Kalshi Markets: USD/JPY, EUR/USD, Jair Bolsonaro Pardon

📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Oct 08 at 8:30 AM ET through Oct 09 at 8:30 AM ET). Our scan picked up 790 unique markets across 318 new events, plus 5,183 recurring bracket markets.

📊 Economics

2 events

36 markets

🌤️ Climate and Weather

3 events

3 markets

🎬 Entertainment

6 events

117 markets

🔬 Science and Technology

10 events

111 markets

🗳️ Elections

39 events

87 markets

🏛️ Politics

83 events

246 markets

💹 Financials

175 events

190 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 158.263 — bid 28¢ / ask 29¢

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.12038 — bid 55¢ / ask 56¢

EV commodity prices on Oct 9, 2026: Above 1229.69 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 1219.69 bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Above 1209.69 bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

Will a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?: Yes — bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned?: Before Jan 10, 2027 bid 60¢ / ask 61¢, Before Mar 1, 2027 bid 72¢ / ask 88¢

Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election?: Ofir Katz bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, Oded Forer bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, Miki Zohar bid 4¢ / ask 5¢

Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?: Yitzhak Wasserlauf bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, Yoram Cohen bid 23¢ / ask 24¢, Itamar Ben-Gvir bid 24¢ / ask 25¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

📊 Economics

🌤️ Climate and Weather

🎬 Entertainment

🔬 Science and Technology

🗳️ Elections

🏛️ Politics

💹 Financials

All New Events

📊 Economics — 2 events, 36 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 21 brackets — listed Oct 09, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (21 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $6.330	bid 1¢ / ask 39¢
Above $6.325	bid 1¢ / ask 42¢
Above $6.320	—
Above $6.315	—
Above $6.310	—
Above $6.305	—
Above $6.300	—
Above $6.295	—
Above $6.290	—
Above $6.285	—
Above $6.280	—
Above $6.275	—
Above $6.270	—
Above $6.265	—
Above $6.260	—
Above $6.255	—
Above $6.250	—
Above $6.245	—
Above $6.240	—
Above $6.235	bid 9¢ (no asks)
Above $6.230	bid 9¢ (no asks)

EV commodity prices on Oct 9, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 1259.69	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1249.69	last 1¢ (book empty)
Above 1239.69	—
Above 1229.69	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1219.69	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Above 1209.69	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Above 1199.69	bid 41¢ / ask 76¢
Above 1189.69	bid 81¢ / ask 93¢
Above 1179.69	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1169.69	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1159.69	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Above 1149.69	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1139.69	bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above 1129.69	bid 96¢ (no asks)
Above 1119.69	bid 98¢ (no asks)

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 3 events, 3 markets

Will a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?: Yes (bid 2¢ / ask 8¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:36 PM ET

Will a Category 4 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?: Yes (bid 2¢ / ask 43¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:36 PM ET

Will a Category 3 hurricane make landfall in Tampa before 2027?: Yes (bid 3¢ / ask 4¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:32 PM ET

🎬 Entertainment — 6 events, 117 markets

Top 10 DJ’s: 2027 — 51 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 12:56 PM ET

Tracking: Zedd, W&W, Vintage Culture, Vini Vici, Timmy Trumpet, Tiësto, Swedish House Mafia, Steve Aoki, Skrillex, Reinier Zonneveld, R3hab, Quintino, Peggy Gou, Paul van Dyk, Oliver Heldens, Nicky Romero, Michael Bibi, The Martinez Brothers, Marshmello, Martin Garrix, Lost Frequencies, KSHMR, Korolova, Keinemusik, John Summit, +26 more

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Top 5 Clubs on Dj Mag’s Top 100 Clubs List? — 20 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 1:05 PM ET

View market options (20 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
The Warehouse Project at Depot Mayfield	bid 3¢ / ask 83¢
Ushuaïa Ibiza	bid 11¢ / ask 89¢
Studio 338	ask 83¢ (no bids)
Savaya	bid 11¢ / ask 89¢
PLAY HOUSE	ask 83¢ (no bids)
Pacha	ask 89¢ (no bids)
Noa Beach Club	ask 83¢ (no bids)
Laroc Club	bid 11¢ / ask 89¢
Illuzion Phuket	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Hï Ibiza	bid 11¢ / ask 90¢
GREENVALLEY	bid 94¢ / ask 95¢
FABRIK	bid 14¢ / ask 15¢
fabric	ask 89¢ (no bids)
Echostage	bid 31¢ / ask 32¢
DC-10	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Cavo Paradiso	ask 83¢ (no bids)
Bootshaus	bid 5¢ (no asks)
Berghain	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Avant Gardner & The Brooklyn Mirage	ask 83¢ (no bids)
Amnesia	ask 88¢ (no bids)

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 10, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 09, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

Tracking: Yeshanagula, Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip, Training Season (Live), Shararat, Parvati, Kayıp Kalp, KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 15: z5y8Clp_TdE], KALYANI (Remix) [YouTube video 5: xvT1jH8B9AM], Dai Dai, Chalra Chalra Waal Female Version - Tu Sanwal Phul Kasturi Song ❤️ Instagram Trending song 2026, Chalre Chalre Waal | Female Version | Tu Sanwal Phul Kasturi | Trending Songs 2026 @kunwarbrar, Casa Tupka Anthemo, BbY WOW, Basinga Balaalu, Barsaat

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Oct 10, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 09, 2026 at 5:01 AM ET

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Oct 10, 2026 — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 09, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET

Tracking: WTF GOIN, World's Greatest!, Todo Lo Fue, Solar Eclipse, Patient Zero, Nicole Kidman, Lil Baby, Bally Baby, Fatt Smaxk - Coast 2 Coast, Janice STFU, HOTEL LOBBY (Unc & Phew) (- A COLORS SHOW), Dai Dai, Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 6: hLOheGDwD_0], Choosin' Texas [YouTube video 2: nUsrYVxrDwI], BbY WOW, Alma Rota, AH HA

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner(s): Stevie Wonder (bid 2¢ / ask 63¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:23 AM ET

🔬 Science and Technology — 10 events, 111 markets

Best LLM at the end of the decade? — 34 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 6:18 PM ET

View market options (25 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Z AI	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Xiaomi	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
xAI	bid 4¢ / ask 12¢
Upstage	—
Thinking Machines	—
Tencent	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
StepFun	—
Safe Superintelligence	—
Reflection AI	—
Prime Intellect	—
OpenAI	bid 12¢ / ask 20¢
NVIDIA	ask 6¢ (no bids)
Mistral	ask 7¢ (no bids)
Microsoft	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Moonshot	bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
MiniMax	ask 7¢ (no bids)
Meta	bid 2¢ / ask 10¢
LongCat	—
LG AI Research	—
Inception	—
InclusionAI	—
Institute of Foundation Models	—
Huawei	ask 5¢ (no bids)
Google	bid 13¢ / ask 21¢
Essential AI	—

+ 9 more outcomes

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 12, 2026 — 9 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 71.1%	bid 2¢ / ask 15¢
Above 67.6%	bid 5¢ / ask 29¢
Above 64.7%	bid 6¢ / ask 44¢
Above 63.7%	bid 11¢ / ask 49¢
Above 61.2%	bid 19¢ / ask 59¢
Above 57.2%	bid 37¢ / ask 69¢
Above 52.7%	bid 52¢ / ask 79¢
Above 48.0%	bid 65¢ / ask 94¢
Above 43.9%	bid 80¢ / ask 95¢

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.9%	bid 12¢ / ask 89¢
Above 8.4%	bid 22¢ / ask 90¢
Above 5.5%	bid 25¢ / ask 91¢
Above 4.0%	bid 30¢ / ask 91¢
Above 18.4%	bid 7¢ / ask 75¢
Above 15.8%	bid 9¢ / ask 77¢
Above 14.1%	bid 9¢ / ask 77¢
Above 12.3%	bid 11¢ / ask 89¢
Above 11.1%	bid 10¢ / ask 90¢

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 26.1%	bid 3¢ / ask 20¢
Above 23.8%	bid 9¢ / ask 30¢
Above 22.5%	bid 17¢ / ask 38¢
Above 22.2%	bid 19¢ / ask 35¢
Above 20.5%	bid 33¢ / ask 55¢
Above 18.7%	bid 36¢ / ask 69¢
Above 18.3%	bid 48¢ / ask 75¢
Above 17.1%	bid 58¢ / ask 81¢
Above 16.3%	bid 55¢ / ask 87¢

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 48.2%	bid 3¢ / ask 14¢
Above 45.7%	bid 14¢ / ask 68¢
Above 43.3%	bid 24¢ / ask 79¢
Above 42.6%	bid 31¢ / ask 79¢
Above 40.1%	bid 15¢ / ask 84¢
Above 38.7%	bid 15¢ / ask 84¢
Above 38.0%	bid 58¢ / ask 80¢
Above 35.9%	bid 45¢ / ask 89¢
Above 33.3%	bid 87¢ / ask 97¢

Google share of requests on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 18.6%	bid 9¢ / ask 20¢
Above 18.1%	bid 6¢ / ask 25¢
Above 17.1%	bid 10¢ / ask 35¢
Above 16.5%	bid 10¢ / ask 40¢
Above 15.5%	bid 16¢ / ask 50¢
Above 14.4%	bid 12¢ / ask 58¢
Above 14.0%	bid 26¢ / ask 60¢
Above 12.6%	bid 55¢ / ask 83¢
Above 11.6%	bid 81¢ / ask 93¢

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 28.5%	bid 10¢ / ask 80¢
Above 27.5%	bid 10¢ / ask 89¢
Above 26.8%	bid 11¢ / ask 89¢
Above 26.1%	bid 11¢ / ask 89¢
Above 25.4%	bid 11¢ / ask 89¢
Above 24.9%	bid 11¢ / ask 88¢
Above 24.4%	bid 16¢ / ask 84¢
Above 22.0%	bid 16¢ / ask 95¢
Above 19.3%	bid 16¢ (no asks)

Anthropic share of requests on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.7%	bid 5¢ / ask 40¢
Above 8.3%	bid 20¢ / ask 45¢
Above 7.9%	bid 16¢ / ask 59¢
Above 7.5%	bid 30¢ / ask 55¢
Above 7.3%	bid 25¢ / ask 63¢
Above 7.2%	bid 46¢ / ask 70¢
Above 6.0%	bid 35¢ / ask 86¢
Above 5.3%	bid 45¢ / ask 93¢
Above 4.9%	bid 70¢ / ask 97¢

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel) — 9 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:45 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 9.7%	bid 50¢ / ask 90¢
Above 9.4%	bid 78¢ / ask 89¢
Above 8.9%	bid 65¢ / ask 91¢
Above 8.2%	bid 70¢ / ask 97¢
Above 17.9%	bid 8¢ / ask 50¢
Above 13.4%	bid 16¢ / ask 68¢
Above 12.3%	bid 30¢ / ask 70¢
Above 11.5%	bid 35¢ / ask 69¢
Above 10.4%	bid 50¢ / ask 82¢

Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 6:19 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
United States	bid 14¢ / ask 84¢
South Korea	bid 2¢ / ask 74¢
France	bid 3¢ / ask 66¢
China	bid 10¢ / ask 80¢
United Arab Emirates	bid 2¢ / ask 61¢

🗳️ Elections — 39 events, 87 markets

Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo — 12 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 6:32 PM ET

View market options (12 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Lula, Bennett, Republicans	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Lula, Bennett, Democrats	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Lula, Eizenkot, Republicans	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Lula, Eizenkot, Democrats	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Lula, Netanyahu, Republicans	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Lula, Netanyahu, Democrats	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Bolsonaro, Bennett, Republicans	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Bolsonaro, Bennett, Democrats	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Republicans	bid 14¢ / ask 15¢
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Democrats	bid 21¢ / ask 22¢
Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Republicans	bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Democrats	bid 18¢ / ask 19¢

120th Congress: Who will run for House Democratic leader? — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 6:48 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Ted Lieu	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Rashida Tlaib	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Pramila Jayapal	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
Pete Aguilar	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
Katherine Clark	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Joe Neguse	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢
Hakeem Jeffries	bid 92¢ / ask 97¢
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	bid 3¢ / ask 5¢

120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Democratic leader? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 6:49 PM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Elizabeth Warren	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Chris Van Hollen	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Chuck Schumer	bid 77¢ / ask 84¢
Chris Murphy	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Catherine Cortez Masto	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Cory Booker	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Brian Schatz	bid 15¢ / ask 23¢

120th Congress: Who will run for Senate Republican leader? — 7 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 6:48 PM ET

View market options (7 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Tom Cotton	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Rick Scott	bid 50¢ / ask 59¢
Ron Johnson	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Mike Lee	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
John Thune	bid 87¢ / ask 94¢
Josh Hawley	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
John Barrasso	bid 10¢ / ask 19¢

When will James Talarico be seen in public? — 6 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 3:49 PM ET

View market options (6 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Oct 15, 2026	bid 97¢ / ask 98¢
Before Oct 14, 2026	bid 91¢ / ask 95¢
Before Oct 13, 2026	bid 89¢ / ask 94¢
Before Oct 12, 2026	bid 87¢ / ask 92¢
Before Oct 11, 2026	bid 81¢ / ask 90¢
Before Oct 10, 2026	bid 15¢ / ask 19¢

120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader? — 5 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 6:48 PM ET

View market options (5 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Tom Emmer	bid 7¢ / ask 13¢
Steve Scalise	bid 16¢ / ask 25¢
Mike Johnson	bid 65¢ / ask 74¢
Jim Jordan	bid 16¢ / ask 25¢
August Pfluger	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢

2028 Republican presidential nominee — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 12:48 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
John Kennedy	last 1¢ (book empty)
Doug Burgum	last 1¢ (book empty)

Clarence mayoral election winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 5:39 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Tony Mulder	bid 1¢ / ask 32¢
Dean Young	bid 1¢ / ask 32¢

Mongolian presidential election winner? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 5:38 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Luvsannyamyn Gantömör	ask 90¢ (no bids)
Norovyn Altankhuyag	ask 87¢ (no bids)

How many votes will be cast early in the Midterms? — 2 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:52 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 63 million	bid 22¢ / ask 32¢
At least 66 million	bid 8¢ / ask 18¢

How many Pennsylvania mail ballots will be requested? — 2 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:50 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 1.6 million	bid 30¢ / ask 40¢
At least 1.7 million	bid 23¢ / ask 33¢

How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026? — 2 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:48 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 52	bid 11¢ / ask 20¢
At least 58	bid 1¢ / ask 10¢

British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 2:46 PM ET

Tracking: 57 or more, 62 or more

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Midterms: Trump approval in the exit poll? — 2 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:17 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 32%	bid 80¢ / ask 90¢
Above 30%	bid 85¢ / ask 95¢

Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person) — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:41 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Eric Hafner	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Jim McDermott	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?: Doug Burgum (bid 21¢ / ask 30¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?: Doug Burgum (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET

Gambian presidential election winner?: Talib Bensouda (ask 92¢ (no bids)) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 5:39 PM ET

Taiwan presidential election winner?: Cheng Li-wun — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 5:39 PM ET

2028 London mayoral election winner?: Dawn Butler (ask 94¢ (no bids)) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 5:38 PM ET

Launceston mayoral election winner?: Tim Walker (bid 1¢ / ask 54¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 5:38 PM ET

Midterms: Democratic share of 2024 Trump voters?: Above 11% (bid 6¢ / ask 16¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:51 PM ET

Will Jim Justice announce a West Virginia governor run?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 57¢ / ask 67¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET

Highest third-party vote share in a 2026 Senate race?: At least 5% (bid 32¢ / ask 42¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:43 PM ET

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Together win?: Above 12 (bid 30¢ / ask 99¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:42 PM ET

When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?: Before Feb 1, 2027 (bid 18¢ / ask 27¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 11¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:35 PM ET

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?: Above 24 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET

Serbian parliamentary election: voter turnout: At least 4,125,000 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET

When will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?: Before Feb 1, 2027 (bid 11¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET

Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout: At least 124,000,000 (bid 63¢ / ask 73¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET

Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?: Above 9% (bid 42¢ / ask 52¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET

Alberta referendum: Remain vote share?: At least 77% (bid 9¢ / ask 49¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:31 PM ET

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional): Democrats, ≥11% (bid 12¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:31 PM ET

Midterms: Republican share of voters 18-29?: Above 26% (bid 86¢ / ask 96¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:23 PM ET

Midterms: Republican share of Latino vote?: Above 26% (bid 86¢ / ask 96¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:23 PM ET

SNS-led list margin of victory in Serbia?: SNS-led list, ≥3% — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:03 PM ET

Closest Governor race in 2026?: Vermont — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 12:48 PM ET

Alaska Senate winner? (Person): Gerald Heikes (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:40 AM ET

🏛️ Politics — 83 events, 246 markets

Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election? — 29 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

View market options (25 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yariv Levin	bid 2¢ / ask 71¢
Yair Golan	bid 1¢ / ask 71¢
Yitzhak Goldknopf	bid 1¢ / ask 71¢
Yoram Cohen	bid 2¢ / ask 71¢
Yoav Ben-Tzur	bid 5¢ / ask 71¢
Yinon Azulay	bid 6¢ / ask 71¢
Ofir Katz	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Orit Farkash-Hacohen	bid 4¢ / ask 78¢
Oded Forer	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Naama Lazimi	bid 1¢ / ask 78¢
Naftali Bennett	bid 2¢ / ask 78¢
Miki Zohar	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Miri Regev	bid 2¢ / ask 78¢
Michael Malchieli	bid 7¢ / ask 79¢
Moshe Gafni	bid 2¢ / ask 78¢
Meirav Cohen	bid 2¢ / ask 78¢
Keren Terner Eyal	bid 2¢ / ask 78¢
Israel Katz	bid 2¢ / ask 78¢
Haim Biton	bid 3¢ / ask 80¢
Gideon Sa'ar	bid 3¢ / ask 80¢
Gilad Kariv	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Gadi Eisenkot	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Eli Cohen	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
David Amsalem	bid 2¢ / ask 80¢
Chili Tropper	bid 6¢ / ask 78¢

+ 4 more outcomes

Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election? — 24 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

View market options (24 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yitzhak Wasserlauf	bid 5¢ / ask 6¢
Yoav Segalovitz	bid 2¢ / ask 71¢
Yoaz Hendel	bid 2¢ / ask 71¢
Yair Golan	bid 3¢ / ask 71¢
Yossi Cohen	bid 1¢ / ask 71¢
Yoram Cohen	bid 23¢ / ask 24¢
Talya Lankri	bid 2¢ / ask 38¢
Tally Gotliv	bid 1¢ / ask 37¢
Ram Ben-Barak	bid 1¢ / ask 40¢
Ofer Winter	bid 1¢ / ask 72¢
Matan Kahana	bid 1¢ / ask 71¢
Meirav Ben-Ari	bid 2¢ / ask 69¢
Limor Son Har-Melech	bid 1¢ / ask 70¢
Itamar Ben-Gvir	bid 24¢ / ask 25¢
Haim Katz	bid 2¢ / ask 70¢
Hamad Amar	bid 6¢ / ask 73¢
Gideon Sa'ar	bid 1¢ / ask 69¢
Elazar Stern	bid 1¢ / ask 70¢
Eli Cohen	bid 1¢ / ask 24¢
Chili Tropper	bid 2¢ / ask 70¢
Bezalel Smotrich	bid 1¢ / ask 12¢
Amir Ohana	bid 3¢ / ask 69¢
Amichai Eliyahu	bid 1¢ / ask 69¢
Avi Dichter	bid 2¢ / ask 13¢

Who will be Israeli finance minister after the election? — 18 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

View market options (18 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yaron Zelekha	bid 2¢ / ask 71¢
Yair Lapid	bid 4¢ / ask 71¢
Yair Golan	bid 2¢ / ask 71¢
Shaul Meridor	bid 7¢ / ask 71¢
Orit Farkash-Hacohen	bid 4¢ / ask 71¢
Naama Lazimi	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Naftali Bennett	bid 3¢ / ask 79¢
Nir Barkat	bid 3¢ / ask 71¢
Moshe Feiglin	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Keren Terner Eyal	bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
Israel Katz	bid 4¢ / ask 79¢
Gadi Eisenkot	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Eli Cohen	bid 13¢ / ask 14¢
Chili Tropper	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢
Bezalel Smotrich	bid 12¢ / ask 13¢
Benjamin Netanyahu	bid 2¢ / ask 77¢
Avigdor Lieberman	bid 8¢ / ask 80¢
Aryeh Deri	bid 2¢ / ask 79¢

Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election? — 16 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:04 PM ET

View market options (16 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yair Lapid	bid 7¢ / ask 71¢
Yair Golan	bid 2¢ / ask 71¢
Yossi Cohen	bid 2¢ / ask 71¢
Yoram Cohen	bid 2¢ / ask 71¢
Ron Dermer	bid 3¢ / ask 71¢
Naftali Bennett	bid 7¢ / ask 71¢
Israel Katz	bid 7¢ / ask 80¢
Gideon Sa'ar	bid 7¢ / ask 81¢
Gadi Eisenkot	bid 3¢ / ask 79¢
Einat Wilf	bid 2¢ / ask 81¢
Eli Cohen	bid 3¢ / ask 81¢
Chili Tropper	bid 3¢ / ask 81¢
Benjamin Netanyahu	bid 4¢ / ask 81¢
Benny Gantz	bid 2¢ / ask 81¢
Amir Ohana	bid 3¢ / ask 81¢
Avigdor Lieberman	bid 6¢ / ask 81¢

Who will be Israeli justice minister after the election? — 15 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

View market options (15 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Yariv Levin	bid 18¢ / ask 19¢
Tally Gotliv	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Simcha Rothman	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Ofir Katz	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Orit Farkash-Hacohen	bid 5¢ / ask 8¢
Oded Forer	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Moshe Saada	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Karine Elharrar	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Gideon Sa'ar	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢
Gilad Kariv	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Efrat Rayten	bid 3¢ / ask 7¢
Chili Tropper	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Bezalel Smotrich	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Ayelet Shaked	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Amir Ohana	bid 3¢ / ask 4¢

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — 9 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 12:22 PM ET

View market options (9 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Feb 1, 2027	bid 6¢ / ask 34¢
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 20¢ / ask 38¢
Before May 1, 2027	bid 19¢ / ask 54¢
Before Jun 1, 2027	bid 22¢ / ask 59¢
Before Aug 1, 2027	bid 28¢ / ask 70¢
Before Sep 1, 2027	bid 29¢ / ask 74¢
Before Oct 1, 2027	bid 34¢ / ask 78¢
Before Nov 1, 2027	bid 38¢ / ask 80¢
Before Dec 1, 2027	bid 46¢ / ask 82¢

Generic congressional ballot on Oct 9, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 10:01 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 8.4%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
9.0%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
8.9%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
8.8%	bid 9¢ / ask 13¢
8.7%	bid 71¢ / ask 72¢
8.6%	bid 9¢ / ask 12¢
8.5%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
8.4%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 9.0%	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 9, 2026? — 9 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

View market strikes (9 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Below 38.1%	bid 85¢ / ask 86¢
38.7%	last 1¢ (book empty)
38.6%	last 1¢ (book empty)
38.5%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
38.4%	last 1¢ (book empty)
38.3%	last 1¢ (book empty)
38.2%	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
38.1%	bid 4¢ / ask 5¢
Above 38.7%	bid 1¢ / ask 2¢

Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 9, 2026? — 8 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

View market options (8 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
<5	ask 32¢ (no bids)
40+	bid 7¢ / ask 73¢
5-9	bid 1¢ / ask 31¢
30-39	bid 4¢ / ask 40¢
25-29	bid 4¢ / ask 45¢
20-24	bid 3¢ / ask 48¢
15-19	bid 3¢ / ask 48¢
10-14	bid 3¢ / ask 47¢

How many affordable homes will NYC finance in FY2027? — 4 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:53 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 40,000	bid 36¢ / ask 45¢
Above 45,000	bid 26¢ / ask 35¢
Above 50,000	bid 16¢ / ask 25¢
Above 55,000	bid 6¢ / ask 15¢

What will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 2:37 PM ET

Tracking: 15% or above, 40% or above, 50% or above

🔗 View on Kalshi →

America PAC 2026 total disbursements? — 3 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:56 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 60 million dollars	bid 83¢ / ask 93¢
At least 75 million dollars	bid 70¢ / ask 80¢
At least 160 million dollars	bid 1¢ / ask 10¢

Will a cabinet member be impeached? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 7¢ / ask 15¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 23¢ / ask 31¢
Before Oct 1, 2027	bid 41¢ / ask 49¢

Will marijuana be rescheduled? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:31 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 11¢ / ask 89¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 26¢ / ask 74¢
Before Oct 1, 2027	bid 56¢ / ask 65¢

How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026? — 3 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:44 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
At least 6	—
At least 7	bid 1¢ / ask 67¢
At least 8	—

Will Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again? — 3 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:43 PM ET

View market options (3 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 1¢ / ask 10¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 18¢ / ask 27¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 52¢ / ask 61¢

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? — 3 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET

Tracking: Before Apr 1, 2027, Before Oct 1, 2027, Before Jan 1, 2028

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Will the US government lift Microsoft's PERM suspension? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:42 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 5¢ / ask 9¢

Will Jair Bolsonaro be pardoned? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:21 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Mar 1, 2027	bid 72¢ / ask 88¢
Before Jan 10, 2027	bid 60¢ / ask 61¢

NYC efficiency savings in FY2027? — 2 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above $200 million	bid 78¢ / ask 87¢
Above $1.4 billion	bid 2¢ / ask 10¢

What will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET

Tracking: 15% or above, 40% or above

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Jessica Tisch departure announced? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:35 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 19¢ / ask 28¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 28¢ / ask 37¢

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 10¢ / ask 20¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 22¢ / ask 32¢

Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jan 1, 2027	bid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 12¢ / ask 18¢

MAGA Inc. 2026 total disbursements? — 2 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:47 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 400 million dollars	bid 7¢ / ask 17¢
Above 500 million dollars	bid 2¢ / ask 12¢

When will a farm bill become law? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:42 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 30¢ / ask 39¢
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 49¢ / ask 58¢

Will Trump talk to a sitting Supreme Court justice? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 16¢ / ask 25¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	bid 71¢ / ask 80¢

Will Trump try to leave the USMCA? — 2 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 2:38 PM ET

Tracking: Before 2028, Before 2029

🔗 View on Kalshi →

Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:37 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 15¢ / ask 58¢
Before Apr 1, 2027	last 54¢ (book empty)

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) — 2 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 180	bid 74¢ / ask 75¢
Above 190	bid 58¢ / ask 59¢

Will the SAVE America Act become law? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:29 PM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Jul 1, 2027	bid 3¢ / ask 8¢
Before Jan 1, 2028	bid 4¢ / ask 13¢

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11) — 2 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 180	bid 85¢ / ask 86¢
Above 190	bid 50¢ / ask 51¢

How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026? — 2 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:01 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 110,000	bid 85¢ / ask 94¢
Above 120,000	bid 74¢ / ask 83¢

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/5 - 10/11) — 2 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 12:47 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 310	bid 15¢ / ask 16¢
Above 320	bid 7¢ / ask 9¢

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as US Ambassador to Greece? — 2 outcomes — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET

View market options (2 outcomes)

Outcome	Price
Before Nov 1, 2026	bid 13¢ / ask 21¢
Before Dec 1, 2026	bid 39¢ / ask 42¢

Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages in 2026?: Yes (bid 65¢ / ask 74¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 7:24 PM ET

Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?: Bongbong Marcos (bid 78¢ / ask 87¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 6:11 PM ET

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 335?: Yes (bid 8¢ / ask 12¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 5:52 PM ET

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 334?: Yes (bid 22¢ / ask 24¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 5:52 PM ET

How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?: At least 6 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:50 PM ET

Will the cap on gambling loss deduction be repealed?: Before Jan 1, 2029 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:47 PM ET

When will Trump nominate someone to the Election Assistance Commission?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 44¢ / ask 53¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:46 PM ET

When will Trump nominate a Federal Reserve governor?: Before Feb 1, 2027 (bid 33¢ / ask 42¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:46 PM ET

Shawn Fain announces departure as UAW President?: Before Jul 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET

When will Canada lower tariffs on the US?: Before Apr 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET

When will Dominic LeBlanc and Jamieson Greer meet?: Before Apr 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:44 PM ET

Will Kenya and the US reach a critical minerals deal?: Before Apr 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:44 PM ET

Will Trump declare a national emergency?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 48¢ / ask 58¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:44 PM ET

When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?: Before Mar 1, 2027 (bid 37¢ / ask 47¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:44 PM ET

Congressional Progressive Caucus size after the midterms?: Above 97 (bid 70¢ / ask 79¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:43 PM ET

Will Tulsi Gabbard rejoin the Trump administration?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 20¢ / ask 30¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:43 PM ET

When will Canada and the EU begin association talks?: Before Jul 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:42 PM ET

Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?: Before Jan 1, 2028 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET

Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?: Before Jul 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET

Will Trump approve a new city on federal land?: Before Jan 1, 2028 (bid 11¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET

When will Serbia call its presidential election?: Before Dec 1, 2026 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:40 PM ET

When will Trump and Mamdani meet?: Before Mar 1, 2027 (bid 40¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:39 PM ET

Will the Treasury grant retroactive cannabis tax relief?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 51¢ / ask 60¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:39 PM ET

Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 71¢ / ask 80¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:39 PM ET

Will Kash Patel visit Russia?: Before Jan 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:38 PM ET

What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?: 15% or above — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:38 PM ET

Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 41¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:38 PM ET

When will FISA be reauthorized again?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 42¢ / ask 48¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:37 PM ET

Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria?: Before 2028 (bid 31¢ / ask 40¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:37 PM ET

When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?: Before Mar 1, 2027 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:36 PM ET

Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?: Before Jan 1, 2028 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:36 PM ET

Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 40¢ / ask 49¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:36 PM ET

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?: Before Jan 1, 2028 (bid 21¢ / ask 30¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:35 PM ET

Will Congress override Trump's veto?: Before Jan 1, 2028 (bid 17¢ / ask 26¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:35 PM ET

Jeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 45¢ / ask 54¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET

When will Trump's ballroom be completed?: Before Jul 1, 2028 (bid 26¢ / ask 36¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET

Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?: Before Jan 1, 2028 (bid 18¢ / ask 19¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET

Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump's impeachment?: Before Jul 1, 2027 (bid 12¢ / ask 50¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:33 PM ET

FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts): Above $5M (bid 63¢ / ask 72¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:32 PM ET

Will Trump declare an election emergency?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 14¢ / ask 20¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:31 PM ET

Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?: Before Jan 1, 2028 — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:31 PM ET

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 28¢ / ask 38¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:31 PM ET

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?: Before Jan 1, 2028 (bid 15¢ / ask 68¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:31 PM ET

Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?: Before Apr 1, 2027 (bid 38¢ / ask 98¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:31 PM ET

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11): Above 5 (bid 68¢ / ask 70¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:29 PM ET

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11): Above 22 (bid 71¢ / ask 72¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:29 PM ET

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?: Peter Doocy (last 1¢ (book empty)) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET

Deportations in 2026?: Above 425,000 (bid 61¢ / ask 70¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 1:58 PM ET

💹 Financials — 175 events, 190 markets

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026? — 10 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 1:51 PM ET

View market strikes (10 brackets)

Bracket	Price
5.81% or above	bid 9¢ / ask 21¢
5.83% or above	bid 7¢ / ask 19¢
5.85% or above	bid 5¢ / ask 17¢
5.87% or above	bid 4¢ / ask 16¢
5.89% or above	ask 16¢ (no bids)
5.91% or above	ask 15¢ (no bids)
5.93% or above	ask 15¢ (no bids)
5.95% or above	ask 14¢ (no bids)
5.97% or above	ask 11¢ (no bids)
5.99% or above	ask 10¢ (no bids)

Starbucks Foot Traffic in October — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Oct 08, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET

🔗 See bracket structure on Kalshi →

Miller Lite Point of Sale Growth in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 3:01 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 84	bid 67¢ / ask 70¢
Above 82	bid 77¢ / ask 90¢
Above 80	bid 87¢ / ask 89¢

Burger King Foot Traffic in October — 3 brackets — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)

Bracket	Price
Above 104	bid 2¢ / ask 4¢
Above 107	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢
Above 110	bid 2¢ / ask 3¢

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

USD/CAD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.42334 (bid 89¢ / ask 95¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

AUD/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 0.69813 (bid 5¢ / ask 16¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

USD/JPY Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 158.263 (bid 28¢ / ask 29¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

EUR/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.12038 (bid 55¢ / ask 56¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 8:02 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: TBD — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

GBP/USD Up or Down – 15 minutes: Target price: 1.32195 (bid 39¢ / ask 43¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET

Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle this year?: Before Jan 1, 2027 (bid 21¢ / ask 27¢) — listed Oct 08, 2026 at 11:29 AM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

5,183 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

Category	Markets	Series	Top Series
💹 Financials	3,866	15	Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +12 more
📊 Economics	927	55	Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand, 30-year mortgage rate this week, West Virginia gas price, +52 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather	370	55	Where will it rain daily, Hourly Directional Coastal LA Temperature, Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature, +52 more
🎬 Entertainment	17	3	DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, RUNNER UP NETFLIX SHOW, Netflix TV ranking
🏛️ Politics	3	2	EO this week?, Trump tariffs on Canada: reduction

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.

New Kalshi Markets: USD/JPY, EUR/USD, Jair Bolsonaro Pardon — Past 24 Hours (as of 8:30:17 AM ET, Oct 09)

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

All New Events

📊 Economics — 2 events, 36 markets

🌤️ Climate and Weather — 3 events, 3 markets

🎬 Entertainment — 6 events, 117 markets

🔬 Science and Technology — 10 events, 111 markets

🗳️ Elections — 39 events, 87 markets

🏛️ Politics — 83 events, 246 markets

💹 Financials — 175 events, 190 markets

🔄 Recurring Markets

Prediction News Network