Kalshi Markets: Miami Rain, Fed Funds, Trump Approval

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 30 at 6:30 PM ET through Oct 01 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 661 unique markets across 144 new events, plus 4,761 recurring bracket markets.

🏢 Companies

1 event

6 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

1 event

12 markets

🎬 Entertainment

3 events

45 markets

📊 Economics

6 events

64 markets

🏛️ Politics

12 events

28 markets

🗳️ Elections

15 events

107 markets

🌤️ Climate and Weather

24 events

171 markets

💹 Financials

82 events

228 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Rain in Miami in Oct 2026?: Above 4 inches bid 77¢ / ask 78¢, Above 3 inches bid 91¢ / ask 92¢, Above 7 inches bid 39¢ / ask 42¢

Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q4 2026: Above 3.50% bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, Above 4.50% bid 4¢ / ask 25¢, Above 4.25% bid 14¢ / ask 40¢

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 2, 2026?: 39.1%, 39.0%, 38.9% all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

on! Point of Sale Growth in September: Above 119 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 125 last 1¢ (book empty), Above 122 last 1¢ (book empty)

Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $6.400 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $6.395 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above $6.390 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: 5.77% or above bid 24¢ / ask 25¢, 5.73% or above bid 27¢ / ask 28¢, 5.71% or above bid 31¢ / ask 32¢

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?: 5.4% or above bid 25¢ / ask 26¢, 5.38% or above bid 28¢ / ask 29¢, 5.36% or above bid 30¢ / ask 31¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🏢 Companies

Chipotle headcount in fiscal 2026

🔬 Science and Technology

Total space launches in October

🎬 Entertainment

📊 Economics

🏛️ Politics

🗳️ Elections

🌤️ Climate and Weather

💹 Financials

All New Events

🏢 Companies — 1 event, 6 markets

Chipotle headcount in fiscal 2026 — 6 brackets — listed Sep 30, 2026 at 7:04 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 130 thousand	bid 89¢ / ask 98¢
Above 132 thousand	bid 84¢ / ask 93¢
Above 134 thousand	bid 70¢ / ask 79¢
Above 136 thousand	—
Above 138 thousand	—
Above 140 thousand	—

🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 12 markets

Total space launches in October — 12 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 10:53 AM ET

View market strikes (12 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9	bid 76¢ / ask 99¢
Above 20	bid 2¢ / ask 9¢
Above 19	bid 2¢ / ask 9¢
Above 18	bid 2¢ / ask 15¢
Above 17	bid 2¢ / ask 20¢
Above 16	bid 2¢ / ask 30¢
Above 15	bid 2¢ / ask 50¢
Above 14	bid 2¢ / ask 75¢
Above 13	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Above 12	bid 12¢ (no asks)
Above 11	bid 21¢ / ask 98¢
Above 10	bid 61¢ / ask 98¢

🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 2, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yeshanagula \| The Paradise \| Nani \| Keerthy Suresh \| Anirudh Ravichander \| Srikanth Odela	bid 5¢ / ask 7¢
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip	bid 9¢ / ask 11¢
Training Season (Live)	last 1¢ (book empty)
Taylor Swift - Patient Zero (Official Lyric Video)	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Shararat	last 1¢ (book empty)
SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video)	last 1¢ (book empty)
Parvati	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
KALYANI (Remix)	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Dai Dai	bid 13¢ / ask 42¢
Casa Tupka Anthemo \| @YoYoHoneySingh feat. Priyanshi \| Full Video	bid 16¢ / ask 48¢
BbY WOW	last 1¢ (book empty)
Basinga Balaalu	last 1¢ (book empty)
Barsaat	last 1¢ (book empty)
Ashke	last 1¢ (book empty)
Aaya Sher	last 1¢ (book empty)

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 2, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yeshanagula \| The Paradise \| Nani \| Keerthy Suresh \| Anirudh Ravichander \| Srikanth Odela	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Training Season (Live)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Taylor Swift - Patient Zero (Official Lyric Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Shararat	ask 95¢ (no bids)
SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Parvati	ask 95¢ (no bids)
KALYANI (Remix)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai	bid 23¢ / ask 58¢
Casa Tupka Anthemo \| @YoYoHoneySingh feat. Priyanshi \| Full Video	bid 12¢ / ask 19¢
BbY WOW	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Basinga Balaalu	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Barsaat	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Ashke	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Aaya Sher	ask 95¢ (no bids)

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 2, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
WTF GOIN	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Todo Lo Fue	ask 95¢ (no bids)
The Fate of Ophelia	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Taylor Swift - Patient Zero (Official Lyric Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Taylor Swift - Patient Zero (Official Music Video)	bid 5¢ / ask 49¢
STORM I & II	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Nickelback - Make Me Love You (Official Music Video)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Natanael Cano x Tito Double P x Victor Mendivil x Ovi - OLIVIA LA FLAKA [Oficial Video]	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Megan Thee Stallion - Tina Tuesday Freestyle	bid 10¢ / ask 12¢
LilGoatD3 - Girls (Tyler, The Creator Remix)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
HOTEL LOBBY (Unc & Phew) (- A COLORS SHOW)	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
DRAKE - QUEBEC	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Dai Dai	bid 20¢ / ask 76¢
Choosin' Texas	bid 9¢ / ask 11¢
BbY WOW	ask 95¢ (no bids)

📊 Economics — 6 events, 64 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Oct 01, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $6.440	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.435	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.430	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.425	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.420	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.415	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.410	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.405	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.400	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above $6.395	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above $6.390	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above $6.385	bid 9¢ / ask 13¢
Above $6.380	bid 18¢ / ask 22¢
Above $6.375	bid 35¢ / ask 37¢
Above $6.370	bid 65¢ / ask 69¢
Above $6.365	bid 91¢ / ask 95¢
Above $6.360	bid 60¢ / ask 97¢
Above $6.355	bid 57¢ / ask 98¢
Above $6.350	bid 61¢ / ask 98¢
Above $6.345	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $6.340	bid 99¢ (no asks)

EV commodity prices on Oct 1, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 30, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1272.34	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1262.34	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1252.34	ask 14¢ (no bids)
Above 1242.34	ask 8¢ (no bids)
Above 1232.34	ask 8¢ (no bids)
Above 1222.34	ask 8¢ (no bids)
Above 1212.34	ask 8¢ (no bids)
Above 1202.34	ask 46¢ (no bids)
Above 1192.34	ask 40¢ (no bids)
Above 1182.34	bid 78¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1172.34	bid 97¢ (no asks)
Above 1162.34	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1152.34	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1142.34	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1132.34	bid 98¢ (no asks)

New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026 — 14 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 01, 2026 at 1:58 PM ET

Bracket	Price
Above 3.5%	bid 3¢ / ask 80¢
Above 3.0%	bid 3¢ / ask 80¢
Above 2.5%	—
Above 2.0%	—
Above 1.5%	bid 20¢ / ask 96¢
Above 1.0%	bid 20¢ / ask 97¢

Bracket	Price
Above 4.50%	bid 4¢ / ask 25¢
Above 4.25%	bid 14¢ / ask 40¢
Above 4.00%	bid 25¢ / ask 84¢
Above 3.75%	bid 30¢ / ask 95¢
Above 3.50%	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	—
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 7¢ / ask 80¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 3¢ / ask 80¢

Bracket	Price
Below 38.5%	bid 59¢ / ask 61¢
39.1%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
39.0%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
38.9%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
38.8%	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
38.7%	bid 11¢ / ask 17¢
38.6%	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
38.5%	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Above 39.1%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Outcome	Price
<5	ask 50¢ (no bids)
40+	—
5-9	—
30-39	—
25-29	—
20-24	—
15-19	—
10-14	—

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 7¢ / ask 14¢

Outcome	Price
9 or more	bid 92¢ / ask 98¢
18 or more	bid 6¢ / ask 16¢
17 or more	bid 10¢ / ask 20¢
16 or more	bid 16¢ / ask 26¢
15 or more	bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
14 or more	bid 34¢ / ask 43¢
13 or more	bid 46¢ / ask 55¢
12 or more	bid 58¢ / ask 68¢
11 or more	bid 72¢ / ask 82¢
10 or more	bid 84¢ / ask 94¢

Outcome	Price
R+0.9 to D+0.9	bid 23¢ / ask 32¢
R+7 or more	bid 3¢ / ask 11¢
R+5 to R+6.9	bid 3¢ / ask 10¢
R+3 to R+4.9	bid 3¢ / ask 12¢
R+1 to R+2.9	bid 11¢ / ask 20¢
D+7 or more	bid 2¢ / ask 11¢
D+5 to D+6.9	bid 3¢ / ask 10¢
D+3 to D+4.9	bid 3¢ / ask 11¢
D+1 to D+2.9	bid 11¢ / ask 20¢

Outcome	Price
48 or more	bid 3¢ / ask 12¢
44 or more	bid 6¢ / ask 16¢
40 or more	bid 11¢ / ask 21¢
36 or more	bid 18¢ / ask 28¢
32 or more	bid 27¢ / ask 37¢
28 or more	bid 40¢ / ask 50¢
24 or more	bid 55¢ / ask 65¢
20 or more	bid 71¢ / ask 81¢
16 or more	bid 85¢ / ask 95¢

Outcome	Price
Wisconsin	bid 15¢ / ask 25¢
Vermont	bid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Pennsylvania	bid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Nevada	bid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Minnesota	bid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Michigan	bid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Arizona	bid 3¢ / ask 13¢
Alaska	bid 15¢ / ask 25¢

Outcome	Price
Brown by 6-9	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Acton by 6-9	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Brown by 3-6	bid 11¢ / ask 21¢
Acton by 3-6	bid 12¢ / ask 19¢
Brown by 0-3	bid 26¢ / ask 36¢
Brown by 9+	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Acton by 0-3	bid 26¢ / ask 36¢
Acton by 9+	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢

Outcome	Price
Manny Yekutiel	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Michael Nguyen	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Gary McCoy	—
Darshini Patel	ask 95¢ (no bids)

Outcome	Price
Texas US Senate	bid 44¢ / ask 54¢
Maine US Senate	bid 46¢ / ask 55¢

Outcome	Price
Texas US Senate	bid 47¢ / ask 57¢
Alaska US Senate	bid 43¢ / ask 53¢

Outcome	Price
South Carolina US Senate	bid 49¢ / ask 59¢
Florida US Senate	bid 41¢ / ask 51¢

Outcome	Price
New Hampshire US Senate	bid 34¢ / ask 44¢
Michigan US Senate	bid 57¢ / ask 65¢

Outcome	Price
Texas US Senate	bid 37¢ / ask 47¢
Nebraska US Senate	bid 53¢ / ask 63¢

Outcome	Price
New Jersey US Senate	bid 31¢ / ask 41¢
Montana US Senate	bid 59¢ / ask 69¢

Outcome	Price
Mississippi US Senate	bid 24¢ / ask 34¢
Minnesota US Senate	bid 52¢ / ask 62¢

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 48¢ / ask 51¢
Above 6 inches	bid 67¢ / ask 69¢
Above 5 inches	bid 81¢ / ask 88¢
Above 4 inches	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above 3 inches	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 2 inches	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1 inch	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 8 inches	bid 30¢ / ask 44¢
Above 9 inches	bid 20¢ / ask 32¢
Above 10 inches	bid 19¢ / ask 24¢

New Kalshi Markets: Rain in Miami, Fed Funds EFFR, Trump's Approval — Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:37 PM ET, Oct 01)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

🏢 Companies — 1 event, 6 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 12 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets

📊 Economics — 6 events, 64 markets

🏛️ Politics — 12 events, 28 markets

🗳️ Elections — 15 events, 107 markets

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 24 events, 171 markets

💹 Financials — 82 events, 228 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

Prediction News Network

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 11¢ / ask 55¢
Above 6 inches	bid 11¢ / ask 51¢
Above 5 inches	bid 34¢ / ask 75¢
Above 4 inches	bid 48¢ / ask 92¢
Above 3 inches	bid 59¢ / ask 99¢
Above 2 inches	bid 70¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1 inch	bid 68¢ / ask 99¢

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 2¢ / ask 39¢
Above 6 inches	bid 10¢ / ask 47¢
Above 5 inches	bid 4¢ / ask 49¢
Above 4 inches	bid 9¢ / ask 48¢
Above 3 inches	bid 52¢ / ask 74¢
Above 2 inches	bid 54¢ / ask 94¢
Above 1 inch	bid 66¢ / ask 99¢

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 1¢ / ask 37¢
Above 6 inches	bid 1¢ / ask 34¢
Above 5 inches	bid 12¢ / ask 59¢
Above 4 inches	bid 11¢ / ask 57¢
Above 3 inches	bid 16¢ / ask 58¢
Above 2 inches	bid 34¢ / ask 76¢
Above 1 inch	bid 66¢ / ask 99¢

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 8¢ / ask 42¢
Above 6 inches	bid 5¢ / ask 40¢
Above 5 inches	bid 19¢ / ask 65¢
Above 4 inches	bid 17¢ / ask 63¢
Above 3 inches	bid 27¢ / ask 73¢
Above 2 inches	bid 30¢ / ask 75¢
Above 1 inch	bid 43¢ / ask 89¢

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 7¢ / ask 38¢
Above 6 inches	bid 1¢ / ask 35¢
Above 5 inches	bid 16¢ / ask 58¢
Above 4 inches	bid 6¢ / ask 52¢
Above 3 inches	bid 26¢ / ask 68¢
Above 2 inches	bid 32¢ / ask 77¢
Above 1 inch	bid 69¢ / ask 99¢

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Above 6 inches	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Above 5 inches	bid 2¢ / ask 8¢
Above 4 inches	bid 2¢ / ask 11¢
Above 3 inches	bid 6¢ / ask 15¢
Above 2 inches	bid 12¢ / ask 19¢
Above 1 inch	bid 20¢ / ask 26¢

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 2¢ / ask 10¢
Above 6 inches	bid 5¢ / ask 13¢
Above 5 inches	bid 12¢ / ask 16¢
Above 4 inches	bid 25¢ / ask 27¢
Above 3 inches	bid 39¢ / ask 46¢
Above 2 inches	bid 61¢ / ask 70¢
Above 1 inch	bid 89¢ / ask 96¢

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 25¢ / ask 38¢
Above 6 inches	bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
Above 5 inches	bid 44¢ / ask 54¢
Above 4 inches	bid 57¢ / ask 70¢
Above 3 inches	bid 69¢ / ask 82¢
Above 2 inches	bid 79¢ / ask 93¢
Above 1 inch	bid 93¢ / ask 99¢

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 33¢ / ask 51¢
Above 6 inches	bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
Above 5 inches	bid 56¢ / ask 76¢
Above 4 inches	bid 78¢ / ask 81¢
Above 3 inches	bid 88¢ / ask 93¢
Above 2 inches	bid 94¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1 inch	bid 98¢ (no asks)

Bracket	Price
Above 7 inches	bid 39¢ / ask 42¢
Above 6 inches	bid 45¢ / ask 54¢
Above 5 inches	bid 64¢ / ask 68¢
Above 4 inches	bid 77¢ / ask 78¢
Above 3 inches	bid 91¢ / ask 92¢
Above 2 inches	bid 94¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1 inch	bid 98¢ (no asks)