📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 01 at 6:30 PM ET through Sep 02 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 328 unique markets across 36 new events, plus 4,840 recurring bracket markets.

🔬 Science and Technology
1 event
11 markets
🗳️ Elections
2 events
10 markets
📊 Economics
5 events
73 markets
💹 Financials
5 events
75 markets
🎬 Entertainment
10 events
127 markets
🏛️ Politics
13 events
32 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz?: Before Sep 15, 2026 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Before Oct 1, 2026 bid 4¢ / ask 6¢

Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision in October: Cut more than 25bps bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Cut 1-25bps bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Hike more than 25bps bid 1¢ / ask 5¢

Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $5.735 bid 91¢ / ask 92¢, Above $5.715 bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, Above $5.730 bid 91¢ / ask 95¢

5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 3, 2026?: 4.47% or above bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, 4.45% or above bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, 4.55% or above bid 37¢ / ask 41¢

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 3, 2026: Parvati bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Mutta Kalakki (From "Youth") ask 88¢ (no bids), Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela bid 8¢ (no asks)

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 3, 2026: Parvati bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Dai Dai bid 14¢ (no asks), Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela ask 85¢ (no bids)

30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 3, 2026?: 5.17% or above bid 97¢ / ask 99¢, 5.31% or above bid 5¢ / ask 8¢, 5.25% or above bid 69¢ / ask 73¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🔬 Science and Technology
🗳️ Elections
📊 Economics
💹 Financials
🎬 Entertainment
🏛️ Politics

All New Events

🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 11 markets

Where will Waymo operate in 2026? — 11 outcomes — listed Sep 01, 2026 at 6:50 PM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Baltimore, MDbid 16¢ / ask 24¢
Boston, MAbid 36¢ / ask 44¢
Charlotte, NCbid 41¢ / ask 49¢
Chicago, ILbid 21¢ / ask 29¢
Minneapolis, MNbid 21¢ / ask 29¢
New Orleans, LAbid 26¢ / ask 34¢
New York, NYbid 26¢ / ask 34¢
Philadelphia, PAbid 31¢ / ask 39¢
Pittsburgh, PAbid 26¢ / ask 34¢
St. Louis, MObid 26¢ / ask 34¢
Tokyo, Japanbid 16¢ / ask 24¢

🗳️ Elections — 2 events, 10 markets

View market strikes (9 brackets)
BracketPrice
Below 39.3%ask 6¢ (no bids)
39.9%bid 31¢ / ask 49¢
39.8%bid 9¢ / ask 28¢
39.7%bid 3¢ / ask 15¢
39.6%bid 12¢ / ask 15¢
39.5%bid 2¢ / ask 10¢
39.4%last 1¢ (book empty)
39.3%last 4¢ (book empty)
Above 39.9%bid 13¢ / ask 29¢

Which lists will win a Knesset seat?: RZP-Zehut — listed Sep 02, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET

📊 Economics — 5 events, 73 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 31 brackets (showing 25) — listed Sep 02, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $5.740bid 81¢ / ask 94¢
Above $5.735bid 91¢ / ask 92¢
Above $5.730bid 91¢ / ask 95¢
Above $5.725bid 87¢ / ask 95¢
Above $5.720bid 86¢ / ask 98¢
Above $5.715bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above $5.710bid 84¢ / ask 98¢
Above $5.705bid 85¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.700bid 92¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.695bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $5.690bid 97¢ (no asks)
Above $5.685bid 95¢ (no asks)
Above $5.680bid 97¢ (no asks)
Above $5.675bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $5.670bid 75¢ (no asks)
Above $5.665bid 95¢ (no asks)
Above $5.660bid 94¢ (no asks)
Above $5.655bid 95¢ (no asks)
Above $5.650bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $5.645bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $5.640bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above $5.745bid 60¢ / ask 95¢
Above $5.750bid 38¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.755bid 21¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.760bid 10¢ (no asks)

+ 6 more

EV commodity prices on Sep 2, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 01, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 1314.46last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1304.46ask 9¢ (no bids)
Above 1294.46ask 9¢ (no bids)
Above 1284.46last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1274.46ask 6¢ (no bids)
Above 1264.46ask 5¢ (no bids)
Above 1254.46ask 6¢ (no bids)
Above 1244.46ask 68¢ (no bids)
Above 1234.46bid 3¢ / ask 64¢
Above 1224.46bid 24¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1214.46bid 80¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1204.46bid 92¢ (no asks)
Above 1194.46bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1184.46bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1174.46bid 98¢ (no asks)

US SPR level for the week ending September 4, 2026 — 12 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 02, 2026 at 5:32 PM ET

Diesel prices this week — 10 brackets — listed Sep 02, 2026 at 11:50 AM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $5.82bid 19¢ / ask 29¢
Above $5.84bid 11¢ / ask 21¢
Above $5.86bid 4¢ / ask 14¢
Above $5.88ask 9¢ (no bids)
Above $5.90ask 6¢ (no bids)
Above $5.92ask 5¢ (no bids)
Above $5.94ask 5¢ (no bids)
Above $5.96ask 5¢ (no bids)
Above $5.98ask 5¢ (no bids)
Above $6.00
View market options (5 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Maintain current ratebid 6¢ (no asks)
Hike more than 25bpsbid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Hike 1-25bpsask 92¢ (no bids)
Cut more than 25bpsbid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Cut 1-25bpsbid 1¢ / ask 2¢

💹 Financials — 5 events, 75 markets

30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 3, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 02, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
5.39% or above
5.37% or above
5.35% or aboveask 6¢ (no bids)
5.33% or aboveask 8¢ (no bids)
5.31% or abovebid 5¢ / ask 8¢
5.29% or abovebid 12¢ / ask 31¢
5.27% or abovebid 28¢ / ask 45¢
5.25% or abovebid 69¢ / ask 73¢
5.23% or abovebid 83¢ / ask 87¢
5.21% or abovebid 94¢ / ask 98¢
5.19% or abovebid 94¢ / ask 99¢
5.17% or abovebid 97¢ / ask 99¢
5.15% or abovebid 98¢ (no asks)
5.13% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)
5.11% or abovebid 99¢ (no asks)

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 3, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 02, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.94% or above
4.92% or above
4.9% or above
4.88% or above
4.86% or abovelast 6¢ (book empty)
4.84% or abovebid 7¢ / ask 13¢
4.82% or abovebid 17¢ / ask 21¢
4.8% or abovebid 31¢ / ask 41¢
4.78% or abovebid 49¢ / ask 67¢
4.76% or abovebid 65¢ / ask 84¢
4.74% or abovebid 82¢ / ask 93¢
4.72% or abovebid 88¢ / ask 99¢
4.7% or abovebid 94¢ / ask 99¢
4.68% or abovebid 96¢ (no asks)
4.66% or abovebid 98¢ (no asks)

7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 3, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 02, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.79% or above
4.77% or above
4.75% or aboveask 6¢ (no bids)
4.73% or abovebid 4¢ / ask 8¢
4.71% or abovebid 6¢ / ask 18¢
4.69% or abovebid 19¢ / ask 26¢
4.67% or abovebid 33¢ / ask 48¢
4.65% or abovebid 47¢ / ask 66¢
4.63% or abovebid 61¢ / ask 78¢
4.61% or abovebid 78¢ / ask 90¢
4.59% or abovebid 86¢ / ask 98¢
4.57% or abovebid 96¢ / ask 99¢
4.55% or abovebid 96¢ (no asks)
4.53% or abovebid 97¢ (no asks)
4.51% or abovebid 98¢ (no asks)

5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 3, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 02, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.69% or above
4.67% or above
4.65% or above
4.63% or aboveask 9¢ (no bids)
4.61% or abovebid 1¢ / ask 16¢
4.59% or abovebid 8¢ / ask 29¢
4.57% or abovebid 18¢ / ask 43¢
4.55% or abovebid 37¢ / ask 41¢
4.53% or abovebid 57¢ / ask 75¢
4.51% or abovebid 71¢ / ask 88¢
4.49% or abovebid 80¢ / ask 94¢
4.47% or abovebid 98¢ / ask 99¢
4.45% or abovebid 98¢ / ask 99¢
4.43% or abovebid 97¢ (no asks)
4.41% or abovebid 97¢ (no asks)

2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 3, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 02, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
4.54% or above
4.52% or above
4.5% or above
4.48% or above
4.46% or aboveask 9¢ (no bids)
4.44% or abovebid 3¢ / ask 7¢
4.42% or abovebid 15¢ / ask 19¢
4.4% or abovebid 25¢ / ask 34¢
4.38% or abovebid 38¢ / ask 46¢
4.36% or abovebid 63¢ / ask 68¢
4.34% or abovebid 80¢ / ask 84¢
4.32% or abovebid 88¢ / ask 92¢
4.3% or abovebid 86¢ / ask 99¢
4.28% or abovebid 92¢ (no asks)
4.26% or abovebid 96¢ (no asks)

🎬 Entertainment — 10 events, 127 markets

View market options (16 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Taylor Hansonbid 3¢ / ask 77¢
Tyler Cameronbid 3¢ / ask 73¢
Tatyana Alibid 3¢ / ask 77¢
Sarah Jane Naderbid 3¢ / ask 76¢
Maura Higginsbid 2¢ / ask 76¢
Julia Stilesbid 2¢ / ask 76¢
Jackson Olsonbid 3¢ / ask 77¢
Jenna Dewanbid 2¢ / ask 73¢
Harry Shum Jr.bid 2¢ / ask 76¢
Guillermo Rodriguezbid 3¢ / ask 77¢
Giada De Laurentiisbid 3¢ / ask 72¢
Ezra Frechbid 2¢ / ask 75¢
Connor Woodbid 3¢ / ask 76¢
Ciara Millerbid 2¢ / ask 76¢
Conner Leavittbid 2¢ / ask 75¢
Amber Glennbid 4¢ / ask 77¢
View market options (16 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Taylor Hansonbid 3¢ / ask 72¢
Tyler Cameronbid 3¢ / ask 76¢
Tatyana Alibid 4¢ / ask 76¢
Sarah Jane Naderbid 3¢ / ask 76¢
Maura Higginsbid 3¢ / ask 73¢
Julia Stilesbid 3¢ / ask 76¢
Jackson Olsonbid 3¢ / ask 75¢
Jenna Dewanbid 3¢ / ask 73¢
Harry Shum Jr.bid 3¢ / ask 75¢
Guillermo Rodriguezbid 3¢ / ask 74¢
Giada De Laurentiisbid 3¢ / ask 73¢
Ezra Frechbid 3¢ / ask 73¢
Connor Woodbid 2¢ / ask 72¢
Ciara Millerbid 3¢ / ask 72¢
Conner Leavittbid 3¢ / ask 74¢
Amber Glennbid 4¢ / ask 77¢
View market options (16 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Taylor Hanson
Tyler Cameron
Tatyana Ali
Sarah Jane Nader
Maura Higgins
Julia Stiles
Jackson Olson
Jenna Dewan
Harry Shum Jr.
Guillermo Rodriguez
Giada De Laurentiis
Ezra Frechbid 5¢ (no asks)
Connor Wood
Ciara Miller
Conner Leavittbid 6¢ (no asks)
Amber Glennbid 6¢ (no asks)
View market options (16 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Taylor Hansonbid 5¢ / ask 48¢
Tyler Cameronbid 5¢ / ask 48¢
Tatyana Alibid 6¢ / ask 58¢
Sarah Jane Naderbid 7¢ / ask 58¢
Maura Higginsbid 6¢ / ask 48¢
Julia Stilesbid 5¢ / ask 48¢
Jackson Olsonbid 4¢ / ask 27¢
Jenna Dewanbid 7¢ / ask 38¢
Harry Shum Jr.bid 7¢ / ask 48¢
Guillermo Rodriguezbid 5¢ / ask 71¢
Giada De Laurentiisbid 6¢ / ask 48¢
Ezra Frechbid 6¢ / ask 48¢
Connor Woodbid 8¢ / ask 48¢
Ciara Millerbid 5¢ / ask 48¢
Conner Leavittbid 5¢ / ask 48¢
Amber Glennbid 3¢ / ask 48¢

Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · Winner — 16 outcomes — listed Sep 02, 2026 at 12:04 PM ET

View market options (16 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Taylor Hansonbid 1¢ / ask 13¢
Tyler Cameronbid 2¢ / ask 36¢
Tatyana Alibid 2¢ / ask 29¢
Sarah Jane Naderbid 2¢ / ask 32¢
Maura Higginsbid 2¢ / ask 45¢
Julia Stilesbid 2¢ / ask 44¢
Jackson Olsonbid 3¢ / ask 54¢
Jenna Dewanbid 6¢ / ask 65¢
Harry Shum Jr.bid 2¢ / ask 59¢
Guillermo Rodriguezbid 1¢ / ask 22¢
Giada De Laurentiisbid 1¢ / ask 39¢
Ezra Frechbid 2¢ / ask 45¢
Connor Woodbid 2¢ / ask 40¢
Ciara Millerbid 1¢ / ask 36¢
Conner Leavittbid 2¢ / ask 45¢
Amber Glennbid 6¢ / ask 50¢
View market options (15 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odelabid 8¢ (no asks)
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klipask 90¢ (no bids)
Tera Mera Rishtaask 95¢ (no bids)
@SaiAbhyankkar - Radhimaa (Music Video) | Bhagyashri Borse | Vivek | Thejo Bharathwaj | Think Indieask 95¢ (no bids)
Parvatibid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Mutta Kalakki (From "Youth")ask 88¢ (no bids)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MVask 95¢ (no bids)
KALYANI (Remix)ask 89¢ (no bids)
Goldenask 95¢ (no bids)
Girls' Generation-HRS 소녀시대-효리수 'Skibidi' Performance Videoask 95¢ (no bids)
FALLEN ANGEL (Official Video)ask 95¢ (no bids)
Dai Daiask 89¢ (no bids)
BORN DIRE (Short ver.)ask 95¢ (no bids)
Basinga Balaaluask 95¢ (no bids)
Barbaadiask 95¢ (no bids)
View market options (15 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odelaask 85¢ (no bids)
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klipask 92¢ (no bids)
Tera Mera Rishtaask 95¢ (no bids)
@SaiAbhyankkar - Radhimaa (Music Video) | Bhagyashri Borse | Vivek | Thejo Bharathwaj | Think Indieask 95¢ (no bids)
Parvatibid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Mutta Kalakki (From "Youth")ask 87¢ (no bids)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MVask 95¢ (no bids)
KALYANI (Remix)ask 92¢ (no bids)
Goldenask 95¢ (no bids)
Girls' Generation-HRS 소녀시대-효리수 'Skibidi' Performance Videoask 92¢ (no bids)
FALLEN ANGEL (Official Video)ask 95¢ (no bids)
Dai Daibid 14¢ (no asks)
BORN DIRE (Short ver.)ask 95¢ (no bids)
Basinga Balaaluask 95¢ (no bids)
Barbaadiask 95¢ (no bids)
View market options (15 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Todo Lo Fuelast 1¢ (book empty)
Sunflowerask 91¢ (no bids)
Nini Uppuluri - Pretty Wings (Official Music video)last 1¢ (book empty)
Look Like My Mamalast 1¢ (book empty)
Life Goes Onlast 1¢ (book empty)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MVlast 1¢ (book empty)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MVask 92¢ (no bids)
Goldenlast 1¢ (book empty)
Girls' Generation-HRS 소녀시대-효리수 'Skibidi' Performance Videolast 1¢ (book empty)
Dead Freshlast 1¢ (book empty)
Dai Daiask 90¢ (no bids)
Czarface Meets Frankie Pulitzer - "Mad Technology" feat. Method Man (Official Music Video)last 1¢ (book empty)
Choosin' Texasask 89¢ (no bids)
AH HAask 92¢ (no bids)
9 To 5 (Official Video)last 1¢ (book empty)

Oscar nominees: Best Picture: Bucking Fastard (bid 1¢ / ask 8¢) — listed Sep 02, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET

Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor: Guy Pearce (bid 2¢ / ask 5¢) — listed Sep 01, 2026 at 11:56 PM ET

🏛️ Politics — 13 events, 32 markets

View market options (13 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Vivek Ramaswamybid 50¢ / ask 60¢
Ted Cruzbid 70¢ / ask 80¢
Susie Wilesbid 9¢ / ask 11¢
Sarah Huckabee Sandersbid 55¢ / ask 65¢
Stephen Millerbid 60¢ / ask 70¢
Pete Hegsethbid 35¢ / ask 45¢
Melania Trumpbid 16¢ / ask 25¢
Mike Johnsonbid 75¢ / ask 85¢
Lara Trumpbid 55¢ / ask 65¢
Ken Paxtonbid 80¢ / ask 88¢
John Thunebid 75¢ / ask 85¢
Glenn Youngkinbid 35¢ / ask 45¢
Byron Donaldsbid 55¢ / ask 65¢

When will Trump rename something else? — 4 outcomes — listed Sep 01, 2026 at 10:49 PM ET

View market options (4 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Oct 1, 2026bid 31¢ / ask 36¢
Before Nov 1, 2026bid 35¢ / ask 45¢
Before Jan 1, 2027bid 55¢ / ask 65¢
Before Dec 1, 2026bid 40¢ / ask 50¢

When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 02, 2026 at 6:25 PM ET

Tracking: Before Nov 1, 2026, Before Jan 1, 2027

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Sep 15, 2026bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Before Oct 1, 2026bid 2¢ / ask 7¢

Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 02, 2026 at 11:59 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Sep 15, 2026bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Before Oct 1, 2026bid 4¢ / ask 6¢
View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Nov 1, 2026bid 3¢ / ask 7¢
Before Jan 1, 2027bid 3¢ / ask 10¢

Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS?: Yes — listed Sep 02, 2026 at 6:24 PM ET

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?: Above 30 (bid 21¢ / ask 79¢) — listed Sep 02, 2026 at 11:04 AM ET

Will a NYT select poll show Trump below 30% approval?: Below 30% (bid 35¢ / ask 39¢) — listed Sep 01, 2026 at 10:48 PM ET

Will Apple win its case against OpenAI?: Before 2029 (bid 44¢ / ask 60¢) — listed Sep 01, 2026 at 10:47 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

4,840 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

CategoryMarketsSeriesTop Series
💹 Financials3,77010Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +7 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather43757Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, +54 more
🎬 Entertainment39116What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, +13 more
📊 Economics24215Ohio gas price, North Carolina gas price, Pennsylvania gas price, +12 more

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.