📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (May 21 at 5:41 PM ET through May 22 at 5:41 PM ET). Our scan picked up 228 unique markets across 45 new events, plus 649 recurring bracket markets.

🗳️ Elections
3 events
4 markets
🔬 Science and Technology
3 events
18 markets
🎬 Entertainment
5 events
6 markets
📊 Economics
5 events
48 markets
💹 Financials
12 events
73 markets
🏛️ Politics
17 events
79 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?: Mike Flynn bid 1¢ / ask 1¢, Devin Nunes bid 31¢ / ask 32¢, John Ratcliffe bid 2¢ / ask 4¢

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?: Pete Hegseth bid 17¢ / ask 18¢, Mike Waltz bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Marco Rubio bid 2¢ / ask 3¢

Germany GDP growth rate YoY flash for Q2 2026: Above 2.4%, Above 2.2%, Above 2.0% all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Germany GDP growth rate QoQ flash for Q2 2026: Above 0.9% bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 0.8% bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 0.7% bid 2¢ / ask 3¢

EV commodity prices on May 22, 2026: Above 1259.32 bid 95¢ / ask 96¢, Above 1279.32 bid 6¢ / ask 8¢, Above 1269.32 bid 55¢ / ask 60¢

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. passengers carried in Q2 2026: Above 885 thousand bid 38¢ / ask 39¢, Above 855 thousand bid 63¢ / ask 65¢, Above 915 thousand bid 14¢ / ask 17¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🗳️ Elections
🔬 Science and Technology
📊 Economics
🎬 Entertainment
💹 Financials
🏛️ Politics

All New Events

🗳️ Elections — 3 events, 4 markets

MI-13 Republican nominee? — 2 outcomes — listed May 22, 2026 at 10:36 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Articia Bomerbid 2¢ / ask 43¢
Andrew Lorenzbid 2¢ / ask 43¢

FL-23 Republican nominee?: Darlene Cerezo Swaffar (bid 2¢ / ask 54¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 10:35 AM ET

Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (5/22-5/29)?: Above 7.4% (bid 63¢ / ask 64¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 10:14 AM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 3 events, 18 markets

Top Coding AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 22, 2026 at 1:48 PM ET

Tracking: Qwen, MiniMax, Kimi, Grok, GLM, Gemini, Dola, Claude, ChatGPT

Best AI this week? — 8 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 22, 2026 at 12:02 PM ET

Tracking: Grok, ChatGPT, Muse, Gemini, Dola, Claude, Amazon Nova, Qwen

SpaceX Starship 12th launch?: Before May 27 (bid 83¢ / ask 96¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

🎬 Entertainment — 5 events, 6 markets

TIME's Person of the Year for 2026? — 2 outcomes — listed May 21, 2026 at 6:13 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Péter Magyarask 13¢ (no bids)
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibafask 13¢ (no bids)

Who will release a new album in 2026?: Rüfüs Du Sol (bid 56¢ / ask 74¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET

Oscar nominations for Best Supporting Actor?: Daniel Craig (bid 16¢ / ask 24¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 1:22 PM ET

Oscar nominations for Best Music (Original Score)?: The Mandalorian and Grogu (bid 1¢ / ask 9¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 1:17 PM ET

📊 Economics — 5 events, 48 markets

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 2.4%bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 2.2%bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 2.0%bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1.8%bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1.6%bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Above 1.4%bid 8¢ / ask 17¢
Above 1.2%bid 3¢ / ask 18¢
Above 1.0%bid 11¢ / ask 19¢
Above 0.8%bid 18¢ / ask 34¢
Above 0.6%bid 36¢ / ask 45¢
Above 0.4%bid 58¢ / ask 66¢
Above -0.4%bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above 0.2%bid 84¢ / ask 86¢
Above -0.2%bid 85¢ / ask 95¢
Above 0.0%bid 83¢ / ask 84¢
View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 0.9%bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 0.8%bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 0.7%bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 0.6%bid 3¢ / ask 12¢
Above 0.5%bid 10¢ / ask 14¢
Above -0.5%bid 94¢ / ask 95¢
Above 0.4%bid 4¢ / ask 15¢
Above -0.4%bid 93¢ / ask 95¢
Above 0.3%bid 21¢ / ask 23¢
Above -0.3%bid 88¢ / ask 89¢
Above 0.2%bid 23¢ / ask 25¢
Above -0.2%bid 67¢ / ask 71¢
Above 0.1%bid 33¢ / ask 39¢
Above -0.1%bid 57¢ / ask 69¢
Above 0.0%bid 41¢ / ask 57¢

EV commodity prices on May 22, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed May 21, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 1329.32last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1319.32last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1309.32last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1299.32last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1289.32last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1279.32bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Above 1269.32bid 55¢ / ask 60¢
Above 1259.32bid 95¢ / ask 96¢
Above 1249.32bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1239.32bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1229.32bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1219.32bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1209.32bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1199.32bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1189.32bid 99¢ (no asks)

Costco hot dog price increase — 2 outcomes — listed May 22, 2026 at 10:24 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before 2029bid 32¢ / ask 39¢
Before 2030bid 49¢ / ask 56¢

Will another White House Correspondents' Dinner be held in 2026?: In 2026 (bid 77¢ / ask 84¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 11:29 AM ET

💹 Financials — 12 events, 73 markets

Urban Outfitters total stores in Q2 — 7 brackets — listed May 21, 2026 at 7:57 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 818bid 8¢ / ask 11¢
Above 816bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
Above 814bid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Above 812bid 29¢ / ask 33¢
Above 810bid 54¢ / ask 58¢
Above 808bid 78¢ / ask 79¢
Above 806bid 89¢ / ask 90¢

Home Depot customer transactions in Q2 — 7 brackets — listed May 21, 2026 at 7:57 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 450 millionbid 17¢ / ask 20¢
Above 440 millionbid 82¢ / ask 86¢
Above 430 millionbid 85¢ / ask 90¢
Above 420 millionbid 90¢ / ask 93¢
Above 410 millionbid 94¢ / ask 96¢
Above 400 millionbid 94¢ / ask 96¢
Above 390 millionbid 93¢ / ask 94¢

Target transactions change in Q2 — 7 brackets — listed May 21, 2026 at 7:57 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 5%bid 22¢ / ask 23¢
Above 4.5%bid 24¢ / ask 28¢
Above 4%bid 32¢ / ask 36¢
Above 3.5%bid 46¢ / ask 50¢
Above 3%bid 60¢ / ask 63¢
Above 2.5%bid 71¢ / ask 74¢
Above 2%bid 77¢ / ask 83¢
View market strikes (7 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 38 billionbid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Above 37 billionbid 16¢ / ask 18¢
Above 36 billionbid 34¢ / ask 35¢
Above 35 billionbid 50¢ / ask 53¢
Above 34 billionbid 61¢ / ask 62¢
Above 33 billionbid 78¢ / ask 81¢
Above 32 billionbid 91¢ / ask 94¢
View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 915 thousandbid 14¢ / ask 17¢
Above 900 thousandbid 24¢ / ask 27¢
Above 885 thousandbid 38¢ / ask 39¢
Above 870 thousandbid 46¢ / ask 50¢
Above 855 thousandbid 63¢ / ask 65¢
Above 840 thousandbid 73¢ / ask 76¢

Toll Brothers delivered homes in Q3 — 6 brackets — listed May 21, 2026 at 7:57 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 3100bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Above 3000bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Above 2900bid 16¢ / ask 17¢
Above 2800bid 23¢ / ask 24¢
Above 2700bid 49¢ / ask 52¢
Above 2600bid 73¢ / ask 74¢

Wyndham Hotels total rooms in Q2 — 6 brackets — listed May 21, 2026 at 7:56 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 885 thousandbid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Above 882 thousandbid 16¢ / ask 19¢
Above 879 thousandbid 38¢ / ask 39¢
Above 876 thousandbid 56¢ / ask 61¢
Above 873 thousandbid 69¢ / ask 74¢
Above 870 thousandbid 84¢ / ask 88¢

Ferrari total shipments in Q2 — 6 brackets — listed May 21, 2026 at 7:56 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 3550bid 11¢ / ask 14¢
Above 3500bid 16¢ / ask 17¢
Above 3450bid 30¢ / ask 33¢
Above 3400bid 42¢ / ask 47¢
Above 3350bid 73¢ / ask 74¢
Above 3300bid 83¢ / ask 87¢

Meta headcount in Q2 — 6 brackets — listed May 21, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 78500bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above 78000bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Above 77500bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Above 77000bid 23¢ / ask 25¢
Above 76500bid 30¢ / ask 31¢
Above 76000bid 57¢ / ask 59¢

Hims & Hers subscribers in Q2 — 5 brackets — listed May 22, 2026 at 11:52 AM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 2.88 millionbid 69¢ / ask 74¢
Above 2.92 millionbid 60¢ / ask 65¢
Above 2.96 millionbid 50¢ / ask 54¢
Above 3.00 millionbid 30¢ / ask 37¢
Above 3.04 millionbid 22¢ / ask 25¢

CAVA restaurants in Q2 — 5 brackets — listed May 21, 2026 at 7:56 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 490bid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Above 485bid 14¢ / ask 18¢
Above 480bid 27¢ / ask 33¢
Above 475bid 80¢ / ask 85¢
Above 470bid 97¢ / ask 98¢

Marriott International total rooms in Q2 — 5 brackets — listed May 21, 2026 at 7:56 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 1.825 millionbid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Above 1.82 millionbid 19¢ / ask 23¢
Above 1.815 millionbid 35¢ / ask 38¢
Above 1.81 millionbid 67¢ / ask 72¢
Above 1.805 millionbid 83¢ / ask 87¢

🏛️ Politics — 17 events, 79 markets

Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — 21 outcomes — listed May 22, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET

View market options (21 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Susie Wilesbid 7¢ / ask 13¢
Scott Turnerbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Sean Duffybid 12¢ / ask 18¢
Scott Bessentbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Russell Voughtbid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.bid 7¢ / ask 12¢
Pete Hegsethbid 17¢ / ask 18¢
Mike Waltzbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Marco Rubiobid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Markwayne Mullinbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Michael Kratsiosbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Lee Zeldinbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Linda McMahonbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Kelly Loefflerbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
John Ratcliffebid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Jamieson Greerbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Howard Lutnickbid 30¢ / ask 36¢
Doug Collinsbid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Doug Burgumbid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Chris Wrightbid 7¢ / ask 13¢
Brooke Rollinsbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
View market options (18 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Tom Cotton
Stephen Miller
Sebastian Gorka
Stacey Dixon
Richard Grenellbid 15¢ / ask 19¢
Mike Waltz
Mike Flynnbid 1¢ / ask 1¢
Michael Ellisask 7¢ (no bids)
Kash Patel
John Ratcliffebid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Devin Nunesbid 31¢ / ask 32¢
Derek Harvey
Chris Stewart
Aaron Lukasbid 29¢ / ask 33¢
Amaryllis Fox Kennedy
Elise Stefanikbid 22¢ / ask 29¢
Scott Perry
Rick Crawfordask 7¢ (no bids)
View market options (8 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Jan 2027bid 78¢ / ask 82¢
Before Sep 2026bid 38¢ / ask 43¢
Before Oct 2026bid 48¢ / ask 53¢
Before Nov 2026bid 58¢ / ask 63¢
Before Jun 2026bid 3¢ / ask 6¢
Before Jul 2026bid 18¢ / ask 23¢
Before Dec 2026bid 68¢ / ask 73¢
Before Aug 2026bid 28¢ / ask 33¢

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (5/24-5/30) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 22, 2026 at 10:24 AM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Sep 1, 2026bid 34¢ / ask 40¢
Before May 25, 2026bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Before Jun 15, 2026bid 7¢ / ask 13¢
Before Jun 1, 2026bid 3¢ / ask 8¢
Before Jul 1, 2026bid 20¢ / ask 25¢
Before Aug 1, 2026bid 22¢ / ask 28¢

Trump late night post this week? (5/24-5/30) — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 22, 2026 at 10:24 AM ET

Tracking: 5-6 AM, 4-5 AM, 3-4 AM, 2-3 AM, 1-2 AM

Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 22, 2026 at 12:18 PM ET

Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2027, Before Aug 1, 2026

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Jan 1, 2028bid 17¢ / ask 24¢
Before Jan 20, 2029bid 22¢ / ask 29¢

Which bills will become law in 2026? — 2 outcomes — listed May 22, 2026 at 10:56 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Jewish American securitybid 52¢ / ask 59¢
College sports federalizationbid 22¢ / ask 29¢

Jessica Tisch out as NYPD commissioner?: Before Jul 1, 2026 (bid 29¢ / ask 44¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 11:28 AM ET

Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 53¢ / ask 57¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 11:18 AM ET

Will Trump win his BBC lawsuit?: Before 2028 (bid 19¢ / ask 24¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 11:17 AM ET

Who will join the Trump administration before July?: Nate Morris (bid 2¢ / ask 9¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 11:08 AM ET

When will Trump's Attorney General pick be announced?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 77¢ / ask 84¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 11:05 AM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

649 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.