📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jul 08 at 6:30 PM ET through Jul 09 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 417 unique markets across 69 new events, plus 1,606 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Will the Supreme Court rehear Trump’s birthright case in 2026?: Yes — bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? : Jane Hume bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, Andrew Hastie bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, Jim Chalmers bid 5¢ / ask 7¢
Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?: Miloš Vučević bid 9¢ / ask 10¢, Ivica Dačić bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Dragan Đilas bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Constellation Brands total beer shipments in Q2: Above 128 million bid 47¢ / ask 48¢, Above 126 million bid 49¢ / ask 50¢, Above 124 million bid 49¢ / ask 50¢
Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q3: Above 18000 bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Above 14500 bid 49¢ / ask 50¢, Above 13500 bid 72¢ / ask 73¢
Tesla total production in Q3: Above 470000 bid 46¢ / ask 47¢, Above 480000 bid 35¢ / ask 37¢, Above 475000 bid 40¢ / ask 42¢
Tesla total deliveries in Q3: Above 480000 bid 46¢ / ask 47¢, Above 500000 bid 27¢ / ask 29¢, Above 490000 bid 34¢ / ask 36¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- US existing home sales for July
- US SPR level for the week ending July 10, 2026
- Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?
- Big Brother Season 28 · 2nd place
- Big Brother Season 28 · 3rd place
- Big Brother Season 28 · Thursday elimination
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Choosin' Texas weeks at #1: 2026
- Love Island UK S13: Top 3 couples
- Love Island UK: Thursday Elimination
- Arizona Secretary of State Republican nominee?
- Arizona State Treasurer Republican nominee?
- How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?
- How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
- Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?
- Mayor of Johannesburg after municipal elections?
- New York City mayoral election winner?
- Pennsylvania Senate winner? (2028)
- Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
- Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?
- Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?
- Reno mayoral election winner?
- When will Graham Platner officially withdraw?
- Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?
- Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q3
- Coinbase monthly transacting users in Q2
- Coinbase total trading volume in Q2
- Constellation Brands total beer shipments in Q2
- Domino's total US stores in 2026
- Domino's total US stores in Q2
- Domino's US same store sales growth in 2026
- Domino's US same store sales growth in Q2
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Futu total funded accounts in Q2
- How high will the S&P/TSX Composite Index get in 2026?
- How high will the S&P/TSX Composite Index get in July 2026?
- Lowe's customer transactions in Q2
- Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q3
- Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in Q2 2027
- Tesla total deliveries in Q3
- Tesla total production in Q3
- U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down
- Ulta transactions growth in Q2
- Which brands will advertise during the World Soccer Cup Final
- Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in 2026
- Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in Q2
- How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
- How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (7/13-7/19)
- How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (7/12-7/18)
- Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic? (7/13 - 7/19)
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/13 - 7/19)
- Trump late night post this week? (7/12-7/18)
- When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?
- When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?
- Who will be the next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026?
- Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026?
- Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?
- Will Alberta announce a minimum wage increase in 2026?
- Will any Canadian province announce a $19+ minimum wage in 2026?
- Will Freedom250’s fireworks display be certified as a Guinness World Record in 2026?
- Will Graham Platner tweet today?
- Will legislation establishing the Canada Strong Fund become law in 2026?
- Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (7/12 - 7/18)
- Will Ontario’s minimum wage increase take effect on October 1?
- Will the House vote on a birth tourism crackdown?
- Will the Supreme Court rehear Trump’s birthright case in 2026?
- Will Trump rename ICE to NICE?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
All New Events
🏢 Companies — 1 event, 4 markets
Robinhood funded customers in 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Jul 08, 2026 at 11:11 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 31 million | bid 26¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above 32 million | bid 26¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above 33 million | bid 26¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above 34 million | bid 16¢ / ask 82¢ |
📊 Economics — 3 events, 16 markets
US existing home sales for July — 8 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 11:42 AM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.50M | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 4.40M | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 4.30M | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 4.20M | bid 12¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 4.10M | bid 34¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 4.00M | bid 67¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Above 3.90M | bid 81¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 3.80M | bid 92¢ / ask 93¢ |
Who will be the next President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 08, 2026 at 6:43 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Rebecca Patterson | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Paula Tkac | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Marc Sumerlin | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Michael Faulkender | bid 39¢ / ask 40¢ |
| David Altig | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
US SPR level for the week ending July 10, 2026 — 3 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 12:03 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 312M | bid 58¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 310M | bid 67¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above 308M | bid 79¢ / ask 85¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 7 events, 36 markets
Love Island UK: Thursday Elimination — 19 outcomes — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 10:27 AM ET
View market options (19 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yasmine | — |
| Tommy | — |
| Simba | — |
| Sean | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Samraj | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Priya | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| NONE | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Mica | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Martha | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Lorenzo | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Lola | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Kavan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Julia | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jordon | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jasmine | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Finley | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Ellie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Angelista | — |
| Aidan | — |
Choosin' Texas weeks at #1: 2026 — 7 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 3:21 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 20 weeks | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| At least 19 weeks | bid 18¢ / ask 89¢ |
| At least 18 weeks | bid 47¢ / ask 88¢ |
| At least 17 weeks | bid 14¢ / ask 64¢ |
| At least 16 weeks | bid 11¢ / ask 88¢ |
| At least 15 weeks | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| At least 14 weeks | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
Big Brother Season 28 · 3rd place — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 09, 2026 at 6:23 PM ET
Tracking: Angela Murray, Rick Devens
Big Brother Season 28 · 2nd place — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 09, 2026 at 6:22 PM ET
Tracking: Rick Devens, Angela Murray
Big Brother Season 28 · Winner — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 09, 2026 at 6:21 PM ET
Tracking: Angela Murray, Rick Devens
Big Brother Season 28 · Thursday elimination — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 09, 2026 at 6:19 PM ET
Tracking: Angela Murray, Rick Devens
Love Island UK S13: Top 3 couples — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 08, 2026 at 7:09 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Ellie and Finley | bid 42¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Jasmine and Kavan | bid 59¢ / ask 63¢ |
🗳️ Elections — 14 events, 55 markets
New York City mayoral election winner? — 8 outcomes — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 4:51 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani | bid 9¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Mark Levine | bid 9¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Letitia James | bid 9¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Jessica Tisch | bid 9¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Eric Adams | bid 9¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Curtis Sliwa | bid 13¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Brad Lander | bid 17¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Andrew Cuomo | bid 17¢ / ask 20¢ |
Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? — 7 outcomes — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Richard Marles | bid 5¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Pauline Hanson | bid 15¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Jane Hume | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Jim Chalmers | bid 5¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Angus Taylor | bid 19¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Andrew Hastie | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Anthony Albanese | bid 37¢ / ask 41¢ |
Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election? — 6 outcomes — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 4:01 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Stefan Krkobabić | bid 6¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Miloš Vučević | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Ivica Dačić | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Dragan Đilas | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Aleksandar Vučić | bid 69¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Ana Brnabić | bid 13¢ / ask 17¢ |
Mayor of Johannesburg after municipal elections? — 6 outcomes — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 3:39 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Loyiso Masuku | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Kenny Kunene | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Helen Zille | bid 66¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Herman Mashaba | bid 9¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Frank Chikane | bid 15¢ / ask 19¢ |
| David Makhura | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 2:35 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| 44 or more | bid 28¢ / ask 32¢ |
| 42 or more | bid 40¢ / ask 44¢ |
| 40 or more | bid 57¢ / ask 61¢ |
| 38 or more | bid 75¢ / ask 79¢ |
| 36 or more | bid 87¢ / ask 90¢ |
When will Graham Platner officially withdraw? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 12:13 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 12, 2026 | bid 23¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Before Jul 11, 2026 | bid 7¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Before Jul 10, 2026 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Before Jul 13, 2026 | bid 32¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Before Jul 14, 2026 | bid 89¢ / ask 91¢ |
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? — 5 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 12:52 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 | bid 12¢ / ask 18¢ |
| At least 8 | bid 39¢ / ask 84¢ |
| At least 7 | bid 36¢ / ask 84¢ |
| At least 6 | bid 66¢ / ask 94¢ |
| At least 5 | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
Prime Minister of Spain after the next election? — 3 outcomes — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 3:54 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Santiago Abascal | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Pedro Sánchez | bid 10¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Alberto Núñez Feijóo | bid 85¢ / ask 89¢ |
Arizona State Treasurer Republican nominee? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 5:09 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Katherine Haley | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Elijah Norton | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
Reno mayoral election winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 5:09 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Kathleen Taylor | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Kate Marshall | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
Arizona Secretary of State Republican nominee? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 4:19 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Gina Swoboda | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Alexander Kolodin | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 08, 2026 at 11:23 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Chellie Pingree | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jordan Wood | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Pennsylvania Senate winner? (2028): John Fetterman — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 5:54 PM ET
Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?: Andy Manske (bid 1¢ / ask 49¢) — listed Jul 08, 2026 at 7:37 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 22 events, 99 markets
Who will serve in Burnham’s Cabinet in Jul 2026? — 29 outcomes — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 3:27 PM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yvette Cooper | bid 89¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Wes Streeting | bid 87¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Steve Reed | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Shabana Mahmood | bid 90¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Rachel Reeves | bid 62¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Patrick Vallance | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Pat McFadden | bid 49¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Peter Kyle | bid 25¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Lisa Nandy | bid 85¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Liz Kendall | bid 37¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Louise Haigh | bid 85¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Keir Starmer | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Jo Stevens | bid 37¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Jacqui Smith | bid 35¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Jonathan Reynolds | bid 80¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Jess Phillips | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| James Murray | bid 27¢ / ask 29¢ |
| John Healey | bid 55¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Ian Murray | bid 38¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Hilary Benn | bid 40¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Heidi Alexander | bid 87¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Ed Miliband | bid 90¢ / ask 92¢ |
| David Lammy | bid 48¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Darren Jones | bid 47¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Dan Jarvis | bid 23¢ / ask 25¢ |
+ 4 more outcomes
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/13 - 7/19) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 09, 2026 at 5:34 PM ET
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic? (7/13 - 7/19) — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 09, 2026 at 5:55 PM ET
Tracking: July 19, July 18, July 17, July 16, July 15, July 14, July 13
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (7/12-7/18) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 09, 2026 at 5:33 PM ET
When will the FY2027 NDAA become law? — 7 outcomes — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 11:33 AM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 78¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | bid 90¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 4¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Before Dec 25, 2026 | bid 75¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Before Dec 15, 2026 | bid 40¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 26¢ / ask 27¢ |
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026? — 7 brackets — listed Jul 08, 2026 at 7:16 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 90 | bid 40¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Above 80 | bid 56¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 70 | bid 63¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 60 | bid 70¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Above 50 | bid 80¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 40 | bid 85¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 40¢ / ask 44¢ |
Trump late night post this week? (7/12-7/18) — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 09, 2026 at 5:33 PM ET
Tracking: 5-6 AM, 4-5 AM, 3-4 AM, 2-3 AM, 1-2 AM
Who will be the next UK Foreign Secretary in 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Wes Streeting | bid 38¢ / ask 41¢ |
| No new person | bid 30¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Keir Starmer | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| John Healey | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| David Miliband | bid 25¢ / ask 29¢ |
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (7/13-7/19) — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 09, 2026 at 5:34 PM ET
Tracking: 7, 6, 5, 4
Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner? — 3 outcomes — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 9:48 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Jeffrey Vacirca | bid 4¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Stephen Ferrara | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| Grace Graham | bid 1¢ / ask 25¢ |
When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director? — 3 outcomes — listed Jul 08, 2026 at 6:34 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 54¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
Will Graham Platner tweet today? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 08, 2026 at 7:28 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2026 | bid 31¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Jul 9, 2026 | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
Will the House vote on a birth tourism crackdown? — 2 outcomes — listed Jul 08, 2026 at 6:49 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 41¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | bid 31¢ / ask 32¢ |
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (7/12 - 7/18): Above 0 — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET
Will the Supreme Court rehear Trump’s birthright case in 2026?: Yes (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 4:51 PM ET
Will Trump rename ICE to NICE?: Yes (bid 17¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 2:12 PM ET
Will legislation establishing the Canada Strong Fund become law in 2026?: Yes (bid 34¢ / ask 36¢) — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 2:11 PM ET
Will any Canadian province announce a $19+ minimum wage in 2026?: Yes (bid 10¢ / ask 11¢) — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 1:49 PM ET
Will Alberta announce a minimum wage increase in 2026?: Yes (bid 8¢ / ask 9¢) — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 1:38 PM ET
Will Ontario’s minimum wage increase take effect on October 1?: Yes (bid 92¢ / ask 93¢) — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET
Will Freedom250’s fireworks display be certified as a Guinness World Record in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 77¢ / ask 78¢) — listed Jul 08, 2026 at 6:58 PM ET
Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 35¢ / ask 36¢) — listed Jul 08, 2026 at 6:53 PM ET
💹 Financials — 22 events, 207 markets
Tesla total production in Q3 — 17 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 3:43 PM ET
View market strikes (17 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 510000 | bid 4¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 505000 | bid 4¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 500000 | bid 6¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 495000 | bid 13¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above 490000 | bid 23¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above 485000 | bid 30¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above 480000 | bid 35¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above 475000 | bid 40¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Above 470000 | bid 46¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Above 465000 | bid 58¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above 460000 | bid 63¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 455000 | bid 71¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above 450000 | bid 79¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 445000 | bid 83¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 440000 | bid 87¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 435000 | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 430000 | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
Tesla total deliveries in Q3 — 17 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 3:43 PM ET
View market strikes (17 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 520000 | bid 7¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 515000 | bid 9¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above 510000 | bid 14¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Above 505000 | bid 20¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 500000 | bid 27¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above 495000 | bid 30¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above 490000 | bid 34¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above 485000 | bid 40¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above 480000 | bid 46¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Above 475000 | bid 58¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above 470000 | bid 64¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 465000 | bid 67¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 460000 | bid 73¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above 455000 | bid 76¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 450000 | bid 82¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above 445000 | bid 86¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 440000 | bid 90¢ / ask 93¢ |
Snowflake customers with trailing 12-month revenue >$1m in Q2 2027 — 16 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
View market strikes (16 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 880 | bid 42¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Above 875 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 870 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 865 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 860 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 855 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 850 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 845 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 840 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 835 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 830 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 825 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 820 | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 815 | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 810 | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 805 | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q3 — 14 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 3:43 PM ET
View market strikes (14 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 18000 | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 17500 | bid 7¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 17000 | bid 12¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 16500 | bid 18¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Above 16000 | bid 25¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above 15500 | bid 33¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above 15000 | bid 40¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Above 14500 | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 14000 | bid 61¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 13500 | bid 72¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above 13000 | bid 77¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 12500 | bid 84¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Above 12000 | bid 90¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 11500 | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
Coinbase total trading volume in Q2 — 12 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 2:48 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $290 billion | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above $280 billion | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above $270 billion | bid 18¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above $260 billion | bid 35¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above $250 billion | bid 18¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above $240 billion | bid 39¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above $230 billion | bid 49¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above $220 billion | bid 47¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Above $210 billion | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above $200 billion | bid 65¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above $190 billion | bid 68¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above $180 billion | bid 61¢ / ask 99¢ |
Futu total funded accounts in Q2 — 11 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.2 million | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 4.15 million | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 4.1 million | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 4.05 million | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 4 million | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 3.95 million | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 3.9 million | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 3.85 million | bid 31¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Above 3.8 million | bid 61¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Above 3.75 million | bid 84¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 3.7 million | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
Domino's total US stores in Q2 — 10 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7265 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 7260 | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 7255 | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 7250 | bid 24¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Above 7245 | bid 28¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above 7240 | bid 40¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above 7235 | bid 50¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above 7230 | bid 62¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Above 7225 | bid 80¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 7220 | bid 88¢ / ask 89¢ |
Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3 — 10 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 600 thousand | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 590 thousand | bid 35¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above 580 thousand | bid 35¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above 570 thousand | bid 30¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above 560 thousand | bid 30¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 550 thousand | bid 26¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 540 thousand | bid 30¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above 530 thousand | bid 30¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above 520 thousand | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 510 thousand | bid 63¢ / ask 64¢ |
Domino's US same store sales growth in 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 1:07 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 4.5% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 4% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 3.5% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 3% | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 2.5% | bid 27¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 2% | bid 43¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 1.5% | bid 65¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 1% | bid 82¢ / ask 83¢ |
Domino's US same store sales growth in Q2 — 9 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 4.5% | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 4% | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 3.5% | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 3% | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 2.5% | bid 29¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 2% | bid 44¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 1.5% | bid 61¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Above 1% | bid 77¢ / ask 78¢ |
Lowe's customer transactions in Q2 — 9 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 236 million | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 234 million | bid 13¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 232 million | bid 25¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Above 230 million | bid 26¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above 228 million | bid 19¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 226 million | bid 17¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 224 million | bid 39¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above 222 million | bid 80¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 220 million | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
Ulta transactions growth in Q2 — 9 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.5% | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 4% | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 3.5% | bid 35¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above 3% | bid 35¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above 2.5% | bid 61¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above 2% | bid 18¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above 1.5% | bid 64¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above 1% | bid 27¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above 0.5% | bid 25¢ / ask 86¢ |
Which brands will advertise during the World Soccer Cup Final — 8 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jul 09, 2026 at 6:03 PM ET
Tracking: McDonald's, Adidas, Home Depot, Rocket Mortgage, Toyota, UberEats, Chase, Burger King
Constellation Brands total beer shipments in Q2 — 8 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 3:43 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 128 million | bid 47¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Above 126 million | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 124 million | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 122 million | bid 49¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 120 million | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 118 million | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 116 million | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 114 million | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in Q2 — 8 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 2:48 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 204 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 202 | bid 10¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 23¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Above 198 | bid 37¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above 196 | bid 53¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Above 194 | bid 71¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above 192 | bid 85¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 190 | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
Zeta super-scaled customers (>$1m) in 2026 — 8 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 1:07 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 232 | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 228 | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 224 | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 220 | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 216 | bid 27¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Above 212 | bid 44¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 208 | bid 63¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 204 | bid 75¢ / ask 76¢ |
Domino's total US stores in 2026 — 7 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 1:07 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7500 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 7475 | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 7450 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 7425 | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 7400 | bid 16¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Above 7375 | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 7350 | bid 90¢ / ask 91¢ |
Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q3 — 7 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 26 million | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 25.8 million | bid 32¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above 25.6 million | bid 47¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 25.4 million | bid 61¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Above 25.2 million | bid 64¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Above 25 million | bid 67¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Above 24.8 million | bid 92¢ / ask 95¢ |
Coinbase monthly transacting users in Q2 — 7 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 9.5 million | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above 9 million | bid 24¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Above 8.5 million | bid 53¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above 8 million | bid 65¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 7.5 million | bid 73¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above 7 million | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 10 million | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
How high will the S&P/TSX Composite Index get in 2026? — 5 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 1:44 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 40,000 | bid 4¢ / ask 12¢ |
| At least 39,000 | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| At least 38,000 | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| At least 37,000 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| At least 36,000 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
How high will the S&P/TSX Composite Index get in July 2026? — 5 brackets — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 1:44 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 37,500 | bid 5¢ / ask 12¢ |
| At least 37,000 | bid 3¢ / ask 29¢ |
| At least 36,500 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| At least 36,000 | bid 52¢ / ask 53¢ |
| At least 35,500 | bid 47¢ / ask 94¢ |
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Up/Down: Above 100.9685 — listed Jul 09, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
1,606 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 1,170 | 4 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, USD/JPY daily range, +1 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 341 | 46 | Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +43 more |
| 📊 Economics | 57 | 6 | US gas price up, Weekly initial jobless claims, WEF tweets, +3 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 29 | 4 | Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, Will Trump do anything today?, President RCP approval rating this week, +1 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 9 | 3 | WHICH SONG WILL BE IN THE TOP 10 OF THE BILLBOARD HOT 100 HUNDERED FOR THE WEEK OF DATE , Netflix movie ranking, Top Monthly listeners |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.