📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 10 at 8:30 AM ET through Oct 11 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 216 unique markets across 28 new events, plus 1,273 recurring bracket markets.

💹 Financials
2 events
6 markets
📊 Economics
2 events
22 markets
🎬 Entertainment
3 events
45 markets
🗳️ Elections
4 events
22 markets
🔬 Science and Technology
8 events
72 markets
🏛️ Politics
9 events
49 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 11, 2026?: 38.0% bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 37.9% bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Below 37.5% bid 1¢ / ask 3¢

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 11, 2026?: 9.0% bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 8.9% bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above 9.0% bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Google share of requests on Oct 14, 2026 (Vercel): Above 11.3% bid 84¢ / ask 88¢, Above 12.2% bid 81¢ / ask 87¢, Above 15.1% bid 24¢ / ask 43¢

Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico?: Before Jul 1, 2027 bid 1¢ / ask 6¢, Before Jan 1, 2028 bid 1¢ / ask 8¢, Before Jan 1, 2030 bid 8¢ / ask 16¢

Sanae Takaichi announces departure as Prime Minister of Japan?: Before Jul 1, 2027 bid 1¢ / ask 7¢, Before Jan 1, 2029 bid 26¢ / ask 34¢, Before Jul 1, 2028 bid 11¢ / ask 19¢

Narendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India?: Before Jul 1, 2027 bid 1¢ / ask 8¢, Before Jan 1, 2029 bid 31¢ / ask 39¢, Before Jul 1, 2028 bid 6¢ / ask 14¢

Giorgia Meloni announces departure as Prime Minister of Italy?: Before Jan 1, 2028 bid 48¢ / ask 56¢, Before Jul 1, 2027 bid 29¢ / ask 37¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

📊 Economics
💹 Financials
🎬 Entertainment
🗳️ Elections
🔬 Science and Technology
🏛️ Politics

All New Events

💹 Financials — 2 events, 6 markets

Domino's Foot Traffic in October — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Walmart Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 10, 2026 at 10:01 AM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

📊 Economics — 2 events, 22 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Oct 11, 2026 at 6:01 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $6.325bid 4¢ / ask 40¢
Above $6.320bid 1¢ / ask 49¢
Above $6.315bid 1¢ / ask 49¢
Above $6.310bid 1¢ / ask 49¢
Above $6.305bid 1¢ / ask 49¢
Above $6.300bid 1¢ / ask 49¢
Above $6.295bid 1¢ / ask 49¢
Above $6.290bid 1¢ / ask 49¢
Above $6.285bid 1¢ / ask 49¢
Above $6.280bid 2¢ / ask 75¢
Above $6.275ask 94¢ (no bids)
Above $6.270—
Above $6.265bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above $6.260bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above $6.255bid 5¢ (no asks)
Above $6.250bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.245bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.240bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.235bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.230bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.225bid 11¢ (no asks)

Will U.S. GivingTuesday donations set a new record in 2026?: GivingTuesday Record Broken (bid 81¢ / ask 89¢) — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 2:12 PM ET

🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 45 markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 12, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: Yeshanagula, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), TRALALA, Shararat, Parvati, KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 12: z5y8Clp_TdE], KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 6: xvT1jH8B9AM], GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION], Dai Dai, DADDY YANKEE- BOTZ (Bésame OTra veZ) Official Video, Casa Tupka Anthemo, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat, Aathi Iva Yarraa Lyric | SCENE | Suriya | Nazriya Nazim | Naslen | Sushin Shyam | JithuMadhavan

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 12, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: Yeshanagula, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), TRALALA, Shararat, Parvati, KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 12: z5y8Clp_TdE], KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 6: xvT1jH8B9AM], GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION], Dai Dai, DADDY YANKEE- BOTZ (Bésame OTra veZ) Official Video, Casa Tupka Anthemo, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat, Aathi Iva Yarraa Lyric | SCENE | Suriya | Nazriya Nazim | Naslen | Sushin Shyam | JithuMadhavan

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 12, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 11, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: WTF GOIN, Todo Lo Fue, Patient Zero, Nicole Kidman, Janice STFU, HOTEL LOBBY (Unc & Phew) (- A COLORS SHOW), Gunna - pop it [Official Video], FF, Dai Dai, DADDY YANKEE- BOTZ (Bésame OTra veZ) Official Video, Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 6: hLOheGDwD_0], Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 2: nUsrYVxrDwI], BbY WOW, Alma Rota, AH HA

🔗 View on Kalshi →

🗳️ Elections — 4 events, 22 markets

Who will run for Louisiana Governor in 2027? — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 6:13 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Mitch Landrieubid 15¢ / ask 25¢
Jay Luneaubid 35¢ / ask 45¢
Jeff Landrybid 65¢ / ask 75¢
John Flemingbid 35¢ / ask 45¢
John Bel Edwardsbid 15¢ / ask 25¢
Jamie Davisbid 35¢ / ask 45¢
Garret Gravesbid 55¢ / ask 65¢
Billy Nungesserbid 35¢ / ask 45¢

Who will run for Mississippi Governor in 2027? — 6 outcomes — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 6:14 PM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Tommy Duffbid 65¢ / ask 75¢
Shad Whitebid 35¢ / ask 45¢
Jim Hoodbid 35¢ / ask 45¢
Gregg Harperbid 35¢ / ask 45¢
Delbert Hosemannbid 60¢ / ask 70¢
Brandon Presleybid 35¢ / ask 45¢

Who will run for Kentucky Governor in 2027? — 6 outcomes — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 6:13 PM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Thomas Massiebid 35¢ / ask 45¢
Scott Jenningsbid 55¢ / ask 65¢
Nate Morrisbid 55¢ / ask 65¢
James Comerbid 55¢ / ask 65¢
Damon Thayerbid 35¢ / ask 45¢
Daniel Cameronbid 35¢ / ask 45¢

Kentucky Democratic Governor nominee? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 6:14 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Rocky Adkinsbid 60¢ / ask 70¢
Jacqueline Colemanbid 30¢ / ask 40¢

🔬 Science and Technology — 8 events, 72 markets

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 14, 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 72.2%bid 2¢ / ask 24¢
Above 67.9%bid 15¢ / ask 34¢
Above 65.1%bid 24¢ / ask 54¢
Above 63.0%bid 29¢ / ask 59¢
Above 60.9%bid 30¢ / ask 69¢
Above 56.2%bid 40¢ / ask 69¢
Above 51.2%bid 60¢ / ask 79¢
Above 49.4%bid 75¢ / ask 94¢
Above 44.7%bid 88¢ / ask 97¢

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 14, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 9.9%bid 48¢ / ask 68¢
Above 6.4%bid 17¢ / ask 86¢
Above 5.0%bid 24¢ / ask 89¢
Above 20.3%bid 3¢ / ask 17¢
Above 17.6%bid 7¢ / ask 38¢
Above 14.8%bid 18¢ / ask 38¢
Above 13.3%bid 25¢ / ask 40¢
Above 11.7%bid 35¢ / ask 56¢
Above 10.8%bid 42¢ / ask 62¢

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 14, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 24.2%bid 2¢ / ask 29¢
Above 22.9%bid 5¢ / ask 20¢
Above 21.7%bid 9¢ / ask 22¢
Above 21.5%bid 11¢ / ask 80¢
Above 19.7%bid 22¢ / ask 53¢
Above 18.0%bid 14¢ / ask 55¢
Above 17.6%bid 29¢ / ask 66¢
Above 16.4%bid 38¢ / ask 79¢
Above 15.7%bid 33¢ / ask 84¢

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 14, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 47.8%bid 2¢ / ask 36¢
Above 46.2%bid 2¢ / ask 38¢
Above 44.8%bid 6¢ / ask 30¢
Above 43.5%bid 3¢ / ask 27¢
Above 40.4%bid 21¢ / ask 34¢
Above 39.4%bid 13¢ / ask 33¢
Above 39.2%bid 13¢ / ask 66¢
Above 36.6%bid 25¢ / ask 66¢
Above 33.5%bid 25¢ / ask 86¢

Google share of requests on Oct 14, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 17.8%bid 10¢ / ask 48¢
Above 17.3%bid 11¢ / ask 49¢
Above 16.4%bid 16¢ / ask 46¢
Above 15.8%bid 18¢ / ask 50¢
Above 15.1%bid 24¢ / ask 43¢
Above 13.9%bid 34¢ / ask 58¢
Above 13.5%bid 33¢ / ask 63¢
Above 12.2%bid 81¢ / ask 87¢
Above 11.3%bid 84¢ / ask 88¢

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 14, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 27.8%bid 3¢ / ask 16¢
Above 27.2%bid 4¢ / ask 17¢
Above 26.0%bid 8¢ / ask 20¢
Above 25.6%bid 11¢ / ask 21¢
Above 25.3%bid 12¢ / ask 25¢
Above 24.9%bid 16¢ / ask 27¢
Above 24.1%bid 24¢ / ask 36¢
Above 21.8%bid 53¢ / ask 68¢
Above 19.2%bid 51¢ / ask 91¢

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 14, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 9.1%bid 10¢ / ask 48¢
Above 8.4%bid 16¢ / ask 52¢
Above 8.2%bid 19¢ / ask 52¢
Above 8.0%bid 21¢ / ask 53¢
Above 7.8%bid 23¢ / ask 54¢
Above 7.6%bid 20¢ / ask 51¢
Above 6.5%bid 45¢ / ask 57¢
Above 5.6%bid 39¢ / ask 73¢
Above 5.2%bid 59¢ / ask 80¢

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 14, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 9.7%bid 15¢ / ask 90¢
Above 9.0%bid 49¢ / ask 93¢
Above 19.4%bid 3¢ / ask 35¢
Above 13.5%bid 37¢ / ask 63¢
Above 12.8%bid 30¢ / ask 61¢
Above 11.7%bid 37¢ / ask 69¢
Above 10.9%bid 35¢ / ask 83¢
Above 10.5%bid 27¢ / ask 80¢
Above 10.1%bid 45¢ / ask 83¢

🏛️ Politics — 9 events, 49 markets

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 11, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)
BracketPrice
Below 37.5%bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
38.1%last 1¢ (book empty)
38.0%bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
37.9%bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
37.8%bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
37.7%bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
37.6%bid 52¢ / ask 57¢
37.5%bid 5¢ / ask 9¢
Above 38.1%bid 4¢ / ask 9¢

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 11, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)
BracketPrice
Below 8.4%bid 6¢ / ask 50¢
9.0%bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
8.9%bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
8.8%bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
8.7%bid 24¢ / ask 60¢
8.6%bid 4¢ / ask 9¢
8.5%bid 17¢ / ask 24¢
8.4%bid 6¢ / ask 24¢
Above 9.0%bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 11, 2026? — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
<5bid 1¢ / ask 19¢
40+—
5-9bid 1¢ / ask 33¢
30-39bid 1¢ / ask 50¢
25-29bid 1¢ / ask 50¢
20-24bid 1¢ / ask 50¢
15-19bid 1¢ / ask 50¢
10-14bid 1¢ / ask 50¢

Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico? — 6 outcomes — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 2:56 PM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Jan 1, 2030bid 8¢ / ask 16¢
Before Jul 1, 2029bid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Before Jan 1, 2029bid 4¢ / ask 12¢
Before Jul 1, 2028bid 2¢ / ask 10¢
Before Jan 1, 2028bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
Before Jul 1, 2027bid 1¢ / ask 6¢

Mark Carney announces departure as Prime Minister of Canada? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 2:56 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Jul 1, 2029bid 51¢ / ask 59¢
Before Jan 1, 2029bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
Before Jul 1, 2028bid 11¢ / ask 19¢
Before Jan 1, 2028bid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Before Jul 1, 2027bid 1¢ / ask 9¢

Narendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India? — 4 outcomes — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 2:56 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Jan 1, 2029bid 31¢ / ask 39¢
Before Jul 1, 2028bid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Before Jan 1, 2028bid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Before Jul 1, 2027bid 1¢ / ask 8¢

Sanae Takaichi announces departure as Prime Minister of Japan? — 4 outcomes — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 2:56 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Jan 1, 2029bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
Before Jul 1, 2028bid 11¢ / ask 19¢
Before Jan 1, 2028bid 4¢ / ask 12¢
Before Jul 1, 2027bid 1¢ / ask 7¢

When will Trump rename an ocean? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 6:35 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Nov 1, 2026last 23¢ (book empty)
Before Dec 1, 2026last 35¢ (book empty)

Giorgia Meloni announces departure as Prime Minister of Italy? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 10, 2026 at 2:56 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Jan 1, 2028bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
Before Jul 1, 2027bid 29¢ / ask 37¢

🔄 Recurring Markets

1,273 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

CategoryMarketsSeriesTop Series
📊 Economics88652Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand, West Virginia gas price, Vermont gas price, +49 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather37154Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more
🎬 Entertainment151DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO
🏛️ Politics11Will Trump do anything?

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.