Kalshi Markets: Tesla Roadster, Trump, Ford Sales

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 02 at 8:30 AM ET through Oct 03 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 503 unique markets across 137 new events, plus 1,264 recurring bracket markets.

🗳️ Elections

1 event

1 market

📊 Economics

2 events

29 markets

🎬 Entertainment

7 events

7 markets

🏛️ Politics

16 events

94 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

21 events

230 markets

💹 Financials

90 events

142 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

How much will the Tesla Roadster cost?: At least $150,000 bid 86¢ / ask 87¢, At least $250,000 bid 36¢ / ask 38¢, At least $275,000 bid 21¢ / ask 24¢

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?: Beni Rae Harmony — bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Ford total vehicle US sales in Q1 2027: Above 600,000, Above 590,000, Above 580,000 all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 9, 2026?: Troy Jackson bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Sherrod Brown bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Mary Peltola bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11): Above 8 bid 18¢ / ask 19¢, Above 6 bid 53¢ / ask 54¢, Above 4 bid 89¢ / ask 90¢

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11): October 11 bid 13¢ / ask 14¢, October 10 bid 14¢ / ask 15¢, October 9 bid 15¢ / ask 16¢

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/5 - 10/11): Above 300 bid 28¢ / ask 29¢, Above 290 bid 41¢ / ask 42¢, Above 280 bid 58¢ / ask 59¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🗳️ Elections

Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (10/2-10/9)?

📊 Economics

🎬 Entertainment

🏛️ Politics

🔬 Science and Technology

💹 Financials

All New Events

🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market

Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (10/2-10/9)?: Above 8.9% (bid 48¢ / ask 49¢) — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:37 AM ET

📊 Economics — 2 events, 29 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Oct 03, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $6.405	—
Above $6.400	—
Above $6.395	—
Above $6.390	—
Above $6.385	—
Above $6.380	—
Above $6.375	—
Above $6.370	—
Above $6.365	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above $6.360	bid 4¢ / ask 6¢
Above $6.355	bid 7¢ / ask 9¢
Above $6.350	bid 10¢ / ask 14¢
Above $6.345	bid 19¢ / ask 23¢
Above $6.340	bid 28¢ / ask 32¢
Above $6.335	bid 54¢ / ask 57¢
Above $6.330	bid 73¢ / ask 76¢
Above $6.325	bid 92¢ / ask 94¢
Above $6.320	—
Above $6.315	—
Above $6.310	—
Above $6.305	bid 99¢ (no asks)

ISM Manufacturing PMI in October — 8 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:24 AM ET

View market strikes (8 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 58	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
At least 57	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
At least 56	bid 16¢ / ask 17¢
At least 55	bid 36¢ / ask 37¢
At least 54	bid 62¢ / ask 63¢
At least 53	bid 84¢ / ask 85¢
At least 52	bid 94¢ / ask 95¢
At least 51	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢

🎬 Entertainment — 7 events, 7 markets

Pikachu ex - 109 (30th Celebration) Up or Down: Oct 2026: Above $299.99 (bid 20¢ / ask 78¢) — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET

Mew ex Up or Down: Oct 2026: Above $84.4 (bid 24¢ / ask 78¢) — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET

Charizard Up or Down: Oct 2026: Above $194.14 (bid 22¢ / ask 82¢) — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET

Mew - R/RGB Up or Down: Oct 2026: Above $6000.27 (bid 22¢ / ask 78¢) — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET

Mew - G/RGB Up or Down: Oct 2026: Above $3738.75 (bid 21¢ / ask 82¢) — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET

Mew - B/RGB Up or Down: Oct 2026: Above $5010.87 (bid 17¢ / ask 83¢) — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET

30th Celebration Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box Up or Down: Oct 2026: Above $313.44 (bid 32¢ / ask 70¢) — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET

🏛️ Politics — 16 events, 94 markets

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — 11 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:38 AM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 75	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 50	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above 45	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Above 40	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Above 35	bid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Above 30	bid 24¢ / ask 25¢
Above 25	bid 53¢ / ask 54¢
Above 20	bid 82¢ / ask 83¢
Above 15	bid 93¢ / ask 95¢
Above 100	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 10	bid 95¢ / ask 97¢

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 3, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 8.6%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
9.2%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
9.1%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
9.0%	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
8.9%	bid 3¢ / ask 8¢
8.8%	bid 84¢ / ask 91¢
8.7%	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
8.6%	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Above 9.2%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 3, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 38.0%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
38.6%	last 1¢ (book empty)
38.5%	last 1¢ (book empty)
38.4%	last 1¢ (book empty)
38.3%	bid 3¢ / ask 6¢
38.2%	bid 84¢ / ask 86¢
38.1%	bid 10¢ / ask 13¢
38.0%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 38.6%	last 1¢ (book empty)

Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 3, 2026? — 8 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 02, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Tracking: <5, 40+, 5-9, 30-39, 25-29, 20-24, 15-19, 10-14

🔗 View on Kalshi →

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/5-10/11) — 8 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 02, 2026 at 10:38 AM ET

Tracking: 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, 0

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 9, 2026? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:39 AM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Troy Jackson	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Sherrod Brown	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Mary Peltola	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
James Talarico	bid 82¢ / ask 85¢
Jon Ossoff	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Angie Nixon	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Abdul El-Sayed	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11) — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:39 AM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
October 11	bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
October 10	bid 14¢ / ask 15¢
October 9	bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
October 8	bid 14¢ / ask 15¢
October 7	bid 17¢ / ask 18¢
October 6	bid 17¢ / ask 18¢
October 5	bid 16¢ / ask 17¢

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/3-10/9) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 02, 2026 at 10:38 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) — 6 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:39 AM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 8	bid 18¢ / ask 19¢
Above 6	bid 53¢ / ask 54¢
Above 4	bid 89¢ / ask 90¢
Above 14	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 12	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Above 10	bid 7¢ / ask 8¢

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/5 - 10/11) — 5 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:39 AM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 300	bid 28¢ / ask 29¢
Above 290	bid 41¢ / ask 42¢
Above 280	bid 58¢ / ask 59¢
Above 270	bid 68¢ / ask 69¢
Above 260	bid 88¢ / ask 89¢

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11) — 5 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:39 AM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 275	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 250	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 225	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Above 200	bid 39¢ / ask 40¢
Above 175	bid 87¢ / ask 88¢

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — 5 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:38 AM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 250	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 225	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Above 200	bid 30¢ / ask 31¢
Above 175	bid 70¢ / ask 71¢
Above 150	bid 94¢ / ask 96¢

How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/4-10/10) — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 02, 2026 at 10:39 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?: Beni Rae Harmony (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 7:08 PM ET

Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (10/4 - 10/10): Above 0 — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:38 AM ET

Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/2-10/9): Above 36.9% (bid 22¢ / ask 23¢) — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:37 AM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 21 events, 230 markets

Best LLM at the end of the decade? — 34 outcomes — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 7:06 PM ET

View market options (25 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Z AI	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Xiaomi	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
xAI	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Upstage	—
Thinking Machines	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Tencent	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
StepFun	—
Safe Superintelligence	—
Reflection AI	—
Prime Intellect	ask 5¢ (no bids)
OpenAI	bid 11¢ / ask 19¢
NVIDIA	ask 7¢ (no bids)
Mistral	ask 7¢ (no bids)
Microsoft	ask 7¢ (no bids)
Moonshot	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
MiniMax	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Meta	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
LongCat	—
LG AI Research	—
Inception	—
InclusionAI	—
Institute of Foundation Models	—
Huawei	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Google	bid 9¢ / ask 17¢
Essential AI	—

+ 9 more outcomes

Top Text to Speech AI this week — 17 outcomes — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET

View market options (17 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
VUI Labs	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
StepFun	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
SpeechifyAI	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
SpaceXAI	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Smallest.ai	bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
OpenAI	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Nvidia	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Mistral	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
MiniMax	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Inworld	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Google	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Fish Audio	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
ElevenLabs	bid 81¢ / ask 88¢
Cartesia	bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Async	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Amazon	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Alibaba	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢

Top Open Source AI this week — 13 outcomes — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET

View market options (13 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Xiaomi	bid 85¢ / ask 94¢
Thinking Machines	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
OpenAI	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Nvidia	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Mistral	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
MiniMax	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Meta	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Kimi	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Google	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
GLM	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
DeepSeek	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Cohere	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Alibaba	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢

Top Text to Image AI this week — 11 outcomes — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
SpaceXAI	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Reve	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Recraft	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
OpenAI	bid 86¢ / ask 94¢
Nvidia	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Microsoft	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Krea	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
HiDream	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Google	bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Bytedance	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Black Forest Labs	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel) — 10 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 3:14 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.0%	—
Above 20.0%	bid 1¢ / ask 70¢
Above 17.3%	bid 1¢ / ask 77¢
Above 15.6%	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Above 14.7%	bid 2¢ / ask 82¢
Above 13.9%	ask 86¢ (no bids)
Above 13.3%	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Above 12.7%	ask 89¢ (no bids)
Above 12.1%	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Above 11.2%	bid 6¢ (no asks)

Top Text to Video AI this week — 10 outcomes — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET

View market options (10 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Vidu	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
SpaceXAI	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Skywork AI	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
PixVerse	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
MiniMax	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Lightricks	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
KlingAI	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Google	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
ByteDance	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Alibaba	bid 86¢ / ask 96¢

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 4, 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 69%	bid 3¢ / ask 62¢
Above 66%	bid 4¢ / ask 66¢
Above 63%	bid 7¢ / ask 74¢
Above 60%	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 57%	bid 16¢ / ask 85¢
Above 54%	bid 16¢ / ask 85¢
Above 51%	bid 12¢ / ask 88¢
Above 48%	bid 27¢ / ask 86¢
Above 45%	bid 26¢ / ask 95¢

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.1%	—
Above 6.9%	—
Above 5.3%	—
Above 4.1%	—
Above 3.0%	—
Above 2.1%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 18.7%	—
Above 14.9%	—
Above 11.8%	—

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 02, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 53.8%	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 50.4%	—
Above 48.1%	—
Above 46.2%	—
Above 44.4%	—
Above 42.6%	—
Above 40.6%	—
Above 38.2%	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Above 34.8%	bid 6¢ (no asks)

Google share of requests on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 21.8%	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Above 20.2%	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 19.0%	ask 91¢ (no bids)
Above 17.9%	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above 16.8%	bid 19¢ / ask 92¢
Above 15.6%	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 14.4%	bid 10¢ / ask 90¢
Above 13.1%	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 11.8%	bid 11¢ (no asks)

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 34.1%	bid 1¢ / ask 80¢
Above 31.7%	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above 30.1%	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above 28.8%	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above 27.6%	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above 26.3%	bid 10¢ / ask 90¢
Above 24.9%	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 23.0%	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above 19.9%	bid 12¢ (no asks)

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 4, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 3:14 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.6%	ask 88¢ (no bids)
Above 8.6%	ask 89¢ (no bids)
Above 7.7%	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 6.8%	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 6.0%	bid 10¢ / ask 90¢
Above 5.1%	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 4.1%	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 14.0%	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 11.0%	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 6, 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 74.2%	bid 11¢ / ask 57¢
Above 70.6%	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Above 69.0%	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Above 68.0%	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Above 66.0%	—
Above 62.5%	—
Above 59.2%	—
Above 54.4%	—
Above 50.4%	bid 30¢ / ask 98¢

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 6, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 8.9%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 4.8%	bid 20¢ / ask 96¢
Above 3.8%	bid 20¢ / ask 98¢
Above 2.7%	bid 20¢ / ask 98¢
Above 17.1%	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Above 15.1%	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 13.8%	ask 89¢ (no bids)
Above 12.2%	ask 93¢ (no bids)
Above 10.6%	bid 6¢ (no asks)

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 6, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 26.8%	bid 1¢ / ask 34¢
Above 24.9%	ask 83¢ (no bids)
Above 24.0%	ask 83¢ (no bids)
Above 23.4%	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Above 22.2%	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Above 20.6%	ask 87¢ (no bids)
Above 19.9%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above 18.7%	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Above 17.8%	ask 95¢ (no bids)

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 6, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 02, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Google share of requests on Oct 6, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 20.0%	bid 2¢ / ask 43¢
Above 19.4%	bid 2¢ / ask 43¢
Above 18.9%	bid 5¢ / ask 54¢
Above 18.1%	bid 5¢ / ask 65¢
Above 17.2%	bid 7¢ / ask 74¢
Above 15.4%	bid 17¢ / ask 70¢
Above 14.9%	bid 24¢ / ask 75¢
Above 13.6%	bid 44¢ / ask 85¢
Above 12.2%	bid 62¢ / ask 94¢

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 6, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 31.3%	bid 2¢ / ask 43¢
Above 30.0%	bid 4¢ / ask 74¢
Above 28.9%	bid 5¢ / ask 80¢
Above 27.7%	bid 10¢ / ask 74¢
Above 27.4%	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 26.1%	bid 16¢ / ask 92¢
Above 25.5%	bid 17¢ / ask 90¢
Above 23.3%	bid 12¢ / ask 92¢
Above 20.3%	bid 11¢ (no asks)

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 6, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.9%	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Above 8.5%	ask 93¢ (no bids)
Above 8.0%	ask 93¢ (no bids)
Above 7.6%	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 7.5%	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 6.7%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 5.8%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 5.1%	bid 8¢ (no asks)
Above 10.4%	ask 92¢ (no bids)

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 6, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.5%	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 20.2%	bid 3¢ / ask 40¢
Above 15.4%	bid 6¢ / ask 75¢
Above 13.8%	bid 7¢ / ask 83¢
Above 13.1%	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 12.4%	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above 11.4%	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above 10.9%	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Above 10.4%	bid 49¢ / ask 94¢

💹 Financials — 90 events, 142 markets

Ford total vehicle US sales in Q1 2027 — 16 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 12:59 PM ET

View market strikes (16 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 600,000	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 590,000	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 580,000	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 570,000	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 560,000	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 550,000	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above 540,000	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above 530,000	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Above 520,000	bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Above 510,000	bid 14¢ / ask 15¢
Above 500,000	bid 24¢ / ask 25¢
Above 490,000	bid 31¢ / ask 35¢
Above 480,000	bid 44¢ / ask 45¢
Above 470 thousand	—
Above 460 thousand	—
Above 450 thousand	—

Rivian vehicles delivered in Q1 2027 — 11 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 10:29 AM ET

View market strikes (11 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 35000	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above 33000	bid 8¢ / ask 11¢
Above 31000	bid 9¢ / ask 25¢
Above 29000	bid 24¢ / ask 25¢
Above 27000	bid 40¢ / ask 69¢
Above 25000	bid 54¢ / ask 74¢
Above 23000	bid 70¢ / ask 72¢
Above 21000	bid 85¢ / ask 88¢
Above 19000	bid 91¢ / ask 92¢
Above 17000	bid 95¢ / ask 98¢
Above 15000	bid 95¢ / ask 97¢

Sporting Goods Ad Spend in September — 9 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 3:02 PM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 104	bid 91¢ / ask 96¢
Above 106	bid 78¢ / ask 96¢
Above 108	bid 80¢ / ask 93¢
Above 110	bid 77¢ / ask 95¢
Above 112	bid 73¢ / ask 87¢
Above 114	bid 53¢ / ask 82¢
Above 116	bid 23¢ / ask 82¢
Above 118	bid 20¢ / ask 79¢
Above 120	bid 19¢ / ask 79¢

How much will the Tesla Roadster cost? — 7 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 7:25 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least $300,000	bid 15¢ / ask 19¢
At least $275,000	bid 21¢ / ask 24¢
At least $250,000	bid 36¢ / ask 38¢
At least $225,000	bid 45¢ / ask 50¢
At least $200,000	bid 64¢ / ask 69¢
At least $175,000	bid 78¢ / ask 83¢
At least $150,000	bid 86¢ / ask 87¢

Casino Ad Spend in September — 6 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 4:01 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 76	bid 12¢ / ask 50¢
Above 75	bid 9¢ / ask 15¢
Above 74	bid 10¢ / ask 45¢
Above 73	bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above 72	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above 71	bid 8¢ (no asks)

Streaming Ad Spend in September — 3 brackets — listed Oct 03, 2026 at 2:01 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 82	bid 27¢ / ask 73¢
Above 81	bid 62¢ / ask 96¢
Above 80	bid 92¢ / ask 98¢

Hulu App Downloads in September — 3 brackets — listed Oct 03, 2026 at 1:01 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 98	bid 4¢ / ask 38¢
Above 101	bid 2¢ / ask 42¢
Above 104	bid 2¢ / ask 42¢

Rogue Point of Sale Growth in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 9:02 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 75	bid 27¢ / ask 53¢
Above 77	bid 21¢ / ask 57¢
Above 79	bid 11¢ / ask 57¢

Footwear Retail Ad Spend in September — 3 brackets — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 9:01 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 88	bid 2¢ / ask 9¢
Above 86	bid 2¢ / ask 14¢
Above 84	bid 7¢ / ask 74¢

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 02, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

1,264 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
📊 Economics	668	47	Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand, Utah gas price, New Mexico gas price, +44 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	442	64	Where will it rain daily, Napa rainfall totals, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, +61 more
💹 Financials	122	7	DJI Hourly, 10Y how low weekly, 10Y how high weekly, +4 more
🏛️ Politics	32	4	Will Trump do anything today?, Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, President RCP approval rating this week, +1 more

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: Tesla Roadster Cost, Trump's Press Secretary, Ford Sales — Past 24 Hours (as of 8:30:33 AM ET, Oct 03)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market

📊 Economics — 2 events, 29 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 7 events, 7 markets

🏛️ Politics — 16 events, 94 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 21 events, 230 markets

💹 Financials — 90 events, 142 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

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