📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 10 at 6:30 PM ET through Jul 11 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 119 unique markets across 26 new events, plus 290 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
People's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026: Connor Storrie bid 18¢ / ask 22¢, Hudson Williams last 4¢ (book empty)
Chicago temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 82° or above bid 1¢ / ask 9¢, 81° or above bid 42¢ / ask 50¢, 80° or above bid 78¢ / ask 87¢
Coinbase total trading volume in Q2: Above $160 billion bid 62¢ / ask 90¢, Above $170 billion bid 55¢ / ask 90¢, Above $150 billion bid 63¢ / ask 99¢
New York City temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 77° or above bid 56¢ / ask 95¢, 80° or above bid 1¢ / ask 49¢, 81° or above last 1¢ (book empty)
Los Angeles temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 71° or above bid 51¢ / ask 98¢, 70° or above bid 51¢ / ask 98¢, 76° or above bid 1¢ / ask 49¢
Washington DC temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 7pm EDT?: 79° or above bid 99¢ (no asks), 78° or above bid 99¢ (no asks), 80° or above bid 50¢ (no asks)
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?: Aaron Frey — last 1¢ (book empty)
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Austin temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Austin temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- Chicago temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Chicago temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- Los Angeles temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Los Angeles temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- New York City temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- New York City temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- Washington DC temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- Washington DC temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- Coinbase total trading volume in Q2
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
- S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down
All New Events
🎬 Entertainment — 1 event, 2 markets
People's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026 — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 6:44 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Connor Storrie | bid 18¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Hudson Williams | last 4¢ (book empty) |
🗳️ Elections — 2 events, 2 markets
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?: Aaron Frey (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Jul 11, 2026 at 9:58 AM ET
2028 Democratic presidential nominee: Abdul El-Sayed (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 7:12 PM ET
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 10 events, 100 markets
Washington DC temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 11, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Los Angeles temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 11, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Austin temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 11, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Chicago temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 11, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
New York City temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 8pm EDT? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 11, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Washington DC temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 87° or above | bid 8¢ (no asks) |
| 86° or above | — |
| 85° or above | — |
| 84° or above | — |
| 83° or above | — |
| 82° or above | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
| 81° or above | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
| 80° or above | bid 50¢ (no asks) |
| 79° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 78° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Los Angeles temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 77° or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 76° or above | bid 1¢ / ask 49¢ |
| 75° or above | bid 2¢ / ask 79¢ |
| 74° or above | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| 73° or above | bid 41¢ / ask 90¢ |
| 72° or above | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
| 71° or above | bid 51¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 70° or above | bid 51¢ / ask 98¢ |
| 69° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 68° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Austin temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 85° or above | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| 84° or above | — |
| 83° or above | — |
| 82° or above | — |
| 81° or above | — |
| 80° or above | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
| 79° or above | bid 50¢ (no asks) |
| 78° or above | bid 50¢ (no asks) |
| 77° or above | bid 50¢ (no asks) |
| 76° or above | bid 50¢ (no asks) |
Chicago temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 83° or above | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| 82° or above | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| 81° or above | bid 42¢ / ask 50¢ |
| 80° or above | bid 78¢ / ask 87¢ |
| 79° or above | bid 94¢ (no asks) |
| 78° or above | bid 93¢ (no asks) |
| 77° or above | bid 94¢ (no asks) |
| 76° or above | bid 94¢ (no asks) |
| 75° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 74° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
New York City temperature on Jul 11, 2026 at 7pm EDT? — 10 brackets — listed Jul 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 81° or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 80° or above | bid 1¢ / ask 49¢ |
| 79° or above | ask 89¢ (no bids) |
| 78° or above | bid 8¢ (no asks) |
| 77° or above | bid 56¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 76° or above | bid 12¢ (no asks) |
| 75° or above | bid 94¢ (no asks) |
| 74° or above | bid 97¢ (no asks) |
| 73° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 72° or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
💹 Financials — 13 events, 15 markets
Coinbase total trading volume in Q2 — 3 brackets — listed Jul 11, 2026 at 12:56 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $170 billion | bid 55¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above $160 billion | bid 62¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above $150 billion | bid 63¢ / ask 99¢ |
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
S&P 500 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
NASDAQ-100 Hourly Up/Down: Above $0.00 — listed Jul 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
290 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 241 | 41 | Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, Lowest Temperature SATX, +38 more |
| 📊 Economics | 33 | 3 | US gas price up, US flight cancellations this week, Hass avocado prices this week |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 14 | 3 | How many streams will artist have this week?, Will this album have more streams this week?, Will artist have more streams this week? |
| 💹 Financials | 2 | 2 | INXDUD, NASDAQDUD |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.