📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Jun 03 at 6:30 PM ET through Jun 04 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 216 unique markets across 34 new events, plus 5,526 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Will Trump order mandatory pre-release federal review of AI models?: Before Sep 1, 2026 bid 15¢ / ask 16¢, Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 24¢ / ask 27¢
Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?: Susan Collins bid 39¢ / ask 40¢, John Fetterman bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, John Cornyn bid 46¢ / ask 47¢
Los Angeles mayoral primary: Spencer Pratt vs Nithya Raman margin: Spencer Pratt, 4-5% bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Spencer Pratt, 1-2% bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, Nithya Raman, 5-6% bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Highest price of the Hermès Kelly this year?: Above $800K bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Above $600K bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, Above $500K bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Love Island USA S8E3: Eliminations: Zach bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Trinity bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Sincere bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
How many Senators will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?: Above 53 bid 6¢ / ask 7¢, Above 52 bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Above 50 bid 21¢ / ask 23¢
When will AP call the Los Angeles mayoral primary?: Before Jun 30 bid 93¢ / ask 94¢, Before Jun 15 bid 63¢ / ask 64¢, Before Jun 6 bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Los Angeles mayoral primary: Spencer Pratt vs Nithya Raman margin
- When will AP call the Los Angeles mayoral primary?
- Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 2
- Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 3
- Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 4
- Vail Resorts skier visits in Q3
- Bill Pulte sworn in as Acting DNI?
- How many Senators will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
- When will Trump's Attorney General pick be announced?
- Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche?
- Will any state enact a data center moratorium?
- Will Trump order mandatory pre-release federal review of AI models?
- #1 Searched Person on Google in 2026?
- 2026 Grammy nominations for Best Rap Album?
- Highest price of the Hermès Birkin this year?
- Highest price of the Hermès Kelly this year?
- Love Island S13E4: Eliminations
- Love Island UK S13: Winners
- Love Island UK Season 13: 2nd Place Couple
- Love Island UK Week 1: Elimination
- Love Island UK: Winning Couple
- Love Island USA S8E3: Eliminations
- Love Island USA S8E3: Will a new Bombshell enter?
- Oscar for Best Actor?
- Oscar nominations for Best Actor?
- Pro Basketball Finals Game 2: New York vs. San Antonio: Attendance
- Pro Basketball Finals Game 3: New York vs. San Antonio: Attendance
- Who will be featured on 'Daughter from Hell'?
- Will Entourage have a spin-off announced this year?
- Will Garth Brooks' catalog sell for at least $1.5B this year?
- Will Joe Rogan join 60 Minutes as a Correspondent in 2026?
All New Events
📊 Economics — 2 events, 18 markets
EV commodity prices on Jun 4, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1375.88 | — |
| Above 1365.88 | — |
| Above 1355.88 | — |
| Above 1345.88 | — |
| Above 1335.88 | — |
| Above 1325.88 | — |
| Above 1315.88 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1305.88 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1295.88 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 1285.88 | bid 6¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 1275.88 | bid 24¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above 1265.88 | bid 89¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 1255.88 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1245.88 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1235.88 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027? — 3 brackets — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 10:49 AM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| More than $1.6 trillion | last 3¢ (book empty) |
| More than $1.8 trillion | last 3¢ (book empty) |
| More than $2 trillion | last 3¢ (book empty) |
🗳️ Elections — 3 events, 21 markets
Los Angeles mayoral primary: Spencer Pratt vs Nithya Raman margin — 14 outcomes — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 2:28 PM ET
View market options (14 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Spencer Pratt, ≥6% | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Spencer Pratt, 5-6% | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Spencer Pratt, 4-5% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Spencer Pratt, 3-4% | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Spencer Pratt, 2-3% | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Spencer Pratt, 1-2% | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Spencer Pratt, 0-1% | bid 9¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Nithya Raman, ≥6% | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Nithya Raman, 5-6% | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Nithya Raman, 4-5% | bid 11¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Nithya Raman, 3-4% | bid 12¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Nithya Raman, 2-3% | bid 13¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Nithya Raman, 1-2% | bid 10¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Nithya Raman, 0-1% | bid 11¢ / ask 13¢ |
When will AP call the Los Angeles mayoral primary? — 6 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 9:56 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jun 30 | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Before Jun 15 | bid 63¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Before Jun 8 | bid 25¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Before Jun 7 | bid 3¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Before Jun 6 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Before Jun 5 | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?: John McEntee (bid 11¢ / ask 19¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 11:20 PM ET
💹 Financials — 4 events, 21 markets
Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 4 — 7 brackets — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above $5000 | bid 38¢ / ask 48¢ |
| above $5500 | bid 33¢ / ask 43¢ |
| above $6000 | bid 26¢ / ask 36¢ |
| above $6500 | bid 22¢ / ask 32¢ |
| above $7000 | bid 14¢ / ask 24¢ |
| above $7500 | bid 7¢ / ask 17¢ |
| above $8000 | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 3 — 7 brackets — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 10:42 AM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above $5000 | bid 44¢ / ask 54¢ |
| above $5500 | bid 40¢ / ask 50¢ |
| above $6000 | bid 34¢ / ask 44¢ |
| above $6500 | bid 30¢ / ask 40¢ |
| above $7000 | bid 21¢ / ask 31¢ |
| above $7500 | bid 14¢ / ask 23¢ |
| above $8000 | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
Get-in ticket price of Pro Basketball Finals Game 2 — 4 brackets — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 10:38 AM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| above $800 | bid 11¢ / ask 30¢ |
| above $750 | bid 31¢ / ask 57¢ |
| above $700 | bid 88¢ / ask 99¢ |
| above $650 | last 85¢ (book empty) |
Vail Resorts skier visits in Q3 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 04, 2026 at 11:55 AM ET
🏛️ Politics — 6 events, 19 markets
Which Senators will vote for Todd Blanche? — 9 outcomes — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 2:50 PM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tommy Tuberville | bid 48¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Thom Tillis | bid 52¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Susan Collins | bid 39¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Rand Paul | bid 44¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Mitch McConnell | bid 46¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Lisa Murkowski | bid 42¢ / ask 44¢ |
| John Fetterman | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| John Cornyn | bid 46¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Bill Cassidy | bid 39¢ / ask 41¢ |
How many Senators will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? — 5 brackets — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 11:12 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 53 | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 52 | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 51 | bid 14¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above 50 | bid 21¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above 49 | bid 26¢ / ask 33¢ |
Will Trump order mandatory pre-release federal review of AI models? — 2 outcomes — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 24¢ / ask 27¢ |
Will any state enact a data center moratorium?: Yes — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 6:25 PM ET
When will Trump's Attorney General pick be announced?: Before Jun 5, 2026 (bid 60¢ / ask 99¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 10:46 PM ET
Bill Pulte sworn in as Acting DNI?: Before July 7, 2026 (bid 59¢ / ask 64¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 9:34 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 19 events, 137 markets
Who will be featured on 'Daughter from Hell'? — 19 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET
View market options (19 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Troye Sivan | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Taylor Swift | bid 10¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Sabrina Carpenter | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Rachel Chinouriri | bid 45¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Phoebe Bridgers | bid 11¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Olivia Rodrigo | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Noah Kahan | bid 25¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Maisie Peters | bid 20¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Lorde | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Laufey | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| The Japanese House | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Hozier | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Holly Humberstone | bid 16¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Harry Styles | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| FINNEAS | bid 13¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Conan Gray | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Clairo | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Bon Iver | bid 26¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Billie Eilish | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
Pro Basketball Finals Game 3: New York vs. San Antonio: Attendance — 19 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
View market options (19 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani | bid 90¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Tracy Morgan | bid 90¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Tim Duncan | bid 31¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Timothée Chalamet | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Spike Lee | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Selena Gomez | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Pete Davidson | bid 88¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Patrick Ewing | bid 88¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Kylie Jenner | bid 79¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Jimmy Fallon | bid 22¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Jaxson Dart | bid 68¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Jason Bateman | bid 65¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Gregg Popovich | bid 9¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Donald J Trump | bid 96¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Chris Rock | bid 79¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Carmelo Anthony | bid 79¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Ben Stiller | bid 93¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Bad Bunny | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Adam Sandler | bid 77¢ / ask 79¢ |
Pro Basketball Finals Game 2: New York vs. San Antonio: Attendance — 19 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 7:28 PM ET
View market options (19 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Tracy Morgan | bid 92¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Tim Duncan | bid 89¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Timothée Chalamet | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Spike Lee | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Selena Gomez | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Pete Davidson | bid 13¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Patrick Ewing | bid 92¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Kylie Jenner | bid 46¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Jimmy Fallon | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Jaxson Dart | bid 30¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Jason Bateman | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Gregg Popovich | bid 76¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Donald J Trump | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Chris Rock | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Carmelo Anthony | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Ben Stiller | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Bad Bunny | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Adam Sandler | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
Love Island UK: Winning Couple — 14 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 04, 2026 at 6:21 PM ET
Tracking: Mica and Kavan, Angelista and Kavan, Ellie and Kavan, Jasmine and Kavan, Lola and Kavan, Robyn and Kavan, Yasmine and Kavan, Priya and Aidan, Priya and Ope, Priya and Sam, Priya and Sean, Priya and Samraj, Priya and Lorenzo, Priya and Kavan
Love Island S13E4: Eliminations — 13 outcomes — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 7:44 PM ET
View market options (13 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yasmine | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sean | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Samraj | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sam | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Robyn | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Ope | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Mica | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Lorenzo | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Lola | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Jasmine | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Ellie | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Angelista | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Aidan | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Highest price of the Hermès Kelly this year? — 12 brackets — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 2:23 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $900K | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above $800K | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above $700K | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above $600K | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above $500K | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above $400K | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above $300K | bid 8¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above $250K | bid 20¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Above $200K | bid 32¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Above $150K | bid 43¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above $1M | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $100K | bid 66¢ / ask 68¢ |
Love Island USA S8E3: Eliminations — 12 outcomes — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 10:53 AM ET
View market options (12 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zach | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Trinity | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Sincere | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Sean | bid 11¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Melanie | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Kenzie | bid 13¢ / ask 15¢ |
| KC | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Kayda | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Gabriel | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Bryce | bid 11¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Beatriz | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Aniya | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Highest price of the Hermès Birkin this year? — 12 brackets — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 6:58 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $900K | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $800K | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above $700K | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above $600K | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above $500K | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above $400K | bid 35¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above $300K | bid 61¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Above $250K | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above $200K | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above $150K | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above $1M | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $100K | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
2026 Grammy nominations for Best Rap Album? — 5 outcomes — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 2:59 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| OCTANE | bid 18¢ / ask 21¢ |
| The Fall-Off | bid 80¢ / ask 83¢ |
| ICEMAN | bid 40¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Don't Be Dumb | bid 74¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Bully | bid 14¢ / ask 17¢ |
Love Island UK S13: Winners — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 04, 2026 at 5:58 PM ET
Tracking: Kavan, Priya
Love Island UK Week 1: Elimination — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Jun 04, 2026 at 5:44 PM ET
Tracking: Kavan, Priya
Love Island UK Season 13: 2nd Place Couple: Mica and Kavan — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 6:23 PM ET
Will Joe Rogan join 60 Minutes as a Correspondent in 2026?: Joe Rogan as correspondent? (bid 8¢ / ask 16¢) — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET
#1 Searched Person on Google in 2026?: Savannah Guthrie (bid 22¢ / ask 38¢) — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 3:48 PM ET
Will Garth Brooks' catalog sell for at least $1.5B this year?: At least $1.5B (bid 25¢ / ask 31¢) — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 2:12 PM ET
Love Island USA S8E3: Will a new Bombshell enter?: Yes (bid 5¢ / ask 10¢) — listed Jun 04, 2026 at 10:47 AM ET
Oscar for Best Actor?: Ethan Hawke (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 7:14 PM ET
Oscar nominations for Best Actor?: Ethan Hawke (bid 6¢ / ask 14¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 7:12 PM ET
Will Entourage have a spin-off announced this year?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 36¢ / ask 37¢) — listed Jun 03, 2026 at 6:47 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,526 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 4,950 | 4 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, USD/JPY daily range, +1 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 📊 Economics | 151 | 13 | Truflation Bitcoin Purchasing Power Index, CoinMarketCap Total Market Cap , Truflation US Consumer Confidence Index, +10 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 136 | 11 | how many days will artist be #1 on Spotify in period, how many days will artist be #1 on Spotify in period, Daily US Spotify artist chart, +8 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.