📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 23 at 6:30 PM ET through Aug 24 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 435 unique markets across 58 new events, plus 4,517 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Trump's approval rating on Aug 25, 2026?: Above 39.8 bid 11¢ / ask 12¢, 39.5 bid 38¢ / ask 39¢, 39.4 bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
EURUSD price on Aug 28 at 5:00 PM EDT: Above 1.185, Above 1.183, Above 1.181 all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $5.645 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above $5.595 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, Above $5.600 bid 96¢ / ask 98¢
Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election?: Bernie Sanders bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Shawn Fain bid 3¢ / ask 10¢, Rashida Tlaib bid 3¢ / ask 10¢
30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 25, 2026?: 5.27% or above bid 14¢ / ask 16¢, 5.25% or above bid 32¢ / ask 34¢, 5.23% or above bid 51¢ / ask 53¢
10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 25, 2026?: 4.73% or above bid 22¢ / ask 24¢, 4.71% or above bid 44¢ / ask 46¢, 4.69% or above bid 62¢ / ask 64¢
7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 25, 2026?: 4.59% or above bid 17¢ / ask 19¢, 4.57% or above bid 30¢ / ask 32¢, 4.55% or above bid 44¢ / ask 47¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- KATSEYE’s “WILD”: Weeks at No. 1 in 2026
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 25, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 25, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 25, 2026
- 50% tariffs on Canadian autos and steel in effect?
- Canada countertariffs in effect before Sep 9?
- Diesel prices this week
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- EV commodity prices on Aug 24, 2026
- S&P 500 move on Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech day?
- When will DOE next sell or exchange SPR oil?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 25, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 25, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 25, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 25, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 25, 2026?
- EURUSD price on Aug 28 at 5:00 PM EDT
- Fear & Greed Index on Sep 18, 2026?
- Anthropic market share this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Gemini market share this week
- Most popular AI this week
- Most popular AI this week
- Open Source market share on Aug 27, 2026
- OpenAI market share this week
- OpenRouter AI token usage: Aug 24–30
- Qwen market share this week
- Stealth market share this week
- Tencent market share this week
- Xiaomi market share this week
- AfD in a German state government in 2026?
- California and Paramount settle WBD merger suit?
- FTC investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?
- Harvard federal sponsored revenue in FY2026?
- Trump's approval rating on Aug 25, 2026?
- When will Big Bend border construction resume?
- When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal?
- When will CMS announce the addition of GLP-1 drugs for obesity to Part D?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Which jurisdictions will drop Flock before Feb 2027?
- Who will Donald Trump sue in 2026?
- Will courts let the 75-country visa suspension resume?
- Will the Kentucky State Fair ham auction set a record?
- Berlin State Election: 2nd Place
- Berlin State Election: 3rd Place
- Berlin State Election: 4th Place
- Parti Québécois majority in Quebec's National Assembly?
- Swedish general election: Centre Party vote percent
- Swedish general election: Green Party vote percent
- Swedish general election: Moderate Party vote percent
- Swedish general election: Sweden Democrats vote percent
- Swedish general election: Swedish Social Democratic Party vote percent
- Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028?
- Which of these parties will win a Riksdag seat?
- Who will be the next UN Secretary-General?
- Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
- Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election?
All New Events
🎬 Entertainment — 5 events, 51 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 25, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| เพราะพี่รักจริง | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tera Mera Rishta | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Sunflower | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Life Goes On | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Golden | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| ENHYPEN (엔하이픈) 'Bloody Paradise' Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 25, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| เพราะพี่รักจริง | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tera Mera Rishta | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sunflower | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Shararat | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Life Goes On | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| ENHYPEN (엔하이픈) 'Bloody Paradise' Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Basinga Balaalu | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Barbaadi | last 1¢ (book empty) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 25, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| WTF Goin | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Sunflower | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Pooh Shiesty - Reap What You Sow [Official Audio] | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Life Goes On | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | — |
| Janice STFU | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| ICONIC BY MISTAKE | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Golden | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Ghetto Love Story | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dead Fresh | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Choosin' Texas | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Beat It | last 1¢ (book empty) |
KATSEYE’s “WILD”: Weeks at No. 1 in 2026 — 5 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 1:34 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 6 weeks | — |
| At least 5 weeks | — |
| At least 4 weeks | — |
| At least 3 weeks | — |
| At least 2 weeks | last 97¢ (book empty) |
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond: Robert Pattinson (ask 14¢ (no bids)) — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 1:12 PM ET
📊 Economics — 7 events, 73 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.665 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.660 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.655 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.650 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $5.645 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $5.640 | bid 3¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Above $5.635 | bid 18¢ / ask 77¢ |
| Above $5.630 | bid 40¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above $5.625 | bid 65¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above $5.620 | bid 72¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above $5.615 | bid 61¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $5.610 | bid 87¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above $5.605 | bid 95¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $5.600 | bid 96¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $5.595 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.590 | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.585 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.580 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.575 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.570 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.565 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Diesel prices this week — 21 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $5.82 | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.80 | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.78 | ask 86¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.76 | ask 87¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.74 | ask 88¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.72 | ask 89¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.70 | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.68 | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Above $5.66 | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.64 | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.62 | bid 8¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.60 | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.58 | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.56 | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
| Above $5.54 | bid 52¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above $5.52 | bid 52¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $5.50 | bid 52¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $5.48 | bid 52¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above $5.46 | bid 52¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.44 | bid 52¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $5.42 | bid 52¢ / ask 99¢ |
EV commodity prices on Aug 24, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 23, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1302.90 | ask 64¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1292.90 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1282.90 | ask 48¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1272.90 | ask 61¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1262.90 | last 3¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1252.90 | ask 15¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1242.90 | ask 49¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1232.90 | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1222.90 | bid 63¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1212.90 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1202.90 | bid 89¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1192.90 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1182.90 | bid 71¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1172.90 | bid 73¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1162.90 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
S&P 500 move on Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech day? — 11 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 4:06 PM ET
When will DOE next sell or exchange SPR oil? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 3:27 PM ET
Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2028, Before Jan 1, 2027, Before Oct 1, 2026
Canada countertariffs in effect before Sep 9?: Yes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:26 PM ET
50% tariffs on Canadian autos and steel in effect?: Yes (bid 18¢ / ask 28¢) — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:21 PM ET
💹 Financials — 7 events, 100 markets
EURUSD price on Aug 28 at 5:00 PM EDT — 20 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 9:25 AM ET
View market strikes (20 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1.185 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 1.183 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 1.181 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 1.179 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 1.177 | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 1.175 | bid 7¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 1.173 | bid 15¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above 1.171 | bid 22¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Above 1.169 | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above 1.167 | bid 42¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Above 1.165 | bid 56¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Above 1.163 | bid 67¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above 1.161 | bid 80¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 1.159 | bid 88¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 1.157 | bid 91¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above 1.155 | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1.153 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1.151 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1.149 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1.147 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 25, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.39% or above | — |
| 5.37% or above | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| 5.35% or above | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| 5.33% or above | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| 5.31% or above | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| 5.29% or above | ask 16¢ (no bids) |
| 5.27% or above | bid 14¢ / ask 16¢ |
| 5.25% or above | bid 32¢ / ask 34¢ |
| 5.23% or above | bid 51¢ / ask 53¢ |
| 5.21% or above | bid 71¢ / ask 73¢ |
| 5.19% or above | bid 86¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.17% or above | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.15% or above | bid 90¢ (no asks) |
| 5.13% or above | bid 90¢ (no asks) |
| 5.11% or above | bid 90¢ (no asks) |
10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 25, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.89% or above | — |
| 4.87% or above | — |
| 4.85% or above | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| 4.83% or above | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| 4.81% or above | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| 4.79% or above | ask 11¢ (no bids) |
| 4.77% or above | ask 15¢ (no bids) |
| 4.75% or above | ask 18¢ (no bids) |
| 4.73% or above | bid 22¢ / ask 24¢ |
| 4.71% or above | bid 44¢ / ask 46¢ |
| 4.69% or above | bid 62¢ / ask 64¢ |
| 4.67% or above | bid 84¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.65% or above | bid 91¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 4.63% or above | bid 90¢ (no asks) |
| 4.61% or above | bid 90¢ (no asks) |
7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 25, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.69% or above | — |
| 4.67% or above | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| 4.65% or above | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| 4.63% or above | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| 4.61% or above | ask 18¢ (no bids) |
| 4.59% or above | bid 17¢ / ask 19¢ |
| 4.57% or above | bid 30¢ / ask 32¢ |
| 4.55% or above | bid 44¢ / ask 47¢ |
| 4.53% or above | bid 51¢ / ask 70¢ |
| 4.51% or above | bid 64¢ / ask 83¢ |
| 4.49% or above | bid 74¢ / ask 93¢ |
| 4.47% or above | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.45% or above | bid 90¢ (no asks) |
| 4.43% or above | bid 95¢ (no asks) |
| 4.41% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 25, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.59% or above | — |
| 4.57% or above | — |
| 4.55% or above | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| 4.53% or above | — |
| 4.51% or above | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| 4.49% or above | ask 14¢ (no bids) |
| 4.47% or above | ask 21¢ (no bids) |
| 4.45% or above | bid 21¢ / ask 23¢ |
| 4.43% or above | bid 35¢ / ask 37¢ |
| 4.41% or above | bid 52¢ / ask 54¢ |
| 4.39% or above | bid 66¢ / ask 68¢ |
| 4.37% or above | bid 85¢ / ask 87¢ |
| 4.35% or above | bid 82¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.33% or above | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.31% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 25, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.39% or above | — |
| 4.37% or above | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| 4.35% or above | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| 4.33% or above | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| 4.31% or above | ask 16¢ (no bids) |
| 4.29% or above | bid 8¢ / ask 26¢ |
| 4.27% or above | bid 12¢ / ask 31¢ |
| 4.25% or above | bid 42¢ / ask 60¢ |
| 4.23% or above | bid 41¢ / ask 57¢ |
| 4.21% or above | bid 76¢ / ask 93¢ |
| 4.19% or above | bid 87¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.17% or above | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.15% or above | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.13% or above | bid 91¢ (no asks) |
| 4.11% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Fear & Greed Index on Sep 18, 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Extreme Greed | bid 9¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Extreme Fear | bid 10¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Neutral | bid 12¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Greed | bid 21¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Fear | bid 21¢ / ask 40¢ |
🔬 Science and Technology — 12 events, 77 markets
Open Source market share on Aug 27, 2026 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 3:38 PM ET
Stealth market share this week — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 2:12 PM ET
OpenRouter AI token usage: Aug 24–30 — 8 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 1:24 PM ET
DeepSeek market share this week — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 2:06 PM ET
Most popular AI this week — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Tracking: Z.ai, Xiaomi, Tencent, OpenAI, Google, DeepSeek, Anthropic
Anthropic market share this week — 6 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 2:11 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.5% | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Above 4.0% | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| Above 3.5% | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| Above 3.0% | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 2.5% | — |
| Above 2.0% | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
Xiaomi market share this week — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 2:10 PM ET
Tencent market share this week — 6 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 2:10 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 4.0% | — |
| Above 3.5% | — |
| Above 3.0% | — |
| Above 2.5% | — |
| Above 2.0% | — |
| Above 1.5% | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
Qwen market share this week — 6 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 2:08 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 6.3% | bid 1¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Above 5.8% | ask 89¢ (no bids) |
| Above 5.3% | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| Above 4.8% | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 4.3% | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 3.8% | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
OpenAI market share this week — 6 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 2:08 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 20.5% | ask 91¢ (no bids) |
| Above 19.5% | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| Above 18.5% | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Above 17.5% | — |
| Above 16.5% | — |
| Above 15.5% | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
Gemini market share this week — 6 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 2:07 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 23.5% | ask 92¢ (no bids) |
| Above 22.5% | ask 93¢ (no bids) |
| Above 21.5% | — |
| Above 20.5% | — |
| Above 19.5% | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above 18.5% | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
Most popular AI this week: Ox Alpha — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 12:52 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 13 events, 44 markets
Trump's approval rating on Aug 25, 2026? — 9 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 39.8 | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 39.8 | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 39.7 | bid 8¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 39.6 | bid 23¢ / ask 27¢ |
| 39.5 | bid 38¢ / ask 39¢ |
| 39.4 | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| 39.3 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 39.2 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Below 39.2 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Harvard federal sponsored revenue in FY2026? — 9 brackets — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 1:03 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 950 million | bid 2¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Above 900 million | bid 2¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 850 million | bid 2¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Above 800 million | bid 10¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 750 million | bid 11¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Above 700 million | bid 11¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 650 million | bid 13¢ (no asks) |
| Above 600 million | bid 14¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1 billion | bid 2¢ / ask 39¢ |
When will Big Bend border construction resume? — 5 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 1:46 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 50¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Before Sep 8, 2026 | bid 9¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 23¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 31¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 37¢ / ask 46¢ |
Who will Donald Trump sue in 2026? — 4 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:27 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Trevor Noah | bid 11¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Michael Wolff | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Jeffrey Epstein's estate | bid 6¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Center for American Progress | bid 11¢ / ask 20¢ |
Which jurisdictions will drop Flock before Feb 2027? — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 12:05 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Boulder, CO | bid 51¢ / ask 60¢ |
| New Bedford, MA | bid 71¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Atlanta, GA | bid 51¢ / ask 60¢ |
When will Canada and the US finalize a trade deal? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET
Tracking: Before Nov 1, 2026, Before Dec 1, 2026, Before Jan 1, 2027
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 11:59 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | — |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | — |
When will CMS announce the addition of GLP-1 drugs for obesity to Part D? — 3 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 12:55 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 20, 2029 | bid 20¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 10¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 2¢ / ask 70¢ |
Will the Kentucky State Fair ham auction set a record?: Yes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 4:29 PM ET
California and Paramount settle WBD merger suit?: Yes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:31 PM ET
FTC investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?: Yes (bid 30¢ / ask 39¢) — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:27 PM ET
Will courts let the 75-country visa suspension resume?: Yes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:21 PM ET
AfD in a German state government in 2026?: Yes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:18 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 14 events, 90 markets
Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028? — 10 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 3:20 PM ET
Tracking: Saskatchewan, Quebec, Prince Edward Island, Ontario, Nova Scotia, Newfoundland and Labrador, New Brunswick, Manitoba, British Columbia, Alberta
Swedish general election: Sweden Democrats vote percent — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 3:12 PM ET
Swedish general election: Centre Party vote percent — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 3:12 PM ET
Swedish general election: Green Party vote percent — 8 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 3:13 PM ET
Berlin State Election: 4th Place — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET
Tracking: SPD, Grüne, FDP, Die Linke, CDU, BSW, AfD
Berlin State Election: 3rd Place — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET
Tracking: SPD, Grüne, FDP, Die Linke, CDU, BSW, AfD
Berlin State Election: 2nd Place — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 3:14 PM ET
Tracking: SPD, Grüne, FDP, Die Linke, CDU, BSW, AfD
Swedish general election: Moderate Party vote percent — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 3:12 PM ET
Swedish general election: Swedish Social Democratic Party vote percent — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 3:11 PM ET
Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election? — 6 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 3:16 PM ET
Tracking: No one, Lars Klingbeil, Friedrich Merz, Felix Banaszak, Baerbel Bas, Alice Weidel
Who will DSA endorse in the 2028 presidential election? — 6 outcomes — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 1:46 AM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Shawn Fain | bid 3¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Rashida Tlaib | bid 3¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Ro Khanna | bid 3¢ / ask 10¢ |
| No one | bid 47¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Bernie Sanders | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | bid 16¢ / ask 25¢ |
Who will be the next UN Secretary-General? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 12:02 PM ET
Tracking: Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett, Macky Sall, Olara Otunnu
Which of these parties will win a Riksdag seat? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 24, 2026 at 3:16 PM ET
Tracking: Örebropartiet, Liberals
Parti Québécois majority in Quebec's National Assembly?: 64 or more — listed Aug 24, 2026 at 3:17 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,517 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,960 | 18 | Nasdaq above/below, DJI Hourly, S&P 500 above/below, +15 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 392 | 59 | Where will it rain this weekend?, Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional DC Temperature, +56 more |
| 📊 Economics | 118 | 8 | New Jersey gas price this week, US gas price up, TSA check-ins this week, +5 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 47 | 6 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Album be runner up this week?, Billboard Top 200 #1, +3 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.