📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (May 27 at 8:30 AM ET through May 28 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 132 unique markets across 24 new events, plus 5,608 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Who will attend UFC Freedom 250?: Marco Rubio bid 93¢ / ask 93¢, Spencer Pratt bid 10¢ / ask 11¢, Vince McMahon bid 77¢ / ask 78¢
EV commodity prices on May 28, 2026: Above 1295.21 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above 1285.21 bid 8¢ / ask 9¢, Above 1275.21 bid 10¢ / ask 11¢
Providence Mayor winner?: Michael English bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, David Morales bid 15¢ / ask 16¢, Allen Waters bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Texas Railroad Commissioner winner: Jon Rosenthal bid 34¢ / ask 35¢, Bo French bid 65¢ / ask 66¢
How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?: Above 40 bid 13¢ / ask 14¢, Above 35 bid 25¢ / ask 26¢, Above 30 bid 40¢ / ask 41¢
Bank of Korea rate decision in July: Maintain current rate bid 35¢ / ask 36¢, Hike more than 25bps bid 4¢ / ask 5¢, Hike 1-25bps bid 53¢ / ask 54¢
SI Swimsuit Runway Show Miami: Runway Models: Sophie Cunningham bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Salma Hayek bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Olivia Dunne bid 51¢ / ask 52¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be this month?
- How many major Central Pacific Hurricanes will there be this month?
- When will Trump release more UFO files?
- Who will attend UFC Freedom 250?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Will Congressional salaries increase?
- How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?
- Kosovan parliamentary election winner
- Providence Mayor winner?
- Texas Railroad Commissioner winner
- Will Trump endorse Mike Collins?
- Love Island UK: Winners
- Oscar for Best Picture?
- Oscar nominations for Achievement in Casting?
- Oscar nominations for Best Adapted Screenplay?
- Oscar nominations for Best Director?
- Oscar nominations for Best Music (Original Score)?
- Oscar nominations for Best Picture?
- SI Swimsuit Runway Show Miami: Runway Models
All New Events
📊 Economics — 2 events, 20 markets
EV commodity prices on May 28, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed May 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1345.21 | — |
| Above 1335.21 | — |
| Above 1325.21 | — |
| Above 1315.21 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1305.21 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1295.21 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 1285.21 | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 1275.21 | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 1265.21 | bid 20¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Above 1255.21 | bid 60¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Above 1245.21 | bid 64¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Above 1235.21 | bid 82¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 1225.21 | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1215.21 | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1205.21 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Bank of Korea rate decision in July — 5 outcomes — listed May 27, 2026 at 12:54 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | bid 35¢ / ask 36¢ |
| Hike more than 25bps | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Hike 1-25bps | bid 53¢ / ask 54¢ |
| Cut more than 25bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Cut 1-25bps | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
🌤️ Climate and Weather — 2 events, 22 markets
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be this month? — 11 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 27, 2026 at 8:43 PM ET
How many major Central Pacific Hurricanes will there be this month? — 11 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 27, 2026 at 8:19 PM ET
💹 Financials — 3 events, 14 markets
USD/BRL high in June 2026? — 10 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 27, 2026 at 6:50 PM ET
Clear+ members in Q2 — 2 brackets — listed May 27, 2026 at 2:04 PM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 8.3 million | bid 65¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Above 8.5 million | bid 22¢ / ask 29¢ |
Sweetgreen profit margin in Q2 — 2 brackets — listed May 27, 2026 at 9:53 AM ET
View market strikes (2 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 18% | bid 3¢ / ask 50¢ |
| Above 20% | bid 6¢ / ask 11¢ |
🏛️ Politics — 4 events, 28 markets
Who will attend UFC Freedom 250? — 17 outcomes — listed May 27, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
View market options (17 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Vince McMahon | bid 77¢ / ask 78¢ |
| Tiger Woods | bid 25¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Tom Brady | bid 71¢ / ask 72¢ |
| Pete Hegseth | bid 65¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Mark Wahlberg | bid 46¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Marco Rubio | bid 93¢ / ask 93¢ |
| Kid Rock | bid 33¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Jason Statham | bid 82¢ / ask 83¢ |
| Jared Kushner | bid 65¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Elon Musk | bid 44¢ / ask 45¢ |
| Donald Trump Jr. | bid 15¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Dwayne Johnson | bid 69¢ / ask 70¢ |
| Conor McGregor | bid 88¢ / ask 90¢ |
| Barron Trump | bid 35¢ / ask 79¢ |
| Adam Sandler | bid 64¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Spencer Pratt | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Adin Ross | bid 60¢ / ask 67¢ |
When will Trump release more UFO files? — 6 outcomes — listed May 27, 2026 at 9:47 PM ET
View market options (6 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jun 29, 2026 | bid 10¢ (no asks) |
| Before Jun 22, 2026 | bid 9¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Before Jun 15, 2026 | bid 9¢ (no asks) |
| Before Jun 8, 2026 | bid 11¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Before Jul 6, 2026 | bid 11¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | bid 25¢ / ask 81¢ |
Will Congressional salaries increase? — 4 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 27, 2026 at 8:56 PM ET
Tracking: Before Jan 1, 2030, Before Jan 1, 2029, Before Jan 1, 2028, Before Jan 1, 2027
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?: E. Jean Carroll (last 99¢ (book empty)) — listed May 27, 2026 at 9:02 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 5 events, 17 markets
How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms? — 6 brackets — listed May 27, 2026 at 3:57 PM ET
View market strikes (6 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 40 | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 35 | bid 25¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 40¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 58¢ / ask 59¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 71¢ / ask 72¢ |
Kosovan parliamentary election winner — 4 outcomes — listed May 27, 2026 at 8:34 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| PDK | bid 5¢ / ask 7¢ |
| LVV | bid 56¢ / ask 61¢ |
| LDK | bid 4¢ / ask 6¢ |
| AAK | bid 5¢ / ask 11¢ |
Providence Mayor winner? — 4 outcomes — listed May 27, 2026 at 4:36 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Michael English | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| David Morales | bid 15¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Brett Smiley | bid 73¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Allen Waters | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
Texas Railroad Commissioner winner — 2 outcomes — listed May 27, 2026 at 4:35 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Jon Rosenthal | bid 34¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Bo French | bid 65¢ / ask 66¢ |
Will Trump endorse Mike Collins?: Yes — listed May 27, 2026 at 9:02 PM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 8 events, 31 markets
SI Swimsuit Runway Show Miami: Runway Models — 13 outcomes — listed May 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET
View market options (13 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Sophie Cunningham | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Salma Hayek | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Olivia Dunne | bid 51¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Olandria Lashae Carthen | bid 51¢ / ask 52¢ |
| Nina Agdal | bid 65¢ / ask 66¢ |
| Kristin Juszczyk | bid 42¢ / ask 43¢ |
| Jordan Chiles | bid 18¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Jilly Anais | bid 40¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Hilary Duff | bid 3¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Brittany Mahomes | bid 61¢ / ask 65¢ |
| Ashtin Earle | bid 60¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Alix Earle | bid 50¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Ali Truwit | bid 51¢ / ask 52¢ |
Love Island UK: Winners — 12 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 27, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET
Tracking: Sean, Samraj, Sam, Robyn, Ope, Mica, Lorenzo, Lola, Jasmine, Ellie, Angelista, Aidan
Oscar nominations for Best Director?: Javier Calvo (bid 54¢ / ask 61¢) — listed May 27, 2026 at 11:03 AM ET
Oscar nominations for Best Music (Original Score)?: The Black Ball (bid 56¢ / ask 64¢) — listed May 27, 2026 at 10:59 AM ET
Oscar nominations for Achievement in Casting?: The Black Ball (bid 67¢ / ask 73¢) — listed May 27, 2026 at 10:58 AM ET
Oscar nominations for Best Adapted Screenplay?: The Black Ball (bid 64¢ / ask 71¢) — listed May 27, 2026 at 10:57 AM ET
Oscar for Best Picture?: The Black Ball (bid 2¢ / ask 4¢) — listed May 27, 2026 at 10:56 AM ET
Oscar nominations for Best Picture?: The Black Ball (bid 65¢ / ask 70¢) — listed May 27, 2026 at 10:55 AM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,608 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 4,957 | 5 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, USD/JPY daily range, +2 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 228 | 12 | What position will song/album be on the Billboard chart?, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, Billboard Hot 100 #1, +9 more |
| 📊 Economics | 134 | 10 | Truflation AI & DePIN Index, Truflation Breakfast Commodity Index, Number of Airport Passenger Screened, +7 more |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.