📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (May 22 at 8:30 AM ET through May 23 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 115 unique markets across 31 new events, plus 511 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?: Sebastian Gorka bid 2¢ / ask 2¢, Stacey Dixon bid 1¢ / ask 1¢, Richard Grenell bid 7¢ / ask 7¢
When will Trump's Director of National Intelligence pick be announced?: Before Sep 1, 2026 bid 39¢ / ask 40¢, Before May 25, 2026 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Before Jun 1, 2026 bid 7¢ / ask 8¢
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?: Before Jan 2027 bid 79¢ / ask 80¢, Before Sep 2026 bid 40¢ / ask 41¢, Before Oct 2026 bid 51¢ / ask 52¢
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?: Scott Turner bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Sean Duffy bid 11¢ / ask 12¢, Scott Bessent bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 — bid 56¢ / ask 57¢
Will Trump win his BBC lawsuit?: Before 2028 — bid 23¢ / ask 24¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- FL-23 Republican nominee?
- Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (5/22-5/29)?
- MI-13 Republican nominee?
- Oscar nominations for Best Music (Original Score)?
- Oscar nominations for Best Supporting Actor?
- Who will have a #1 song on Spotify Global in May?
- Who will release a new album in 2026?
- How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (5/24-5/30)
- Jessica Tisch departure announced?
- Trump late night post this week? (5/24-5/30)
- When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
- When will Trump's Attorney General pick be announced?
- When will Trump's Director of National Intelligence pick be announced?
- Which bills will become law in 2026?
- Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026?
- Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence?
- Who will join the Trump administration before July?
- Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
- Will anyone receive payment from Trump’s Anti-Weaponization Fund in 2026?
- Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
- Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent in 2026?
- Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (5/24 - 5/30)
- Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/25-5/31)
- Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice?
- Will Trump win his BBC lawsuit?
All New Events
💹 Financials — 1 event, 5 markets
Hims & Hers subscribers in Q2 — 5 brackets — listed May 22, 2026 at 11:52 AM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 2.88 million | bid 59¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 2.92 million | bid 48¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 2.96 million | bid 35¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Above 3.00 million | bid 22¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above 3.04 million | bid 13¢ / ask 18¢ |
📊 Economics — 2 events, 3 markets
Costco hot dog price increase — 2 outcomes — listed May 22, 2026 at 10:24 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before 2029 | bid 32¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Before 2030 | bid 49¢ / ask 56¢ |
Will another White House Correspondents' Dinner be held in 2026?: In 2026 (bid 80¢ / ask 82¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 11:29 AM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 2 events, 17 markets
Top Coding AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 22, 2026 at 1:48 PM ET
Tracking: Qwen, MiniMax, Kimi, Grok, GLM, Gemini, Dola, Claude, ChatGPT
Best AI this week? — 8 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 22, 2026 at 12:02 PM ET
Tracking: Grok, ChatGPT, Muse, Gemini, Dola, Claude, Amazon Nova, Qwen
🎬 Entertainment — 4 events, 4 markets
Who will release a new album in 2026?: Rüfüs Du Sol (bid 56¢ / ask 74¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET
Oscar nominations for Best Supporting Actor?: Daniel Craig (bid 3¢ / ask 10¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 1:22 PM ET
Oscar nominations for Best Music (Original Score)?: The Mandalorian and Grogu (bid 3¢ / ask 13¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 1:17 PM ET
Who will have a #1 song on Spotify Global in May?: Kendrick Lamar — listed May 22, 2026 at 1:13 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 4 events, 5 markets
MI-13 Republican nominee? — 2 outcomes — listed May 22, 2026 at 10:36 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Articia Bomer | bid 1¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Andrew Lorenz | bid 1¢ / ask 43¢ |
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?: Rahm Emanuel — listed May 22, 2026 at 5:55 PM ET
FL-23 Republican nominee?: Darlene Cerezo Swaffar (bid 1¢ / ask 53¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 10:35 AM ET
Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (5/22-5/29)?: Above 7.4% (bid 61¢ / ask 62¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 10:14 AM ET
🏛️ Politics — 18 events, 81 markets
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — 21 outcomes — listed May 22, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET
View market options (21 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Susie Wiles | bid 7¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Scott Turner | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Sean Duffy | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Scott Bessent | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Russell Vought | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | bid 5¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Pete Hegseth | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Mike Waltz | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Marco Rubio | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Markwayne Mullin | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Michael Kratsios | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Lee Zeldin | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Linda McMahon | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Kelly Loeffler | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| John Ratcliffe | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Jamieson Greer | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Howard Lutnick | bid 31¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Doug Collins | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Doug Burgum | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Chris Wright | bid 7¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Brooke Rollins | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence? — 18 outcomes — listed May 22, 2026 at 2:02 PM ET
View market options (18 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tom Cotton | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Stephen Miller | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Sebastian Gorka | bid 2¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Stacey Dixon | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| Richard Grenell | bid 7¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Mike Waltz | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| Mike Flynn | bid 7¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Michael Ellis | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Kash Patel | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| John Ratcliffe | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Devin Nunes | bid 17¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Derek Harvey | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| Chris Stewart | bid 2¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Aaron Lukas | bid 31¢ / ask 32¢ |
| Amaryllis Fox Kennedy | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| Elise Stefanik | bid 12¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Scott Perry | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Rick Crawford | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — 8 outcomes — listed May 22, 2026 at 1:52 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 2027 | bid 79¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Before Sep 2026 | bid 40¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Before Oct 2026 | bid 51¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Before Nov 2026 | bid 61¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Before Jun 2026 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Before Jul 2026 | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Before Dec 2026 | bid 69¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Before Aug 2026 | bid 30¢ / ask 31¢ |
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (5/24-5/30) — 7 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 22, 2026 at 10:24 AM ET
When will Trump's Director of National Intelligence pick be announced? — 6 outcomes — listed May 22, 2026 at 2:12 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 39¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Before May 25, 2026 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Before Jun 15, 2026 | bid 11¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Before Jun 1, 2026 | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | bid 23¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | bid 24¢ / ask 28¢ |
Trump late night post this week? (5/24-5/30) — 5 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 22, 2026 at 10:24 AM ET
Tracking: 5-6 AM, 4-5 AM, 3-4 AM, 2-3 AM, 1-2 AM
Which countries will have their US Travel Advisory downgraded in 2026? — 2 outcomes — listed May 22, 2026 at 5:59 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Uganda | bid 54¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Democratic Republic of the Congo | bid 29¢ / ask 43¢ |
Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 22, 2026 at 12:18 PM ET
Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2027, Before Aug 1, 2026
Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent in 2026? — 2 outcomes — listed May 22, 2026 at 11:42 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 17¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Before Jan 20, 2029 | bid 24¢ / ask 31¢ |
Which bills will become law in 2026? — 2 outcomes — listed May 22, 2026 at 10:56 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Jewish American security | bid 52¢ / ask 59¢ |
| College sports federalization | bid 22¢ / ask 28¢ |
Jessica Tisch departure announced?: Before Jul 1, 2026 (bid 28¢ / ask 43¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 11:28 AM ET
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 56¢ / ask 57¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 11:18 AM ET
Will Trump win his BBC lawsuit?: Before 2028 (bid 23¢ / ask 24¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 11:17 AM ET
Who will join the Trump administration before July?: Nate Morris (bid 2¢ / ask 10¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 11:08 AM ET
Will anyone receive payment from Trump’s Anti-Weaponization Fund in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 30¢ / ask 31¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 11:06 AM ET
When will Trump's Attorney General pick be announced?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 77¢ / ask 84¢) — listed May 22, 2026 at 11:05 AM ET
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/25-5/31): Yes — listed May 22, 2026 at 10:24 AM ET
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (5/24 - 5/30): Above 0 — listed May 22, 2026 at 10:24 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
511 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 125 | 13 | Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, Daily US Spotify chart, Daily Global Spotify songs, +10 more |
| 📊 Economics | 53 | 4 | Euro Area Inflation Rate YoY Flash, United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel , Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence Change, +1 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 29 | 5 | Number of Trump Truth Social posts this week?, Will Trump do anything today?, President RCP approval rating this week, +2 more |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 15 | 6 | Top model, RTX 5090 Weekly Price, B200 Weekly Price, +3 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.