📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 15 at 6:30 PM ET through Aug 16 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 81 unique markets across 7 new events, plus 537 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Trump's approval rating on Aug 17, 2026?: 39.4, 39.3, 38.9 all at bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $5.470 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $5.465 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above $5.455 bid 16¢ / ask 18¢
FL-20 Republican nominee?: Lateresa Jones bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Clara Spalding bid 1¢ / ask 5¢, Brent Andersen bid 74¢ / ask 81¢
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 17, 2026: Dead Fresh bid 1¢ / ask 4¢, Janice STFU bid 1¢ / ask 17¢, Reap What You Sow bid 1¢ / ask 19¢
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 17, 2026: Dai Dai bid 93¢ / ask 98¢, Basinga Balaalu bid 1¢ / ask 6¢, Tiranga last 1¢ (book empty)
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 17, 2026: Pakistan Zindabad bid 1¢ / ask 8¢, Sebebi Yar bid 1¢ / ask 50¢, Meray Watan Ye Aqeedatien | Hammad Ali Shah | Official PAF Song bid 1¢ / ask 50¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 3 markets
FL-20 Republican nominee? — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 16, 2026 at 4:04 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Brent Andersen | bid 74¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Clara Spalding | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Lateresa Jones | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 1 event, 9 markets
Trump's approval rating on Aug 17, 2026? — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 39.4 | bid 6¢ / ask 10¢ |
| 39.4 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 39.3 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 39.2 | bid 15¢ / ask 20¢ |
| 39.1 | bid 42¢ / ask 45¢ |
| 39.0 | bid 16¢ / ask 20¢ |
| 38.9 | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 38.8 | bid 6¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Below 38.8 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
📊 Economics — 1 event, 21 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Aug 16, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.495 | ask 86¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.490 | ask 20¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.485 | ask 28¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.480 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.475 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.470 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $5.465 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $5.460 | bid 7¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above $5.455 | bid 16¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Above $5.450 | bid 72¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above $5.445 | bid 85¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above $5.440 | bid 82¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above $5.435 | bid 94¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $5.430 | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.425 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.420 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.415 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.410 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.405 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.400 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.395 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
🎬 Entertainment — 4 events, 48 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 17, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| เพราะพี่รักจริง | bid 1¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Tiranga | bid 1¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Tera Mera Rishta | bid 1¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Sunflower | bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Shararat | bid 1¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Sebebi Yar | bid 1¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Pakistan Zindabad | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Meray Watan Ye Aqeedatien | Hammad Ali Shah | Official PAF Song | bid 1¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Life Goes On | — |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV | bid 1¢ / ask 60¢ |
| KALYANI (Remix) | bid 2¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Golden | bid 1¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Dai Dai | — |
| Basinga Balaalu | bid 1¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Barbaadi | bid 1¢ / ask 60¢ |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 17, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| เพราะพี่รักจริง | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tiranga | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tera Mera Rishta | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sunflower | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Sebebi Yar | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Pakistan Zindabad | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Meray Watan Ye Aqeedatien | Hammad Ali Shah | Official PAF Song | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Life Goes On | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Basinga Balaalu | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 17, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026 | bid 1¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Sunflower | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
| She’s the Best (Official Music Video) | bid 1¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Reap What You Sow | bid 1¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Life Goes On | ask 89¢ (no bids) |
| Last Man Breathin | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV | bid 1¢ / ask 60¢ |
| KATSEYE - Bel Air (Official Lyric Video) | bid 1¢ / ask 60¢ |
| KATSEYE - That Way (Official Lyric Video) | bid 1¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Janice STFU | bid 1¢ / ask 17¢ |
| ICONIC BY MISTAKE | bid 1¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Golden | bid 1¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Dead Fresh | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Dai Dai | bid 1¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Choosin' Texas | bid 1¢ / ask 60¢ |
Dancing with the Stars S35: Contestants — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 16, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET
Tracking: Giada De Laurentiis, Harry Shum Jr., Taylor Hanson
🔄 Recurring Markets
537 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 400 | 47 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, +44 more |
| 📊 Economics | 114 | 8 | CPI-U index in [month], US gas price up, US shelter CPI in [month], +5 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 23 | 3 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Album be runner up this week?, Billboard Top 200 #1 |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.