Kalshi Markets: USD/CAD, Spanish Election, Nobel Prize

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 07 at 8:30 AM ET through Oct 08 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 565 unique markets across 350 new events, plus 5,080 recurring bracket markets.

🌤️ Climate and Weather

1 event

1 market

🔬 Science and Technology

1 event

4 markets

🏛️ Politics

5 events

28 markets

📊 Economics

5 events

55 markets

🎬 Entertainment

9 events

103 markets

🗳️ Elections

16 events

48 markets

💹 Financials

313 events

326 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.42535 — bid 83¢ / ask 84¢

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 0.69481 — bid 30¢ / ask 31¢

EV commodity prices on Oct 8, 2026: Above 1254.91, Above 1244.91, Above 1224.91 all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Spanish general election: voter turnout: At least 22,000,000 bid 97¢ / ask 98¢, At least 23,500,000 bid 95¢ / ask 97¢, At least 23,000,000 bid 95¢ / ask 97¢

Dancing with the Stars · Episode 6 Elimination: Tyler Cameron bid 24¢ / ask 25¢, Tatyana Ali bid 18¢ / ask 19¢, Julia Stiles bid 9¢ / ask 10¢

Nobel Prize in Economics 2026: Sendhil Mullainathan bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Thomas Piketty bid 2¢ / ask 3¢, Emmanuel Saez bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

US SPR level for the week ending October 9, 2026: Above 287M, Above 286M, Above 285M all at bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🌤️ Climate and Weather

Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?

🔬 Science and Technology

Anthropic market share this week

📊 Economics

🏛️ Politics

🎬 Entertainment

🗳️ Elections

💹 Financials

All New Events

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 1 event, 1 market

Will Hurricane Isaias cross Alabama before Dec 31, 2026?: Before Dec 31, 2026 (bid 46¢ / ask 62¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 10:52 AM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 4 markets

Anthropic market share this week — 4 brackets — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 5:17 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 3.0%	bid 94¢ / ask 99¢
Above 3.1%	bid 88¢ / ask 98¢
Above 3.2%	bid 91¢ / ask 95¢
Above 3.3%	bid 10¢ / ask 88¢

🏛️ Politics — 5 events, 28 markets

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 8, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 8.4%	bid 3¢ / ask 6¢
9.0%	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
8.9%	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
8.8%	bid 6¢ / ask 12¢
8.7%	bid 68¢ / ask 75¢
8.6%	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
8.5%	bid 2¢ / ask 9¢
8.4%	bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Above 9.0%	bid 3¢ / ask 6¢

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 8, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 38.2%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
38.8%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
38.7%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
38.6%	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
38.5%	bid 31¢ / ask 34¢
38.4%	bid 43¢ / ask 45¢
38.3%	bid 17¢ / ask 18¢
38.2%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 38.8%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢

Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 8, 2026? — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
<5	ask 10¢ (no bids)
40+	bid 5¢ / ask 24¢
5-9	bid 8¢ / ask 47¢
30-39	bid 3¢ / ask 61¢
25-29	bid 2¢ / ask 61¢
20-24	bid 4¢ / ask 63¢
15-19	bid 22¢ / ask 80¢
10-14	bid 6¢ / ask 59¢

Will DHS submit a final OPT fee rule to OIRA this year?: Yes (bid 9¢ / ask 16¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:20 PM ET

Will the U.S. ban any open-source AI model in 2026?: Yes (bid 11¢ / ask 16¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 6:34 PM ET

📊 Economics — 5 events, 55 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 6:01 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $6.335	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above $6.330	ask 91¢ (no bids)
Above $6.325	ask 91¢ (no bids)
Above $6.320	—
Above $6.315	ask 93¢ (no bids)
Above $6.310	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Above $6.305	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above $6.300	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Above $6.295	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Above $6.290	ask 93¢ (no bids)
Above $6.285	ask 92¢ (no bids)
Above $6.280	ask 94¢ (no bids)
Above $6.275	bid 6¢ (no asks)
Above $6.270	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.265	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.260	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.255	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.250	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.245	bid 10¢ (no asks)
Above $6.240	bid 28¢ / ask 99¢
Above $6.235	bid 9¢ (no asks)

EV commodity prices on Oct 8, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1264.91	—
Above 1254.91	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1244.91	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1234.91	ask 66¢ (no bids)
Above 1224.91	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1214.91	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1204.91	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Above 1194.91	bid 9¢ / ask 23¢
Above 1184.91	bid 58¢ / ask 74¢
Above 1174.91	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1164.91	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1154.91	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 1144.91	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1134.91	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1124.91	bid 99¢ (no asks)

US SPR level for the week ending October 9, 2026 — 12 brackets — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 11:11 AM ET

View market strikes (12 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 287M	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 286M	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 285M	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 284M	bid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Above 283M	bid 1¢ / ask 39¢
Above 282M	bid 77¢ / ask 94¢
Above 281M	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 280M	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 279M	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 278M	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 277M	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢
Above 276M	bid 98¢ / ask 99¢

Disneyland ticket price at year-end 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 1:43 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $222	bid 89¢ / ask 97¢
Above $220	bid 91¢ / ask 99¢
Above $218	bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
Above $216	bid 95¢ / ask 99¢

Nobel Prize in Economics 2026 — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 12:32 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Emmanuel Saez	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Thomas Piketty	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Sendhil Mullainathan	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

🎬 Entertainment — 9 events, 103 markets

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 9, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

Tracking: Yeshanagula, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), Shararat, Sebebi Yar, Parvati, Kayıp Kalp, KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 15: z5y8Clp_TdE], KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 5: xvT1jH8B9AM], Dai Dai, Chalre Chalre Waal | Female Version | Tu Sanwal Phul Kasturi | Trending Songs 2026 @kunwarbrar, Casa Tupka Anthemo, BbY WOW, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 9, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 9, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 5:02 AM ET

Tracking: You Are My Lady, WTF GOIN, World's Greatest!, Todo Lo Fue, Patient Zero, Nicole Kidman, Janice STFU, HOTEL LOBBY (Unc & Phew) (- A COLORS SHOW), Draw You Out (From The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping - The Album), Dope Girl, Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 5: hLOheGDwD_0], Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 3: nUsrYVxrDwI], BbY WOW, AH HA

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 8, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yeshanagula	last 2¢ (book empty)
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip	bid 15¢ / ask 48¢
Training Season (Live)	last 1¢ (book empty)
Shararat	last 1¢ (book empty)
Sebebi Yar	last 1¢ (book empty)
Parvati	last 2¢ (book empty)
Kayıp Kalp	last 1¢ (book empty)
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 15: z5y8Clp_TdE]	last 1¢ (book empty)
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 5: xvT1jH8B9AM]	last 1¢ (book empty)
Dai Dai	bid 21¢ / ask 46¢
Chalre Chalre Waal \| Female Version \| Tu Sanwal Phul Kasturi \| Trending Songs 2026 @kunwarbrar	last 1¢ (book empty)
Casa Tupka Anthemo	bid 16¢ / ask 54¢
BbY WOW	last 1¢ (book empty)
Basinga Balaalu	last 1¢ (book empty)
Barsaat	last 1¢ (book empty)

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 8, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yeshanagula	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip	—
Training Season (Live)	last 1¢ (book empty)
Shararat	last 1¢ (book empty)
Sebebi Yar	ask 10¢ (no bids)
Parvati	ask 20¢ (no bids)
Kayıp Kalp	last 1¢ (book empty)
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 15: z5y8Clp_TdE]	last 1¢ (book empty)
KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 5: xvT1jH8B9AM]	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Dai Dai	bid 54¢ / ask 67¢
Chalre Chalre Waal \| Female Version \| Tu Sanwal Phul Kasturi \| Trending Songs 2026 @kunwarbrar	ask 20¢ (no bids)
Casa Tupka Anthemo	—
BbY WOW	ask 20¢ (no bids)
Basinga Balaalu	ask 20¢ (no bids)
Barsaat	ask 20¢ (no bids)

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 8, 2026 — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
You Are My Lady	last 1¢ (book empty)
WTF GOIN	last 1¢ (book empty)
World's Greatest!	bid 6¢ / ask 8¢
Todo Lo Fue	last 1¢ (book empty)
Patient Zero	bid 14¢ / ask 61¢
Nicole Kidman	last 1¢ (book empty)
Janice STFU	last 1¢ (book empty)
HOTEL LOBBY (Unc & Phew) (- A COLORS SHOW)	last 1¢ (book empty)
Draw You Out (From The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping - The Album)	last 1¢ (book empty)
Dope Girl	last 1¢ (book empty)
Dai Dai	bid 20¢ / ask 49¢
Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 5: hLOheGDwD_0]	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 3: nUsrYVxrDwI]	bid 10¢ / ask 43¢
BbY WOW	last 1¢ (book empty)
AH HA	last 1¢ (book empty)

Dancing with the Stars · Episode 6 Elimination — 11 outcomes — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET

View market options (11 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Tyler Cameron	bid 24¢ / ask 25¢
Tatyana Ali	bid 18¢ / ask 19¢
Maura Higgins	last 1¢ (book empty)
Julia Stiles	bid 9¢ / ask 10¢
Jackson Olson	bid 28¢ / ask 29¢
Jenna Dewan	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Harry Shum Jr.	last 1¢ (book empty)
Guillermo Rodriguez	bid 19¢ / ask 20¢
Ezra Frech	last 1¢ (book empty)
Connor Wood	bid 6¢ / ask 7¢
Amber Glenn	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Steam: Weekly Top Seller : Dota 2 (bid 5¢ / ask 78¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:56 PM ET

Will Housewife by Tate McRae debut #1 on the Billboard Hot 100?: Housewife by Tate McRae (bid 1¢ / ask 8¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 3:23 PM ET

🗳️ Elections — 16 events, 48 markets

Spanish general election: voter turnout — 12 brackets — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 6:34 PM ET

View market strikes (12 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 27,500,000	bid 2¢ / ask 7¢
At least 27,000,000	bid 6¢ / ask 13¢
At least 26,500,000	bid 19¢ / ask 27¢
At least 26,000,000	bid 38¢ / ask 46¢
At least 25,500,000	bid 58¢ / ask 66¢
At least 25,000,000	bid 76¢ / ask 84¢
At least 24,500,000	bid 88¢ / ask 95¢
At least 24,000,000	bid 93¢ / ask 98¢
At least 23,500,000	bid 95¢ / ask 97¢
At least 23,000,000	bid 95¢ / ask 97¢
At least 22,500,000	bid 96¢ / ask 98¢
At least 22,000,000	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢

Which ballot measures will pass in San Francisco? — 10 outcomes — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:55 PM ET

View market options (10 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Proposition J	bid 21¢ / ask 94¢
Proposition I	—
Proposition H	bid 21¢ / ask 95¢
Proposition G	bid 5¢ / ask 79¢
Proposition F	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Proposition E	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Proposition D	ask 95¢ (no bids)
Proposition C	bid 21¢ / ask 95¢
Proposition B	—
Proposition A	bid 11¢ (no asks)

Spanish general election: Vox vote percent — 10 brackets — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 6:34 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 22%	bid 3¢ / ask 77¢
At least 21%	bid 5¢ / ask 78¢
At least 20%	bid 5¢ / ask 79¢
At least 19%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
At least 18%	bid 5¢ (no asks)
At least 17%	bid 21¢ / ask 95¢
At least 16%	bid 21¢ / ask 95¢
At least 15%	bid 21¢ / ask 95¢
At least 14%	bid 6¢ (no asks)
At least 13%	bid 6¢ (no asks)

Which bloc will win a Knesset majority? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 6:37 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
None	bid 24¢ / ask 81¢
Netanyahu bloc	bid 7¢ / ask 14¢
Opposition bloc	bid 9¢ / ask 17¢

Which bloc will win the most Knesset seats? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 6:37 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Netanyahu bloc	bid 48¢ / ask 56¢
Opposition bloc	bid 44¢ / ask 50¢

Will the Bay Area Regional Transit Measure pass?: Yes (bid 27¢ / ask 75¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:55 PM ET

Will Jon Ossoff outperform the polls?: Yes (bid 48¢ / ask 54¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

Will Roy Cooper outperform the polls?: Yes (bid 46¢ / ask 53¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

Will Adam Hamilton outperform the polls?: Yes (bid 46¢ / ask 52¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

Will Josh Turek outperform the polls?: Yes (bid 46¢ / ask 54¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

Will Abdul El-Sayed outperform the polls?: Yes (bid 47¢ / ask 54¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

Will Sherrod Brown outperform the polls?: Yes (bid 46¢ / ask 54¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

Will Susan Collins outperform the polls?: Yes (bid 52¢ / ask 54¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

Will James Talarico outperform the polls?: Yes (bid 47¢ / ask 54¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

Will Steve Hilton outperform the polls?: Yes (bid 46¢ / ask 54¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?: Before Jul 1, 2027 — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 3:49 PM ET

💹 Financials — 313 events, 326 markets

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 11:10 AM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.46% or above	bid 19¢ / ask 36¢
5.48% or above	bid 17¢ / ask 34¢
5.5% or above	bid 14¢ / ask 31¢
5.52% or above	bid 12¢ / ask 29¢
5.54% or above	bid 10¢ / ask 27¢
5.56% or above	bid 8¢ / ask 24¢
5.58% or above	bid 6¢ / ask 22¢
5.6% or above	bid 5¢ / ask 21¢
5.62% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 19¢
5.64% or above	bid 1¢ / ask 17¢

Domino's US same store sales growth in Q3 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 07, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Coors Light Point of Sale Growth in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 5:01 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 85	bid 90¢ / ask 99¢
Above 83	bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
Above 81	bid 93¢ / ask 99¢

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.42535 (bid 83¢ / ask 84¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 0.69481 (bid 30¢ / ask 31¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 158.175 (bid 78¢ / ask 81¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.11981 (bid 14¢ / ask 17¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.32124 (bid 20¢ / ask 22¢) — listed Oct 07, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

5,080 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	3,701	9	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +6 more
📊 Economics	899	53	Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand, West Virginia gas price, Vermont gas price, +50 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	364	54	Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +51 more
🎬 Entertainment	116	8	DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100?, Billboard Hot 100 #1, +5 more

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: USD/CAD, Spanish Election, Nobel Prize Economics — Past 24 Hours (as of 8:30:21 AM ET, Oct 08)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 1 event, 1 market

🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 4 markets

🏛️ Politics — 5 events, 28 markets

📊 Economics — 5 events, 55 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 9 events, 103 markets

🗳️ Elections — 16 events, 48 markets

💹 Financials — 313 events, 326 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

Prediction News Network