📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 08 at 6:30 PM ET through Oct 09 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 425 unique markets across 55 new events, plus 6,372 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Tennessee Governor winner?: David Hatley — bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Bulgarian presidential election first round: voter turnout: At least 3,000,000 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, At least 2,900,000 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, At least 2,800,000 bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11): Above 220 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Above 210 bid 5¢ / ask 7¢
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026?: Troy Jackson bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Sherrod Brown bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Mary Peltola bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18): Above 4 bid 86¢ / ask 87¢, Above 14 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 12 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18): October 18 bid 13¢ / ask 14¢, October 17 bid 13¢ / ask 14¢, October 16 bid 14¢ / ask 15¢
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (10/9-10/16)?: Above 8.7% — bid 44¢ / ask 45¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 10, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 10, 2026
- Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag’s Top 100 Clubs List?
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 10, 2026
- Top Open Source AI this week
- Top Text to Image AI this week
- Top Text to Speech AI this week
- Top Text to Video AI this week
- Will a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?
- Will a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?
- Will a Category 4 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?
- Will a Category 4 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?
- Will a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?
- Will a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?
- 120th Congress: Who will run for House Democratic leader?
- 120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader?
- 120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader?
- 120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Republican leader?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo
- Bulgarian presidential election first round: voter turnout
- Simi Valley mayoral election winner?
- Tennessee Governor winner?
- Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (10/9-10/16)?
- Generic congressional ballot on Oct 10, 2026?
- How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)
- How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/11-10/17)
- How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/10-10/16)
- Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)
- Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18)
- Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)
- Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11)
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)
- Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 9, 2026?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 10, 2026?
- When will Katie Zacharia deliver her first White House briefing?
- Who will be Israeli finance minister after the election?
- Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?
- Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election?
- Who will be Israeli justice minister after the election?
- Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?
- Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026?
- Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?
- Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (10/11 - 10/17)
- Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?
- Will the US government lift Microsoft's PERM suspension?
- Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/9-10/16)
All New Events
💹 Financials — 2 events, 6 markets
Domino's Foot Traffic in October — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 09, 2026 at 9:01 AM ET
Starbucks Foot Traffic in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 88 | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| Above 85 | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| Above 82 | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
📊 Economics — 2 events, 36 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.330 | ask 46¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.325 | ask 9¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.320 | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.315 | ask 7¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.310 | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above $6.305 | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above $6.300 | bid 1¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above $6.295 | ask 86¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.290 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.285 | — |
| Above $6.280 | — |
| Above $6.275 | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.270 | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.265 | bid 50¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $6.260 | bid 65¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.255 | bid 60¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $6.250 | bid 28¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.245 | bid 75¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.240 | bid 75¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.235 | bid 95¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.230 | bid 81¢ (no asks) |
EV commodity prices on Oct 9, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1259.69 | ask 14¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1249.69 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1239.69 | — |
| Above 1229.69 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1219.69 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1209.69 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1199.69 | bid 60¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above 1189.69 | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1179.69 | bid 97¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1169.69 | bid 97¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1159.69 | bid 91¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1149.69 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1139.69 | bid 86¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1129.69 | bid 86¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1119.69 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
🎬 Entertainment — 4 events, 46 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 10, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula | bid 5¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | bid 7¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Training Season (Live) | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Shararat | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Parvati | bid 2¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Kayıp Kalp | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 15: z5y8Clp_TdE] | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 5: xvT1jH8B9AM] | ask 87¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 7¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Chalra Chalra Waal Female Version - Tu Sanwal Phul Kasturi Song ❤️ Instagram Trending song 2026 | bid 1¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Chalre Chalre Waal | Female Version | Tu Sanwal Phul Kasturi | Trending Songs 2026 @kunwarbrar | bid 1¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Casa Tupka Anthemo | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| BbY WOW | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 10, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Training Season (Live) | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Shararat | ask 50¢ (no bids) |
| Parvati | ask 50¢ (no bids) |
| Kayıp Kalp | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 15: z5y8Clp_TdE] | ask 50¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 5: xvT1jH8B9AM] | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Chalra Chalra Waal Female Version - Tu Sanwal Phul Kasturi Song ❤️ Instagram Trending song 2026 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Chalre Chalre Waal | Female Version | Tu Sanwal Phul Kasturi | Trending Songs 2026 @kunwarbrar | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Casa Tupka Anthemo | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| BbY WOW | ask 50¢ (no bids) |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 50¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 50¢ (no bids) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 10, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| WTF GOIN | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| World's Greatest! | bid 4¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Todo Lo Fue | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Solar Eclipse | bid 3¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Patient Zero | bid 5¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Nicole Kidman | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Lil Baby, Bally Baby, Fatt Smaxk - Coast 2 Coast | bid 6¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Janice STFU | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| HOTEL LOBBY (Unc & Phew) (- A COLORS SHOW) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 8¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 6: hLOheGDwD_0] | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 2: nUsrYVxrDwI] | bid 6¢ / ask 82¢ |
| BbY WOW | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Alma Rota | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| AH HA | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag’s Top 100 Clubs List?: UNVRS — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 10:20 AM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 4 events, 51 markets
Top Text to Speech AI this week — 17 outcomes — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (17 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| VUI Labs | ask 83¢ (no bids) |
| StepFun | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| SpeechifyAI | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| SpaceXAI | bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Smallest.ai | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| OpenAI | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Nvidia | bid 1¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Mistral | ask 82¢ (no bids) |
| MiniMax | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Inworld | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ | |
| Fish Audio | bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ |
| ElevenLabs | bid 9¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Cartesia | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Async | bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Amazon | bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Alibaba | ask 83¢ (no bids) |
Top Open Source AI this week — 13 outcomes — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (13 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Xiaomi | bid 70¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Thinking Machines | bid 1¢ / ask 67¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 1¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Nvidia | bid 1¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Mistral | bid 1¢ / ask 66¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Meta | bid 1¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Kimi | bid 1¢ / ask 67¢ |
| bid 1¢ / ask 66¢ | |
| GLM | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
| DeepSeek | bid 1¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Cohere | bid 1¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 1¢ / ask 67¢ |
Top Text to Image AI this week — 11 outcomes — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| SpaceXAI | bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Reve | — |
| Recraft | bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ |
| OpenAI | — |
| Nvidia | bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Microsoft | — |
| Krea | bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ |
| HiDream | — |
| — | |
| Bytedance | bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Black Forest Labs | bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ |
Top Text to Video AI this week — 10 outcomes — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (10 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Vidu | bid 1¢ / ask 42¢ |
| SpaceXAI | bid 1¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Skywork AI | bid 1¢ / ask 39¢ |
| PixVerse | bid 1¢ / ask 46¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Lightricks | bid 1¢ / ask 43¢ |
| KlingAI | bid 1¢ / ask 43¢ |
| bid 1¢ / ask 45¢ | |
| ByteDance | bid 1¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 58¢ / ask 69¢ |
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 6 events, 6 markets
Will a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?: Yes (bid 2¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET
Will a Category 4 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?: Yes (bid 2¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET
Will a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before Dec 1, 2026?: Yes (bid 2¢ / ask 49¢) — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 2:39 PM ET
Will a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?: Yes (bid 2¢ / ask 5¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:36 PM ET
Will a Category 4 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?: Yes (bid 2¢ / ask 19¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:36 PM ET
Will a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?: Yes (bid 3¢ / ask 5¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:32 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 11 events, 60 markets
Bulgarian presidential election first round: voter turnout — 12 brackets — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 1:52 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 3,000,000 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| At least 2,900,000 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| At least 2,800,000 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| At least 2,700,000 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| At least 2,600,000 | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| At least 2,500,000 | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
| At least 2,400,000 | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| At least 2,300,000 | bid 68¢ / ask 69¢ |
| At least 2,200,000 | bid 82¢ / ask 83¢ |
| At least 2,100,000 | bid 90¢ / ask 91¢ |
| At least 2,000,000 | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| At least 1,900,000 | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo — 12 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 6:32 PM ET
View market options (12 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Lula, Bennett, Republicans | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Lula, Bennett, Democrats | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Lula, Eizenkot, Republicans | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Lula, Eizenkot, Democrats | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Lula, Netanyahu, Republicans | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Lula, Netanyahu, Democrats | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Bolsonaro, Bennett, Republicans | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Bolsonaro, Bennett, Democrats | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Republicans | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Democrats | bid 21¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Republicans | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Democrats | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
120th Congress: Who will run for House Democratic leader? — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 6:48 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Ted Lieu | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Rashida Tlaib | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Pramila Jayapal | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Pete Aguilar | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Katherine Clark | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Joe Neguse | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Hakeem Jeffries | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 6:49 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Elizabeth Warren | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Chris Van Hollen | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Chuck Schumer | bid 87¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Chris Murphy | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Catherine Cortez Masto | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Cory Booker | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Brian Schatz | bid 16¢ / ask 23¢ |
120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Republican leader? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 6:48 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tom Cotton | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Rick Scott | bid 51¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Ron Johnson | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Mike Lee | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| John Thune | bid 90¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Josh Hawley | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| John Barrasso | bid 11¢ / ask 16¢ |
Simi Valley mayoral election winner? — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 09, 2026 at 6:18 PM ET
Tracking: Wayne Hampton Holland III, Robert Clarizio, Mike Judge, Kareem Jubran, Dee Dee Cavanaugh
120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 6:48 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tom Emmer | bid 8¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Steve Scalise | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Mike Johnson | bid 70¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Jim Jordan | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
| August Pfluger | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
Tennessee Governor winner?: David Hatley (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 3:21 PM ET
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?: Doug Burgum (bid 21¢ / ask 30¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
2028 Republican presidential nominee: Doug Burgum (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?: Doug Burgum (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 26 events, 220 markets
Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election? — 29 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yariv Levin | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Yair Golan | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Yitzhak Goldknopf | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Yoram Cohen | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Yoav Ben-Tzur | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Yinon Azulay | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Ofir Katz | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Orit Farkash-Hacohen | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Oded Forer | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Naama Lazimi | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Naftali Bennett | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Miki Zohar | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Miri Regev | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Michael Malchieli | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Moshe Gafni | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Meirav Cohen | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Keren Terner Eyal | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Israel Katz | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Haim Biton | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Gideon Sa'ar | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Gilad Kariv | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Gadi Eisenkot | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Eli Cohen | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| David Amsalem | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Chili Tropper | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
+ 4 more outcomes
Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election? — 24 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET
View market options (24 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yitzhak Wasserlauf | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Yoav Segalovitz | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Yoaz Hendel | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Yair Golan | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Yossi Cohen | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Yoram Cohen | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Talya Lankri | bid 3¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Tally Gotliv | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Ram Ben-Barak | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Ofer Winter | bid 1¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Matan Kahana | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Meirav Ben-Ari | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Limor Son Har-Melech | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Itamar Ben-Gvir | bid 24¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Haim Katz | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Hamad Amar | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Gideon Sa'ar | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Elazar Stern | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Eli Cohen | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Chili Tropper | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Bezalel Smotrich | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Amir Ohana | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Amichai Eliyahu | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Avi Dichter | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Who will be Israeli finance minister after the election? — 18 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET
View market options (18 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yaron Zelekha | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Yair Lapid | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Yair Golan | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Shaul Meridor | bid 8¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Orit Farkash-Hacohen | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Naama Lazimi | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Naftali Bennett | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Nir Barkat | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Moshe Feiglin | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Keren Terner Eyal | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Israel Katz | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Gadi Eisenkot | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Eli Cohen | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Chili Tropper | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Bezalel Smotrich | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Avigdor Lieberman | bid 9¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Aryeh Deri | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election? — 16 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:04 PM ET
View market options (16 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yair Lapid | bid 10¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Yair Golan | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Yossi Cohen | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Yoram Cohen | bid 2¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Ron Dermer | bid 3¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Naftali Bennett | bid 9¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Israel Katz | bid 9¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Gideon Sa'ar | bid 6¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Gadi Eisenkot | bid 3¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Einat Wilf | bid 2¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Eli Cohen | bid 3¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Chili Tropper | bid 3¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | bid 4¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Benny Gantz | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Amir Ohana | bid 3¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Avigdor Lieberman | bid 6¢ / ask 59¢ |
Who will be Israeli justice minister after the election? — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yariv Levin | bid 18¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Tally Gotliv | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Simcha Rothman | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Ofir Katz | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Orit Farkash-Hacohen | bid 5¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Oded Forer | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Moshe Saada | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Karine Elharrar | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Gideon Sa'ar | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Gilad Kariv | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Efrat Rayten | bid 3¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Chili Tropper | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Bezalel Smotrich | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Ayelet Shaked | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Amir Ohana | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/12 - 10/18) — 11 brackets — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 250 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 240 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 230 | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 220 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 210 | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 33¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Above 190 | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 180 | bid 71¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above 170 | bid 88¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 160 | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above 150 | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — 11 brackets — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 75 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 50 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 45 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 40 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 35 | bid 9¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 16¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 36¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 74¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 91¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 250 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 240 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 230 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 220 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 210 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 200 | bid 20¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Above 190 | bid 47¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Above 180 | bid 43¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 170 | bid 91¢ / ask 92¢ |
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 10, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 8.4% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 9.0% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 8.9% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 8.8% | bid 10¢ / ask 20¢ |
| 8.7% | bid 53¢ / ask 62¢ |
| 8.6% | bid 12¢ / ask 22¢ |
| 8.5% | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 8.4% | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 9.0% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 10, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 37.3% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 37.9% | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 37.8% | bid 77¢ / ask 79¢ |
| 37.7% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 37.6% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 37.5% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 37.4% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 37.3% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 37.9% | bid 8¢ / ask 10¢ |
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18) — 8 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 09, 2026 at 11:22 AM ET
Tracking: 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, 0
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18) — 8 brackets — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 330 | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 320 | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 310 | bid 20¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above 300 | bid 28¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above 290 | bid 45¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Above 280 | bid 58¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 270 | bid 75¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above 260 | bid 88¢ / ask 89¢ |
Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 9, 2026? — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| <5 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 40+ | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 5-9 | bid 12¢ / ask 29¢ |
| 30-39 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 25-29 | bid 7¢ / ask 10¢ |
| 20-24 | bid 15¢ / ask 26¢ |
| 15-19 | bid 30¢ / ask 41¢ |
| 10-14 | bid 22¢ / ask 41¢ |
Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 16, 2026? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 11:22 AM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Troy Jackson | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Sherrod Brown | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Mary Peltola | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| James Talarico | bid 85¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Jon Ossoff | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Angie Nixon | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Abdul El-Sayed | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18) — 7 brackets — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 11:22 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 8 | bid 9¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 6 | bid 30¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Above 5 | bid 60¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 4 | bid 86¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 14 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 12 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18) — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 11:22 AM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| October 18 | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| October 17 | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| October 16 | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| October 15 | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| October 14 | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| October 13 | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| October 12 | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/10-10/16) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 09, 2026 at 11:22 AM ET
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/11-10/17) — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 09, 2026 at 11:22 AM ET
When will Katie Zacharia deliver her first White House briefing? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 09, 2026 at 6:14 PM ET
Tracking: Before Oct 20, 2026, Before Oct 16, 2026, Before Oct 13, 2026
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11) — 2 brackets — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 12:19 PM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 210 | bid 5¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 220 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
Will the US government lift Microsoft's PERM suspension? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:42 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 8¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | bid 70¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Before Jan 10, 2027 | bid 60¢ / ask 61¢ |
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (10/11 - 10/17): Above 0 — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 11:22 AM ET
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (10/9-10/16)?: Above 8.7% (bid 44¢ / ask 45¢) — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/9-10/16): Above 36.9% (bid 29¢ / ask 30¢) — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET
Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?: Yes (bid 66¢ / ask 69¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:24 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
6,372 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 4,976 | 19 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +16 more |
| 📊 Economics | 1,021 | 55 | Kansas gas price, Ohio gas price, Colorado gas price, +52 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 331 | 50 | Where will it rain daily, Biggest earthquake, HIGHEST Temperature SATX, +47 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 27 | 4 | Will Trump do anything today?, Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, EO this week?, +1 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 17 | 3 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, RUNNER UP NETFLIX MOVIE, Netflix movie ranking |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.