📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 15 at 6:30 PM ET through Oct 16 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 480 unique markets across 49 new events, plus 6,554 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?: Kaylee McGhee White bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Kat Timpf bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Vanessa Broussard bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?: Before Jan 1, 2029 bid 48¢ / ask 49¢, Before Jul 1, 2028 bid 36¢ / ask 37¢, Before Jan 1, 2028 bid 29¢ / ask 30¢
Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury?: Before Jul 1, 2027 bid 19¢ / ask 20¢, Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Before Apr 1, 2027 bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?: 5.59% or above, 5.57% or above, 5.55% or above all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?: 5.22% or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 5.2% or above bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, 5.18% or above bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?: 5.12% or above bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, 4.86% or above bid 88¢ / ask 89¢, 5.1% or above bid 1¢ / ask 3¢
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?: 5.04% or above, 5.02% or above, 5% or above all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 17, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 17, 2026
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 17, 2026
- Which U.S. restaurant will rank highest in 2026?
- World's best restaurant in 2026?
- YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global
- YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA
- How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?
- Lisa Cook departure announced?
- Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?
- Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury?
- When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
- Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
- Will FIFA scrap its Peace Prize at its December meeting?
- Will Katie Zacharia take another Trump administration role?
- Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration in 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?
- Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q1 2027
- Chipotle Credit Card Spend in October
- Consumer Electronics Ad Spend in October
- Google headcount in Q3
- How high will the IBOVESPA get in 2026?
- Lululemon Credit Card Spend in October
- Tesla Roadster delivery
- The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in Q3
- Urban Outfitters Credit Card Spend in October
- Anthropic share of requests on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
- Anthropic share of spend on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
- DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
- Google share of requests on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
- Measles cases in 2026?
- Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
- Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 20, 2026
- OpenAI share of requests on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
- OpenAI share of spend on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
- Top Open Source AI this week
- Top Text to Image AI this week
- Top Text to Speech AI this week
- Top Text to Video AI this week
- When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?
- When will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index?
All New Events
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 1 market
Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Yisrael Beiteinu win?: Above 6 (bid 69¢ / ask 77¢) — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 10:26 AM ET
📊 Economics — 1 event, 1 market
Will wages beat inflation in 2026?: Above 0.0% (bid 4¢ / ask 10¢) — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 6:38 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 7 events, 123 markets
World's best restaurant in 2026? — 30 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 16, 2026 at 5:02 PM ET
Tracking: Wing, Trèsind Studio, The Chairman, Table by Bruno Verjus, Sühring, Sorn, Smyth, Sézanne, Reale, Quintonil, Potong, Plénitude, Odette, Nusara, Narisawa, Mingles, Lido 84, Kjolle, Khufu's, Ikoyi, Gaggan, Elkano, El Chato, Don Julio, Diverxo, +5 more
Which U.S. restaurant will rank highest in 2026? — 18 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 5:49 PM ET
View market options (18 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Smyth | — |
| SingleThread | — |
| Saison | ask 82¢ (no bids) |
| Penny | — |
| Moon Rabbit | — |
| Le Veau d'Or | — |
| Le Bernardin | — |
| Kalaya | — |
| Kabawa | — |
| Jungsik | — |
| Emeril's | — |
| Dakar NOLA | — |
| Chubby Fish | ask 82¢ (no bids) |
| César | — |
| Atomix | — |
| Atelier Crenn | — |
| Aska | ask 82¢ (no bids) |
| Albi | — |
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song Global — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Пешта | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Training Season | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Shararat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Sebebi Yar (Live) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Parvati | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) | bid 12¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Hootie Frutti | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Gehra Hua | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 38¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Casa Tupka Anthemo (feat. Priyanshi Srivastava) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| BbY WOW | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Animal | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Alfaaz | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 17, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Training Season (Live) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| TRALALA | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Shararat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Parvati | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Kayıp Kalp | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 12: z5y8Clp_TdE] | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 5: xvT1jH8B9AM] | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION] | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 20¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Casa Tupka Anthemo | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| BbY WOW | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 17, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Yeshanagula | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Training Season (Live) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| TRALALA | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Shararat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Parvati | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Kayıp Kalp | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 12: z5y8Clp_TdE] | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 5: xvT1jH8B9AM] | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| GAVIN:D x Violette Wautier - อย่ามากกว่าฉันก็พอ [IN MY ROOM SESSION] | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 16¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Casa Tupka Anthemo | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| BbY WOW | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Basinga Balaalu | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Barsaat | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
YouTube Charts: Weekly Top Song USA — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| WTF GOIN (feat. 21 Savage) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| What You Need | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| What It Sounds Like + Golden (feat. BABYMONSTER) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Sunflower | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Patient Zero | bid 5¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Nicole Kidman | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| misery. | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Hotel Lobby | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Hootie Frutti | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 10¢ / ask 12¢ |
| Choosin' Texas | bid 33¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Boston | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| bloodstream | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| BbY WOW | bid 9¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Animal | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 17, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET
View market options (15 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| WTF GOIN | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Todo Lo Fue | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| The Aura Farmer - Horror Skunx (official song) | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Nicole Kidman | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Janice STFU | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Haaland Song, but it's TOO EASY, I'm 99% sure YOU CAN PLAY THIS! | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Going On A Date - NSP | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Death By Firing Squad | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Dai Dai | bid 7¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 4: hLOheGDwD_0] | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 2: nUsrYVxrDwI] | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| BURN | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| BbY WOW | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| Alma Rota | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
| AH HA | ask 95¢ (no bids) |
🏛️ Politics — 11 events, 101 markets
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? — 59 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 1:21 PM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Vanessa Broussard | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Taylor Rogers | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Tricia McLaughlin | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Tulsi Gabbard | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Tucker Carlson | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Taylor Budowich | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Sage Steele | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Sean Spicer | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Spencer Pratt | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Scott Jennings | bid 17¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Steven Cheung | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Roma Daravi | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Rachel Campos-Duffy | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Peter Doocy | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Pat Adams | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| No new person | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Natalie Harp | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Matt Walsh | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Margo Martin | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Mark Levin | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Monica Crowley | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Mike Cernovich | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Matthew Boyle | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Maria Bartiromo | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Lara Trump | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
+ 34 more outcomes
How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last? — 8 brackets — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 3:52 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 730 days | bid 6¢ / ask 14¢ |
| At least 7 days | bid 90¢ / ask 98¢ |
| At least 60 days | bid 76¢ / ask 84¢ |
| At least 365 days | bid 24¢ / ask 32¢ |
| At least 30 days | bid 81¢ / ask 89¢ |
| At least 180 days | bid 41¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least 14 days | bid 86¢ / ask 94¢ |
| At least 100 days | bid 60¢ / ask 67¢ |
When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 2:24 PM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Oct 30, 2026 | bid 8¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Before Oct 23, 2026 | bid 2¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Before Nov 27, 2026 | bid 52¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Before Nov 20, 2026 | bid 42¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Before Nov 13, 2026 | bid 37¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Before Nov 6, 2026 | bid 25¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Before Dec 4, 2026 | bid 63¢ / ask 72¢ |
Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 11:56 AM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | bid 48¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | bid 36¢ / ask 37¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 29¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 22¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
Scott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 11:56 AM ET
View market options (7 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | bid 24¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | bid 15¢ (no asks) |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | bid 10¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | bid 5¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 19¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
Lisa Cook departure announced? — 4 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 12:12 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 2027 | bid 5¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Before Jan 2028 | bid 10¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Before Jul 2028 | bid 15¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Before Jan 2029 | bid 20¢ / ask 30¢ |
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? — 4 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 12:08 AM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Todd Blanche | — |
| Jay Clayton | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Christopher Phelan | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Keith Sonderling | — |
Who will Trump pardon in 2026? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 9:41 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Kimberly Guilfoyle | bid 5¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Josh Wander | bid 5¢ / ask 15¢ |
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration in 2026?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 22¢ / ask 29¢) — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 3:02 PM ET
Will Katie Zacharia take another Trump administration role?: Katie Zacharia (bid 30¢ / ask 64¢) — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET
Will FIFA scrap its Peace Prize at its December meeting?: Yes (bid 39¢ / ask 66¢) — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 11:54 AM ET
💹 Financials — 14 events, 118 markets
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 25 brackets — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (25 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.14% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 5.12% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 5.1% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 5.08% or above | ask 86¢ (no bids) |
| 5.06% or above | bid 6¢ / ask 86¢ |
| 5.04% or above | bid 9¢ / ask 82¢ |
| 5.02% or above | bid 8¢ / ask 87¢ |
| 5% or above | bid 11¢ / ask 85¢ |
| 4.98% or above | bid 6¢ / ask 80¢ |
| 4.96% or above | bid 11¢ / ask 84¢ |
| 4.94% or above | bid 18¢ / ask 82¢ |
| 4.92% or above | bid 16¢ / ask 90¢ |
| 4.9% or above | bid 15¢ / ask 94¢ |
| 4.88% or above | bid 21¢ / ask 92¢ |
| 4.86% or above | bid 88¢ / ask 89¢ |
| 4.84% or above | — |
| 4.82% or above | — |
| 4.8% or above | — |
| 4.78% or above | — |
| 4.76% or above | — |
| 4.74% or above | — |
| 4.72% or above | — |
| 4.7% or above | — |
| 4.68% or above | — |
| 4.66% or above | bid 14¢ (no asks) |
30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.59% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 5.57% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 5.55% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 5.53% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 5.51% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 6¢ |
| 5.49% or above | bid 10¢ / ask 19¢ |
| 5.47% or above | bid 20¢ / ask 33¢ |
| 5.45% or above | bid 21¢ / ask 41¢ |
| 5.43% or above | bid 39¢ / ask 59¢ |
| 5.41% or above | bid 61¢ / ask 69¢ |
| 5.39% or above | bid 80¢ / ask 83¢ |
| 5.37% or above | bid 89¢ / ask 92¢ |
| 5.35% or above | bid 83¢ / ask 93¢ |
| 5.33% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 5.31% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.24% or above | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| 5.22% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 5.2% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| 5.18% or above | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 5.16% or above | bid 9¢ / ask 13¢ |
| 5.14% or above | bid 15¢ / ask 22¢ |
| 5.12% or above | bid 24¢ / ask 32¢ |
| 5.1% or above | bid 32¢ / ask 40¢ |
| 5.08% or above | bid 46¢ / ask 56¢ |
| 5.06% or above | bid 62¢ / ask 71¢ |
| 5.04% or above | bid 74¢ / ask 79¢ |
| 5.02% or above | bid 83¢ / ask 87¢ |
| 5% or above | bid 94¢ / ask 96¢ |
| 4.98% or above | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.96% or above | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 5.04% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 5.02% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 5% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 4.98% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 4.96% or above | bid 3¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 4.94% or above | bid 11¢ / ask 14¢ |
| 4.92% or above | bid 20¢ / ask 23¢ |
| 4.9% or above | bid 32¢ / ask 52¢ |
| 4.88% or above | bid 45¢ / ask 65¢ |
| 4.86% or above | bid 65¢ / ask 68¢ |
| 4.84% or above | bid 80¢ / ask 81¢ |
| 4.82% or above | bid 86¢ / ask 90¢ |
| 4.8% or above | bid 94¢ / ask 97¢ |
| 4.78% or above | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.76% or above | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026? — 15 brackets — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| 4.89% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 4.87% or above | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| 4.85% or above | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| 4.83% or above | bid 2¢ / ask 5¢ |
| 4.81% or above | bid 4¢ / ask 8¢ |
| 4.79% or above | bid 7¢ / ask 12¢ |
| 4.77% or above | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| 4.75% or above | bid 26¢ / ask 33¢ |
| 4.73% or above | bid 42¢ / ask 62¢ |
| 4.71% or above | bid 64¢ / ask 65¢ |
| 4.69% or above | bid 71¢ / ask 78¢ |
| 4.67% or above | bid 83¢ / ask 86¢ |
| 4.65% or above | bid 87¢ / ask 91¢ |
| 4.63% or above | bid 94¢ / ask 99¢ |
| 4.61% or above | bid 96¢ / ask 99¢ |
Charles Schwab active brokerage accounts in Q1 2027 — 9 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 15, 2026 at 6:36 PM ET
How high will the IBOVESPA get in 2026? — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 16, 2026 at 10:53 AM ET
Google headcount in Q3 — 3 brackets — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 209 thousand | bid 20¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 210 thousand | bid 15¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Above 211 thousand | bid 10¢ / ask 20¢ |
The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in Q3 — 3 brackets — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 11% | bid 6¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 11.5% | bid 9¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above 12% | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
Lululemon Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 65 | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above 61 | bid 20¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Above 57 | bid 56¢ / ask 57¢ |
Consumer Electronics Ad Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 210 | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 240 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Above 270 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Chipotle Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 88 | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 84 | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 80 | bid 97¢ / ask 99¢ |
Urban Outfitters Credit Card Spend in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 78 | bid 92¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 74 | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 70 | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
Tesla Roadster delivery — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 10:25 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before 2029 | — |
| Before July, 2028 | last 9¢ (book empty) |
🔬 Science and Technology — 15 events, 136 markets
Top Text to Speech AI this week — 17 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (17 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| VUI Labs | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| StepFun | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| SpeechifyAI | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| SpaceXAI | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Smallest.ai | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Nvidia | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Mistral | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Inworld | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ | |
| Fish Audio | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| ElevenLabs | bid 81¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Cartesia | bid 1¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Async | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Amazon | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
Top Open Source AI this week — 13 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (13 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Xiaomi | bid 74¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Thinking Machines | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Nvidia | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Mistral | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Meta | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Kimi | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ | |
| GLM | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| DeepSeek | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Cohere | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
Top Text to Image AI this week — 11 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| SpaceXAI | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Reve | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Recraft | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| OpenAI | bid 86¢ / ask 94¢ |
| Nvidia | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Microsoft | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Krea | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| HiDream | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ | |
| Bytedance | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Black Forest Labs | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
Top Text to Video AI this week — 10 outcomes — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 10:05 AM ET
View market options (10 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Vidu | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| SpaceXAI | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Skywork AI | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| PixVerse | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| MiniMax | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Lightricks | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| KlingAI | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ | |
| ByteDance | bid 1¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Alibaba | bid 76¢ / ask 84¢ |
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 20, 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 61.2% | ask 86¢ (no bids) |
| Above 59.4% | bid 1¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 56.3% | — |
| Above 54.8% | — |
| Above 53.0% | — |
| Above 47.5% | bid 20¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 45.3% | bid 20¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 43.5% | bid 20¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 38.6% | bid 13¢ (no asks) |
Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 9.9% | bid 21¢ / ask 55¢ |
| Above 8.5% | bid 27¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 8.2% | bid 28¢ / ask 56¢ |
| Above 5.4% | bid 48¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 4.2% | bid 54¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 16.6% | bid 2¢ / ask 38¢ |
| Above 14.2% | bid 5¢ / ask 33¢ |
| Above 12.0% | bid 13¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above 11.1% | bid 16¢ / ask 53¢ |
OpenAI share of spend on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 18.7% | bid 9¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Above 17.2% | bid 18¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Above 16.8% | bid 22¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above 14.5% | bid 47¢ / ask 58¢ |
| Above 13.9% | bid 46¢ / ask 63¢ |
| Above 13.2% | bid 51¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 13.0% | bid 55¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above 11.8% | bid 50¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Above 11.5% | bid 48¢ / ask 85¢ |
Anthropic share of spend on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 43.4% | bid 7¢ / ask 30¢ |
| Above 42.7% | bid 8¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 42.1% | bid 12¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Above 38.9% | bid 24¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 38.2% | bid 29¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Above 36.2% | bid 47¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above 35.4% | bid 49¢ / ask 68¢ |
| Above 33.5% | bid 66¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 30.9% | bid 77¢ / ask 91¢ |
Google share of requests on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 17.4% | bid 2¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Above 16.5% | bid 3¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Above 15.5% | bid 9¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Above 13.9% | bid 26¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Above 13.3% | bid 41¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Above 13.2% | bid 44¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Above 12.9% | bid 43¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Above 12.8% | bid 28¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above 11.8% | bid 49¢ / ask 81¢ |
OpenAI share of requests on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 26.4% | bid 14¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 25.5% | bid 22¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Above 25.1% | bid 28¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above 24.1% | bid 41¢ / ask 53¢ |
| Above 23.5% | bid 46¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 22.4% | bid 48¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above 21.7% | bid 55¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Above 19.8% | bid 49¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 18.7% | bid 57¢ / ask 98¢ |
Anthropic share of requests on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 9.0% | bid 17¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Above 8.4% | bid 20¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Above 8.1% | bid 18¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 7.9% | bid 44¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Above 7.7% | bid 29¢ / ask 60¢ |
| Above 7.4% | bid 52¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 6.1% | bid 51¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Above 5.5% | bid 48¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 5.3% | bid 42¢ / ask 98¢ |
DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET
View market strikes (9 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 9.9% | bid 57¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Above 9.6% | bid 55¢ / ask 85¢ |
| Above 9.0% | bid 50¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Above 8.1% | bid 50¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Above 12.2% | bid 40¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Above 11.3% | bid 53¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Above 11.0% | bid 50¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above 10.6% | bid 45¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above 10.4% | bid 57¢ / ask 75¢ |
When will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 8:22 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 25¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 22¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | bid 23¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 27¢ / ask 34¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 27¢ / ask 96¢ |
When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 15, 2026 at 8:22 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | bid 96¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 71¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | bid 81¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | bid 46¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | bid 91¢ / ask 92¢ |
Measles cases in 2026? — 3 brackets — listed Oct 16, 2026 at 10:43 AM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 5000 | bid 95¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 7000 | bid 34¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Above 9000 | bid 13¢ / ask 22¢ |
🔄 Recurring Markets
6,554 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 4,988 | 22 | Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +19 more |
| 📊 Economics | 1,044 | 64 | Florida gas price, Daily Diesel Price, Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand, +61 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 373 | 54 | Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 134 | 22 | Traffic through the Bab al-Mandab Strait, Will Trump do anything today?, Traffic through the Panama Canal, +19 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 15 | 1 | DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.