Kalshi Markets: Sweden Election, EV Prices, Keystone Opening

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 31 at 8:30 AM ET through Sep 01 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 844 unique markets across 102 new events, plus 4,861 recurring bracket markets.

📊 Economics

3 events

46 markets

🏛️ Politics

5 events

32 markets

🌤️ Climate and Weather

8 events

37 markets

🎬 Entertainment

10 events

71 markets

🗳️ Elections

11 events

67 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

16 events

134 markets

💹 Financials

49 events

457 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share): Swedish Social Democratic Party bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Sweden Democrats bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Moderate Party bid 5¢ / ask 6¢

EV commodity prices on Sep 1, 2026: Above 1271.24 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 1221.24 bid 96¢ / ask 98¢, Above 1261.24 bid 5¢ / ask 9¢

When will Keystone Resort open for the 26/27 winter season?: Before Nov 1, 2026 bid 64¢ / ask 65¢, Before Nov 15, 2026 bid 91¢ / ask 94¢, Before Nov 22, 2026 bid 92¢ / ask 98¢

Dutch Bros Foot Traffic in September: Above 113 bid 9¢ / ask 10¢, Above 112 bid 12¢ / ask 13¢, Above 111 bid 19¢ / ask 21¢

Urban Outfitters retail comparable sales in Q1: Above 8% bid 22¢ / ask 23¢, Above 4% bid 73¢ / ask 75¢, Above 0% bid 97¢ / ask 99¢

Best Buy domestic comparable sales in Q3: Above 4% bid 9¢ / ask 10¢, Above 3% bid 20¢ / ask 21¢, Above 0% bid 94¢ / ask 95¢

Affirm gross merchandise volume in Q1: Above $14.75 billion bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Above $14.5 billion bid 13¢ / ask 14¢, Above $13.5 billion bid 93¢ / ask 95¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

📊 Economics

🏛️ Politics

🌤️ Climate and Weather

🎬 Entertainment

🗳️ Elections

🔬 Science and Technology

💹 Financials

All New Events

📊 Economics — 3 events, 46 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Sep 01, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $5.680	bid 6¢ / ask 13¢
Above $5.675	bid 21¢ / ask 31¢
Above $5.670	bid 36¢ / ask 46¢
Above $5.665	bid 51¢ / ask 61¢
Above $5.660	bid 63¢ / ask 73¢
Above $5.655	bid 75¢ / ask 83¢
Above $5.650	bid 85¢ / ask 95¢
Above $5.645	bid 91¢ / ask 98¢
Above $5.640	bid 93¢ / ask 98¢
Above $5.635	bid 93¢ / ask 98¢
Above $5.630	bid 93¢ / ask 98¢
Above $5.625	bid 93¢ / ask 98¢
Above $5.620	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.615	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.610	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.605	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.600	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.595	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.590	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.585	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.580	bid 99¢ (no asks)

EV commodity prices on Sep 1, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1311.24	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1301.24	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1291.24	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1281.24	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1271.24	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1261.24	bid 5¢ / ask 9¢
Above 1251.24	bid 10¢ / ask 21¢
Above 1241.24	bid 30¢ / ask 74¢
Above 1231.24	bid 75¢ / ask 86¢
Above 1221.24	bid 96¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1211.24	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1201.24	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1191.24	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1181.24	bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1171.24	bid 99¢ (no asks)

Diesel prices in Sep 2026 — 10 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 7:40 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $6.70	bid 4¢ / ask 14¢
Above $6.80	bid 2¢ / ask 12¢
Above $6.90	bid 1¢ / ask 11¢
Above $7.00	ask 10¢ (no bids)
Above $7.10	ask 9¢ (no bids)
Above $7.20	ask 7¢ (no bids)
Above $7.30	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Above $7.40	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Above $7.50	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Above $7.60	ask 5¢ (no bids)

🏛️ Politics — 5 events, 32 markets

MAGA Inc. 2026 total disbursements? — 11 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 4:43 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 75 million dollars	bid 70¢ / ask 77¢
Above 50 million dollars	bid 75¢ / ask 83¢
Above 40 million dollars	bid 80¢ / ask 88¢
Above 300 million dollars	bid 14¢ / ask 21¢
Above 30 million dollars	bid 85¢ / ask 93¢
Above 25 million dollars	bid 89¢ / ask 99¢
Above 200 million dollars	bid 30¢ / ask 37¢
Above 20 million dollars	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above 150 million dollars	bid 44¢ / ask 50¢
Above 15 million dollars	bid 96¢ / ask 99¢
Above 100 million dollars	bid 66¢ / ask 73¢

How many states will Trump visit in Sep 2026? — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 2:28 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

How many House votes to censure Chuck Edwards? — 8 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 10:55 PM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 340	bid 35¢ / ask 45¢
Above 300	bid 58¢ / ask 68¢
Above 280	bid 63¢ / ask 73¢
Above 265	bid 68¢ / ask 78¢
Above 250	bid 74¢ / ask 84¢
Above 235	bid 79¢ / ask 89¢
Above 220	bid 84¢ / ask 94¢
Above 200	bid 90¢ / ask 99¢

When will Apple Maps display "Lake America"? — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 9:26 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 27¢ / ask 74¢
Before Sep 15, 2026	bid 26¢ / ask 92¢
Before Oct 1, 2026	bid 26¢ / ask 92¢

Who will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?: Peng Liyuan — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 10:37 AM ET

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 8 events, 37 markets

When will Northstar California Resort open for the 26/27 winter season? — 6 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 7:13 PM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 29, 2026	bid 75¢ / ask 90¢
Before Dec 27, 2026	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢
Before Nov 22, 2026	bid 30¢ / ask 60¢
Before Dec 20, 2026	bid 88¢ / ask 99¢
Before Dec 13, 2026	bid 84¢ / ask 96¢
Before Dec 6, 2026	bid 82¢ / ask 95¢

When will Stowe Mountain Resort open for the 26/27 winter season? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 7:13 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 29, 2026	bid 85¢ / ask 90¢
Before Nov 22, 2026	bid 55¢ / ask 62¢
Before Nov 15, 2026	bid 5¢ / ask 15¢
Before Dec 13, 2026	bid 92¢ / ask 97¢
Before Dec 6, 2026	bid 91¢ / ask 96¢

When will Heavenly Mountain Resort open for the 26/27 winter season? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 7:13 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 29, 2026	bid 70¢ / ask 94¢
Before Nov 22, 2026	bid 65¢ / ask 70¢
Before Dec 20, 2026	bid 95¢ / ask 98¢
Before Dec 13, 2026	bid 91¢ / ask 98¢
Before Dec 6, 2026	bid 83¢ / ask 96¢

When will Beaver Creek Resort open for the 26/27 winter season? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 7:13 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 29, 2026	bid 89¢ / ask 91¢
Before Nov 22, 2026	bid 25¢ / ask 27¢
Before Dec 20, 2026	bid 93¢ / ask 98¢
Before Dec 13, 2026	bid 91¢ / ask 98¢
Before Dec 6, 2026	bid 91¢ / ask 96¢

When will Park City Mountain open for the 26/27 winter season? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 7:13 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 29, 2026	bid 87¢ / ask 91¢
Before Nov 22, 2026	bid 48¢ / ask 52¢
Before Dec 20, 2026	bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
Before Dec 13, 2026	bid 94¢ / ask 98¢
Before Dec 6, 2026	bid 92¢ / ask 97¢

When will Keystone Resort open for the 26/27 winter season? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 7:13 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Oct 25, 2026	bid 25¢ / ask 35¢
Before Nov 22, 2026	bid 92¢ / ask 98¢
Before Nov 15, 2026	bid 91¢ / ask 94¢
Before Nov 8, 2026	bid 71¢ / ask 92¢
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 64¢ / ask 65¢

When will Breckenridge Ski Resort open for the 26/27 winter season? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 7:13 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 29, 2026	bid 94¢ / ask 98¢
Before Nov 22, 2026	bid 88¢ / ask 98¢
Before Nov 15, 2026	bid 82¢ / ask 91¢
Before Nov 8, 2026	bid 13¢ / ask 40¢
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 5¢ / ask 28¢

What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?: Lowell — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 3:52 PM ET

🎬 Entertainment — 10 events, 71 markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 2, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 01, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Tera Mera Rishta, @SaiAbhyankkar - Radhimaa (Music Video) | Bhagyashri Borse | Vivek | Thejo Bharathwaj | Think Indie, NEXZ(넥스지) "SAUCIN'" M/V, Mutta Kalakki (From "Youth"), KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, KALYANI (Remix), Golden, God’s Favorite, FALLEN ANGEL (Official Video), Dai Dai, BORN DIRE (Short ver.), Basinga Balaalu, Barbaadi

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 2, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 01, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 2, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 01, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela, WTF Goin, Todo Lo Fue, Sunflower, Look Like My Mama, Life Goes On, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV, KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV, ICONIC BY MISTAKE, Golden, Dead Fresh, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas, AH HA, 9 To 5 (Official Video)

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Big Brother Season 28 · Week 8 elimination — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:34 AM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yash Patel	last 1¢ (book empty)
Taylor Brown	bid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Rick Devens	bid 54¢ / ask 55¢
Melody Morris	last 1¢ (book empty)
LaTrice Verrett	bid 30¢ / ask 31¢
Drew Campbell	last 1¢ (book empty)
Dee Valladares	last 1¢ (book empty)
Barrett Pfeiffer	last 1¢ (book empty)
Angela Murray	last 1¢ (book empty)

MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform — 6 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 1:24 PM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Ella Langley	bid 29¢ / ask 37¢
Raye	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
Miley Cyrus	bid 34¢ / ask 42¢
Dua Lipa	bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
Beyonce	bid 10¢ / ask 18¢
Sienna Spiro	bid 23¢ / ask 31¢

When will Drake release a remix of Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas”? — 4 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:28 AM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Oct 1, 2026	bid 25¢ / ask 32¢
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 34¢ / ask 43¢
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 52¢ / ask 61¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 47¢ / ask 51¢

Choosin' Texas weeks at #1: 2026 — 3 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 10:40 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 28 weeks	ask 73¢ (no bids)
At least 29 weeks	ask 73¢ (no bids)
At least 30 weeks	ask 73¢ (no bids)

Grand Theft Auto VI: New trailer release date — 2 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:54 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before November 2026	bid 59¢ / ask 61¢
Before December 2026	bid 72¢ / ask 80¢

People's Sexiest Man Alive for 2026: Noah Wyle (ask 62¢ (no bids)) — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 1:26 PM ET

Will Sony Music Publishing and Warner Chappell win their law suit against Anthropic?: Before 2028 (bid 57¢ / ask 60¢) — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET

🗳️ Elections — 11 events, 67 markets

Quebec general election: PQ number of seats? — 11 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 9:37 PM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
68 or more	bid 14¢ / ask 68¢
64 or more	bid 14¢ / ask 73¢
60 or more	bid 17¢ / ask 72¢
56 or more	bid 19¢ / ask 76¢
52 or more	bid 18¢ / ask 82¢
49 or more	bid 19¢ / ask 82¢
46 or more	bid 23¢ / ask 83¢
43 or more	bid 26¢ / ask 84¢
39 or more	bid 28¢ / ask 85¢
35 or more	bid 39¢ / ask 87¢
27 or more	bid 33¢ / ask 88¢

Quebec general election: PLQ number of seats? — 10 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 9:39 PM ET

View market options (10 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
37 or more	bid 13¢ / ask 74¢
36 or more	bid 13¢ / ask 81¢
35 or more	bid 13¢ / ask 82¢
34 or more	bid 14¢ / ask 82¢
33 or more	bid 13¢ / ask 82¢
32 or more	bid 13¢ / ask 83¢
31 or more	bid 14¢ / ask 84¢
30 or more	bid 16¢ / ask 85¢
29 or more	bid 18¢ / ask 86¢
28 or more	bid 18¢ / ask 87¢

Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats? — 10 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 9:37 PM ET

View market options (10 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
52 or more	bid 15¢ / ask 72¢
45 or more	bid 13¢ / ask 71¢
40 or more	bid 14¢ / ask 73¢
37 or more	bid 15¢ / ask 81¢
34 or more	bid 13¢ / ask 82¢
31 or more	bid 13¢ / ask 82¢
27 or more	bid 13¢ / ask 83¢
24 or more	bid 16¢ / ask 85¢
20 or more	bid 16¢ / ask 85¢
12 or more	bid 16¢ / ask 87¢

Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share) — 8 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 9:31 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Swedish Social Democratic Party	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Sweden Democrats	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Moderate Party	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Liberals	bid 5¢ / ask 18¢
Left Party	bid 8¢ / ask 45¢
Christian Democrats	bid 15¢ / ask 53¢
Green Party	bid 15¢ / ask 53¢
Centre Party	bid 15¢ / ask 52¢

Quebec general election: 3rd place — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 9:36 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Québec solidaire	bid 8¢ / ask 35¢
Parti Québécois	bid 10¢ / ask 40¢
Quebec Liberal Party	bid 26¢ / ask 62¢
Conservative Party of Québec	bid 16¢ / ask 42¢
Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ)	bid 15¢ / ask 45¢

Quebec general election: 2nd place — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 9:36 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Québec solidaire	bid 10¢ / ask 26¢
Parti Québécois	bid 12¢ / ask 32¢
Quebec Liberal Party	bid 17¢ / ask 39¢
Conservative Party of Québec	bid 14¢ / ask 32¢
Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ)	bid 33¢ / ask 53¢

Who will be Premier of Victoria after the 2026 election? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 9:35 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Warren Pickering	bid 5¢ / ask 80¢
Jess Wilson	bid 5¢ / ask 83¢
Ellen Sandell	bid 5¢ / ask 84¢
Danny O'Brien	bid 4¢ / ask 83¢
Ben Carroll	bid 5¢ / ask 85¢

Rhode Island Democratic Lieutenant Governor nominee? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 1:34 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Xay Khamsyvoravong	bid 47¢ / ask 48¢
Sabina Matos	bid 47¢ / ask 48¢
Sue AnderBois	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Ross McCurdy	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Cindy Coyne	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

In what year will the next UK general election be held? — 4 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 9:31 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
2029	bid 5¢ / ask 83¢
2028	bid 6¢ / ask 83¢
2027	bid 5¢ / ask 83¢
2026	bid 5¢ / ask 80¢

Who will win the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election? — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
SP-Congress alliance	bid 12¢ / ask 81¢
BJP-led NDA	bid 12¢ / ask 81¢
Bahujan Samaj Party	bid 10¢ / ask 80¢

Brazil presidential election: first round winner?: Augusto Cury (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:51 AM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 16 events, 134 markets

OpenRouter AI token usage in September — 12 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 7:29 PM ET

View market strikes (12 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 800T tokens	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Above 700T tokens	bid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Above 650T tokens	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Above 600T tokens	bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
Above 575T tokens	bid 4¢ / ask 12¢
Above 550T tokens	bid 8¢ / ask 17¢
Above 525T tokens	bid 12¢ / ask 21¢
Above 500T tokens	bid 21¢ / ask 30¢
Above 475T tokens	bid 29¢ / ask 38¢
Above 450T tokens	bid 36¢ / ask 45¢
Above 400T tokens	bid 61¢ / ask 70¢
Above 300T tokens	bid 86¢ / ask 95¢

Total space launches in September — 10 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 1:32 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9	bid 93¢ / ask 98¢
Above 18	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Above 17	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Above 16	bid 4¢ / ask 10¢
Above 15	bid 6¢ / ask 15¢
Above 14	bid 19¢ / ask 24¢
Above 13	bid 42¢ / ask 45¢
Above 12	bid 58¢ / ask 64¢
Above 11	bid 75¢ / ask 83¢
Above 10	bid 86¢ / ask 95¢

OpenRouter AI token usage: Aug 31 - Sep 6 — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 7:27 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 118T tokens	bid 8¢ / ask 82¢
Above 116T tokens	bid 9¢ / ask 84¢
Above 114T tokens	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 112T tokens	bid 14¢ / ask 91¢
Above 110T tokens	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above 108T tokens	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above 106T tokens	bid 16¢ / ask 89¢
Above 104T tokens	bid 31¢ / ask 86¢
Above 120T tokens	bid 8¢ / ask 82¢

Top Chinese AI Company this month — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 1:01 PM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Z.ai	bid 4¢ / ask 9¢
Xiaomi	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Tencent	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Moonshot	bid 17¢ / ask 21¢
MiniMax	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
DeepSeek	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
ByteDance	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Baidu	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Alibaba	bid 72¢ / ask 76¢

Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai) — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Qwen	bid 4¢ / ask 39¢
MiniMax	bid 3¢ / ask 34¢
Kimi	bid 3¢ / ask 39¢
Grok	bid 3¢ / ask 39¢
GLM	bid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Gemini	bid 3¢ / ask 38¢
Dola	bid 3¢ / ask 40¢
Claude	bid 51¢ / ask 85¢
ChatGPT	bid 4¢ / ask 33¢

Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Z.ai	bid 5¢ / ask 16¢
Xiaomi	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Tencent	bid 4¢ / ask 7¢
Moonshot	bid 1¢ / ask 32¢
MiniMax	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
DeepSeek	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
ByteDance	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Baidu	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Alibaba	bid 76¢ / ask 88¢

Top Coding AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Qwen, MiniMax, Kimi, Grok, GLM, Gemini, Dola, Claude, ChatGPT

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Best AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

Tracking: Grok, ChatGPT, Kimi, MUSE, Gemini, Dola, Claude, Amazon Nova, Qwen

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE) — 8 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
MiMo	bid 4¢ / ask 43¢
Kimi	bid 3¢ / ask 47¢
Grok	bid 3¢ / ask 47¢
GLM	bid 3¢ / ask 44¢
Gemini	bid 6¢ / ask 39¢
DeepSeek	bid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Claude	bid 15¢ / ask 52¢
ChatGPT	bid 33¢ / ask 68¢

OpenAI market share this week — 8 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 20.5%	bid 9¢ / ask 81¢
Above 20%	bid 12¢ / ask 80¢
Above 19.5%	bid 12¢ / ask 81¢
Above 19.0%	bid 11¢ / ask 77¢
Above 18.5%	bid 13¢ / ask 75¢
Above 18.0%	bid 18¢ / ask 72¢
Above 17.5%	bid 67¢ / ask 75¢
Above 16.5%	bid 88¢ / ask 97¢

Google market share this week — 7 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:39 AM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 23%	bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
Above 22%	bid 2¢ / ask 11¢
Above 21.5%	bid 5¢ / ask 12¢
Above 21%	bid 17¢ / ask 26¢
Above 20.5%	bid 31¢ / ask 40¢
Above 20%	bid 51¢ / ask 60¢
Above 19%	bid 79¢ / ask 83¢

Anthropic market share this week — 7 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 3.8%	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Above 3.4%	bid 6¢ / ask 10¢
Above 3.2%	bid 8¢ / ask 17¢
Above 3.0%	bid 21¢ / ask 31¢
Above 2.8%	bid 32¢ / ask 41¢
Above 2.6%	bid 23¢ / ask 69¢
Above 2.4%	bid 42¢ / ask 65¢

Qwen market share this week — 7 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 5.5%	bid 3¢ / ask 7¢
Above 5.4%	bid 5¢ / ask 9¢
Above 5.3%	bid 7¢ / ask 10¢
Above 5.2%	bid 14¢ / ask 22¢
Above 5.1%	bid 31¢ / ask 38¢
Above 5%	bid 57¢ / ask 66¢
Above 4.9%	bid 79¢ / ask 86¢

Tencent market share this week — 7 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 3.6%	bid 6¢ / ask 15¢
Above 3.4%	bid 21¢ / ask 30¢
Above 3.2%	bid 35¢ / ask 44¢
Above 3.0%	bid 46¢ / ask 55¢
Above 2.8%	bid 57¢ / ask 66¢
Above 2.6%	bid 63¢ / ask 72¢
Above 2.4%	bid 76¢ / ask 85¢

Xiaomi market share this week — 7 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 3.8%	bid 2¢ / ask 8¢
Above 3.4%	bid 2¢ / ask 10¢
Above 3.2%	bid 3¢ / ask 10¢
Above 3.0%	bid 7¢ / ask 18¢
Above 2.8%	bid 11¢ / ask 27¢
Above 2.6%	bid 18¢ / ask 37¢
Above 2.4%	bid 11¢ / ask 35¢

DeepSeek market share this week — 7 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 11:37 AM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 27.5%	bid 10¢ / ask 38¢
Above 26.5%	bid 10¢ / ask 58¢
Above 25.5%	bid 16¢ / ask 63¢
Above 24.5%	bid 14¢ / ask 71¢
Above 23.5%	bid 41¢ / ask 68¢
Above 22.5%	bid 67¢ / ask 88¢
Above 21.5%	bid 64¢ / ask 86¢

💹 Financials — 49 events, 457 markets

EURUSD price on Sep 04 at 5:00 PM EDT — 20 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 9:25 AM ET

View market strikes (20 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1.177	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above 1.175	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Above 1.173	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Above 1.171	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Above 1.169	bid 3¢ / ask 12¢
Above 1.167	bid 4¢ / ask 17¢
Above 1.165	bid 12¢ / ask 36¢
Above 1.163	bid 26¢ / ask 50¢
Above 1.161	bid 44¢ / ask 74¢
Above 1.159	bid 45¢ / ask 59¢
Above 1.157	bid 60¢ / ask 78¢
Above 1.155	bid 73¢ / ask 79¢
Above 1.153	bid 79¢ / ask 91¢
Above 1.151	bid 88¢ / ask 94¢
Above 1.149	bid 88¢ / ask 96¢
Above 1.147	bid 96¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1.145	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1.143	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1.141	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1.139	bid 98¢ (no asks)

Taco Bell Foot Traffic in September — 13 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 6:44 PM ET

View market strikes (13 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 99.5	bid 15¢ / ask 85¢
Above 98.5	bid 18¢ / ask 83¢
Above 97.5	bid 16¢ / ask 84¢
Above 105.5	bid 3¢ / ask 83¢
Above 104.5	bid 6¢ / ask 85¢
Above 103.5	bid 14¢ / ask 83¢
Above 103	bid 15¢ / ask 82¢
Above 102.5	bid 14¢ / ask 84¢
Above 102	bid 15¢ / ask 84¢
Above 101.5	bid 16¢ / ask 82¢
Above 101	bid 18¢ / ask 81¢
Above 100.5	bid 15¢ / ask 81¢
Above 100	bid 15¢ / ask 82¢

Burger King Foot Traffic in September — 13 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 3:17 PM ET

View market strikes (13 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 99.5	bid 28¢ / ask 57¢
Above 99	bid 36¢ / ask 64¢
Above 98.5	bid 40¢ / ask 68¢
Above 98	bid 42¢ / ask 71¢
Above 97.5	bid 45¢ / ask 75¢
Above 97	bid 48¢ / ask 78¢
Above 96.5	bid 51¢ / ask 79¢
Above 95.5	bid 58¢ / ask 82¢
Above 94.5	bid 57¢ / ask 83¢
Above 102.5	bid 8¢ / ask 12¢
Above 101.5	bid 11¢ / ask 19¢
Above 100.5	bid 18¢ / ask 27¢
Above 100	bid 22¢ / ask 47¢

Dutch Bros Foot Traffic in September — 13 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 3:17 PM ET

View market strikes (13 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 113	bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Above 112	bid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Above 111	bid 19¢ / ask 21¢
Above 110	bid 31¢ / ask 35¢
Above 109	bid 43¢ / ask 48¢
Above 108	bid 43¢ / ask 54¢
Above 107	bid 49¢ / ask 51¢
Above 106	bid 77¢ / ask 83¢
Above 105	bid 84¢ / ask 89¢
Above 104	bid 88¢ / ask 93¢
Above 103	bid 88¢ / ask 94¢
Above 102	bid 90¢ / ask 96¢
Above 101	bid 94¢ / ask 98¢

Cava Foot Traffic in September — 13 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 3:17 PM ET

View market strikes (13 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 98	bid 56¢ / ask 82¢
Above 96	bid 60¢ / ask 88¢
Above 94	bid 73¢ / ask 92¢
Above 92	bid 69¢ / ask 93¢
Above 90	bid 70¢ / ask 94¢
Above 114	bid 3¢ / ask 20¢
Above 112	bid 3¢ / ask 19¢
Above 110	bid 3¢ / ask 21¢
Above 108	bid 4¢ / ask 24¢
Above 106	bid 5¢ / ask 31¢
Above 104	bid 13¢ / ask 45¢
Above 102	bid 23¢ / ask 60¢
Above 100	bid 40¢ / ask 78¢

Chipotle Foot Traffic in September — 13 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 3:16 PM ET

View market strikes (13 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 108.5	bid 10¢ / ask 18¢
Above 108	bid 18¢ / ask 27¢
Above 107.5	bid 26¢ / ask 35¢
Above 107	bid 32¢ / ask 41¢
Above 106.5	bid 39¢ / ask 48¢
Above 106	bid 48¢ / ask 57¢
Above 105.5	bid 56¢ / ask 65¢
Above 105	bid 62¢ / ask 71¢
Above 104.5	bid 67¢ / ask 76¢
Above 104	bid 72¢ / ask 81¢
Above 103.5	bid 84¢ / ask 87¢
Above 103	bid 89¢ / ask 94¢
Above 102.5	bid 93¢ / ask 95¢

Costco Foot Traffic in September — 13 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 3:16 PM ET

View market strikes (13 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 99.5	bid 25¢ / ask 65¢
Above 99	bid 32¢ / ask 68¢
Above 98.5	bid 39¢ / ask 75¢
Above 98	bid 31¢ / ask 82¢
Above 97.5	bid 37¢ / ask 83¢
Above 97	bid 43¢ / ask 86¢
Above 96.5	bid 37¢ / ask 88¢
Above 96	bid 52¢ / ask 89¢
Above 95.5	bid 61¢ / ask 91¢
Above 95	bid 62¢ / ask 92¢
Above 94.5	bid 67¢ / ask 92¢
Above 94	bid 68¢ / ask 91¢
Above 100	bid 20¢ / ask 58¢

McDonald's Foot Traffic in September — 13 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 3:16 PM ET

View market strikes (13 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 99	bid 67¢ / ask 92¢
Above 98	bid 74¢ / ask 93¢
Above 97	bid 75¢ / ask 94¢
Above 96	bid 80¢ / ask 92¢
Above 108	bid 6¢ / ask 29¢
Above 107	bid 8¢ / ask 44¢
Above 106	bid 20¢ / ask 56¢
Above 105	bid 30¢ / ask 64¢
Above 104	bid 41¢ / ask 79¢
Above 103	bid 48¢ / ask 86¢
Above 102	bid 61¢ / ask 86¢
Above 101	bid 68¢ / ask 87¢
Above 100	bid 73¢ / ask 88¢

Shake Shack Foot Traffic in September — 13 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 3:16 PM ET

View market strikes (13 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 113	bid 6¢ / ask 40¢
Above 112	bid 11¢ / ask 47¢
Above 111	bid 18¢ / ask 56¢
Above 110	bid 26¢ / ask 64¢
Above 109	bid 27¢ / ask 68¢
Above 108	bid 31¢ / ask 75¢
Above 107	bid 51¢ / ask 76¢
Above 106	bid 41¢ / ask 82¢
Above 105	bid 45¢ / ask 82¢
Above 104	bid 48¢ / ask 84¢
Above 103	bid 50¢ / ask 84¢
Above 102	bid 55¢ / ask 85¢
Above 101	bid 76¢ / ask 86¢

Target Foot Traffic in September — 13 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 3:16 PM ET

View market strikes (13 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 97	bid 14¢ / ask 50¢
Above 96.5	bid 16¢ / ask 53¢
Above 96	bid 24¢ / ask 59¢
Above 95.5	bid 26¢ / ask 65¢
Above 95	bid 33¢ / ask 69¢
Above 94.5	bid 38¢ / ask 76¢
Above 94	bid 43¢ / ask 79¢
Above 93.5	bid 49¢ / ask 84¢
Above 93	bid 55¢ / ask 84¢
Above 92.5	bid 59¢ / ask 84¢
Above 92	bid 63¢ / ask 84¢
Above 91.5	bid 72¢ / ask 84¢
Above 91	bid 77¢ / ask 88¢

Sweetgreen Foot Traffic in September — 11 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 3:16 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 98	bid 92¢ / ask 94¢
Above 96	bid 94¢ / ask 98¢
Above 116	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Above 114	bid 2¢ / ask 8¢
Above 112	bid 2¢ / ask 18¢
Above 110	bid 12¢ / ask 26¢
Above 108	bid 37¢ / ask 85¢
Above 106	bid 62¢ / ask 82¢
Above 104	bid 73¢ / ask 91¢
Above 102	bid 81¢ / ask 93¢
Above 100	bid 86¢ / ask 94¢

Lowe's comparable sales growth in Q3 — 11 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above -2%	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Above -1.5%	bid 92¢ / ask 98¢
Above -1%	bid 87¢ / ask 93¢
Above -0.5%	bid 76¢ / ask 85¢
Above 3%	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above 2.5%	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Above 2%	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
Above 1.5%	bid 4¢ / ask 10¢
Above 1%	bid 9¢ / ask 17¢
Above 0.5%	bid 24¢ / ask 33¢
Above 0%	bid 51¢ / ask 60¢

Urban Outfitters total stores in Q1 — 10 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 2:36 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 850	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above 848	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Above 846	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Above 844	bid 8¢ / ask 12¢
Above 842	bid 13¢ / ask 18¢
Above 840	bid 23¢ / ask 28¢
Above 838	bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
Above 836	bid 56¢ / ask 65¢
Above 834	bid 67¢ / ask 74¢
Above 832	bid 85¢ / ask 89¢

Average Get-In Price of the 2026 US Open Quarterfinals — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 9:06 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $425	bid 12¢ / ask 59¢
Above $400	bid 12¢ / ask 56¢
Above $375	bid 11¢ / ask 63¢
Above $350	bid 13¢ / ask 72¢
Above $325	bid 13¢ / ask 74¢
Above $300	bid 12¢ / ask 79¢
Above $275	bid 18¢ / ask 75¢
Above $250	bid 11¢ / ask 83¢
Above $225	bid 25¢ / ask 85¢

Average Get-In Price of the 2026 US Open Semifinals — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 9:06 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $500	bid 10¢ / ask 52¢
Above $475	bid 12¢ / ask 54¢
Above $450	bid 12¢ / ask 55¢
Above $425	bid 13¢ / ask 65¢
Above $400	bid 15¢ / ask 75¢
Above $375	bid 12¢ / ask 73¢
Above $350	bid 15¢ / ask 77¢
Above $325	bid 17¢ / ask 83¢
Above $300	bid 28¢ / ask 84¢

Average Get-In Price of the 2026 US Open Finals — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 9:06 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $650	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above $625	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Above $600	bid 7¢ / ask 86¢
Above $575	bid 11¢ / ask 90¢
Above $550	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Above $525	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above $500	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above $475	bid 9¢ / ask 88¢
Above $450	bid 14¢ / ask 88¢

HBO App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 5:29 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 82	bid 15¢ / ask 51¢
Above 80	bid 18¢ / ask 55¢
Above 79	bid 21¢ / ask 57¢
Above 78	bid 24¢ / ask 56¢
Above 77	bid 24¢ / ask 60¢
Above 76	bid 25¢ / ask 62¢
Above 75	bid 26¢ / ask 63¢
Above 74	bid 28¢ / ask 65¢
Above 72	bid 31¢ / ask 68¢

Uber Eats App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 5:29 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 146	bid 11¢ / ask 32¢
Above 142	bid 10¢ / ask 30¢
Above 140	bid 11¢ / ask 30¢
Above 138	bid 11¢ / ask 31¢
Above 136	bid 13¢ / ask 27¢
Above 134	bid 15¢ / ask 28¢
Above 132	bid 14¢ / ask 43¢
Above 130	bid 16¢ / ask 44¢
Above 126	bid 19¢ / ask 44¢

Uber Ride App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 5:29 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 99	bid 63¢ / ask 93¢
Above 97	bid 78¢ / ask 96¢
Above 107	bid 16¢ / ask 44¢
Above 105	bid 20¢ / ask 58¢
Above 104	bid 26¢ / ask 64¢
Above 103	bid 33¢ / ask 70¢
Above 102	bid 40¢ / ask 78¢
Above 101	bid 48¢ / ask 84¢
Above 100	bid 53¢ / ask 90¢

Twitter App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 5:29 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 95	bid 2¢ / ask 20¢
Above 93	bid 3¢ / ask 24¢
Above 92	bid 6¢ / ask 31¢
Above 91	bid 13¢ / ask 44¢
Above 90	bid 22¢ / ask 58¢
Above 89	bid 39¢ / ask 76¢
Above 88	bid 53¢ / ask 86¢
Above 87	bid 59¢ / ask 87¢
Above 85	bid 79¢ / ask 94¢

Peacock App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 5:29 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 98	bid 43¢ / ask 81¢
Above 128	bid 27¢ / ask 67¢
Above 122	bid 31¢ / ask 67¢
Above 119	bid 31¢ / ask 70¢
Above 116	bid 22¢ / ask 74¢
Above 113	bid 32¢ / ask 75¢
Above 110	bid 37¢ / ask 76¢
Above 107	bid 37¢ / ask 78¢
Above 104	bid 41¢ / ask 78¢

Paramount+ App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 5:29 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 91	bid 47¢ / ask 88¢
Above 88	bid 38¢ / ask 88¢
Above 87	bid 61¢ / ask 87¢
Above 86	bid 53¢ / ask 88¢
Above 85	bid 51¢ / ask 87¢
Above 84	bid 50¢ / ask 85¢
Above 83	bid 54¢ / ask 86¢
Above 82	bid 66¢ / ask 87¢
Above 79	bid 62¢ / ask 88¢

Netflix App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 82	bid 10¢ / ask 34¢
Above 76	bid 9¢ / ask 44¢
Above 73	bid 15¢ / ask 48¢
Above 70	bid 15¢ / ask 54¢
Above 67	bid 21¢ / ask 58¢
Above 64	bid 27¢ / ask 64¢
Above 61	bid 33¢ / ask 70¢
Above 58	bid 37¢ / ask 77¢
Above 52	bid 50¢ / ask 83¢

Lyft App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 91	bid 40¢ / ask 86¢
Above 87	bid 56¢ / ask 90¢
Above 85	bid 57¢ / ask 91¢
Above 83	bid 60¢ / ask 90¢
Above 81	bid 61¢ / ask 90¢
Above 79	bid 65¢ / ask 90¢
Above 77	bid 61¢ / ask 91¢
Above 75	bid 69¢ / ask 90¢
Above 71	bid 72¢ / ask 90¢

Instagram App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 99	bid 3¢ / ask 19¢
Above 98	bid 9¢ / ask 21¢
Above 97	bid 11¢ / ask 38¢
Above 96	bid 22¢ / ask 60¢
Above 95	bid 54¢ / ask 85¢
Above 94	bid 63¢ / ask 90¢
Above 93	bid 70¢ / ask 97¢
Above 91	bid 69¢ / ask 98¢
Above 101	bid 2¢ / ask 19¢

Hulu App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 86	bid 13¢ / ask 20¢
Above 83	bid 13¢ / ask 33¢
Above 81	bid 13¢ / ask 37¢
Above 79	bid 12¢ / ask 49¢
Above 77	bid 11¢ / ask 22¢
Above 75	bid 13¢ / ask 44¢
Above 73	bid 16¢ / ask 41¢
Above 71	bid 15¢ / ask 53¢
Above 68	bid 16¢ / ask 26¢

Grubhub App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 5:27 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 142	bid 14¢ / ask 36¢
Above 138	bid 14¢ / ask 53¢
Above 136	bid 14¢ / ask 43¢
Above 134	bid 14¢ / ask 43¢
Above 132	bid 15¢ / ask 44¢
Above 130	bid 16¢ / ask 48¢
Above 128	bid 16¢ / ask 44¢
Above 126	bid 18¢ / ask 40¢
Above 122	bid 17¢ / ask 27¢

Grok App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 5:27 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 46	bid 36¢ / ask 81¢
Above 42	bid 28¢ / ask 82¢
Above 39	bid 45¢ / ask 86¢
Above 36	bid 49¢ / ask 86¢
Above 33	bid 53¢ / ask 87¢
Above 30	bid 55¢ / ask 89¢
Above 27	bid 57¢ / ask 90¢
Above 24	bid 59¢ / ask 90¢
Above 20	bid 61¢ / ask 92¢

Instacart App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 4:22 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 136	bid 15¢ / ask 29¢
Above 132	bid 16¢ / ask 40¢
Above 130	bid 21¢ / ask 41¢
Above 128	bid 25¢ / ask 54¢
Above 126	bid 30¢ / ask 51¢
Above 124	bid 36¢ / ask 54¢
Above 122	bid 41¢ / ask 53¢
Above 120	bid 46¢ / ask 57¢
Above 116	bid 56¢ / ask 72¢

Claude App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 4:22 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1800	bid 21¢ / ask 50¢
Above 1700	bid 21¢ / ask 50¢
Above 1650	bid 32¢ / ask 60¢
Above 1600	bid 31¢ / ask 60¢
Above 1550	bid 37¢ / ask 64¢
Above 1500	bid 49¢ / ask 70¢
Above 1450	bid 52¢ / ask 75¢
Above 1400	bid 59¢ / ask 85¢
Above 1300	bid 69¢ / ask 90¢

DoorDash App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 4:22 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 99	bid 40¢ / ask 64¢
Above 98	bid 44¢ / ask 74¢
Above 96	bid 60¢ / ask 84¢
Above 106	bid 16¢ / ask 44¢
Above 104	bid 19¢ / ask 49¢
Above 103	bid 19¢ / ask 49¢
Above 102	bid 24¢ / ask 54¢
Above 101	bid 31¢ / ask 58¢
Above 100	bid 37¢ / ask 63¢

ESPN App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 4:21 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 65	bid 15¢ / ask 53¢
Above 55	bid 29¢ / ask 68¢
Above 50	bid 36¢ / ask 76¢
Above 45	bid 44¢ / ask 79¢
Above 40	bid 51¢ / ask 86¢
Above 35	bid 57¢ / ask 87¢
Above 30	bid 63¢ / ask 88¢
Above 25	bid 63¢ / ask 90¢
Above 15	bid 66¢ / ask 92¢

Disney+ App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 4:20 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 139	bid 14¢ / ask 35¢
Above 135	bid 15¢ / ask 35¢
Above 133	bid 17¢ / ask 43¢
Above 131	bid 22¢ / ask 40¢
Above 129	bid 26¢ / ask 39¢
Above 127	bid 26¢ / ask 42¢
Above 125	bid 36¢ / ask 50¢
Above 123	bid 40¢ / ask 51¢
Above 119	bid 50¢ / ask 68¢

DraftKings App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 4:20 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 245	bid 37¢ / ask 84¢
Above 225	bid 38¢ / ask 86¢
Above 215	bid 42¢ / ask 86¢
Above 205	bid 53¢ / ask 85¢
Above 195	bid 53¢ / ask 86¢
Above 185	bid 58¢ / ask 85¢
Above 175	bid 57¢ / ask 86¢
Above 165	bid 53¢ / ask 86¢
Above 145	bid 59¢ / ask 86¢

Facebook App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 4:19 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 99	bid 20¢ / ask 61¢
Above 98	bid 35¢ / ask 75¢
Above 97	bid 24¢ / ask 83¢
Above 96	bid 63¢ / ask 88¢
Above 94	bid 77¢ / ask 97¢
Above 104	bid 3¢ / ask 20¢
Above 102	bid 3¢ / ask 27¢
Above 101	bid 3¢ / ask 34¢
Above 100	bid 11¢ / ask 45¢

ChatGPT App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 121	bid 10¢ / ask 42¢
Above 117	bid 14¢ / ask 50¢
Above 115	bid 19¢ / ask 53¢
Above 113	bid 19¢ / ask 59¢
Above 111	bid 25¢ / ask 62¢
Above 109	bid 29¢ / ask 68¢
Above 107	bid 33¢ / ask 72¢
Above 105	bid 39¢ / ask 76¢
Above 101	bid 47¢ / ask 85¢

Gemini App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 4:14 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 350	bid 8¢ / ask 20¢
Above 330	bid 10¢ / ask 21¢
Above 320	bid 9¢ / ask 20¢
Above 310	bid 10¢ / ask 20¢
Above 300	bid 9¢ / ask 25¢
Above 290	bid 10¢ / ask 43¢
Above 280	bid 11¢ / ask 60¢
Above 270	bid 11¢ / ask 58¢
Above 250	bid 12¢ / ask 71¢

FanDuel App Downloads in September — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 4:14 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 80	bid 30¢ / ask 77¢
Above 70	bid 49¢ / ask 84¢
Above 65	bid 50¢ / ask 85¢
Above 60	bid 65¢ / ask 88¢
Above 55	bid 60¢ / ask 87¢
Above 50	bid 58¢ / ask 87¢
Above 45	bid 67¢ / ask 87¢
Above 40	bid 57¢ / ask 87¢
Above 30	bid 75¢ / ask 87¢

Williams-Sonoma brand growth in Q3 — 9 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 7%	bid 3¢ / ask 6¢
Above 6.5%	bid 8¢ / ask 11¢
Above 6%	bid 18¢ / ask 23¢
Above 5.5%	bid 32¢ / ask 41¢
Above 5%	bid 51¢ / ask 60¢
Above 4.5%	bid 69¢ / ask 77¢
Above 4%	bid 82¢ / ask 88¢
Above 3.5%	bid 91¢ / ask 95¢
Above 3%	bid 95¢ / ask 97¢

Affirm gross merchandise volume in Q1 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 2:39 PM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $14.75 billion	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
Above $14.5 billion	bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
Above $14.25 billion	bid 31¢ / ask 36¢
Above $14 billion	bid 67¢ / ask 72¢
Above $13.75 billion	bid 87¢ / ask 91¢
Above $13.5 billion	bid 93¢ / ask 95¢
Above $13.25 billion	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢
Above $13 billion	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢

Dollar General same-store sales growth in Q3 — 8 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 2:36 PM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 4.5%	bid 3¢ / ask 6¢
Above 4%	bid 9¢ / ask 12¢
Above 3.5%	bid 19¢ / ask 23¢
Above 3%	bid 35¢ / ask 43¢
Above 2.5%	bid 56¢ / ask 65¢
Above 2%	bid 74¢ / ask 82¢
Above 1.5%	bid 88¢ / ask 92¢
Above 1%	bid 94¢ / ask 97¢

Dick's comparable sales in Q3 — 7 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 6%	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Above 5%	bid 4¢ / ask 11¢
Above 4%	bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
Above 3%	bid 42¢ / ask 43¢
Above 2%	bid 68¢ / ask 72¢
Above 1%	bid 90¢ / ask 93¢
Above 0%	bid 95¢ / ask 98¢

Urban Outfitters retail comparable sales in Q1 — 6 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 2:44 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 8%	bid 22¢ / ask 23¢
Above 6%	bid 43¢ / ask 52¢
Above 4%	bid 73¢ / ask 75¢
Above 2%	bid 90¢ / ask 96¢
Above 10%	bid 7¢ / ask 10¢
Above 0%	bid 97¢ / ask 99¢

Best Buy domestic comparable sales in Q3 — 6 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 5%	bid 7¢ / ask 13¢
Above 4%	bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Above 3%	bid 20¢ / ask 21¢
Above 2%	bid 47¢ / ask 50¢
Above 1%	bid 78¢ / ask 86¢
Above 0%	bid 94¢ / ask 95¢

Okta customers with acv over $100k in Q3 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 2:36 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 5400	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Above 5375	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Above 5350	bid 24¢ / ask 32¢
Above 5325	bid 62¢ / ask 67¢
Above 5300	bid 87¢ / ask 90¢

Zoom customers over $100k in TTM revenue in Q3 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 4775	bid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Above 4750	bid 12¢ / ask 21¢
Above 4725	bid 45¢ / ask 50¢
Above 4700	bid 79¢ / ask 83¢
Above 4675	bid 92¢ / ask 93¢

Fear & Greed Index on Sep 25, 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Extreme Greed	bid 8¢ / ask 12¢
Extreme Fear	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Neutral	bid 20¢ / ask 25¢
Greed	bid 31¢ / ask 35¢
Fear	bid 23¢ / ask 29¢

Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 31, 2026 at 7:16 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Will GTA VI preorders be reported?: Yes (bid 22¢ / ask 24¢) — listed Aug 31, 2026 at 12:44 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

4,861 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	4,052	22	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +19 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	423	56	Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, +53 more
📊 Economics	325	24	US gas price up, New Jersey gas price this week, Ohio gas price, +21 more
🎬 Entertainment	56	6	DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, Billboard Hot 100 #1, +3 more
🔬 Science and Technology	5	1	Top model

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: Sweden Riksdag Election, EV Commodity Prices, Keystone Resor — Past 24 Hours (as of 8:30:44 AM ET, Sep 01)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

📊 Economics — 3 events, 46 markets

🏛️ Politics — 5 events, 32 markets

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 8 events, 37 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 10 events, 71 markets

🗳️ Elections — 11 events, 67 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 16 events, 134 markets

💹 Financials — 49 events, 457 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

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