📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 10 at 6:30 PM ET through Oct 11 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 127 unique markets across 19 new events, plus 1,312 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 12, 2026?: 38.1% bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, 38.0% bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, 37.9% bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 12, 2026?: Below 8.4% bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, 9.0% bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, 8.9% bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $6.295 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $6.290 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $6.255 bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 12, 2026: Yeshanagula bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip bid 9¢ / ask 10¢, Training Season (Live) bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 12, 2026: Todo Lo Fue bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, WTF GOIN bid 4¢ / ask 6¢, AH HA bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Will James Talarico drop out?: Yes — bid 3¢ / ask 6¢
When will Trump rename an ocean?: Before Dec 1, 2026 bid 12¢ / ask 17¢, Before Nov 1, 2026 bid 6¢ / ask 12¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 12, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 12, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 12, 2026
- Huon Valley mayoral election winner?
- Mongolian presidential election winner?
- Next Moldovan presidential election winner?
- Philippine Senate election winner?
- Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?
- Who will run for president in 2028?
- Will James Talarico drop out?
All New Events
💹 Financials — 1 event, 3 markets
Domino's Foot Traffic in October — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
📊 Economics — 1 event, 21 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 6:01 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.325 | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.320 | ask 50¢ (no bids) |
| Above $6.315 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.310 | last 4¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.305 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.300 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.295 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $6.290 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $6.285 | bid 2¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above $6.280 | bid 7¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Above $6.275 | bid 17¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Above $6.270 | bid 49¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above $6.265 | bid 17¢ / ask 95¢ |
| Above $6.260 | bid 71¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above $6.255 | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $6.250 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.245 | bid 92¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.240 | bid 92¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.235 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.230 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.225 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 12, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Training Season (Live) | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| TRALALA | bid 16¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Shararat | ask 65¢ (no bids) |
| Parvati | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 12: z5y8Clp_TdE] | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 6: xvT1jH8B9AM] | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION] | ask 68¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 30¢ / ask 32¢ |
| DADDY YANKEE- BOTZ (Bésame OTra veZ) Official Video | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Casa Tupka Anthemo | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 65¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Aathi Iva Yarraa Lyric | SCENE | Suriya | Nazriya Nazim | Naslen | Sushin Shyam | JithuMadhavan | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 12, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula | bid 1¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | bid 1¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Training Season (Live) | bid 1¢ / ask 81¢ |
| TRALALA | bid 5¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Shararat | bid 1¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Parvati | ask 87¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 12: z5y8Clp_TdE] | ask 87¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 6: xvT1jH8B9AM] | bid 1¢ / ask 48¢ |
| GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION] | bid 1¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Dai Dai | bid 15¢ / ask 64¢ |
| DADDY YANKEE- BOTZ (Bésame OTra veZ) Official Video | bid 1¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Casa Tupka Anthemo | bid 1¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Basinga Balaalu | bid 1¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Barsaat | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| Aathi Iva Yarraa Lyric | SCENE | Suriya | Nazriya Nazim | Naslen | Sushin Shyam | JithuMadhavan | ask 87¢ (no bids) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 12, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| WTF GOIN | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Todo Lo Fue | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Patient Zero | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Nicole Kidman | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Janice STFU | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| HOTEL LOBBY (Unc & Phew) (- A COLORS SHOW) | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Gunna - pop it [Official Video] | bid 5¢ / ask 10¢ |
| FF | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 20¢ / ask 54¢ |
| DADDY YANKEE- BOTZ (Bésame OTra veZ) Official Video | bid 8¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 6: hLOheGDwD_0] | ask 5¢ (no bids) |
| Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 2: nUsrYVxrDwI] | bid 16¢ / ask 51¢ |
| BbY WOW | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Alma Rota | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| AH HA | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
🗳️ Elections — 7 events, 26 markets
Who will run for president in 2028? — 19 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 11, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET
Tracking: Thomas Massie, Tucker Carlson, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Matthew McConaughey, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Mark Cuban, Larry Hogan, Kanye West, Jesse Ventura, Jon Stewart, Joe Rogan, Joe Manchin, Jamie Dimon, Justin Amash, Howard Schultz, DeAndre Way, Dwayne Johnson, Andrew Yang, Aaron Rodgers
Next Moldovan presidential election winner? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 11, 2026 at 3:49 PM ET
Tracking: Vasile Costiuc, Renato Usatîi
Mongolian presidential election winner?: Dashdondogiin Ganbat — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 3:49 PM ET
Huon Valley mayoral election winner?: Marshall Callaghan (bid 1¢ / ask 73¢) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 3:49 PM ET
Philippine Senate election winner?: PDP — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 3:48 PM ET
Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?: Ilija Srdanović (bid 1¢ / ask 41¢) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 3:48 PM ET
Will James Talarico drop out?: Yes (bid 3¢ / ask 6¢) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 3:39 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 7 events, 32 markets
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 12, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 10:01 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 37.5% | bid 9¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 38.1% | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 38.0% | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 37.9% | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| 37.8% | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| 37.7% | bid 19¢ / ask 20¢ |
| 37.6% | bid 20¢ / ask 21¢ |
| 37.5% | bid 21¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above 38.1% | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
Generic congressional ballot on Oct 12, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 8.4% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 9.0% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 8.9% | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 8.8% | bid 10¢ / ask 14¢ |
| 8.7% | bid 24¢ / ask 31¢ |
| 8.6% | bid 13¢ / ask 21¢ |
| 8.5% | bid 16¢ / ask 19¢ |
| 8.4% | bid 12¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above 9.0% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 11, 2026? — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| <5 | ask 9¢ (no bids) |
| 40+ | bid 4¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 5-9 | ask 21¢ (no bids) |
| 30-39 | bid 3¢ / ask 20¢ |
| 25-29 | bid 3¢ / ask 21¢ |
| 20-24 | bid 3¢ / ask 28¢ |
| 15-19 | bid 12¢ / ask 34¢ |
| 10-14 | bid 23¢ / ask 40¢ |
Next DCCC chair? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 3:48 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Brad Schneider | bid 6¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Steven Horsford | bid 6¢ / ask 14¢ |
When will Trump rename an ocean? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 6:35 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 6¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 12¢ / ask 17¢ |
Who will be the next Deputy Attorney General?: Bill Essayli (bid 15¢ / ask 25¢) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 3:49 PM ET
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy next meet?: United Arab Emirates (bid 1¢ / ask 80¢) — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 3:48 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
1,312 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 📊 Economics | 911 | 53 | North Carolina gas price, Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand, West Virginia gas price, +50 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 371 | 54 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 30 | 6 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Album be runner up this week?, Billboard Top 200 #1, +3 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.