📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 01 at 8:30 AM ET through Jul 02 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 220 unique markets across 37 new events, plus 2,447 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Companies removed from the Nasdaq-100 in Q3?: Workday bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, Thomson Reuters Corporation bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Strategy bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Companies removed from the S&P 500 in Q3?: The Trade Desk, Solventum Corporation, Norwegian Cruise Line all at bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Which companies will be added to the Nasdaq-100 in Q3?: Zscaler bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Viking Therapeutics bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, The Trade Desk bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q3?: Venture Global bid 12¢ / ask 13¢, Toast bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Talen Energy bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Will Anthropic disable Fable 5 access for US customers?: Before Jul 31, 2026 bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, Before Jul 10, 2026 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Before Aug 31, 2026 bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
US SPR level for the week ending July 3, 2026: Above 318M bid 77¢ / ask 78¢, Above 326M bid 10¢ / ask 12¢, Above 322M bid 28¢ / ask 34¢
ISM Manufacturing PMI in July: At least 58 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, At least 57 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, At least 56 bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Love Island USA S8: Thursday elimination
- When will the official trailer for Avengers: Doomsday be released?
- Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q3 2026
- ISM Manufacturing PMI in July
- US SPR level for the week ending July 3, 2026
- Rain in Austin in Jul 2026?
- Rain in Dallas in Jul 2026?
- Rain in Houston in Jul 2026?
- Rain in Los Angeles in Jul 2026?
- Rain in Miami in Jul 2026?
- Rain in San Francisco in Jul 2026?
- Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026?
- Companies removed from the Nasdaq-100 in Q3?
- Companies removed from the S&P 500 in Q3?
- Fear & Greed Index on July 31st
- How high will the CAC 40 get in July 2026?
- How high will the Dow Jones Industrial Average get in July 2026?
- How high will the IBOVESPA get in July 2026?
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in July 2026?
- How high will the Russell 2000 Index get in July 2026?
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down
- Which companies will be added to the Nasdaq-100 in Q3?
- Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q3?
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 2 events, 11 markets
How many launches will SpaceX have in July? — 8 brackets — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 12:53 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 18 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 16 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 14 | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above 13 | bid 56¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 12 | bid 82¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 11 | bid 87¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
Will Anthropic disable Fable 5 access for US customers? — 3 outcomes — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 3:59 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 31, 2026 | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Before Jul 10, 2026 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Before Aug 31, 2026 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 2 events, 21 markets
Love Island USA S8: Thursday elimination — 20 outcomes — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET
View market options (20 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zach | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Trinity | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Tierra | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Sincere | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Parmida | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| NONE | bid 83¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Melanie | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Kenzie | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| KC | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Kayda | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Jen | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Jaiden | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Gal | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Dylan | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Corbin | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Carl | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Caleb | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Bryce | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Aniya | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Amora | bid 19¢ / ask 20¢ |
When will the official trailer for Avengers: Doomsday be released?: Before September — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 10:19 AM ET
📊 Economics — 3 events, 20 markets
ISM Manufacturing PMI in July — 8 brackets — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 1:52 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 58 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| At least 57 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| At least 56 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| At least 55 | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| At least 54 | bid 35¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least 53 | bid 58¢ / ask 59¢ |
| At least 52 | bid 82¢ / ask 83¢ |
| At least 51 | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
US SPR level for the week ending July 3, 2026 — 7 brackets — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 3:40 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 326M | bid 10¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 324M | bid 7¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Above 322M | bid 28¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Above 320M | bid 51¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Above 318M | bid 77¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Above 316M | bid 80¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 314M | bid 84¢ / ask 94¢ |
Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q3 2026 — 5 brackets — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.00% | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 3.75% | bid 57¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Above 3.50% | bid 85¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above 3.25% | bid 84¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 3.00% | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 7 events, 49 markets
Rain in San Francisco in Jul 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 12:27 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 6 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 5 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 4 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 3 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 2 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1 inch | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
Rain in Dallas in Jul 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 12:27 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7 inches | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 6 inches | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 5 inches | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 4 inches | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 3 inches | bid 16¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Above 2 inches | bid 34¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 1 inch | bid 63¢ / ask 64¢ |
Rain in Seattle in Jul 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 12:27 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 6 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 5 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 4 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 3 inches | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 2 inches | bid 5¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 1 inch | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
Rain in Houston in Jul 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 12:27 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7 inches | bid 12¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 6 inches | bid 21¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 5 inches | bid 32¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above 4 inches | bid 41¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Above 3 inches | bid 67¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Above 2 inches | bid 84¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 1 inch | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
Rain in Los Angeles in Jul 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 12:27 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 6 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 5 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 4 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 3 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 2 inches | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1 inch | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Rain in Austin in Jul 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 12:27 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7 inches | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 6 inches | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 5 inches | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 4 inches | bid 13¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 3 inches | bid 30¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Above 2 inches | bid 38¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above 1 inch | bid 64¢ / ask 65¢ |
Rain in Miami in Jul 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 12:27 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7 inches | bid 34¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 6 inches | bid 48¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 5 inches | bid 68¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 4 inches | bid 79¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 3 inches | bid 90¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 2 inches | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1 inch | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
💹 Financials — 23 events, 119 markets
Which companies will be added to the S&P 500 in Q3? — 22 outcomes — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 6:55 PM ET
View market options (22 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Venture Global | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Toast | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Talen Energy | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| SpaceX | bid 3¢ / ask 7¢ |
| SoFi | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Snowflake | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| bid 30¢ / ask 40¢ | |
| Roblox | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Pure Storage | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Cloudflare | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Strategy (MicroStrategy) | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Guidewire Software | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Duolingo | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Curtiss-Wright Corporation | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| CoreWeave | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Circle Internet Group | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Cerebras | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Casey's General Stores | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| BWX Technologies | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Bloom Energy | bid 24¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Alnylam Pharmaceuticals | bid 24¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Affirm Holdings | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
How high will the Russell 2000 Index get in July 2026? — 14 brackets — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 12:52 PM ET
View market strikes (14 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $3,400 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| At least $3,375 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| At least $3,350 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| At least $3,325 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| At least $3,300 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| At least $3,275 | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| At least $3,250 | bid 21¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $3,225 | bid 21¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $3,200 | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
| At least $3,175 | bid 29¢ / ask 30¢ |
| At least $3,150 | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least $3,125 | bid 44¢ / ask 46¢ |
| At least $3,100 | bid 58¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least $3,075 | bid 67¢ / ask 68¢ |
Companies removed from the S&P 500 in Q3? — 12 outcomes — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 9:22 PM ET
View market options (12 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| The Trade Desk | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Solventum Corporation | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Norwegian Cruise Line | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| LyondellBasell Industries | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Intel | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Hasbro | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Electronic Arts | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Dow | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Dollar Tree | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Deckers Outdoor Corporation | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Charter Communications | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| AvalonBay Communities | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Which companies will be added to the Nasdaq-100 in Q3? — 11 outcomes — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 7:27 PM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zscaler | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Viking Therapeutics | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| The Trade Desk | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Tempus AI | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ | |
| Roblox | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| GlobalFoundries | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Carvana | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Cerebras Systems | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Anthropic | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
How high will the IBOVESPA get in July 2026? — 11 brackets — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 1:03 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least R$185,000 | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least R$184,000 | bid 26¢ / ask 27¢ |
| At least R$183,000 | bid 31¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least R$182,000 | bid 35¢ / ask 36¢ |
| At least R$181,000 | bid 39¢ / ask 41¢ |
| At least R$180,000 | bid 42¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least R$179,000 | bid 41¢ / ask 43¢ |
| At least R$178,000 | bid 54¢ / ask 55¢ |
| At least R$177,000 | bid 66¢ / ask 67¢ |
| At least R$176,000 | bid 64¢ / ask 65¢ |
| At least R$175,000 | bid 69¢ / ask 70¢ |
Companies removed from the Nasdaq-100 in Q3? — 9 outcomes — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 10:01 PM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Workday | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Strategy | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Kraft Heinz | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| GE HealthCare | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Electronic Arts | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| DexCom | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Copart | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Baker Hughes | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
How high will the Dow Jones Industrial Average get in July 2026? — 8 brackets — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 1:13 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least $62,000 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| At least $61,000 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| At least $60,000 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| At least $59,000 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| At least $58,000 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| At least $57,000 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| At least $56,000 | bid 13¢ / ask 22¢ |
| At least $55,000 | bid 17¢ / ask 33¢ |
How high will the CAC 40 get in July 2026? — 8 outcomes — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 12:56 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| At least €8,750 | bid 31¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least €8,700 | bid 31¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least €8,650 | bid 36¢ / ask 37¢ |
| At least €8,600 | bid 56¢ / ask 57¢ |
| At least €8,550 | bid 62¢ / ask 63¢ |
| At least €8,500 | bid 69¢ / ask 70¢ |
| At least €8,450 | bid 73¢ / ask 74¢ |
| At least €8,425 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
How high will the Nikkei 225 get in July 2026? — 6 outcomes — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 1:38 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| At least ¥80,000 | bid 1¢ / ask 14¢ |
| At least ¥79,000 | bid 1¢ / ask 18¢ |
| At least ¥78,000 | bid 15¢ / ask 24¢ |
| At least ¥77,000 | bid 25¢ / ask 26¢ |
| At least ¥76,000 | bid 38¢ / ask 39¢ |
| At least ¥75,000 | bid 38¢ / ask 39¢ |
Fear & Greed Index on July 31st — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 1:48 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Extreme Greed | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Extreme Fear | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Neutral | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Greed | bid 27¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Fear | bid 29¢ / ask 30¢ |
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 101.1382 — listed Jul 02, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 01, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
2,447 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 1,728 | 5 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, USD/BRL Max Monthly, +2 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 329 | 7 | What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, +4 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 303 | 44 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, RAIN DENVER, Rain Chicago, +41 more |
| 📊 Economics | 87 | 10 | Elon Musk net worth on [date], US gas price up, South Korea exports YoY, +7 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.