Kalshi Markets: Panama Canal, DJ Clubs, Diesel Prices

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 07 at 6:30 PM ET through Oct 08 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 636 unique markets across 259 new events, plus 5,118 recurring bracket markets.

📊 Economics

2 events

36 markets

🎬 Entertainment

7 events

118 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

10 events

111 markets

🗳️ Elections

46 events

98 markets

🏛️ Politics

79 events

143 markets

💹 Financials

115 events

130 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11): Above 180 bid 85¢ / ask 86¢, Above 190 bid 50¢ / ask 71¢

Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag’s Top 100 Clubs List?: GREENVALLEY bid 94¢ / ask 95¢, FABRIK bid 14¢ / ask 15¢, Echostage bid 31¢ / ask 32¢

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/5 - 10/11): Above 310 bid 15¢ / ask 16¢, Above 320 bid 6¢ / ask 9¢

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 9, 2026?: Below 8.4%, 9.0%, 8.9% all at bid 2¢ / ask 3¢

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 9, 2026?: 38.7%, 38.6%, 38.5% all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $6.305 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $6.290 bid 2¢ / ask 4¢, Above $6.270 bid 96¢ / ask 98¢

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 9, 2026: Yeshanagula bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 15: z5y8Clp_TdE] bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Parvati bid 3¢ / ask 42¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

📊 Economics

🎬 Entertainment

🔬 Science and Technology

🗳️ Elections

🏛️ Politics

💹 Financials

All New Events

📊 Economics — 2 events, 36 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 6:01 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $6.335	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.330	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.325	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.320	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.315	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.310	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above $6.305	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above $6.300	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Above $6.295	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Above $6.290	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Above $6.285	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Above $6.280	bid 17¢ / ask 25¢
Above $6.275	bid 51¢ / ask 68¢
Above $6.270	bid 96¢ / ask 98¢
Above $6.265	bid 47¢ / ask 96¢
Above $6.260	bid 82¢ / ask 98¢
Above $6.255	bid 91¢ / ask 98¢
Above $6.250	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $6.245	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $6.240	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $6.235	bid 99¢ (no asks)

EV commodity prices on Oct 8, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1264.91	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1254.91	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1244.91	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1234.91	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1224.91	—
Above 1214.91	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1204.91	ask 12¢ (no bids)
Above 1194.91	last 3¢ (book empty)
Above 1184.91	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1174.91	bid 93¢ / ask 94¢
Above 1164.91	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1154.91	bid 90¢ (no asks)
Above 1144.91	bid 86¢ (no asks)
Above 1134.91	bid 95¢ (no asks)
Above 1124.91	bid 86¢ (no asks)

🎬 Entertainment — 7 events, 118 markets

Top 10 DJ’s: 2027 — 51 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 12:56 PM ET

Tracking: Zedd, W&W, Vintage Culture, Vini Vici, Timmy Trumpet, Tiësto, Swedish House Mafia, Steve Aoki, Skrillex, Reinier Zonneveld, R3hab, Quintino, Peggy Gou, Paul van Dyk, Oliver Heldens, Nicky Romero, Michael Bibi, The Martinez Brothers, Marshmello, Martin Garrix, Lost Frequencies, KSHMR, Korolova, Keinemusik, John Summit, +26 more

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag’s Top 100 Clubs List? — 20 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET

View market options (20 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
The Warehouse Project at Depot Mayfield	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Ushuaïa Ibiza	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Studio 338	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Savaya	bid 6¢ (no asks)
PLAY HOUSE	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Pacha	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Noa Beach Club	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Laroc Club	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Illuzion Phuket	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Hï Ibiza	bid 6¢ (no asks)
GREENVALLEY	bid 94¢ / ask 95¢
FABRIK	bid 14¢ / ask 15¢
fabric	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Echostage	bid 31¢ / ask 32¢
DC-10	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Cavo Paradiso	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Bootshaus	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Berghain	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Avant Gardner & The Brooklyn Mirage	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Amnesia	ask 93¢ (no bids)

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 9, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yeshanagula	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip	bid 6¢ / ask 81¢
Training Season (Live)	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Shararat	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Sebebi Yar	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Parvati	bid 3¢ / ask 42¢
Kayıp Kalp	ask 90¢ (no bids)
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 15: z5y8Clp_TdE]	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 5: xvT1jH8B9AM]	bid 6¢ / ask 70¢
Dai Dai	bid 6¢ / ask 80¢
Chalre Chalre Waal \| Female Version \| Tu Sanwal Phul Kasturi \| Trending Songs 2026 @kunwarbrar	bid 1¢ / ask 77¢
Casa Tupka Anthemo	bid 6¢ / ask 81¢
BbY WOW	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Basinga Balaalu	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Barsaat	ask 89¢ (no bids)

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 9, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yeshanagula	bid 3¢ / ask 74¢
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Training Season (Live)	ask 34¢ (no bids)
Shararat	ask 32¢ (no bids)
Sebebi Yar	ask 33¢ (no bids)
Parvati	ask 25¢ (no bids)
Kayıp Kalp	ask 26¢ (no bids)
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 15: z5y8Clp_TdE]	ask 23¢ (no bids)
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 5: xvT1jH8B9AM]	ask 23¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Chalre Chalre Waal \| Female Version \| Tu Sanwal Phul Kasturi \| Trending Songs 2026 @kunwarbrar	ask 24¢ (no bids)
Casa Tupka Anthemo	bid 6¢ (no asks)
BbY WOW	ask 33¢ (no bids)
Basinga Balaalu	ask 24¢ (no bids)
Barsaat	ask 23¢ (no bids)

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 9, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
You Are My Lady	ask 95¢ (no bids)
WTF GOIN	ask 95¢ (no bids)
World's Greatest!	ask 89¢ (no bids)
Todo Lo Fue	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Patient Zero	bid 5¢ / ask 79¢
Nicole Kidman	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Janice STFU	ask 95¢ (no bids)
HOTEL LOBBY (Unc & Phew) (- A COLORS SHOW)	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Draw You Out (From The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping - The Album)	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Dope Girl	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Dai Dai	bid 6¢ / ask 83¢
Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 5: hLOheGDwD_0]	bid 4¢ / ask 80¢
Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 3: nUsrYVxrDwI]	bid 6¢ / ask 82¢
BbY WOW	ask 94¢ (no bids)
AH HA	ask 95¢ (no bids)

Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner(s): Stevie Wonder (ask 84¢ (no bids)) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:23 AM ET

Steam: Weekly Top Seller : Dota 2 (bid 7¢ / ask 70¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:56 PM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 10 events, 111 markets

Best LLM at the end of the decade? — 34 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 6:18 PM ET

Tracking: Z AI, Xiaomi, xAI, Upstage, Thinking Machines, Tencent, StepFun, Safe Superintelligence, Reflection AI, Prime Intellect, OpenAI, NVIDIA, Mistral, Microsoft, Moonshot, MiniMax, Meta, LongCat, LG AI Research, Inception, InclusionAI, Institute of Foundation Models, Huawei, Google, Essential AI, +9 more

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 12, 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.9%	bid 10¢ / ask 90¢
Above 8.4%	bid 11¢ / ask 90¢
Above 5.5%	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above 4.0%	bid 12¢ / ask 92¢
Above 18.4%	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 15.8%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 14.1%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 12.3%	bid 10¢ / ask 89¢
Above 11.1%	bid 11¢ / ask 88¢

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 26.1%	ask 84¢ (no bids)
Above 23.8%	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 22.5%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 22.2%	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 20.5%	bid 10¢ / ask 90¢
Above 18.7%	bid 10¢ / ask 90¢
Above 18.3%	bid 11¢ / ask 90¢
Above 17.1%	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above 16.3%	bid 11¢ / ask 91¢

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 48.2%	ask 91¢ (no bids)
Above 45.7%	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 43.3%	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 42.6%	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 40.1%	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 38.7%	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 38.0%	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 35.9%	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 33.3%	bid 9¢ (no asks)

Google share of requests on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 18.6%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 18.1%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 17.1%	bid 10¢ / ask 90¢
Above 16.5%	bid 10¢ / ask 88¢
Above 15.5%	bid 11¢ / ask 87¢
Above 14.4%	bid 10¢ / ask 90¢
Above 14.0%	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above 12.6%	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above 11.6%	bid 11¢ (no asks)

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 28.5%	bid 9¢ / ask 84¢
Above 27.5%	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 26.8%	bid 10¢ / ask 88¢
Above 26.1%	bid 10¢ / ask 90¢
Above 25.4%	bid 10¢ / ask 90¢
Above 24.9%	bid 10¢ / ask 90¢
Above 24.4%	bid 10¢ / ask 90¢
Above 22.0%	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above 19.3%	bid 10¢ (no asks)

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.7%	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 8.3%	bid 9¢ / ask 89¢
Above 7.9%	bid 9¢ / ask 87¢
Above 7.5%	bid 9¢ / ask 82¢
Above 7.3%	bid 10¢ / ask 58¢
Above 7.2%	bid 41¢ / ask 59¢
Above 6.0%	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above 5.3%	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above 4.9%	bid 10¢ (no asks)

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.7%	bid 11¢ / ask 90¢
Above 9.4%	bid 10¢ / ask 90¢
Above 8.9%	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above 8.2%	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above 17.9%	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above 13.4%	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 12.3%	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 11.5%	bid 10¢ / ask 90¢
Above 10.4%	bid 10¢ / ask 90¢

Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 6:19 PM ET

Tracking: United States, South Korea, France, China, United Arab Emirates

🔗 View on Kalshi →

🗳️ Elections — 46 events, 98 markets

Spanish general election: voter turnout — 12 brackets — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 6:34 PM ET

View market strikes (12 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 27,500,000	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
At least 27,000,000	bid 6¢ / ask 11¢
At least 26,500,000	bid 19¢ / ask 24¢
At least 26,000,000	bid 38¢ / ask 43¢
At least 25,500,000	bid 58¢ / ask 63¢
At least 25,000,000	bid 76¢ / ask 81¢
At least 24,500,000	bid 87¢ / ask 92¢
At least 24,000,000	bid 94¢ / ask 95¢
At least 23,500,000	bid 95¢ / ask 96¢
At least 23,000,000	bid 95¢ / ask 96¢
At least 22,500,000	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
At least 22,000,000	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢

Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco? — 10 outcomes — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:55 PM ET

View market options (10 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Proposition J	bid 26¢ / ask 89¢
Proposition I	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Proposition H	bid 26¢ / ask 90¢
Proposition G	bid 10¢ / ask 74¢
Proposition F	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Proposition E	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Proposition D	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Proposition C	bid 26¢ / ask 90¢
Proposition B	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Proposition A	bid 16¢ / ask 92¢

Spanish general election: Vox vote percent — 10 brackets — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 6:34 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 22%	bid 3¢ / ask 73¢
At least 21%	bid 6¢ / ask 74¢
At least 20%	bid 10¢ / ask 74¢
At least 19%	bid 10¢ / ask 89¢
At least 18%	bid 10¢ / ask 90¢
At least 17%	bid 24¢ / ask 91¢
At least 16%	bid 23¢ / ask 90¢
At least 15%	bid 23¢ / ask 90¢
At least 14%	bid 11¢ / ask 90¢
At least 13%	bid 11¢ (no asks)

When will James Talarico be seen in public? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 3:49 PM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Oct 15, 2026	bid 96¢ / ask 98¢
Before Oct 14, 2026	bid 61¢ / ask 98¢
Before Oct 13, 2026	bid 55¢ / ask 98¢
Before Oct 12, 2026	bid 35¢ / ask 96¢
Before Oct 11, 2026	bid 34¢ / ask 98¢
Before Oct 10, 2026	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Before Oct 9, 2026	ask 93¢ (no bids)

Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Restore Britain vote percent — 7 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 1:39 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 8%	last 2¢ (book empty)
At least 6%	bid 2¢ / ask 76¢
At least 5%	bid 2¢ / ask 11¢
At least 4%	bid 2¢ / ask 50¢
At least 3%	bid 2¢ / ask 75¢
At least 2%	ask 95¢ (no bids)
At least 1%	—

Which bloc will win a Knesset majority? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 6:37 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
None	bid 42¢ / ask 79¢
Netanyahu bloc	bid 11¢ / ask 14¢
Opposition bloc	bid 9¢ / ask 13¢

Clarence mayoral election winner? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 5:39 PM ET

Tracking: Tony Mulder, Dean Young

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Mongolian presidential election winner? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 5:38 PM ET

Tracking: Luvsannyamyn Gantömör, Norovyn Altankhuyag

🔗 View on Kalshi →

How many votes will be cast early in the Midterms? — 2 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:52 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 63 million	bid 22¢ / ask 32¢
At least 66 million	bid 8¢ / ask 18¢

How many Pennsylvania mail ballots will be requested? — 2 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:50 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 1.6 million	bid 31¢ / ask 41¢
At least 1.7 million	bid 24¢ / ask 34¢

How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026? — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 2:48 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 2:46 PM ET

Tracking: 57 or more, 62 or more

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Will the SAVE America Act become law? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:29 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 4¢ / ask 13¢

Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person) — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:41 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Eric Hafner	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Jim McDermott	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢

Which bloc will win the most Knesset seats? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 6:37 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Netanyahu bloc	bid 49¢ / ask 56¢
Opposition bloc	bid 44¢ / ask 47¢

Gambian presidential election winner?: Talib Bensouda — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 5:39 PM ET

Taiwan presidential election winner?: Cheng Li-wun — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 5:39 PM ET

2028 London mayoral election winner?: Dawn Butler — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 5:38 PM ET

Launceston mayoral election winner?: Tim Walker — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 5:38 PM ET

Will Jim Justice announce a West Virginia governor run?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 57¢ / ask 67¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET

Highest third-party vote share in a 2026 Senate race?: At least 5% (bid 32¢ / ask 42¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:43 PM ET

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Together win?: Above 12 (bid 30¢ / ask 99¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:42 PM ET

When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?: Before Feb 1, 2027 (bid 20¢ / ask 29¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET

When will Serbia call its presidential election?: Before Dec 1, 2026 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?: Before Jul 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:35 PM ET

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?: Above 24 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET

Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout: At least 4,125,000 (ask 95¢ (no bids)) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET

When will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?: Before Feb 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET

Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout: At least 124,000,000 (bid 63¢ / ask 73¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET

Will Trump declare an election emergency?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 10¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:31 PM ET

Alberta referendum: Remain vote share?: At least 77% (bid 9¢ / ask 48¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:31 PM ET

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional): Democrats, ≥11% — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:31 PM ET

SNS-led list margin of victory in Serbia?: SNS-led list, ≥3% — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:03 PM ET

Closest Governor race in 2026?: Vermont (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 12:48 PM ET

2028 Republican presidential nominee: John Kennedy (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 12:48 PM ET

Alaska Senate winner? (Person): Gerald Heikes (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:40 AM ET

Will the Bay Area Regional Transit Measure pass?: Yes (bid 32¢ / ask 70¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:55 PM ET

Will Jon Ossoff outperform the polls?: Yes (bid 51¢ / ask 52¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

Will Roy Cooper outperform the polls?: Yes (bid 46¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

Will Adam Hamilton outperform the polls?: Yes (bid 46¢ / ask 49¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

Will Josh Turek outperform the polls?: Yes (bid 47¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

Will Abdul El-Sayed outperform the polls?: Yes (bid 47¢ / ask 51¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

Will Sherrod Brown outperform the polls?: Yes (bid 47¢ / ask 51¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

Will Susan Collins outperform the polls?: Yes (bid 53¢ / ask 54¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

Will James Talarico outperform the polls?: Yes (bid 47¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

Will Steve Hilton outperform the polls?: Yes (bid 46¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

🏛️ Politics — 79 events, 143 markets

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — 9 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 12:22 PM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Feb 1, 2027	bid 5¢ / ask 43¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 13¢ / ask 46¢
Before May 1, 2027	bid 1¢ / ask 55¢
Before Jun 1, 2027	bid 1¢ / ask 60¢
Before Aug 1, 2027	—
Before Sep 1, 2027	—
Before Oct 1, 2027	—
Before Nov 1, 2027	—
Before Dec 1, 2027	—

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 9, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 10:01 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 8.4%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
9.0%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
8.9%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
8.8%	bid 15¢ / ask 19¢
8.7%	bid 42¢ / ask 51¢
8.6%	bid 18¢ / ask 26¢
8.5%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
8.4%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 9.0%	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 9, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 38.1%	bid 89¢ / ask 92¢
38.7%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
38.6%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
38.5%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
38.4%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
38.3%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
38.2%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
38.1%	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above 38.7%	last 1¢ (book empty)

Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 8, 2026? — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
<5	last 1¢ (book empty)
40+	bid 5¢ / ask 13¢
5-9	bid 5¢ / ask 25¢
30-39	bid 5¢ / ask 32¢
25-29	bid 5¢ / ask 38¢
20-24	bid 6¢ / ask 40¢
15-19	bid 15¢ / ask 45¢
10-14	bid 10¢ / ask 29¢

How many affordable homes will NYC finance in FY2027? — 4 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:53 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 40,000	bid 36¢ / ask 45¢
Above 45,000	bid 26¢ / ask 35¢
Above 50,000	bid 16¢ / ask 25¢
Above 55,000	bid 6¢ / ask 15¢

What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 2:37 PM ET

Tracking: 15% or above, 40% or above, 50% or above

🔗 View on Kalshi →

America PAC 2026 total disbursements? — 3 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:56 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 60 million dollars	bid 83¢ / ask 93¢
At least 75 million dollars	bid 70¢ / ask 80¢
At least 160 million dollars	bid 1¢ / ask 10¢

Will a cabinet member be impeached? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 6¢ / ask 15¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 22¢ / ask 31¢
Before Oct 1, 2027	bid 40¢ / ask 49¢

Will marijuana be rescheduled? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:31 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 15¢ / ask 84¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 15¢ / ask 90¢
Before Oct 1, 2027	bid 55¢ / ask 65¢

How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026? — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 2:44 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Will Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:43 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 18¢ / ask 27¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 52¢ / ask 61¢

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET

Tracking: Before Apr 1, 2027, Before Oct 1, 2027, Before Jan 1, 2028

🔗 View on Kalshi →

NYC efficiency savings in FY2027? — 2 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $200 million	bid 78¢ / ask 87¢
Above $1.4 billion	bid 2¢ / ask 10¢

What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET

Tracking: 15% or above, 40% or above

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Jessica Tisch departure announced? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:35 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 19¢ / ask 28¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 28¢ / ask 37¢

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 10¢ / ask 20¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 22¢ / ask 32¢

Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 12¢ / ask 18¢

MAGA Inc. 2026 total disbursements? — 2 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:47 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 400 million dollars	bid 7¢ / ask 17¢
Above 500 million dollars	bid 2¢ / ask 12¢

When will a farm bill become law? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:42 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 28¢ / ask 37¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 48¢ / ask 57¢

Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 16¢ / ask 25¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 71¢ / ask 80¢

Will Trump try to leave the USMCA? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 2:38 PM ET

Tracking: Before 2028, Before 2029

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:37 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Dec 1, 2026	ask 58¢ (no bids)
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 53¢ (no asks)

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — 2 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 180	bid 73¢ / ask 75¢
Above 190	bid 53¢ / ask 65¢

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11) — 2 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 180	bid 85¢ / ask 86¢
Above 190	bid 50¢ / ask 71¢

Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll? — 2 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:17 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 32%	bid 80¢ / ask 90¢
Above 30%	bid 85¢ / ask 95¢

How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026? — 2 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 110,000	bid 85¢ / ask 94¢
Above 120,000	bid 74¢ / ask 83¢

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/5 - 10/11) — 2 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 12:47 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 310	bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
Above 320	bid 6¢ / ask 9¢

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as US Ambassador to Greece? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 16¢ / ask 26¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 45¢ / ask 53¢

Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?: Bongbong Marcos — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 6:11 PM ET

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 335?: Yes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 5:52 PM ET

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 334?: Yes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 5:52 PM ET

Midterms: Democratic share of 2024 Trump voters?: Above 11% (bid 6¢ / ask 16¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:51 PM ET

How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?: At least 6 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:50 PM ET

Will the cap on gambling loss deduction be repealed?: Before Jan 1, 2029 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:47 PM ET

When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 44¢ / ask 53¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:46 PM ET

When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?: Before Feb 1, 2027 (bid 33¢ / ask 42¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:46 PM ET

Shawn Fain announces departure as UAW President?: Before Jul 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET

When will Canada lower tariffs on the US?: Before Apr 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET

When will Dominic LeBlanc and Jamieson Greer meet?: Before Apr 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:44 PM ET

Will Kenya and the US reach a critical minerals deal?: Before Apr 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:44 PM ET

Will Trump declare a national emergency?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 48¢ / ask 58¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:44 PM ET

When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?: Before Mar 1, 2027 (bid 37¢ / ask 47¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:44 PM ET

Congressional Progressive Caucus size after the midterms?: Above 97 (bid 70¢ / ask 79¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:43 PM ET

Will Tulsi Gabbard rejoin the Trump administration?: Before Apr 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:43 PM ET

When will Canada and the EU begin association talks?: Before Jul 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:42 PM ET

Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?: Before Jan 1, 2028 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET

Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?: Before Jul 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET

Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?: Before Jan 1, 2028 (bid 11¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET

When will Trump and Mamdani meet?: Before Mar 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:39 PM ET

Will the Treasury grant retroactive cannabis tax relief?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 51¢ / ask 60¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:39 PM ET

Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 71¢ / ask 80¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:39 PM ET

Will Kash Patel visit Russia?: Before Jan 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:38 PM ET

What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?: 15% or above — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:38 PM ET

Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 41¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:38 PM ET

When will FISA be reauthorized again?: Before Apr 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:37 PM ET

Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria?: Before 2028 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:37 PM ET

When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?: Before Mar 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:36 PM ET

Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?: Before Jan 1, 2028 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:36 PM ET

Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law?: Before Apr 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:36 PM ET

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?: Before Jan 1, 2028 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:35 PM ET

Will Congress override Trump's veto?: Before Jan 1, 2028 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:35 PM ET

Jeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?: Before Jul 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET

When will Trump's ballroom be completed?: Before Jul 1, 2028 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET

Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?: Before Jan 1, 2028 (bid 15¢ (no asks)) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET

Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?: Before Jul 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET

Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?: Above 9% (ask 90¢ (no bids)) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET

FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts): Above $5M (bid 63¢ / ask 72¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET

Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?: Before Jan 1, 2028 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:31 PM ET

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 28¢ / ask 38¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:31 PM ET

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?: Before Jan 1, 2028 (bid 20¢ / ask 29¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:31 PM ET

Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 32¢ / ask 42¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:31 PM ET

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11): Above 5 (bid 59¢ / ask 65¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:29 PM ET

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11): Above 22 (bid 60¢ / ask 70¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:29 PM ET

Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?: Above 26% — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:23 PM ET

Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote?: Above 26% — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:23 PM ET

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?: Peter Doocy (bid 1¢ / ask 8¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET

Deportations in 2026?: Above 425,000 (bid 61¢ / ask 70¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 1:58 PM ET

Will DHS submit a final OPT fee rule to OIRA this year?: Yes (bid 10¢ / ask 15¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:20 PM ET

Will the U.S. ban any open-source AI model in 2026?: Yes (bid 3¢ / ask 7¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 6:34 PM ET

💹 Financials — 115 events, 130 markets

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 1:51 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.81% or above	bid 7¢ / ask 24¢
5.83% or above	bid 6¢ / ask 21¢
5.85% or above	bid 5¢ / ask 19¢
5.87% or above	bid 3¢ / ask 17¢
5.89% or above	bid 2¢ / ask 15¢
5.91% or above	ask 13¢ (no bids)
5.93% or above	ask 12¢ (no bids)
5.95% or above	ask 11¢ (no bids)
5.97% or above	ask 10¢ (no bids)
5.99% or above	ask 9¢ (no bids)

Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 3:01 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 84	bid 66¢ / ask 73¢
Above 82	bid 72¢ / ask 79¢
Above 80	bid 67¢ / ask 85¢

Burger King Foot Traffic in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 104	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Above 107	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Above 110	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢

Domino's US same store sales growth in Q3 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 07, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle this year?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 21¢ / ask 29¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:29 AM ET

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.42205 (bid 80¢ / ask 93¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 0.69618 (bid 10¢ (no asks)) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 157.857 (bid 79¢ / ask 84¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.12158 (bid 8¢ / ask 12¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.32340 (bid 26¢ / ask 28¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

5,118 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	3,691	11	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +8 more
📊 Economics	1,034	56	Indiana gas price, New Mexico gas price, Michigan gas price, +53 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	371	55	Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +52 more
🎬 Entertainment	19	3	DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, RUNNER UP NETFLIX SHOW, Netflix TV ranking
🏛️ Politics	3	2	EO this week?, Trump tariffs on Canada: reduction

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: Traffic through Panama Canal, DJ Mag Top 5 Clubs, Diesel Pri — Past 24 Hours (as of 6:30:16 PM ET, Oct 08)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

📊 Economics — 2 events, 36 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 7 events, 118 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 10 events, 111 markets

🗳️ Elections — 46 events, 98 markets

🏛️ Politics — 79 events, 143 markets

💹 Financials — 115 events, 130 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

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