📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 27 at 6:30 PM ET through Aug 28 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 669 unique markets across 87 new events, plus 4,625 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Oct 09 (Week 41): Above $0.50, Above $0.40, Above $0.30 all at bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
NVIDIA H100 · Hourly price on Oct 09 (Week 41): Above $1.25 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above $1.00 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above $1.75 bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $5.635 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $5.630 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $5.575 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 4, 2026?: Abdul El-Sayed bid 3¢ / ask 5¢, Troy Jackson bid 1¢ / ask 5¢, Sherrod Brown bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
EV commodity prices on Aug 28, 2026: Above 1240.85 bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, Above 1230.85 bid 97¢ / ask 99¢, Above 1180.85 bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
How many launches will SpaceX have in September?: Above 18 bid 1¢ / ask 4¢, Above 17 bid 1¢ / ask 5¢, Above 16 bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Top Open Source AI this week: DeepSeek bid 2¢ / ask 5¢, Xiaomi bid 1¢ / ask 5¢, Thinking Machines bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Diesel prices in Sep 2026
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- EV commodity prices on Aug 28, 2026
- MacAskill–Moll AI growth challenge · Who will win?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Open Source market share on September 2nd
- Stealth market share this week
- Top Open Source AI this week
- Top Text to Image AI this week
- Top Text to Speech AI this week
- Top Text to Video AI this week
- Daily Top Music Videos Global: Artist(s) with a #1 video in August 2026
- Daily Top Music Videos USA: Artist(s) with a #1 video in August 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 29, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 29, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 29, 2026
- Who will be featured on Slime Language 3?
- Who will have a top 20 song this year?
- YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global
- YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA
- Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (8/28-9/4)?
- How many Israeli elections until a government forms?
- Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Together win?
- Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Yashar win?
- Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
- Which lists will win a Knesset seat?
- Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
- Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?
- Will Ben-Gvir and Smotrich's parties submit a joint list?
- How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (8/31-9/6)
- How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (8/30-9/5)
- How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/29-9/4)
- How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster in Sep 2026?
- How many times will Trump visit his D.C. golf club in Sep 2026?
- How many Truths will Trump delete in Sep 2026?
- How many U.S. visas will be revoked in 2026?
- Number of White House Press Briefings in Sep 2026?
- Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/31 - 9/6)
- Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)
- Pete Hegseth departure announced?
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
- Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/31 - 9/6)
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/31 - 9/6)
- When will Ottawa's Trump Avenue be renamed?
- When will the EU enact a social media ban for children?
- Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 4, 2026?
- Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?
- Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Sep 2026?
- Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced?
- Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/30 - 9/5)
- Will Nashville airport be renamed for Dolly Parton?
- Will the Pentagon win the Stars and Stripes firing lawsuit?
- Will the US announce a Venezuelan oil field deal?
- Will Trump declare a national emergency?
- Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/28-9/4)?
- Abercrombie & Fitch Monthly Credit Card Spend in August
- Alani Nu Point of Sale Growth in September
- Bud Light Point of Sale Growth in September
- C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth in September
- Celsius Point of Sale Growth in September
- Chick-fil-A Monthly Credit Card Spend in August
- Chipotle Monthly Credit Card Spend in August
- Coca-Cola Point of Sale Growth in September
- Coors Light Point of Sale Growth in September
- Dick's Sporting Goods Credit Card Spend in August
- Dr. Pepper Point of Sale Growth in September
- Home Depot Monthly Credit Card Spend in August
- Lululemon Monthly Credit Card Spend in August
- Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth in September
- Monster Energy Point of Sale Growth in September
- Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth in September
- NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Oct 09 (Week 41)
- NVIDIA H100 · Hourly price on Oct 09 (Week 41)
- on! Point of Sale Growth in September
- Pepsi Point of Sale Growth in September
- Red Bull Point of Sale Growth in September
- Rockstar Energy Point of Sale Growth in September
- Rogue Point of Sale Growth in September
- Shein Monthly Credit Card Spend in August
- Sprite Point of Sale Growth in September
- Starbucks Monthly Credit Card Spend in August
- Velo Point of Sale Growth in September
- Wendy's Monthly Credit Card Spend in August
- Zyn Point of Sale Growth in September
All New Events
📊 Economics — 4 events, 59 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 6:01 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.660 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.655 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.650 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.645 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.640 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.635 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $5.630 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $5.625 | bid 2¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above $5.620 | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above $5.615 | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above $5.610 | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above $5.605 | bid 51¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above $5.600 | bid 65¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Above $5.595 | bid 81¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Above $5.590 | bid 93¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above $5.585 | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $5.580 | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.575 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.570 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.565 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.560 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
Diesel prices in Sep 2026 — 21 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
EV commodity prices on Aug 28, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1310.85 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1300.85 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1290.85 | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1280.85 | ask 24¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1270.85 | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1260.85 | ask 30¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1250.85 | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1240.85 | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 1230.85 | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1220.85 | bid 70¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1210.85 | bid 68¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1200.85 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1190.85 | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1180.85 | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1170.85 | bid 97¢ (no asks) |
MacAskill–Moll AI growth challenge · Who will win? — 2 brackets — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 15% | bid 30¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Below 15% | bid 60¢ / ask 70¢ |
🔬 Science and Technology — 7 events, 71 markets
Top Text to Speech AI this week — 17 outcomes — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (17 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| VUI Labs | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| StepFun | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| SpeechifyAI | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| SpaceXAI | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Smallest.ai | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| OpenAI | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Nvidia | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Mistral | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| MiniMax | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Inworld | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| last 1¢ (book empty) | |
| Fish Audio | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| ElevenLabs | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Cartesia | last 83¢ (book empty) |
| Async | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Amazon | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Alibaba | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
Top Open Source AI this week — 13 outcomes — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (13 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Xiaomi | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Thinking Machines | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Nvidia | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Mistral | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Meta | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Kimi | bid 62¢ / ask 67¢ |
| bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ | |
| GLM | bid 18¢ / ask 25¢ |
| DeepSeek | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Cohere | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 7¢ / ask 13¢ |
Top Text to Image AI this week — 11 outcomes — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| SpaceXAI | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Reve | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Recraft | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 80¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Nvidia | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Microsoft | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Krea | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| HiDream | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ | |
| Bytedance | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Black Forest Labs | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
Top Text to Video AI this week — 10 outcomes — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (10 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Vidu | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| SpaceXAI | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Skywork AI | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| PixVerse | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Lightricks | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| KlingAI | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| bid 25¢ / ask 34¢ | |
| ByteDance | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 62¢ / ask 71¢ |
How many launches will SpaceX have in September? — 9 brackets — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 11:54 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 18 | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 17 | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 16 | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 14 | bid 7¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 13 | bid 3¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 12 | bid 15¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 11 | bid 51¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 10¢ / ask 75¢ |
Open Source market share on September 2nd — 9 brackets — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 11:51 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 68% | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 66% | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 64% | bid 3¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 62% | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 60% | bid 26¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 58% | bid 43¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above 56% | bid 59¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Above 54% | bid 76¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 52% | bid 86¢ / ask 95¢ |
Stealth market share this week — 2 brackets — listed Aug 27, 2026 at 6:47 PM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5.5% | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 5% | last 3¢ (book empty) |
🎬 Entertainment — 9 events, 100 markets
Who will be featured on Slime Language 3? — 22 outcomes — listed Aug 27, 2026 at 10:26 PM ET
View market options (22 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| YFN Lucci | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
| Travis Scott | bid 8¢ / ask 84¢ |
| T.I. | bid 12¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Tezzus | bid 83¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Sexyy Red | bid 6¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Quavo | bid 74¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Playboi Carti | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| NAV | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Mariah the Scientist | bid 13¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Lil Uzi Vert | bid 9¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Lil Keed | ask 89¢ (no bids) |
| Lil Gotit | ask 87¢ (no bids) |
| Lil Baby | bid 12¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Ken Carson | ask 86¢ (no bids) |
| iyrus | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
| Gunna | bid 4¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Future | ask 89¢ (no bids) |
| Drake | bid 8¢ / ask 86¢ |
| diamond* | bid 90¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Cardi B | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| 21 Savage | bid 12¢ / ask 76¢ |
| 1300SAINT | bid 84¢ / ask 95¢ |
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| The One That Got Away | — |
| Tera Mera Rishta - New Version (From "Awarapan 2") | — |
| Sunflower | — |
| Shararat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Sebebi Yar (Live) | — |
| Life Goes On | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | — |
| It's Me | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| ICONIC BY MISTAKE | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Hootie Frutti | — |
| Golden | — |
| Gehra Hua | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | — |
| BAD | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Animal | — |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 29, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tera Mera Rishta | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sunflower | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| @SaiAbhyankkar - Radhimaa (Music Video) | Bhagyashri Borse | Vivek | Thejo Bharathwaj | Think Indie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| MALLEPOOLA PALLAKI (Song) | Ravi Teja | GV Prakash | Dappu Srinu | Shiva Nirvana | Irumudi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | — |
| KALYANI (Remix) | — |
| Irumudi Kattu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Gali Gali Saj Gayi Part 2 - Rabi Ul Awal Milad Naat 2024 - Official Video - Hafiz Tahir Qadri | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | — |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barsaat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 29, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tera Mera Rishta | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sunflower | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| @SaiAbhyankkar - Radhimaa (Music Video) | Bhagyashri Borse | Vivek | Thejo Bharathwaj | Think Indie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| MALLEPOOLA PALLAKI (Song) | Ravi Teja | GV Prakash | Dappu Srinu | Shiva Nirvana | Irumudi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Irumudi Kattu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Gali Gali Saj Gayi Part 2 - Rabi Ul Awal Milad Naat 2024 - Official Video - Hafiz Tahir Qadri | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | — |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barsaat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| What You Need | — |
| Sunflower | — |
| Reap What You Sow | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| misery. | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Life Goes On | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Janice STFU | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| ICONIC BY MISTAKE | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Hootie Frutti | — |
| Golden | — |
| Ghetto Love Story | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | — |
| Choosin' Texas | — |
| Billie Jean | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Beat It | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Animal | — |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 29, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sunflower | — |
| Miley Cyrus & Dolly Parton Perform “Wrecking Ball” / “I Will Always Love You” | Full Performance | — |
| Life Goes On | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | — |
| Jolene (Official Audio) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Janice STFU | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| I Will Always Love You | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| ICONIC BY MISTAKE | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| First Day Back | — |
| Dai Dai | — |
| Choosin' Texas | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 9 To 5 (Official Video) | — |
Who will have a top 20 song this year?: Dolly Parton (bid 5¢ (no asks)) — listed Aug 27, 2026 at 8:50 PM ET
Daily Top Music Videos Global: Artist(s) with a #1 video in August 2026 : Dolly Parton (ask 95¢ (no bids)) — listed Aug 27, 2026 at 8:49 PM ET
Daily Top Music Videos USA: Artist(s) with a #1 video in August 2026 : Dolly Parton — listed Aug 27, 2026 at 8:48 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 10 events, 94 markets
Which lists will win a Knesset seat? — 21 outcomes — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 3:42 PM ET
View market options (21 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zionist Home–The Reservists | — |
| Zehut | — |
| Yisrael Beiteinu | — |
| Yashar | — |
| United Torah Judaism | — |
| Unity | — |
| Together | — |
| Shas | — |
| Religious Zionist Party | — |
| Ra'am | — |
| A Place for All of Us | — |
| People of Israel | — |
| Otzma Yehudit | bid 54¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Noam for Israel | — |
| New Economic Party | — |
| Likud | — |
| Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad) | — |
| Israel First | — |
| Haredi Public | — |
| The Democrats | — |
| Blue and White | — |
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — 21 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET
Tracking: Zionist Home–The Reservists, Zehut, Yisrael Beiteinu, Yashar, United Torah Judaism, Unity, Together, Shas, Religious Zionist Party, Ra'am, A Place for All of Us, People of Israel, Otzma Yehudit, Noam for Israel, New Economic Party, Likud, Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad), Israel First, Haredi Public, The Democrats, Blue and White
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — 21 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:39 PM ET
Tracking: Zionist Home–The Reservists, Zehut, Yisrael Beiteinu, Yashar, United Torah Judaism, Unity, Together, Shas, Religious Zionist Party, Ra'am, A Place for All of Us, People of Israel, Otzma Yehudit, Noam for Israel, New Economic Party, Likud, Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad), Israel First, Haredi Public, The Democrats, Blue and White
Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election? — 10 outcomes — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 2:47 PM ET
View market options (10 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yair Golan | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Yoav Gallant | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Ofer Winter | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Naftali Bennett | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Israel Katz | bid 51¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Itamar Ben-Gvir | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Gadi Eisenkot | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Benny Gantz | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Avigdor Lieberman | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Yashar win? — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Together win? — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET
How many Israeli elections until a government forms? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 2:39 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| 4 | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| 3 | bid 3¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 2 | bid 16¢ / ask 25¢ |
| 1 | bid 66¢ / ask 75¢ |
| At least 5 | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
Will Ben-Gvir and Smotrich's parties submit a joint list?: Yes (bid 36¢ / ask 42¢) — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 2:39 PM ET
Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?: Amcha Yisrael — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 12:19 PM ET
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (8/28-9/4)?: Above 5.9% (bid 60¢ / ask 79¢) — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 10:27 AM ET
🏛️ Politics — 28 events, 135 markets
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026? — 22 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 11:27 AM ET
Tracking: Xi Jinping, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Vladimir Putin, Ted Cruz, Sam Altman, Rory McIlroy, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, Mark Carney, Mohammed bin Salman, Kevin Warsh, Kim Jong Un, John Thune, Hakeem Jeffries, Greg Abbott, Elon Musk, Emmanuel Macron, Delcy Rodríguez, Chuck Schumer, Catherine Connolly, Benjamin Netanyahu, António Guterres, Ahmed al-Sharaa
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6) — 11 brackets — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 10:36 AM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 75 | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 50 | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 45 | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 40 | bid 12¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above 35 | bid 26¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 51¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 73¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 86¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026) — 8 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 11:08 AM ET
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 4, 2026? — 7 outcomes — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 10:37 AM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Troy Jackson | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Sherrod Brown | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Mary Peltola | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| James Talarico | bid 64¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Jon Ossoff | bid 25¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Angie Nixon | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Abdul El-Sayed | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/31 - 9/6) — 7 outcomes — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 10:37 AM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| September 6 | bid 11¢ / ask 20¢ |
| September 5 | bid 11¢ / ask 20¢ |
| September 4 | bid 7¢ / ask 16¢ |
| September 3 | bid 7¢ / ask 16¢ |
| September 2 | bid 7¢ / ask 16¢ |
| September 1 | bid 7¢ / ask 16¢ |
| August 31 | bid 7¢ / ask 16¢ |
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/29-9/4) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 10:28 AM ET
How many U.S. visas will be revoked in 2026? — 6 brackets — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 2:52 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 400,000 | bid 5¢ / ask 15¢ |
| At least 300,000 | bid 24¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least 250,000 | bid 44¢ / ask 54¢ |
| At least 200,000 | bid 63¢ / ask 73¢ |
| At least 150,000 | bid 74¢ / ask 84¢ |
| At least 100,000 | bid 84¢ / ask 94¢ |
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6) — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 10:37 AM ET
How many times will Trump visit his D.C. golf club in Sep 2026? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 11:06 AM ET
Tracking: 4, 3, 2, 1, 0
How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster in Sep 2026? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 11:03 AM ET
Tracking: 4, 3, 2, 1, 0
How many Truths will Trump delete in Sep 2026? — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 11:03 AM ET
Number of White House Press Briefings in Sep 2026? — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 10:58 AM ET
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/31 - 9/6) — 5 brackets — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 10:37 AM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 300 | bid 31¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above 290 | bid 60¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Above 280 | bid 85¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 270 | bid 88¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 260 | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/31 - 9/6) — 5 brackets — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 10:37 AM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 250 | bid 1¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 225 | bid 21¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 61¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 175 | bid 88¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 150 | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
Pete Hegseth departure announced? — 4 outcomes — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 12:18 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 3¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 13¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 22¢ / ask 32¢ |
Will Trump declare a national emergency? — 4 outcomes — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 15¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 20¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 30¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 25¢ / ask 35¢ |
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (8/30-9/5) — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 10:37 AM ET
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (8/31-9/6) — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 10:27 AM ET
Tracking: 7, 6, 5, 4
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 12:17 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 4¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 8¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 12¢ / ask 19¢ |
When will the EU enact a social media ban for children? — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Apr 1, 2028 | bid 31¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 16¢ / ask 25¢ |
Will the US announce a Venezuelan oil field deal? — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 1:47 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 62¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 23¢ / ask 27¢ |
When will Ottawa's Trump Avenue be renamed? — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 12:43 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 36¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 31¢ / ask 36¢ |
Will Nashville airport be renamed for Dolly Parton?: Before Oct 1, 2026 — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 4:12 PM ET
Will a Yosemite land deal with Kingsbarn be announced?: Yes (bid 35¢ / ask 45¢) — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 3:49 PM ET
Will the Pentagon win the Stars and Stripes firing lawsuit?: Before 2028 (bid 56¢ / ask 65¢) — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 1:46 PM ET
Will a member of Congress resign or be expelled in Sep 2026?: X — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 10:58 AM ET
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/30 - 9/5): Above 0 — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 10:27 AM ET
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (8/28-9/4)?: Above 38.6% (bid 46¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 10:27 AM ET
💹 Financials — 29 events, 210 markets
NVIDIA H100 · Hourly price on Oct 09 (Week 41) — 12 brackets — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $4.00 | bid 7¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above $3.75 | bid 12¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above $3.50 | bid 18¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Above $3.25 | bid 28¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above $3.00 | bid 41¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above $2.75 | bid 57¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Above $2.50 | bid 73¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above $2.25 | bid 86¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above $2.00 | bid 94¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $1.75 | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $1.25 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $1.00 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Oct 09 (Week 41) — 10 brackets — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $2.00 | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $1.75 | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above $1.50 | bid 3¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above $1.25 | bid 36¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Above $1.00 | bid 85¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above $0.75 | bid 94¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above $0.60 | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $0.50 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $0.40 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $0.30 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
Rockstar Energy Point of Sale Growth in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET
Bud Light Point of Sale Growth in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET
Red Bull Point of Sale Growth in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET
Monster Energy Point of Sale Growth in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET
Zyn Point of Sale Growth in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET
Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET
Velo Point of Sale Growth in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET
Pepsi Point of Sale Growth in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET
Coca-Cola Point of Sale Growth in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET
C4 Energy Point of Sale Growth in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET
Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:21 PM ET
Dr. Pepper Point of Sale Growth in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 2:21 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 98 | — |
| Above 97 | — |
| Above 96 | — |
| Above 95 | — |
| Above 94 | — |
| Above 93 | — |
| Above 92 | — |
| Above 89 | bid 60¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 101 | — |
Rogue Point of Sale Growth in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:21 PM ET
Sprite Point of Sale Growth in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:21 PM ET
Alani Nu Point of Sale Growth in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:21 PM ET
Coors Light Point of Sale Growth in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
Celsius Point of Sale Growth in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:16 PM ET
on! Point of Sale Growth in September — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 2:10 PM ET
Chipotle Monthly Credit Card Spend in August — 4 brackets — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 1:18 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 89 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 90 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 91 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 92 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
Starbucks Monthly Credit Card Spend in August — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 1:09 PM ET
Wendy's Monthly Credit Card Spend in August — 3 brackets — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 1:20 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 80 | bid 8¢ (no asks) |
| Above 81 | bid 8¢ (no asks) |
| Above 82 | bid 8¢ (no asks) |
Abercrombie & Fitch Monthly Credit Card Spend in August — 3 brackets — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 1:17 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 93 | bid 48¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 92 | bid 48¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 95 | bid 16¢ (no asks) |
Chick-fil-A Monthly Credit Card Spend in August — 3 brackets — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 1:16 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 98 | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Above 96 | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Above 94 | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
Dick's Sporting Goods Credit Card Spend in August — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 1:14 PM ET
Shein Monthly Credit Card Spend in August — 3 brackets — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 84 | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
| Above 85 | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
| Above 86 | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
Lululemon Monthly Credit Card Spend in August — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 28, 2026 at 1:22 PM ET
Home Depot Monthly Credit Card Spend in August: Above 91 — listed Aug 28, 2026 at 1:14 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,625 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,871 | 12 | Nasdaq above/below, DJI Hourly, S&P 500 above/below, +9 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 423 | 56 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, +53 more |
| 📊 Economics | 165 | 12 | New Jersey gas prices, Illinois gas price, New York gas price, +9 more |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 81 | 16 | Top 10% AI spend per employee, Manufacturing AI adoption, Accommodation and food AI adoption, +13 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 70 | 12 | Bills signed monthly, Will Trump do anything today?, Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, +9 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 15 | 1 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.