📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 17 at 6:30 PM ET through Aug 18 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 931 unique markets across 114 new events, plus 3,868 recurring bracket markets.

🌤️ Climate and Weather
1 event
1 market
🗳️ Elections
5 events
5 markets
🏛️ Politics
6 events
19 markets
🔬 Science and Technology
8 events
44 markets
🎬 Entertainment
8 events
126 markets
💹 Financials
21 events
541 markets
📊 Economics
65 events
195 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?: At least 6 million bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, At least 50 million ask 88¢ (no bids), At least 40 million ask 88¢ (no bids)

Trump's approval rating on Aug 19, 2026?: 39.4 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Above 39.4 bid 2¢ / ask 4¢, 39.3 bid 6¢ / ask 9¢

Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026: Above 9.2 million TEUs bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Above 8.8 million TEUs bid 27¢ / ask 28¢, Above 9.0 million TEUs bid 6¢ / ask 15¢

StubHub gross merchandise sales in Q3: Above $2.6 billion bid 9¢ / ask 10¢, Above $2.7 billion bid 1¢ / ask 4¢, Above $2.3 billion bid 89¢ / ask 95¢

Monster Beverage Corporation total case sales in Q3: Above 305 million bid 30¢ / ask 31¢, Above 335 million bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, Above 325 million bid 1¢ / ask 6¢

Etsy marketplace gross merchandise sales in fiscal 2026: Above $11.3 billion bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Above $11.15 billion bid 4¢ / ask 8¢, Above $10.7 billion bid 83¢ / ask 89¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🌤️ Climate and Weather
🗳️ Elections
🏛️ Politics
🎬 Entertainment
🔬 Science and Technology
💹 Financials
📊 Economics

All New Events

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 1 event, 1 market

Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina this year?: 2026 (bid 18¢ / ask 29¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 10:15 PM ET

🗳️ Elections — 5 events, 5 markets

FL-24 Democratic nominee?: Kendrick Meek (bid 1¢ / ask 3¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 8:12 PM ET

FL-22 Democratic nominee?: Kaysia Earley (bid 1¢ / ask 5¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 8:12 PM ET

FL-23 Democratic nominee?: Mark Piper (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 8:11 PM ET

FL-25 Republican nominee?: Raven Harrison (bid 2¢ / ask 68¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 8:11 PM ET

Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?: Yes (bid 83¢ / ask 88¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 7:50 PM ET

🏛️ Politics — 6 events, 19 markets

Trump's approval rating on Aug 19, 2026? — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Above 39.4bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
39.4bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
39.3bid 6¢ / ask 9¢
39.2bid 23¢ / ask 30¢
39.1bid 29¢ / ask 32¢
39.0bid 13¢ / ask 19¢
38.9bid 3¢ / ask 6¢
38.8bid 7¢ / ask 10¢
Below 38.8bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
View market options (4 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Oct 2026bid 47¢ / ask 49¢
Before Nov 2026bid 62¢ / ask 67¢
Before Jan 2027bid 72¢ / ask 78¢
Before Dec 2026bid 67¢ / ask 73¢
View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Sep 8, 2026bid 47¢ / ask 53¢
Before Sep 15, 2026bid 52¢ / ask 58¢
Before Oct 1, 2026bid 73¢ / ask 80¢

Will an Atlantic Shores offshore wind lease be terminated?: Yes (bid 41¢ / ask 49¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 7:56 PM ET

Will White House ballroom construction be halted?: Yes (bid 32¢ / ask 33¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 7:27 PM ET

Will Tucker Carlson form a third party this year?: Yes (bid 18¢ / ask 19¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 7:06 PM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 8 events, 44 markets

Total space launches in August — 8 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 7:44 PM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 20bid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Above 19bid 1¢ / ask 13¢
Above 18bid 1¢ / ask 19¢
Above 17bid 5¢ / ask 40¢
Above 16bid 20¢ / ask 68¢
Above 15bid 35¢ / ask 83¢
Above 14bid 60¢ / ask 96¢
Above 13bid 60¢ / ask 99¢
View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least 205bid 20¢ / ask 50¢
At least 200bid 36¢ / ask 64¢
At least 195bid 50¢ / ask 76¢
At least 190bid 83¢ / ask 84¢
At least 185bid 88¢ / ask 90¢
At least 180bid 92¢ / ask 98¢

Xiaomi market share this week — 5 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 6:33 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 4.0%bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
Above 3.5%bid 57¢ / ask 64¢
Above 3.0%bid 72¢ / ask 78¢
Above 2.5%bid 85¢ / ask 88¢
Above 2.0%bid 93¢ / ask 95¢

Tencent market share this week — 5 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 6:33 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 4.5%bid 3¢ / ask 7¢
Above 4.0%bid 11¢ / ask 14¢
Above 3.5%bid 31¢ / ask 32¢
Above 3.0%bid 71¢ / ask 79¢
Above 2.5%bid 93¢ / ask 95¢

Anthropic market share this week — 5 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 6:32 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 5.0%bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Above 4.5%bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Above 4.0%bid 19¢ / ask 26¢
Above 3.5%bid 45¢ / ask 53¢
Above 3.0%bid 87¢ / ask 88¢

Qwen market share this week — 5 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 6:32 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 6.3%bid 2¢ / ask 8¢
Above 5.8%bid 16¢ / ask 17¢
Above 5.3%bid 57¢ / ask 64¢
Above 4.8%bid 87¢ / ask 93¢
Above 4.3%bid 94¢ / ask 95¢

OpenAI market share this week — 5 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 6:31 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 20%bid 3¢ / ask 10¢
Above 19%bid 18¢ / ask 94¢
Above 18%bid 47¢ / ask 90¢
Above 17%bid 62¢ / ask 87¢
Above 16%bid 90¢ / ask 95¢

Gemini market share this week — 5 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 26%bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Above 25%bid 7¢ / ask 14¢
Above 24%bid 22¢ / ask 30¢
Above 23%bid 56¢ / ask 64¢
Above 22%bid 85¢ / ask 90¢

🎬 Entertainment — 8 events, 126 markets

America's Got Talent Season 21: Winner — 44 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 18, 2026 at 9:53 AM ET

Tracking: Young & Strange, Veronika Goroshkova, Unitree, Tyrone & Margo, Travis Garland, Sando, Rubén Roldán, Royal Lasers, Pynk Beard, Patrox, Olivia Befus, Nyjah Music & Zyah Rhythm, Nene Royal, Maria, Mackenzie Sol, Luke Taleno, LaRussell, Lara D, Lai Noelle, Kameron Marshall, Jesse White Tumbling Team, Jesse Joe, James & Marina, Isaac Atkins, Hundred Fingers, +19 more

View market options (15 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
เพราะพี่รักจริงask 95¢ (no bids)
Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026ask 95¢ (no bids)
Tera Mera Rishtaask 94¢ (no bids)
Sunflowerask 94¢ (no bids)
Shararatask 95¢ (no bids)
Sebebi Yarask 95¢ (no bids)
Life Goes Onask 95¢ (no bids)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MVask 10¢ (no bids)
KALYANI (Remix)ask 95¢ (no bids)
Jaiye Sajanaask 95¢ (no bids)
Goldenask 94¢ (no bids)
Dai Daiask 95¢ (no bids)
Basinga Balaaluask 95¢ (no bids)
Barsaatask 95¢ (no bids)
Barbaadiask 95¢ (no bids)
View market options (15 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
เพราะพี่รักจริงlast 1¢ (book empty)
Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026last 1¢ (book empty)
Tera Mera Rishtalast 1¢ (book empty)
Sunflowerlast 1¢ (book empty)
Shararatlast 1¢ (book empty)
Sebebi Yarlast 1¢ (book empty)
Life Goes Onlast 1¢ (book empty)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MVlast 1¢ (book empty)
KALYANI (Remix)last 1¢ (book empty)
Jaiye Sajanalast 1¢ (book empty)
Goldenlast 1¢ (book empty)
Dai Daibid 92¢ / ask 99¢
Basinga Balaalulast 1¢ (book empty)
Barsaatlast 1¢ (book empty)
Barbaadilast 1¢ (book empty)
View market options (15 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026ask 95¢ (no bids)
Sunflowerbid 5¢ (no asks)
Reap What You Sowask 95¢ (no bids)
Life Goes Onask 95¢ (no bids)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MVask 85¢ (no bids)
Janice STFUask 95¢ (no bids)
ICONIC BY MISTAKEask 95¢ (no bids)
Goldenask 85¢ (no bids)
Ghetto Love Storyask 95¢ (no bids)
Dead Freshask 94¢ (no bids)
Dai Daiask 95¢ (no bids)
Choosin' Texasask 85¢ (no bids)
Big Guyask 94¢ (no bids)
Be My Friend (The Verity Band)ask 94¢ (no bids)
Beat Itask 94¢ (no bids)
View market strikes (11 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least 9 million
At least 6 millionbid 97¢ / ask 98¢
At least 50 millionask 88¢ (no bids)
At least 40 millionask 88¢ (no bids)
At least 35 million
At least 30 million
At least 25 million
At least 21 million
At least 18 million
At least 15 million
At least 12 million
View market strikes (11 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least 9 millionlast 97¢ (book empty)
At least 6 millionlast 97¢ (book empty)
At least 50 millionask 87¢ (no bids)
At least 40 millionask 88¢ (no bids)
At least 35 million
At least 30 million
At least 25 million
At least 21 million
At least 18 million
At least 15 million
At least 12 million
View market options (11 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Sandobid 42¢ / ask 83¢
Royal Lasersbid 31¢ / ask 71¢
Olivia Befusbid 31¢ / ask 81¢
Luke Talenobid 30¢ / ask 71¢
Jesse White Tumbling Teambid 31¢ / ask 81¢
James and Marinabid 37¢ / ask 71¢
Hundred Fingersbid 26¢ / ask 76¢
Cris Sosabid 42¢ / ask 92¢
CommUNITY ATL Choirbid 31¢ / ask 81¢
Brook Lynnbid 31¢ / ask 77¢
Ashford Sandersbid 12¢ / ask 25¢

Choosin' Texas weeks at #1: 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 10:59 AM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least 24 weeksbid 58¢ / ask 66¢
At least 25 weeksbid 51¢ / ask 59¢
At least 26 weeksbid 48¢ / ask 57¢
At least 27 weeksbid 37¢ / ask 45¢

💹 Financials — 21 events, 541 markets

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $53,520bid 16¢ / ask 36¢
At least $53,515bid 16¢ / ask 36¢
At least $53,510bid 17¢ / ask 37¢
At least $53,505bid 17¢ / ask 37¢
At least $53,500bid 18¢ / ask 38¢
At least $53,495bid 18¢ / ask 38¢
At least $53,490bid 19¢ / ask 39¢
At least $53,485bid 20¢ / ask 40¢
At least $53,480bid 20¢ / ask 40¢
At least $53,475bid 21¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,470bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,465bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,460bid 23¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,455bid 23¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,450bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,445bid 25¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,440bid 25¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,435bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,430bid 27¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,425bid 27¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,420bid 28¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,415bid 29¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,410bid 29¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,405bid 37¢ / ask 57¢
At least $53,400bid 37¢ / ask 57¢

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $53,520bid 17¢ / ask 37¢
At least $53,515bid 17¢ / ask 37¢
At least $53,510bid 18¢ / ask 38¢
At least $53,505bid 19¢ / ask 39¢
At least $53,500bid 19¢ / ask 39¢
At least $53,495bid 20¢ / ask 40¢
At least $53,490bid 20¢ / ask 40¢
At least $53,485bid 21¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,480bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,475bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,470bid 23¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,465bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,460bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,455bid 25¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,450bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,445bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,440bid 27¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,435bid 28¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,430bid 28¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,425bid 29¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,420bid 30¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,415bid 30¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,410bid 31¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,405bid 32¢ / ask 52¢
At least $53,400bid 32¢ / ask 52¢

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $53,520bid 16¢ / ask 36¢
At least $53,515bid 17¢ / ask 37¢
At least $53,510bid 17¢ / ask 37¢
At least $53,505bid 18¢ / ask 38¢
At least $53,500bid 19¢ / ask 39¢
At least $53,495bid 19¢ / ask 39¢
At least $53,490bid 20¢ / ask 40¢
At least $53,485bid 20¢ / ask 40¢
At least $53,480bid 21¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,475bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,470bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,465bid 23¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,460bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,455bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,450bid 25¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,445bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,440bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,435bid 27¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,430bid 28¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,425bid 29¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,420bid 29¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,415bid 30¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,410bid 31¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,405bid 31¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,400bid 32¢ / ask 52¢

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $53,520bid 15¢ / ask 35¢
At least $53,515bid 15¢ / ask 35¢
At least $53,510bid 16¢ / ask 36¢
At least $53,505bid 17¢ / ask 37¢
At least $53,500bid 17¢ / ask 37¢
At least $53,495bid 18¢ / ask 38¢
At least $53,490bid 19¢ / ask 39¢
At least $53,485bid 19¢ / ask 39¢
At least $53,480bid 20¢ / ask 40¢
At least $53,475bid 21¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,470bid 21¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,465bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,460bid 23¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,455bid 23¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,450bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,445bid 25¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,440bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,435bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,430bid 27¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,425bid 28¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,420bid 29¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,415bid 29¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,410bid 30¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,405bid 31¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,400bid 32¢ / ask 52¢

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $53,520bid 14¢ / ask 34¢
At least $53,515bid 15¢ / ask 35¢
At least $53,510bid 15¢ / ask 35¢
At least $53,505bid 16¢ / ask 36¢
At least $53,500bid 17¢ / ask 37¢
At least $53,495bid 17¢ / ask 37¢
At least $53,490bid 18¢ / ask 38¢
At least $53,485bid 19¢ / ask 39¢
At least $53,480bid 19¢ / ask 39¢
At least $53,475bid 20¢ / ask 40¢
At least $53,470bid 21¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,465bid 21¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,460bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,455bid 23¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,450bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,445bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,440bid 25¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,435bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,430bid 27¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,425bid 27¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,420bid 28¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,415bid 29¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,410bid 30¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,405bid 31¢ / ask 51¢
At least $53,400bid 31¢ / ask 51¢

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $53,520bid 12¢ / ask 32¢
At least $53,515bid 13¢ / ask 33¢
At least $53,510bid 14¢ / ask 34¢
At least $53,505bid 14¢ / ask 34¢
At least $53,500bid 15¢ / ask 35¢
At least $53,495bid 16¢ / ask 36¢
At least $53,490bid 16¢ / ask 36¢
At least $53,485bid 17¢ / ask 37¢
At least $53,480bid 18¢ / ask 38¢
At least $53,475bid 18¢ / ask 38¢
At least $53,470bid 19¢ / ask 39¢
At least $53,465bid 20¢ / ask 40¢
At least $53,460bid 21¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,455bid 21¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,450bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,445bid 23¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,440bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,435bid 25¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,430bid 25¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,425bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,420bid 27¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,415bid 28¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,410bid 29¢ / ask 49¢
At least $53,405bid 30¢ / ask 50¢
At least $53,400bid 31¢ / ask 51¢

+ 35 more

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least $53,520bid 8¢ / ask 28¢
At least $53,515bid 9¢ / ask 29¢
At least $53,510bid 10¢ / ask 30¢
At least $53,505bid 10¢ / ask 30¢
At least $53,500bid 11¢ / ask 31¢
At least $53,495bid 12¢ / ask 32¢
At least $53,490bid 12¢ / ask 32¢
At least $53,485bid 13¢ / ask 33¢
At least $53,480bid 14¢ / ask 34¢
At least $53,475bid 15¢ / ask 35¢
At least $53,470bid 16¢ / ask 36¢
At least $53,465bid 16¢ / ask 36¢
At least $53,460bid 17¢ / ask 37¢
At least $53,455bid 18¢ / ask 38¢
At least $53,450bid 19¢ / ask 39¢
At least $53,445bid 20¢ / ask 40¢
At least $53,440bid 21¢ / ask 41¢
At least $53,435bid 22¢ / ask 42¢
At least $53,430bid 23¢ / ask 43¢
At least $53,425bid 24¢ / ask 44¢
At least $53,420bid 25¢ / ask 45¢
At least $53,415bid 26¢ / ask 46¢
At least $53,410bid 27¢ / ask 47¢
At least $53,405bid 28¢ / ask 48¢
At least $53,400bid 29¢ / ask 49¢

+ 35 more

30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 19, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
5.44% or above
5.42% or abovelast 1¢ (book empty)
5.4% or abovelast 1¢ (book empty)
5.38% or abovelast 1¢ (book empty)
5.36% or abovebid 3¢ / ask 4¢
5.34% or abovebid 11¢ / ask 13¢
5.32% or abovebid 24¢ / ask 27¢
5.3% or abovebid 42¢ / ask 45¢
5.28% or abovebid 61¢ / ask 64¢
5.26% or abovebid 78¢ / ask 80¢
5.24% or abovebid 89¢ / ask 92¢
5.22% or abovebid 96¢ / ask 97¢
5.2% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
5.18% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
5.16% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)

10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 19, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.84% or above
4.82% or abovelast 1¢ (book empty)
4.8% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 2¢
4.78% or abovebid 2¢ / ask 4¢
4.76% or abovebid 8¢ / ask 9¢
4.74% or abovebid 21¢ / ask 22¢
4.72% or abovebid 37¢ / ask 38¢
4.7% or abovebid 55¢ / ask 56¢
4.68% or abovebid 73¢ / ask 74¢
4.66% or abovebid 86¢ / ask 87¢
4.64% or abovebid 94¢ / ask 95¢
4.62% or abovebid 98¢ / ask 99¢
4.6% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
4.58% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
4.56% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)

7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 19, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.69% or above
4.67% or abovelast 1¢ (book empty)
4.65% or abovelast 1¢ (book empty)
4.63% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 2¢
4.61% or abovebid 4¢ / ask 5¢
4.59% or abovebid 7¢ / ask 10¢
4.57% or abovebid 19¢ / ask 20¢
4.55% or abovebid 34¢ / ask 35¢
4.53% or abovebid 50¢ / ask 52¢
4.51% or abovebid 67¢ / ask 69¢
4.49% or abovebid 81¢ / ask 83¢
4.47% or abovebid 90¢ / ask 93¢
4.45% or abovebid 95¢ / ask 97¢
4.43% or abovebid 97¢ / ask 99¢
4.41% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)

5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 19, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.54% or above
4.52% or abovelast 1¢ (book empty)
4.5% or abovelast 1¢ (book empty)
4.48% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 2¢
4.46% or abovebid 2¢ / ask 5¢
4.44% or abovebid 7¢ / ask 9¢
4.42% or abovebid 18¢ / ask 19¢
4.4% or abovebid 31¢ / ask 33¢
4.38% or abovebid 47¢ / ask 49¢
4.36% or abovebid 64¢ / ask 65¢
4.34% or abovebid 78¢ / ask 79¢
4.32% or abovebid 88¢ / ask 90¢
4.3% or abovebid 94¢ / ask 97¢
4.28% or abovebid 97¢ / ask 99¢
4.26% or abovebid 98¢ (no asks)

2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 19, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.34% or above
4.32% or abovelast 1¢ (book empty)
4.3% or abovelast 1¢ (book empty)
4.28% or abovebid 2¢ / ask 4¢
4.26% or abovebid 6¢ / ask 7¢
4.24% or abovebid 14¢ / ask 16¢
4.22% or abovebid 26¢ / ask 27¢
4.2% or abovebid 40¢ / ask 41¢
4.18% or abovebid 56¢ / ask 57¢
4.16% or abovebid 69¢ / ask 72¢
4.14% or abovebid 83¢ / ask 84¢
4.12% or abovebid 91¢ / ask 92¢
4.1% or abovebid 95¢ / ask 97¢
4.08% or abovebid 97¢ / ask 99¢
4.06% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
View market strikes (7 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $9.9 billionbid 97¢ / ask 99¢
Above $10.5 billionbid 8¢ / ask 16¢
Above $10.4 billionbid 24¢ / ask 32¢
Above $10.3 billionbid 46¢ / ask 54¢
Above $10.2 billionbid 68¢ / ask 76¢
Above $10.1 billionbid 84¢ / ask 92¢
Above $10 billionbid 93¢ / ask 99¢
View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 6%bid 21¢ / ask 54¢
Above 5.5%bid 31¢ / ask 74¢
Above 5%bid 48¢ / ask 85¢
Above 4.5%bid 66¢ / ask 86¢
Above 4%bid 70¢ / ask 94¢
Above 3.5%bid 81¢ / ask 97¢

StubHub gross merchandise sales in Q3 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $2.7 billionbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Above $2.6 billionbid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Above $2.5 billionbid 21¢ / ask 30¢
Above $2.4 billionbid 56¢ / ask 65¢
Above $2.3 billionbid 89¢ / ask 95¢

Etsy Gross Merchandise Sales in Q3 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $2.66 billionbid 5¢ / ask 8¢
Above $2.62 billionbid 17¢ / ask 24¢
Above $2.58 billionbid 46¢ / ask 53¢
Above $2.54 billionbid 75¢ / ask 82¢
Above $2.5 billionbid 91¢ / ask 99¢
View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 335 millionbid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above 325 millionbid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Above 315 millionbid 5¢ / ask 13¢
Above 305 millionbid 30¢ / ask 31¢
Above 295 millionbid 59¢ / ask 68¢
View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $11.3 billionbid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Above $11.15 billionbid 4¢ / ask 8¢
Above $11 billionbid 17¢ / ask 25¢
Above $10.85 billionbid 51¢ / ask 59¢
Above $10.7 billionbid 83¢ / ask 89¢
View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 5%bid 44¢ / ask 52¢
Above 4.5%bid 71¢ / ask 79¢
Above 4%bid 81¢ / ask 89¢
Above 3.5%bid 88¢ / ask 93¢
Above 3%bid 94¢ / ask 95¢
View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 1.22 billionbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1.2 billionbid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Above 1.18 billionbid 10¢ / ask 14¢
Above 1.16 billionbid 31¢ / ask 37¢
Above 1.14 billionbid 63¢ / ask 70¢

CAVA total restaurants in Q3 — 3 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 496bid 20¢ / ask 30¢
Above 498bid 8¢ / ask 18¢
Above 500bid 3¢ / ask 13¢

📊 Economics — 65 events, 195 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $5.520bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above $5.515bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above $5.510bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above $5.505bid 5¢ / ask 47¢
Above $5.500bid 30¢ / ask 74¢
Above $5.495bid 83¢ / ask 89¢
Above $5.490bid 81¢ / ask 90¢
Above $5.485bid 85¢ / ask 92¢
Above $5.480bid 35¢ / ask 90¢
Above $5.475bid 90¢ / ask 95¢
Above $5.470bid 94¢ / ask 98¢
Above $5.465bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.460bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.455bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $5.450bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $5.445bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $5.440bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $5.435bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $5.430bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $5.425bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $5.420bid 99¢ (no asks)

EV commodity prices on Aug 18, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 1308.56ask 7¢ (no bids)
Above 1298.56last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1288.56last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1278.56last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1268.56ask 31¢ (no bids)
Above 1258.56ask 28¢ (no bids)
Above 1248.56ask 30¢ (no bids)
Above 1238.56ask 16¢ (no bids)
Above 1228.56ask 12¢ (no bids)
Above 1218.56bid 1¢ / ask 36¢
Above 1208.56bid 68¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1198.56bid 91¢ (no asks)
Above 1188.56bid 60¢ (no asks)
Above 1178.56bid 60¢ (no asks)
Above 1168.56bid 60¢ (no asks)

NYC median asking rent in December 2026 — 6 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 10:52 AM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $4,300bid 11¢ / ask 19¢
Above $4,200bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
Above $4,100bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
Above $4,000bid 56¢ / ask 64¢
Above $3,900bid 84¢ / ask 92¢
Above $3,800bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 170,000 gallonsbid 5¢ / ask 11¢
Above 160,000 gallonsbid 11¢ / ask 19¢
Above 150,000 gallonsbid 41¢ / ask 49¢
Above 140,000 gallonsbid 77¢ / ask 83¢
Above 130,000 gallonsbid 89¢ / ask 97¢
View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 30.5¢/kWhbid 7¢ / ask 9¢
Above 30.0¢/kWhbid 22¢ / ask 30¢
Above 29.5¢/kWhbid 38¢ / ask 46¢
Above 29.0¢/kWhbid 61¢ / ask 69¢
Above 28.5¢/kWhbid 81¢ / ask 89¢

Average Wall Street bonus in 2026 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 9:29 AM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $350,000bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Above $325,000bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Above $300,000bid 4¢ / ask 12¢
Above $275,000bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
Above $250,000bid 63¢ / ask 71¢

Vermont maple syrup production in 2027 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 7:26 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 3.3 million gallonsbid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Above 3.2 million gallonsbid 22¢ / ask 28¢
Above 3.1 million gallonsbid 47¢ / ask 49¢
Above 3.0 million gallonsbid 69¢ / ask 71¢
Above 2.9 million gallonsbid 84¢ / ask 86¢

Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026 — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 18, 2026 at 5:01 PM ET

Average Iowa farmland value in the 2026 ISU survey — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 18, 2026 at 5:01 PM ET

Iowa ethanol production in 2026 — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 18, 2026 at 5:01 PM ET

Kansas wheat production in 2026 — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 18, 2026 at 5:01 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 17.5 million barrelsbid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Above 17.0 million barrelsbid 21¢ / ask 29¢
Above 16.5 million barrelsbid 36¢ / ask 44¢
Above 16.0 million barrelsbid 73¢ / ask 81¢

Kentucky coal production in 2027 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 5:01 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 26 million short tonsbid 18¢ / ask 26¢
Above 24 million short tonsbid 51¢ / ask 59¢
Above 22 million short tonsbid 84¢ / ask 92¢
Above 20 million short tonsbid 92¢ / ask 99¢

Maine lobster landings in 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 5:01 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 85 million poundsbid 4¢ / ask 12¢
Above 80 million poundsbid 16¢ / ask 24¢
Above 75 million poundsbid 36¢ / ask 44¢
Above 70 million poundsbid 61¢ / ask 69¢

Mississippi cotton production in 2027 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 900,000 balesbid 16¢ / ask 24¢
Above 800,000 balesbid 76¢ / ask 84¢
Above 700,000 balesbid 86¢ / ask 94¢
Above 1,000,000 balesbid 6¢ / ask 14¢
View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 1,550 unitsbid 11¢ / ask 19¢
Above 1,400 unitsbid 25¢ / ask 29¢
Above 1,250 unitsbid 76¢ / ask 84¢
Above 1,100 unitsbid 86¢ / ask 94¢

Nebraska corn yield in 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 11:54 AM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 190 bu/acrebid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Above 185 bu/acrebid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Above 180 bu/acrebid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Above 175 bu/acrebid 81¢ / ask 89¢

Nevada visitor volume in 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 51 millionbid 34¢ / ask 42¢
Above 50 millionbid 59¢ / ask 66¢
Above 49 millionbid 86¢ / ask 94¢
Above 48 millionbid 92¢ / ask 95¢
View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 9.2 million TEUsbid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Above 9.0 million TEUsbid 6¢ / ask 15¢
Above 8.8 million TEUsbid 27¢ / ask 28¢
Above 8.6 million TEUsbid 74¢ / ask 83¢
View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 310,000 meat poundsbid 14¢ / ask 22¢
Above 280,000 meat poundsbid 31¢ / ask 39¢
Above 250,000 meat poundsbid 56¢ / ask 64¢
Above 220,000 meat poundsbid 76¢ / ask 84¢
View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 565,000 jobsbid 7¢ / ask 13¢
Above 560,000 jobsbid 17¢ / ask 23¢
Above 555,000 jobsbid 47¢ / ask 53¢
Above 550,000 jobsbid 87¢ / ask 93¢
View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 20 daysbid 36¢ / ask 44¢
Above 15 daysbid 71¢ / ask 77¢
Above 12 daysbid 85¢ / ask 92¢
Above 10 daysbid 94¢ / ask 97¢
View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 240 million board feetbid 2¢ / ask 9¢
Above 220 million board feetbid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Above 200 million board feetbid 16¢ / ask 24¢
Above 180 million board feetbid 76¢ / ask 84¢
View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 16.50 millionbid 12¢ / ask 17¢
Above 16.25 millionbid 17¢ / ask 22¢
Above 16.00 millionbid 57¢ / ask 62¢
Above 15.75 millionbid 88¢ / ask 93¢
View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 2.5 million TEUsbid 26¢ / ask 34¢
Above 2.4 million TEUsbid 56¢ / ask 64¢
Above 2.3 million TEUsbid 81¢ / ask 89¢
Above 2.2 million TEUsbid 93¢ / ask 97¢

South Dakota corn yield in 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 10:22 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 180 bu/acrebid 2¢ / ask 10¢
Above 175 bu/acrebid 5¢ / ask 13¢
Above 170 bu/acrebid 11¢ / ask 19¢
Above 165 bu/acrebid 21¢ / ask 29¢

Texas crude oil production in 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 10:22 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 5.9 million barrels/daybid 2¢ / ask 51¢
Above 5.8 million barrels/daybid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 5.7 million barrels/daybid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 5.6 million barrels/daybid 15¢ (no asks)
View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 98,000 MWbid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Above 96,000 MWbid 8¢ / ask 10¢
Above 94,000 MWbid 15¢ / ask 17¢
Above 92,000 MWbid 34¢ / ask 41¢

Vermont total milk production in 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 2.60 billion poundsbid 2¢ / ask 8¢
Above 2.55 billion poundsbid 17¢ / ask 22¢
Above 2.50 billion poundsbid 46¢ / ask 54¢
Above 2.45 billion poundsbid 76¢ / ask 84¢
View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 3.45 million TEUsbid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Above 3.35 million TEUsbid 23¢ / ask 27¢
Above 3.25 million TEUsbid 51¢ / ask 59¢
Above 3.15 million TEUsbid 78¢ / ask 79¢
View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 84,000 jobsbid 27¢ / ask 33¢
Above 83,000 jobsbid 52¢ / ask 58¢
Above 82,000 jobsbid 77¢ / ask 83¢
Above 81,000 jobsbid 85¢ / ask 91¢
View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 280,000 jobsbid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Above 275,000 jobsbid 19¢ / ask 20¢
Above 270,000 jobsbid 28¢ / ask 30¢
Above 265,000 jobsbid 37¢ / ask 43¢

Will Port of Baltimore container volume rise YoY?: Above 1,113,309 TEUs (bid 66¢ / ask 74¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET

Will Iowa corn production rise YoY?: Above 2.772 billion bushels (bid 45¢ / ask 53¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET

Will Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?: Above 103,400 jobs (bid 37¢ / ask 43¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET

Will Michigan auto manufacturing jobs rise YoY?: Above 156,600 jobs (bid 23¢ / ask 27¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET

Will Minnesota medical-device manufacturing jobs rise YoY?: Above 18,200 jobs (bid 77¢ / ask 83¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET

Will Minnesota taconite production rise YoY?: Above 28.525 million tons (bid 36¢ / ask 44¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET

Will Mississippi catfish production rise YoY?: Above 194.3 million pounds (bid 12¢ / ask 17¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET

Will Missouri manufacturing employment rise YoY?: Above 280,500 jobs (bid 27¢ / ask 33¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET

Will Montana cattle inventory rise YoY?: Above 2,140,000 head (bid 42¢ / ask 48¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET

Will Nebraska cattle on feed rise YoY?: Above 2.67 million head (bid 52¢ / ask 59¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET

Will Nevada home prices rise YoY?: Above 423.62 (bid 71¢ / ask 79¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 11:54 AM ET

Will New Hampshire home prices rise YoY?: Above 478.68 (bid 75¢ / ask 82¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 11:51 AM ET

Will New Hampshire alpine skier visits rise YoY?: Above 2,283,539 visits (bid 37¢ / ask 44¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 11:29 AM ET

Will New Jersey pharmaceutical manufacturing jobs rise YoY?: Above 30,300 jobs (bid 8¢ / ask 13¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 10:52 AM ET

Will New Mexico crude oil production rise YoY?: Above 819.225 million barrels (bid 93¢ / ask 94¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 10:51 AM ET

Will New York securities-industry employment rise YoY?: Above 230,400 jobs (bid 92¢ / ask 95¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 10:51 AM ET

Will Manhattan's Q4 2026 office vacancy rate be below 18%?: Below 18.0% (bid 31¢ / ask 39¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 10:51 AM ET

Will Rhode Island home prices rise YoY?: Above 431.10 (bid 51¢ / ask 59¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 9:50 AM ET

Will Pennsylvania natural-gas production rise YoY?: Above 7.675792 trillion cubic feet (bid 50¢ / ask 54¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 9:44 AM ET

Will Oklahoma crude oil production rise YoY?: Above 147.89 million barrels (bid 21¢ / ask 29¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 9:43 AM ET

Will Oregon semiconductor manufacturing jobs rise YoY?: Above 26,400 jobs (bid 17¢ / ask 23¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 9:43 AM ET

Will North Dakota crude oil production rise YoY?: Above 421.101 million barrels (bid 21¢ / ask 29¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 9:40 AM ET

Will Ohio manufacturing employment rise YoY?: Above 677,400 jobs (bid 87¢ / ask 93¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 9:39 AM ET

Will North Carolina pharmaceutical manufacturing jobs rise YoY?: Above 26,500 jobs (bid 17¢ / ask 23¢) — listed Aug 18, 2026 at 9:35 AM ET

Will South Carolina transportation equipment jobs rise YoY?: Above 53,600 jobs (bid 82¢ / ask 88¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 10:23 PM ET

Will South Dakota cattle inventory rise YoY?: Above 3,550,000 head (bid 56¢ / ask 64¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 10:22 PM ET

Will Tennessee transportation equipment jobs rise YoY?: Above 69,700 jobs (bid 58¢ / ask 62¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 10:22 PM ET

Will Utah's House Price Index exceed 722.63 in Q4 2026?: Above 722.63 (bid 56¢ / ask 64¢) — listed Aug 17, 2026 at 8:27 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

3,868 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

CategoryMarketsSeriesTop Series
💹 Financials3,3106Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, S&P 500 range, +3 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather44259Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +56 more
🎬 Entertainment9812DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, RUNNER UP SHOW NETFLIX MOVIE GLOBAL, Netflix movie ranking, +9 more
📊 Economics182US gas price up, Daily SOFR

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.