📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 03 at 8:30 AM ET through Jun 04 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 292 unique markets across 44 new events, plus 5,655 recurring bracket markets.

🗳️ Elections
2 events
8 markets
💹 Financials
5 events
46 markets
📊 Economics
7 events
43 markets
🏛️ Politics
8 events
17 markets
🎬 Entertainment
22 events
178 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

How many Senators will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?: Above 49 bid 76¢ / ask 77¢, Above 53 bid 15¢ / ask 17¢, Above 51 bid 49¢ / ask 51¢

When will AP call the Los Angeles mayoral primary?: Before Jun 30 bid 93¢ / ask 94¢, Before Jun 15 bid 49¢ / ask 50¢, Before Jun 8 bid 12¢ / ask 13¢

EV commodity prices on Jun 4, 2026: Above 1265.88 bid 83¢ / ask 84¢, Above 1255.88 bid 84¢ / ask 85¢, Above 1245.88 bid 97¢ / ask 98¢

Love Island S13E4: Eliminations: Yasmine bid 21¢ / ask 22¢, Samraj bid 25¢ / ask 26¢, Sam bid 25¢ / ask 26¢

Highest price of the Hermès Birkin this year?: Above $900K, Above $800K, Above $700K all at bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

Olivia Rodrigo: Days at #1 on Spotify Daily Top Songs USA in June 2026: At least 9 days bid 15¢ / ask 16¢, At least 6 days bid 39¢ / ask 40¢, At least 3 days bid 73¢ / ask 74¢

Olivia Rodrigo: Days at #1 on Spotify Daily Top Songs Global in June 2026: At least 9 days bid 23¢ / ask 24¢, At least 6 days bid 39¢ / ask 40¢, At least 3 days bid 77¢ / ask 78¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🗳️ Elections
💹 Financials
📊 Economics
🏛️ Politics
🎬 Entertainment

All New Events

🗳️ Elections — 2 events, 8 markets

View market options (7 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Jun 30bid 93¢ / ask 94¢
Before Jun 15bid 49¢ / ask 50¢
Before Jun 8bid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Before Jun 7bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Before Jun 6bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Before Jun 5bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Before 12PM Jun 4last 1¢ (book empty)

Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?: John McEntee (bid 11¢ / ask 19¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 11:20 PM ET

💹 Financials — 5 events, 46 markets

Which banks will take OpenAI public? — 15 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 1:01 PM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
William Blairbid 44¢ / ask 45¢
Stifel Financialbid 57¢ / ask 58¢
Rothschild & Cobid 38¢ / ask 39¢
Raymond Jamesbid 46¢ / ask 47¢
Qatalyst Partnersbid 14¢ / ask 15¢
Perella Weinberg Partnersbid 14¢ / ask 15¢
PJT Partnersbid 18¢ / ask 19¢
Piper Sandlerbid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Needham & Companybid 51¢ / ask 52¢
Moelis & Companybid 14¢ / ask 15¢
Lazardbid 15¢ / ask 16¢
Greenhill & Cobid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Evercorebid 19¢ / ask 20¢
Centerviewbid 15¢ / ask 16¢
Allen & Companybid 38¢ / ask 39¢

Which banks will take Anthropic public? — 15 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 12:36 PM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
William Blairbid 49¢ / ask 50¢
Stifel Financialbid 63¢ / ask 64¢
Rothschild & Cobid 30¢ / ask 31¢
Raymond Jamesbid 41¢ / ask 42¢
Qatalyst Partnersbid 20¢ / ask 21¢
Perella Weinberg Partnersbid 17¢ / ask 18¢
PJT Partnersbid 20¢ / ask 22¢
Piper Sandlerbid 15¢ / ask 16¢
Mizuhobid 62¢ / ask 63¢
Moelis & Companybid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Lazardbid 15¢ / ask 17¢
Greenhill & Cobid 32¢ / ask 33¢
Evercorebid 16¢ / ask 17¢
Centerviewbid 22¢ / ask 23¢
Allen & Companybid 41¢ / ask 42¢

Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO? — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 3:58 PM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
No Listed Underwriterbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Morgan Stanleybid 20¢ / ask 21¢
JPMorgan Chasebid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Goldman Sachsbid 72¢ / ask 73¢
Citigroupbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Bank of Americabid 2¢ / ask 3¢

Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 3:52 PM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
No Listed Underwriterbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Morgan Stanleybid 52¢ / ask 53¢
JPMorgan Chasebid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Goldman Sachsbid 43¢ / ask 44¢
Citigroupbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Bank of Americabid 2¢ / ask 3¢

CAVA restaurants in Q2 — 4 brackets — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 12:58 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 476bid 21¢ / ask 99¢
Above 477bid 15¢ (no asks)
Above 478bid 13¢ (no asks)
Above 479bid 11¢ (no asks)

📊 Economics — 7 events, 43 markets

EV commodity prices on Jun 4, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 1375.88
Above 1365.88
Above 1355.88
Above 1345.88
Above 1335.88
Above 1325.88
Above 1315.88last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1305.88bid 7¢ / ask 18¢
Above 1295.88bid 2¢ / ask 12¢
Above 1285.88bid 30¢ / ask 46¢
Above 1275.88bid 37¢ / ask 76¢
Above 1265.88bid 83¢ / ask 84¢
Above 1255.88bid 84¢ / ask 85¢
Above 1245.88bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1235.88bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

Brazil inflation rate in July — 11 brackets — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 9:15 AM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 5.20%bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Above 5.10%bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Above 5.00%bid 15¢ / ask 22¢
Above 4.90%bid 34¢ / ask 35¢
Above 4.80%bid 44¢ / ask 45¢
Above 4.70%bid 52¢ / ask 56¢
Above 4.60%bid 67¢ / ask 68¢
Above 4.50%bid 81¢ / ask 82¢
Above 4.40%bid 91¢ / ask 92¢
Above 4.30%bid 93¢ / ask 94¢
Above 4.20%bid 94¢ / ask 95¢
View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 50 Billionbid 42¢ / ask 43¢
Above 45 Billionbid 45¢ / ask 46¢
Above 40 Billionbid 50¢ / ask 51¢
Above 35 Billionbid 49¢ / ask 51¢
Above 30 Billionbid 46¢ / ask 50¢
Above 25 Billionbid 16¢ / ask 84¢

How high will CPI get this year? — 5 brackets — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 4:35 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 4.6%bid 36¢ / ask 46¢
Above 4.7%bid 25¢ / ask 35¢
Above 4.8%bid 15¢ / ask 25¢
Above 4.9%bid 5¢ / ask 15¢
Above 5.0%bid 2¢ / ask 10¢

Alaska commercial salmon harvest in 2026? — 4 brackets — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 3:49 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least 105 millionbid 72¢ / ask 79¢
At least 100 millionbid 79¢ / ask 86¢
At least 145 millionbid 22¢ / ask 29¢
At least 150 millionbid 16¢ / ask 23¢

Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?: Below $150B (bid 82¢ / ask 83¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 6:21 PM ET

How high will inflation get this year?: At least 7.0% (bid 1¢ / ask 8¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 4:28 PM ET

🏛️ Politics — 8 events, 17 markets

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 53bid 15¢ / ask 17¢
Above 52bid 31¢ / ask 37¢
Above 51bid 49¢ / ask 51¢
Above 50bid 60¢ / ask 67¢
Above 49bid 76¢ / ask 77¢

Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran? — 4 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 12:05 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Sep 1, 2026bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Before Jul 1, 2026last 1¢ (book empty)
Before Jan 1, 2027bid 11¢ / ask 12¢
Before Aug 1, 2026bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Bill Pulte sworn in as Acting DNI? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 12:53 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before July 1, 2026bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Before July 7, 2026bid 52¢ / ask 58¢

Will Donald Trump issue a public apology? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 11:12 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Jul 1, 2026bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Before Jan 1, 2027bid 8¢ / ask 9¢

When will Trump's Attorney General pick be announced?: Before Jun 5, 2026 (bid 98¢ (no asks)) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 10:46 PM ET

Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?: Los Angeles (bid 16¢ / ask 34¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 8:48 PM ET

Who will attend UFC Freedom 250?: Sean Strickland (bid 3¢ / ask 9¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 6:08 PM ET

Will Trump meet Mamdani before Jun 9, 2026?: Yes (bid 54¢ / ask 55¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET

🎬 Entertainment — 22 events, 178 markets

Who will be featured on 'Daughter from Hell'? — 19 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 03, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

Tracking: Troye Sivan, Taylor Swift, Sabrina Carpenter, Rachel Chinouriri, Phoebe Bridgers, Olivia Rodrigo, Noah Kahan, Maisie Peters, Lorde, Laufey, The Japanese House, Hozier, Holly Humberstone, Harry Styles, FINNEAS, Conan Gray, Clairo, Bon Iver, Billie Eilish

Pro Basketball Finals Game 3: New York vs. San Antonio: Attendance — 19 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 03, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET

Tracking: Zohran Mamdani, Tracy Morgan, Tim Duncan, Timothée Chalamet, Spike Lee, Selena Gomez, Pete Davidson, Patrick Ewing, Kylie Jenner, Jimmy Fallon, Jaxson Dart, Jason Bateman, Gregg Popovich, Donald J Trump, Chris Rock, Carmelo Anthony, Ben Stiller, Bad Bunny, Adam Sandler

Pro Basketball Finals Game 2: New York vs. San Antonio: Attendance — 19 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 03, 2026 at 7:28 PM ET

Tracking: Zohran Mamdani, Tracy Morgan, Tim Duncan, Timothée Chalamet, Spike Lee, Selena Gomez, Pete Davidson, Patrick Ewing, Kylie Jenner, Jimmy Fallon, Jaxson Dart, Jason Bateman, Gregg Popovich, Donald J Trump, Chris Rock, Carmelo Anthony, Ben Stiller, Bad Bunny, Adam Sandler

Love Island S13E4: Eliminations — 14 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 7:44 PM ET

View market options (14 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Yasminebid 21¢ / ask 22¢
Seanbid 22¢ / ask 24¢
Samrajbid 25¢ / ask 26¢
Sambid 25¢ / ask 26¢
Robynbid 16¢ / ask 17¢
Opebid 20¢ / ask 21¢
Micabid 21¢ / ask 22¢
Lorenzobid 21¢ / ask 22¢
Lolabid 18¢ / ask 19¢
Jasminebid 28¢ / ask 29¢
Georgebid 21¢ / ask 22¢
Elliebid 21¢ / ask 22¢
Angelistabid 21¢ / ask 22¢
Aidanbid 21¢ / ask 22¢
View market strikes (12 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $900Kbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above $800Kbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above $700Kbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above $600Kbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above $500Kbid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Above $400Kbid 63¢ / ask 64¢
Above $300Kbid 63¢ / ask 64¢
Above $250Kbid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above $200Kbid 96¢ / ask 97¢
Above $150Kbid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above $1Mbid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Above $100Kbid 96¢ / ask 97¢
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least 9 daysbid 15¢ / ask 16¢
At least 6 daysbid 39¢ / ask 40¢
At least 30 dayslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 3 daysbid 73¢ / ask 74¢
At least 27 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 24 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 21 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 18 daysbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
At least 15 daysbid 4¢ / ask 5¢
At least 12 daysbid 6¢ / ask 7¢
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least 9 daysbid 23¢ / ask 24¢
At least 6 daysbid 39¢ / ask 40¢
At least 30 dayslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 3 daysbid 77¢ / ask 78¢
At least 27 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 24 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 21 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 18 daysbid 5¢ / ask 6¢
At least 15 daysbid 9¢ / ask 10¢
At least 12 daysbid 14¢ / ask 15¢
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least 9 daysbid 72¢ / ask 73¢
At least 6 daysbid 81¢ / ask 82¢
At least 30 dayslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 3 daysbid 94¢ / ask 95¢
At least 27 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 24 daysbid 6¢ / ask 7¢
At least 21 daysbid 15¢ / ask 16¢
At least 18 daysbid 15¢ / ask 16¢
At least 15 daysbid 24¢ / ask 25¢
At least 12 daysbid 40¢ / ask 41¢
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least 9 daysbid 56¢ / ask 57¢
At least 6 daysbid 78¢ / ask 79¢
At least 30 dayslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 3 daysbid 95¢ / ask 96¢
At least 27 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 24 daysbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
At least 21 daysbid 10¢ / ask 11¢
At least 18 daysbid 9¢ / ask 10¢
At least 15 daysbid 13¢ / ask 14¢
At least 12 daysbid 30¢ / ask 31¢
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least 9 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 6 daysbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
At least 30 dayslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 3 daysbid 7¢ / ask 9¢
At least 27 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 24 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 21 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 18 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 15 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 12 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least 9 daysbid 9¢ / ask 10¢
At least 6 daysbid 17¢ / ask 19¢
At least 30 dayslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 3 daysbid 94¢ / ask 97¢
At least 27 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 24 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 21 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 18 daysbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
At least 15 daysbid 4¢ / ask 5¢
At least 12 daysbid 7¢ / ask 8¢
View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
At least 9 daysbid 16¢ / ask 17¢
At least 6 daysbid 38¢ / ask 39¢
At least 30 dayslast 1¢ (book empty)
At least 3 daysbid 63¢ / ask 64¢
At least 27 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 24 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 21 daysbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
At least 18 daysbid 3¢ / ask 4¢
At least 15 daysbid 4¢ / ask 5¢
At least 12 daysbid 9¢ / ask 10¢

Love Island USA Season 8: 3rd Place Couple — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 11:03 AM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Kayda and Bryceask 6¢ (no bids)
Kayda and Gabrielask 6¢ (no bids)
Kayda and KCask 6¢ (no bids)
Kayda and Seanask 6¢ (no bids)
Kayda and Sincereask 6¢ (no bids)
Kayda and Zachask 6¢ (no bids)

Love Island USA Season 8: 2nd Place Couple — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 11:02 AM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Kayda and Bryceask 6¢ (no bids)
Kayda and Gabrielask 6¢ (no bids)
Kayda and KCbid 3¢ / ask 13¢
Kayda and Seanask 6¢ (no bids)
Kayda and Sincereask 6¢ (no bids)
Kayda and Zachask 6¢ (no bids)

Love Island USA: Winning Couple — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 11:02 AM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Kayda and Bryceask 9¢ (no bids)
Kayda and Gabriel
Kayda and KC
Kayda and Sean
Kayda and Sincere
Kayda and Zachask 49¢ (no bids)

Love Island UK S13E4: Will a new Bombshell enter?: Yes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 7:49 PM ET

Oscar for Best Actor?: Ethan Hawke (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 7:14 PM ET

Oscar nominations for Best Actor?: Ethan Hawke (bid 6¢ / ask 14¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 7:12 PM ET

Who will Attend Game 1: New York vs San Antonio?: Jaxson Dart (bid 99¢ (no asks)) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 7:12 PM ET

Will Entourage have a spin-off announced this year?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 46¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 6:47 PM ET

Love Island USA S8: Winners: Kayda (bid 16¢ / ask 22¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 10:04 AM ET

Love Island USA Week 1: Elimination: Kayda (bid 12¢ / ask 45¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 10:02 AM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

5,655 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.