per hour on January 1, 2028?: Above $18.00 per hour (bid 42¢ / ask 46¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 8:47 PM ET
Will Delaware franchise-tax revenue exceed its FY2027 forecast?: Above $1.344 billion (bid 54¢ / ask 62¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 7:45 PM ET
Will Delaware credit-intermediation employment increase YoY in 2026?: Above 26.0 thousand employees (bid 7¢ / ask 8¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 7:45 PM ET
Will Orlando hotel room demand increase YoY in 2026?: Above 34.5 million room nights (bid 63¢ / ask 66¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 7:03 PM ET
Will Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?: Above 143.33 million visitors (bid 27¢ / ask 33¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 7:03 PM ET
Will Hawaii visitor spending increase YoY in 2026?: Above $21.7531 billion (bid 85¢ / ask 87¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 6:37 PM ET
Will Idaho potato production increase YoY in 2026?: Above 138.38 million cwt (bid 21¢ / ask 29¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 6:36 PM ET
Will Illinois home prices increase YoY in Q4 2026?: Above 327.38 (bid 89¢ / ask 91¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 6:36 PM ET
Will O’Hare set a new passenger record in 2026?: Above 84,856,018 passengers (bid 77¢ / ask 83¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 6:36 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,110 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,320 | 7 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, S&P 500 range, +4 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 392 | 49 | Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +46 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 356 | 13 | What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, +10 more |
| 📊 Economics | 42 | 5 | US gas price up, South Africa retail sales MoM, South Africa MoM inflation, +2 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.