📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Sep 27 at 6:30 PM ET through Sep 28 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 708 unique markets across 150 new events, plus 4,928 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?: Tulsi Gabbard — bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Patient Zero weeks at #1: 2026: At least 1 weeks bid 98¢ / ask 99¢, At least 2 weeks bid 50¢ / ask 95¢, At least 3 weeks bid 30¢ / ask 80¢
Who will win the 2027 Punjab Assembly election?: Shiromani Akali Dal bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Bharatiya Janata Party bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Indian National Congress bid 33¢ / ask 40¢
British Columbia general election: 2nd place: BC Greens bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, CentreBC bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, OneBC bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
British Columbia general election: 3rd place: OneBC bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, BC Conservatives bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, BC NDP bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Quebec general election: 4th place: Quebec Liberal Party bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Parti Québécois bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, Québec solidaire bid 6¢ / ask 13¢
Quebec general election: 5th place: Parti Québécois bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ) bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Quebec Liberal Party bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Grammy nominees: Best New Artist
- Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actress
- Oscar winner: Best Actress
- Patient Zero weeks at #1: 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 29, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 29, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 29, 2026
- 30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2026
- 30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2027
- Diesel prices in Oct 2026
- Diesel prices this week
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- EV commodity prices on Sep 28, 2026
- Global remittance cost at the end of 2027
- Global remittances received in 2026
- How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2026?
- How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?
- Anthropic market share this week
- Best AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Google market share this week
- Most popular AI this week
- OpenAI market share this week
- OpenRouter AI token usage in October
- OpenRouter token usage in Sep 28–Oct 4
- Top Chinese AI Company week of October 5th
- Top Coding AI this week
- Generic congressional ballot on Sep 29, 2026?
- How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026?
- How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027?
- How many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026?
- How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?
- How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?
- Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
- Kash Patel out as FBI Director?
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
- RFK Jr. out as HHS Secretary?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 29, 2026?
- When will Mamdani visit the White House?
- When will Trump and Mamdani meet?
- Who will be the next Lieutenant Governor of New Jersey?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel?
- Will any UN country change its capital before 2028?
- Will Claude be permitted for use in the Department of War supply chain?
- Will Honolulu Charter Question 4 pass?
- Will the federal funder of Trump's TV ads be identified before the midterms?
- Will Tulsi Gabbard rejoin the Trump administration?
- 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader?
- 2026 Lord Mayor of London election winner?
- 2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner
- Brazil presidential election first round: voter turnout
- British Columbia general election: 2nd place
- British Columbia general election: 3rd place
- Next French presidential election winner?
- Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?
- Next President of Kosovo?
- Next Serbian presidential election winner?
- North Rhine-Westphalia state election winner?
- Quebec general election: 4th place
- Quebec general election: 5th place
- Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats?
- Quebec general election: PQ number of seats?
- Saarland state election winner?
- Schleswig-Holstein state election winner?
- Serbian parliamentary election: Student List vote share?
- When will Serbia call its presidential election?
- When will Venezuela hold a presidential election?
- Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026?
- Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?
- Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?
- Who will win the 2027 Punjab Assembly election?
- Winnipeg mayoral election winner?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 29, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 29, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 29, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 29, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 29, 2026?
- Airbnb bookings in Q3
- Domino's total US stores in Q3
- EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes
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- Fear & Greed Index on Oct 23, 2026?
- GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes
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- Gemini App Downloads in September
- USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes
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- Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in Q3
All New Events
🎬 Entertainment — 7 events, 54 markets
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 29, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Training Season (Live) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Shararat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Parvati | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| KALYANI (Remix) | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Dai Dai | bid 21¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Casa Tupka Anthemo | @YoYoHoneySingh feat. Priyanshi | Full Video | bid 14¢ / ask 67¢ |
| BTS (방탄소년단) ‘Merry Go Round’ Official MV | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| BbY WOW | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Ashke (Music Video) Karan Aujla | Mxrci | Aujla Szn 1 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Afsaana Banaaya Aapne (From "Gunmaaster G9”) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Aaya Sher | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 29, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Training Season (Live) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Shararat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Parvati | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 34¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Casa Tupka Anthemo | @YoYoHoneySingh feat. Priyanshi | Full Video | bid 11¢ / ask 59¢ |
| BTS (방탄소년단) ‘Merry Go Round’ Official MV | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| BbY WOW | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Ashke (Music Video) Karan Aujla | Mxrci | Aujla Szn 1 | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Afsaana Banaaya Aapne (From "Gunmaaster G9”) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Aaya Sher | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 29, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| WTF GOIN | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Todo Lo Fue | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Taylor Swift - Patient Zero (Official Lyric Video) | bid 17¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Taylor Swift - Cleveland! (Official Lyric Video) | bid 2¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Sunflower | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Natanael Cano x Tito Double P x Victor Mendivil x Ovi - OLIVIA LA FLAKA [Oficial Video] | bid 2¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Lord Verity - Master of Humanity (song) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Kirk Franklin (ft. GloRilla) - This Time | From The Block Performance 🎙 | bid 4¢ / ask 46¢ |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) 'Hootie Frutti' Official MV | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MV | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| HOTEL LOBBY (Unc & Phew) (- A COLORS SHOW) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| DRAKE - QUEBEC | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| DDG - ROUND & ROUND ft. 42 Dugg, PLUTO, Bankroll Ni, SMJ (Official Music Video) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 18¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Choosin' Texas | bid 8¢ / ask 51¢ |
Patient Zero weeks at #1: 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 3:14 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 4 weeks | bid 18¢ / ask 70¢ |
| At least 3 weeks | bid 30¢ / ask 80¢ |
| At least 2 weeks | bid 50¢ / ask 95¢ |
| At least 1 weeks | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
Grammy nominees: Best New Artist — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Audrey Hobert | bid 59¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Ravyn Lenae | bid 26¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Zara Larsson | bid 50¢ / ask 59¢ |
Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actress: Marion Bailey (bid 11¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 11:55 AM ET
Oscar winner: Best Actress: Marion Bailey (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 11:54 AM ET
🔬 Science and Technology — 10 events, 96 markets
OpenRouter token usage in Sep 28–Oct 4 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 11:19 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 170T tokens | bid 28¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 168T tokens | bid 26¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 166T tokens | bid 32¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 164T tokens | bid 27¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 162T tokens | bid 32¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 160T tokens | bid 32¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 158T tokens | bid 39¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 156T tokens | bid 57¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 154T tokens | bid 59¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 152T tokens | bid 61¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 150T tokens | bid 62¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 148T tokens | bid 70¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 146T tokens | bid 75¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 144T tokens | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 142T tokens | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
OpenRouter AI token usage in October — 12 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 11:29 AM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 850T tokens | — |
| Above 800T tokens | — |
| Above 750T tokens | — |
| Above 700T tokens | — |
| Above 675T tokens | — |
| Above 650T tokens | — |
| Above 625T tokens | — |
| Above 600T tokens | — |
| Above 575T tokens | — |
| Above 550T tokens | — |
| Above 500T tokens | — |
| Above 450T tokens | last 99¢ (book empty) |
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 5th — 10 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market options (10 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Z.ai | bid 4¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Xiaomi | bid 42¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Tencent | bid 2¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Moonshot | bid 4¢ / ask 69¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 2¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Meituan | bid 1¢ / ask 25¢ |
| DeepSeek | bid 4¢ / ask 67¢ |
| ByteDance | bid 1¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Baidu | bid 2¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 6¢ / ask 69¢ |
OpenAI market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 4:54 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 21.5% | — |
| Above 20.3% | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 19.3% | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above 18.9% | bid 16¢ (no asks) |
| Above 18.5% | bid 17¢ (no asks) |
| Above 18.1% | bid 16¢ (no asks) |
| Above 17.6% | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above 16.0% | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above 13.3% | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
Google market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 4:54 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 22.5% | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above 21.4% | bid 7¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 20.8% | bid 7¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Above 20.5% | bid 6¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 20.3% | bid 44¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 20.1% | bid 49¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 19.9% | bid 53¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 19.3% | bid 64¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 18.5% | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
DeepSeek market share this week — 9 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 4:54 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 26.7% | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 25.5% | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Above 24.7% | bid 20¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Above 24.4% | bid 6¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 24.2% | bid 7¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Above 24.0% | bid 46¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 23.7% | bid 54¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 23.0% | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
| Above 22.0% | bid 7¢ (no asks) |
Top Coding AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Tracking: Qwen, MiniMax, Kimi, Grok, GLM, Gemini, Dola, Claude, ChatGPT
Best AI this week — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Tracking: Grok, ChatGPT, Kimi, MUSE, Gemini, Dola, Claude, Amazon Nova, Qwen
Anthropic market share this week — 7 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 4:54 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 3.1% | bid 6¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above 3.0% | bid 6¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Above 2.9% | bid 6¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 2.8% | bid 7¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Above 2.7% | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| Above 2.5% | bid 49¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 2.2% | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
Most popular AI this week — 7 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
Tracking: Z.ai, Xiaomi, Tencent, OpenAI, Google, DeepSeek, Anthropic
📊 Economics — 10 events, 151 markets
Diesel prices tomorrow — 31 brackets (showing 25) — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.505 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.500 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.495 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.490 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.485 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.480 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.475 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.470 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.465 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above $6.460 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $6.455 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $6.450 | bid 5¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above $6.445 | bid 10¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above $6.440 | bid 19¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above $6.435 | bid 32¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above $6.430 | bid 70¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above $6.425 | bid 90¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Above $6.420 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above $6.415 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.410 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.405 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above $6.510 | — |
| Above $6.515 | — |
| Above $6.520 | — |
| Above $6.525 | — |
+ 6 more
Diesel prices this week — 21 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $6.66 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above $6.64 | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $6.62 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $6.60 | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above $6.58 | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above $6.56 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above $6.54 | bid 6¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above $6.52 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above $6.50 | bid 10¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above $6.48 | bid 14¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above $6.46 | bid 18¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above $6.44 | bid 22¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Above $6.42 | bid 28¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Above $6.40 | bid 35¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Above $6.38 | bid 40¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Above $6.36 | bid 47¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above $6.34 | bid 54¢ / ask 57¢ |
| Above $6.32 | bid 62¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above $6.30 | bid 69¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above $6.28 | bid 75¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Above $6.26 | bid 81¢ / ask 82¢ |
Diesel prices in Oct 2026 — 21 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
View market strikes (21 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above $7.50 | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above $7.40 | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above $7.30 | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above $7.20 | bid 5¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above $7.10 | bid 8¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above $7.00 | bid 11¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above $6.90 | bid 16¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Above $6.80 | bid 22¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Above $6.70 | bid 30¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above $6.60 | bid 38¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above $6.50 | bid 45¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above $6.40 | bid 54¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Above $6.30 | bid 62¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above $6.20 | bid 70¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Above $6.10 | bid 76¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above $6.00 | bid 82¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above $5.90 | bid 87¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above $5.80 | bid 91¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above $5.70 | bid 94¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Above $5.60 | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above $5.50 | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
EV commodity prices on Sep 28, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1300.70 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1290.70 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1280.70 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1270.70 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1260.70 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1250.70 | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1240.70 | ask 12¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1230.70 | last 2¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1220.70 | ask 16¢ (no bids) |
| Above 1210.70 | bid 1¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Above 1200.70 | bid 33¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Above 1190.70 | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1180.70 | bid 94¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1170.70 | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1160.70 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027? — 13 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 1:33 PM ET
View market strikes (13 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 9.75% | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Above 9.50% | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Above 9.25% | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Above 9.00% | — |
| Above 8.75% | — |
| Above 8.50% | — |
| Above 8.25% | — |
| Above 8.00% | — |
| Above 7.75% | bid 5¢ (no asks) |
| Above 7.50% | bid 19¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 7.25% | bid 23¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 7.00% | bid 19¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 10.00% | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2027 — 13 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 1:08 PM ET
View market strikes (13 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 9.00% | — |
| Above 8.75% | — |
| Above 8.50% | — |
| Above 8.25% | — |
| Above 8.00% | — |
| Above 7.75% | — |
| Above 7.50% | — |
| Above 7.25% | bid 11¢ (no asks) |
| Above 7.00% | bid 12¢ (no asks) |
| Above 6.75% | bid 13¢ (no asks) |
| Above 6.50% | bid 29¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 6.25% | bid 35¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 6.00% | bid 26¢ / ask 98¢ |
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2026 — 13 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 12:54 PM ET
View market strikes (13 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 9.00% | bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 8.75% | ask 85¢ (no bids) |
| Above 8.50% | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Above 8.25% | ask 90¢ (no bids) |
| Above 8.00% | — |
| Above 7.75% | — |
| Above 7.50% | bid 15¢ (no asks) |
| Above 7.25% | bid 24¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 7.00% | bid 27¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 6.75% | bid 29¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 6.50% | bid 29¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 6.25% | bid 45¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 6.00% | bid 65¢ / ask 98¢ |
Global remittance cost at the end of 2027 — 11 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 3:23 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 7.50% | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 7.25% | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Above 7.00% | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 6.75% | bid 8¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 6.50% | bid 29¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Above 6.25% | bid 63¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Above 6.00% | bid 86¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Above 5.75% | bid 91¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 5.50% | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 5.25% | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 5.00% | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
Global remittances received in 2026 — 8 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 5:04 PM ET
How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2026? — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 12:08 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 21 events, 93 markets
Who will be the next Lieutenant Governor of New Jersey? — 16 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
View market options (16 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Vaughn McKoy | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Thomas Sumners Jr. | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Troy Singleton | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Shavonda Sumter | bid 20¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Shanel Robinson | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Shirley Emehelu | bid 20¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Marc Morial | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Kay Walcott-Henderson | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Kris Kolluri | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Kellie Doucette | bid 11¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Jim Johnson | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Justin Dews | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Eliana Pintor Marin | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Benjie Wimberly | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Britnee Timberlake | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Anthony Cureton | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 29, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 38.4% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 39.0% | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| 38.9% | bid 17¢ / ask 18¢ |
| 38.8% | bid 23¢ / ask 24¢ |
| 38.7% | bid 20¢ / ask 21¢ |
| 38.6% | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| 38.5% | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 38.4% | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Above 39.0% | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
Generic congressional ballot on Sep 29, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Below 7.9% | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 8.5% | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 8.4% | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 8.3% | bid 12¢ / ask 20¢ |
| 8.2% | bid 17¢ / ask 26¢ |
| 8.1% | bid 13¢ / ask 21¢ |
| 8.0% | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 7.9% | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Above 8.5% | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
RFK Jr. out as HHS Secretary? — 6 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 5:05 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | bid 80¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | bid 70¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 60¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 50¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 40¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 30¢ / ask 40¢ |
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — 6 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 5:05 PM ET
Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2029, Before Jul 1, 2028, Before Jan 1, 2028, Before Oct 1, 2027, Before Jul 1, 2027, Before Apr 1, 2027
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? — 6 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 4:04 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 37¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 40¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 46¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 61¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | bid 75¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | bid 80¢ / ask 90¢ |
Kash Patel out as FBI Director? — 6 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 1:07 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 22¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 31¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 41¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 51¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | bid 71¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | bid 86¢ / ask 95¢ |
How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026? — 4 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 5:28 PM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 13 | bid 70¢ / ask 79¢ |
| At least 15 | bid 47¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least 17 | bid 29¢ / ask 38¢ |
| At least 19 | bid 15¢ / ask 24¢ |
Will Claude be permitted for use in the Department of War supply chain? — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 2:24 PM ET
Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2028, Before Jul 1, 2027, Before Jan 1, 2027, Before Apr 1, 2027
How many lead service lines will Michigan replace in 2026? — 4 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 10:58 AM ET
View market strikes (4 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 42,500 | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 45,000 | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 47,500 | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Above 50,000 | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
When will Mamdani visit the White House? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:24 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 4¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | bid 32¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 12¢ / ask 20¢ |
When will Trump and Mamdani meet? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 14¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 40¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 30¢ / ask 40¢ |
Who will leave office first: RFK Jr., Hegseth, or Patel? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | bid 9¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Pete Hegseth | bid 9¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Kash Patel | bid 55¢ / ask 64¢ |
How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026? — 3 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 10:59 AM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 200,000 | bid 13¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Above 210,000 | bid 8¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above 220,000 | bid 4¢ / ask 13¢ |
How many Idaho groundwater rights will be curtailed in 2027? — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 10:57 AM ET
Will Tulsi Gabbard rejoin the Trump administration? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 5:48 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 35¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 10¢ / ask 20¢ |
How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms? — 2 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 10:59 AM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 60 | bid 15¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Above 65 | bid 5¢ / ask 15¢ |
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?: Tulsi Gabbard (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 4:56 PM ET
Will Honolulu Charter Question 4 pass?: Yes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:27 PM ET
Will any UN country change its capital before 2028?: Before 2028 (bid 15¢ / ask 24¢) — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:25 PM ET
Will the federal funder of Trump's TV ads be identified before the midterms?: Yes (bid 42¢ / ask 51¢) — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:19 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 25 events, 148 markets
2028 U.S. Vice-Presidential Election winner — 27 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:27 PM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Wes Moore | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | bid 3¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Raphael Warnock | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Ro Khanna | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Ron DeSantis | bid 1¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Roy Cooper | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Pete Buttigieg | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Marco Rubio | bid 2¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Michelle Obama | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Mark Kelly | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Kamala Harris | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Katie Britt | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| J.D. Vance | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| James Talarico | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Josh Shapiro | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Jon Ossoff | bid 2¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Glenn Youngkin | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Gretchen Whitmer | bid 2¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Gavin Newsom | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Elise Stefanik | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Elissa Slotkin | bid 2¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Erika Kirk | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Donald J. Trump | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Donald J. Trump Jr. | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Byron Donalds | bid 2¢ / ask 9¢ |
+ 2 more outcomes
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris in 2026? — 9 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 3:47 PM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tina Kotek | bid 64¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Troy Jackson | bid 68¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Peggy Flanagan | bid 25¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Kathy Hochul | bid 32¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Keisha Lance Bottoms | bid 41¢ / ask 51¢ |
| David Jolly | bid 27¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Chris Pappas | bid 29¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Angie Nixon | bid 46¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Abdul El-Sayed | bid 27¢ / ask 37¢ |
Brazil presidential election first round: voter turnout — 9 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 132,000,000 | bid 4¢ / ask 10¢ |
| At least 130,000,000 | bid 5¢ / ask 15¢ |
| At least 128,000,000 | bid 10¢ / ask 20¢ |
| At least 126,000,000 | bid 15¢ / ask 25¢ |
| At least 124,000,000 | bid 50¢ / ask 60¢ |
| At least 122,000,000 | bid 80¢ / ask 90¢ |
| At least 120,000,000 | bid 90¢ / ask 96¢ |
| At least 118,000,000 | bid 93¢ / ask 99¢ |
| At least 116,000,000 | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
Winnipeg mayoral election winner? — 9 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 11:05 AM ET
View market options (9 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Brad Gross | bid 1¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Mazher Alam | bid 1¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Mike Vogiatzakis | bid 1¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Christopher Clacio | bid 1¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Umar Hayat | bid 1¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Joshua Pagdato | bid 1¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Johnny Calderon | bid 1¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Noah Redden | bid 1¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Tracey Drexler | bid 1¢ / ask 34¢ |
Next President of Kosovo? — 9 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 11:05 AM ET
Tracking: Nikë Gjeloshi, Andin Hoti, Justina Pula, Shqiptar Demaçi, Veton Surroi, Atifete Jahjaga, Albulena Haxhiu, Anton Quni, Ramush Haradinaj
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader? — 8 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:27 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tom Cotton | ask 87¢ (no bids) |
| John Thune | bid 45¢ / ask 52¢ |
| John Barrasso | bid 9¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Chuck Schumer | bid 32¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Chris Murphy | ask 87¢ (no bids) |
| Chris Van Hollen | ask 87¢ (no bids) |
| Cory Booker | ask 87¢ (no bids) |
| Brian Schatz | bid 2¢ / ask 78¢ |
Schleswig-Holstein state election winner? — 8 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:22 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| SSW | — |
| SPD | — |
| Grüne | — |
| FDP | — |
| Die Linke | — |
| CDU | — |
| BSW | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| AfD | — |
Saarland state election winner? — 7 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:23 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| SPD | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Grüne | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| FDP | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Die Linke | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| CDU | bid 18¢ / ask 25¢ |
| BSW | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| AfD | bid 34¢ / ask 41¢ |
North Rhine-Westphalia state election winner? — 7 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:22 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| SPD | — |
| Grüne | — |
| FDP | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Die Linke | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| CDU | — |
| BSW | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| AfD | — |
Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026? — 6 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:28 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Wisconsin | bid 57¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Pennsylvania | bid 44¢ / ask 48¢ |
| Nevada | bid 39¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Minnesota | bid 70¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Michigan | bid 59¢ / ask 69¢ |
| Arizona | bid 42¢ / ask 52¢ |
British Columbia general election: 2nd place — 5 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:26 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| OneBC | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| BC NDP | bid 46¢ / ask 53¢ |
| BC Greens | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| BC Conservatives | bid 46¢ / ask 53¢ |
| CentreBC | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
British Columbia general election: 3rd place — 5 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:26 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| OneBC | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| BC NDP | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| BC Greens | bid 78¢ / ask 85¢ |
| BC Conservatives | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| CentreBC | bid 11¢ / ask 18¢ |
Quebec general election: 4th place — 5 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:24 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Québec solidaire | bid 6¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Parti Québécois | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Quebec Liberal Party | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Conservative Party of Québec | bid 26¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ) | bid 56¢ / ask 63¢ |
Quebec general election: 5th place — 5 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:23 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Québec solidaire | bid 86¢ / ask 92¢ |
| Parti Québécois | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Quebec Liberal Party | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Conservative Party of Québec | bid 5¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ) | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
2026 Lord Mayor of London election winner? — 5 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tim Hailes | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Robert Hughes-Penney | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Gregory Jones | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Bronek Masojada | bid 92¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Alison Gowman | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
Who will win the 2027 Punjab Assembly election? — 4 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:29 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Shiromani Akali Dal | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Indian National Congress | bid 33¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Bharatiya Janata Party | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Aam Aadmi Party | bid 59¢ / ask 66¢ |
When will Serbia call its presidential election? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 3:52 PM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 15, 2026 | bid 31¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | bid 86¢ / ask 94¢ |
When will Venezuela hold a presidential election? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 11:37 AM ET
Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2028, Before Jul 1, 2028, Before Jan 1, 2029
Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 11:05 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Richard Hudson | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| August Pfluger | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Kevin Hern | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats? — 3 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 10:10 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| 2 or more | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| 4 or more | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
| 8 or more | bid 6¢ (no asks) |
Next Serbian presidential election winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 2:25 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Student-backed candidate | bid 30¢ / ask 40¢ |
| SNS-backed candidate | bid 60¢ / ask 69¢ |
Quebec general election: PQ number of seats? — 2 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 11:05 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| 72 or more | bid 1¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 76 or more | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
Serbian parliamentary election: Student List vote share? — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET
Next French presidential election winner?: Christine Lagarde (ask 88¢ (no bids)) — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 11:38 AM ET
Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?: Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz (bid 1¢ / ask 76¢) — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 11:05 AM ET
💹 Financials — 77 events, 166 markets
30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 29, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.64% or above | ask 10¢ (no bids) |
| 5.62% or above | bid 4¢ / ask 11¢ |
| 5.6% or above | bid 9¢ / ask 24¢ |
| 5.58% or above | bid 16¢ / ask 25¢ |
| 5.56% or above | bid 32¢ / ask 51¢ |
| 5.54% or above | bid 49¢ / ask 67¢ |
| 5.52% or above | bid 76¢ / ask 87¢ |
| 5.5% or above | bid 85¢ / ask 93¢ |
| 5.48% or above | bid 85¢ / ask 96¢ |
| 5.46% or above | bid 91¢ (no asks) |
| 5.44% or above | bid 93¢ (no asks) |
| 5.42% or above | bid 96¢ (no asks) |
| 5.4% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 5.38% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 5.36% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 29, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.29% or above | bid 14¢ / ask 22¢ |
| 5.27% or above | bid 21¢ / ask 33¢ |
| 5.25% or above | bid 34¢ / ask 47¢ |
| 5.23% or above | bid 50¢ / ask 63¢ |
| 5.21% or above | bid 63¢ / ask 74¢ |
| 5.19% or above | bid 75¢ / ask 89¢ |
| 5.17% or above | bid 86¢ / ask 95¢ |
| 5.15% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.13% or above | bid 93¢ (no asks) |
| 5.11% or above | bid 95¢ (no asks) |
| 5.09% or above | bid 97¢ (no asks) |
| 5.07% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 5.05% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 5.03% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 5.01% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 29, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.19% or above | bid 20¢ / ask 36¢ |
| 5.17% or above | bid 21¢ / ask 41¢ |
| 5.15% or above | bid 36¢ / ask 55¢ |
| 5.13% or above | bid 54¢ / ask 74¢ |
| 5.11% or above | bid 69¢ / ask 71¢ |
| 5.09% or above | bid 71¢ / ask 83¢ |
| 5.07% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.05% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.03% or above | bid 91¢ (no asks) |
| 5.01% or above | bid 94¢ (no asks) |
| 4.99% or above | bid 97¢ (no asks) |
| 4.97% or above | bid 97¢ (no asks) |
| 4.95% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.93% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.91% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 29, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.14% or above | bid 14¢ / ask 16¢ |
| 5.12% or above | bid 25¢ / ask 26¢ |
| 5.1% or above | bid 39¢ / ask 40¢ |
| 5.08% or above | bid 56¢ / ask 57¢ |
| 5.06% or above | bid 73¢ / ask 74¢ |
| 5.04% or above | bid 89¢ / ask 91¢ |
| 5.02% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 91¢ |
| 5% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 93¢ |
| 4.98% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 96¢ |
| 4.96% or above | bid 93¢ (no asks) |
| 4.94% or above | bid 96¢ (no asks) |
| 4.92% or above | bid 97¢ (no asks) |
| 4.9% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.88% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.86% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 29, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.94% or above | bid 13¢ / ask 25¢ |
| 4.92% or above | bid 26¢ / ask 34¢ |
| 4.9% or above | bid 47¢ / ask 86¢ |
| 4.88% or above | bid 60¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 4.86% or above | bid 74¢ / ask 93¢ |
| 4.84% or above | bid 90¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.82% or above | bid 90¢ (no asks) |
| 4.8% or above | bid 93¢ (no asks) |
| 4.78% or above | bid 95¢ (no asks) |
| 4.76% or above | bid 97¢ (no asks) |
| 4.74% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.72% or above | bid 98¢ (no asks) |
| 4.7% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.68% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| 4.66% or above | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 4:02 PM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.91% or above | bid 36¢ / ask 75¢ |
| 4.93% or above | bid 20¢ / ask 57¢ |
| 4.95% or above | bid 9¢ / ask 43¢ |
| 4.97% or above | bid 4¢ / ask 32¢ |
| 4.99% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 22¢ |
| 5.01% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 15¢ |
| 5.03% or above | ask 11¢ (no bids) |
| 5.05% or above | ask 8¢ (no bids) |
| 5.07% or above | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| 5.09% or above | — |
Fear & Greed Index on Oct 23, 2026? — 5 outcomes — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Extreme Greed | bid 2¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Extreme Fear | bid 3¢ / ask 28¢ |
| Neutral | bid 5¢ / ask 39¢ |
| Greed | bid 4¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Fear | bid 10¢ / ask 65¢ |
Zyn US shipment volume (pouches) in Q3 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 12:01 PM ET
Airbnb bookings in Q3 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Sep 28, 2026 at 6:01 AM ET
Gemini App Downloads in September — 3 brackets — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 12:01 AM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 50 | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
Domino's total US stores in Q3: Above 7265 — listed Sep 28, 2026 at 10:56 AM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 157.374 (bid 57¢ / ask 70¢) — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.13736 (bid 27¢ / ask 40¢) — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.32566 (bid 26¢ / ask 34¢) — listed Sep 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
4,928 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 3,855 | 24 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +21 more |
| 📊 Economics | 565 | 33 | Florida gas price, New Jersey gas price this week, US gas price up, +30 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 443 | 66 | Where will it rain daily, Where will it rain this weekend?, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, +63 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 53 | 6 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, Billboard Hot 100 #1, +3 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 6 | 1 | Mar-a-Lago trips |
| 🔬 Science and Technology | 6 | 1 | Top model |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.