📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (May 20 at 6:30 PM ET through May 21 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 183 unique markets across 35 new events, plus 5,564 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Next government of the United Kingdom?: Reform UK minority + DUP support, Reform UK, Conservative, and DUP coalition, Reform UK and Conservative coalition all at bid 1¢ / ask 1¢
Dublin Central by-election winner?: Ray McAdam bid 3¢ / ask 4¢, Daniel Ennis bid 77¢ / ask 78¢, Janice Boylan bid 14¢ / ask 16¢
EV commodity prices on May 21, 2026: Above 1282.70 bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Above 1262.70 bid 61¢ / ask 62¢, Above 1242.70 bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Drake Top 10 Spots — Billboard Hot 100 (June 06, 2026): Exactly 5 songs bid 14¢ / ask 15¢, Exactly 0 songs bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Exactly 2 songs bid 7¢ / ask 9¢
SpaceX Starship 12th launch?: Before May 23 bid 74¢ / ask 75¢, Before May 24 bid 77¢ / ask 79¢
Jared Polis out as Governor of Colorado?: Before Sep 1, 2026 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Before Jan 1, 2027 bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
US housing starts for May: Above 1.425M bid 33¢ / ask 35¢, Above 1.475M bid 19¢ / ask 23¢, Above 1.450M bid 25¢ / ask 29¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Cannes Award for Best performance by an actor?
- Drake Top 10 Spots — Billboard Hot 100 (June 06, 2026)
- TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?
- SpaceX Starship 12th launch?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- Costco total cardholders in Q3
- Futu total funded accounts in Q1
- Hims & Hers subscribers in Q2
- Meta headcount in Q2
- Reddit daily active uniques in Q2
- Spotify monthly active users in Q2
- Vail Resorts skier visits in Q3
- Jared Polis out as Governor of Colorado?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- What will be in the next reconciliation bill?
- When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?
- When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
- Which bills will become law in 2026?
- Who will attend Game 2: Cavaliers vs Knicks?
- Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
- Will legislation restricting institutional single-family home investment become law?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Daegu Mayoral Election Winner
- Dublin Central by-election winner?
- Indiana Republican Secretary of State nominee?
- Next government of the United Kingdom?
- Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?
- Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
- Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- Will Nauru be renamed to Naoero?
All New Events
🔬 Science and Technology — 3 events, 11 markets
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term? — 5 brackets — listed May 21, 2026 at 12:50 PM ET
View market strikes (5 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 2500 | bid 54¢ / ask 72¢ |
| At least 3000 | bid 47¢ / ask 65¢ |
| At least 3500 | bid 38¢ / ask 56¢ |
| At least 4000 | bid 31¢ / ask 49¢ |
| At least 4500 | bid 25¢ / ask 43¢ |
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026? — 4 outcomes — listed May 20, 2026 at 7:11 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Canada | bid 20¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Ethiopia | bid 19¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Nigeria | bid 10¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Somalia | bid 7¢ / ask 13¢ |
SpaceX Starship 12th launch? — 2 outcomes — listed May 20, 2026 at 7:17 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before May 23 | bid 74¢ / ask 75¢ |
| Before May 24 | bid 77¢ / ask 79¢ |
🎬 Entertainment — 3 events, 14 markets
Drake Top 10 Spots — Billboard Hot 100 (June 06, 2026) — 11 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 7:23 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Exactly 9 songs | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Exactly 8 songs | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Exactly 7 songs | bid 3¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Exactly 6 songs | bid 7¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Exactly 5 songs | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Exactly 4 songs | bid 22¢ / ask 25¢ |
| Exactly 3 songs | bid 27¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Exactly 2 songs | bid 7¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Exactly 10 songs | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Exactly 1 song | bid 2¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Exactly 0 songs | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
TIME's Person of the Year for 2026? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 21, 2026 at 6:13 PM ET
Tracking: Péter Magyar, Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
Cannes Award for Best performance by an actor?: Adam Driver (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — listed May 21, 2026 at 2:50 PM ET
📊 Economics — 3 events, 30 markets
EV commodity prices on May 21, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed May 20, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1312.70 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1302.70 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1292.70 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1282.70 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 1272.70 | bid 12¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 1262.70 | bid 61¢ / ask 62¢ |
| Above 1252.70 | bid 96¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1242.70 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1232.70 | bid 98¢ / ask 99¢ |
| Above 1222.70 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1212.70 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1202.70 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1192.70 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1182.70 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1172.70 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
US housing starts for May — 8 brackets — listed May 21, 2026 at 2:05 PM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1.550M | bid 7¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 1.525M | bid 12¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Above 1.500M | bid 15¢ / ask 22¢ |
| Above 1.475M | bid 19¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Above 1.450M | bid 25¢ / ask 29¢ |
| Above 1.425M | bid 33¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 1.400M | bid 43¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Above 1.375M | bid 62¢ / ask 67¢ |
US building permits for May — 7 brackets — listed May 21, 2026 at 5:09 PM ET
View market strikes (7 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1.550M | bid 4¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Above 1.500M | bid 14¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Above 1.450M | bid 39¢ / ask 51¢ |
| Above 1.400M | bid 71¢ / ask 84¢ |
| Above 1.350M | bid 85¢ / ask 97¢ |
| Above 1.300M | bid 85¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Above 1.250M | bid 91¢ / ask 97¢ |
💹 Financials — 7 events, 22 markets
Meta headcount in Q2 — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 21, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET
Spotify monthly active users in Q2 — 6 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 21, 2026 at 5:08 PM ET
Vail Resorts skier visits in Q3 — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · May 21, 2026 at 4:14 PM ET
Hims & Hers subscribers in Q2 — 3 brackets — listed May 21, 2026 at 4:56 PM ET
View market strikes (3 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 2.76 million | bid 78¢ (no asks) |
| Above 2.80 million | bid 61¢ (no asks) |
| Above 2.84 million | bid 51¢ (no asks) |
Costco total cardholders in Q3: Above 148.5 million (bid 54¢ / ask 62¢) — listed May 21, 2026 at 5:05 PM ET
Futu total funded accounts in Q1: Above 3625 thousand (bid 23¢ / ask 31¢) — listed May 21, 2026 at 5:02 PM ET
Reddit daily active uniques in Q2: Above 131.5 million (bid 39¢ / ask 47¢) — listed May 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 9 events, 31 markets
Who will attend Game 2: Cavaliers vs Knicks? — 14 outcomes — listed May 21, 2026 at 5:21 PM ET
View market options (14 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani | bid 2¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Tracy Morgan | — |
| Tina Fey | — |
| Timothée Chalamet | bid 93¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Spike Lee | bid 89¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Kylie Jenner | last 20¢ (book empty) |
| Jimmy Fallon | — |
| Jay-Z | — |
| Jaxson Dart | — |
| Fat Joe | — |
| Cardi B | bid 2¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Cameron Skattebo | — |
| Ben Stiller | bid 85¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Anne Hathaway | bid 2¢ / ask 7¢ |
Which bills will become law in 2026? — 4 outcomes — listed May 20, 2026 at 9:46 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Railway safety bill | bid 64¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Surface transportation reauthorization | bid 60¢ / ask 67¢ |
| Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee | bid 57¢ / ask 64¢ |
| Dignity Act | bid 18¢ / ask 25¢ |
US-Iran nuclear deal? — 3 outcomes — listed May 21, 2026 at 10:16 AM ET
View market options (3 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before October | bid 33¢ / ask 42¢ |
| Before November | bid 38¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Before December | bid 43¢ / ask 52¢ |
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill? — 2 outcomes — listed May 21, 2026 at 3:24 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jun 3, 2026 | bid 6¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Before Jun 6, 2026 | bid 19¢ / ask 26¢ |
When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate? — 2 outcomes — listed May 21, 2026 at 3:22 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jun 3, 2026 | bid 8¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | bid 77¢ / ask 85¢ |
Will legislation restricting institutional single-family home investment become law? — 2 outcomes — listed May 21, 2026 at 11:43 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | bid 42¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | bid 57¢ / ask 64¢ |
Jared Polis out as Governor of Colorado? — 2 outcomes — listed May 20, 2026 at 6:53 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | bid 6¢ / ask 7¢ |
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?: Lai Ching-te (bid 22¢ / ask 28¢) — listed May 21, 2026 at 11:55 AM ET
What will be in the next reconciliation bill?: 'Anti-weaponization' fund restrictions (bid 61¢ / ask 68¢) — listed May 20, 2026 at 9:39 PM ET
🗳️ Elections — 10 events, 75 markets
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes) — 33 outcomes — listed May 21, 2026 at 12:10 PM ET
View market options (25 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Wes Moore | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Stephen A. Smith | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Raphael Warnock | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Ro Khanna | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Ruben Gallego | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Rahm Emanuel | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Roy Cooper | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Pete Buttigieg | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Michelle Obama | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Mitch Landrieu | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Mark Kelly | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Mark Cuban | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Kamala Harris | bid 14¢ / ask 22¢ |
| James Talarico | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Jon Stewart | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Josh Shapiro | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| J.B. Pritzker | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Jared Polis | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Jon Ossoff | bid 3¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Jasmine Crockett | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Gretchen Whitmer | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Gina Raimondo | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Graham Platner | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
| Gavin Newsom | bid 13¢ / ask 21¢ |
| Elizabeth Warren | ask 6¢ (no bids) |
+ 8 more outcomes
Next government of the United Kingdom? — 19 outcomes — listed May 20, 2026 at 11:10 PM ET
View market options (19 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Reform UK minority | bid 8¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Reform UK majority | bid 8¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Reform UK minority + DUP support | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| Reform UK, Conservative, and DUP coalition | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| Reform UK and Conservative coalition | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| Reform UK minority + Conservative support | bid 8¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Labour minority + LD/Green/SNP/Plaid support | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| Labour and Liberal Democrat coalition | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| Labour minority + Liberal Democrat support | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| Labour, Liberal Democrat, and Green coalition | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| Labour minority + SNP support | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| Labour minority + Green support | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| Labour minority | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| Labour majority | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| Conservative minority + Reform UK support | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| Conservative and Liberal Democrat coalition | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| Conservative minority + DUP support | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| Conservative minority | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
| Conservative majority | bid 1¢ / ask 1¢ |
Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory? — 10 outcomes — listed May 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET
View market options (10 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Roberto Sánchez, 6-9% | bid 1¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Roberto Sánchez, ≥12% | bid 3¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Roberto Sánchez, 3-6% | bid 3¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Roberto Sánchez, 9-12% | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Roberto Sánchez, 0-3% | bid 12¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Keiko Fujimori, 9-12% | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Keiko Fujimori, 6-9% | bid 1¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Keiko Fujimori, ≥12% | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Keiko Fujimori, 3-6% | bid 20¢ / ask 27¢ |
| Keiko Fujimori, 0-3% | bid 45¢ / ask 53¢ |
Dublin Central by-election winner? — 5 outcomes — listed May 21, 2026 at 11:58 AM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Ray McAdam | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Malachy Steenson | bid 1¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Janice Boylan | bid 14¢ / ask 16¢ |
| Gerry Hutch | bid 5¢ / ask 7¢ |
| Daniel Ennis | bid 77¢ / ask 78¢ |
Daegu Mayoral Election Winner — 2 outcomes — listed May 21, 2026 at 11:59 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Kim Boo-kyum | bid 17¢ / ask 23¢ |
| Choo Kyung-ho | bid 77¢ / ask 83¢ |
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — 2 outcomes — listed May 20, 2026 at 8:51 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Jeff Bezos | bid 6¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Spencer Pratt | bid 12¢ / ask 19¢ |
Indiana Republican Secretary of State nominee?: Max Engling (bid 77¢ / ask 84¢) — listed May 21, 2026 at 3:19 PM ET
Will Nauru be renamed to Naoero?: YES (bid 81¢ / ask 87¢) — listed May 21, 2026 at 12:16 PM ET
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?: Thomas Massie (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed May 21, 2026 at 10:34 AM ET
2028 Republican presidential nominee: Jeff Bezos (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed May 20, 2026 at 8:51 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,564 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 4,950 | 4 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, USD/JPY daily range, +1 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 📊 Economics | 213 | 16 | US gas price up, France Inflation Rate YoY Prel , Japan Consumer Confidence, +13 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 108 | 4 | Daily Global Spotify songs, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, Daily US Spotify chart, +1 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 4 | 3 | EO this week?, Who will Trump meet?, POTUS tweets |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.