📖 New here? How to read this post
Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.
How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.
For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.
Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (May 18 at 6:30 PM ET through May 19 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 147 unique markets across 26 new events, plus 5,631 recurring bracket markets.
⚡ What's Actionable Right Now
The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.
Will wage satisfaction hit a new low in 2026?: Below 52.3% — bid 94¢ / ask 95¢
Survivor Season 50: 3rd place: Tiffany Nicole Ervin bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Jonathan Young bid 7¢ / ask 8¢, Aubry Bracco bid 1¢ / ask 2¢
Survivor Season 50: 2nd place: Tiffany Nicole Ervin bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Rizo Velovic bid 1¢ / ask 2¢, Jonathan Young bid 80¢ / ask 81¢
Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. BTC?: S&P 500 Total Return Index bid 52¢ / ask 53¢, BTC bid 47¢ / ask 48¢
SpaceX Starship 12th launch?: Before May 22 — bid 35¢ / ask 36¢
Auto-loan delinquencies in Q2 2026: Above 6.6% bid 5¢ / ask 6¢, Above 6.4% bid 9¢ / ask 10¢, Above 6.2% bid 14¢ / ask 15¢
Who will win Britain's Got Talent: Season 19?: Ted Hill bid 13¢ / ask 14¢, Sonny Green bid 9¢ / ask 10¢, Matty Juniosa bid 8¢ / ask 9¢
All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance
- Auto-loan delinquencies in Q2 2026
- EV commodity prices on May 19, 2026
- Nvidia H200 chips delivered to China before 2027?
- Will wage satisfaction hit a new low in 2026?
- How many votes will the next reconciliation bill receive in the House?
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24)
- What will be in the next reconciliation bill?
- When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
- Who will attend Game 1: Cavaliers vs Knicks?
- Will the US ban crude oil exports?
- Britain's Got Talent Season 19: Top 3
- Britain's Got Talent Season 19: Top 5
- How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week?
- How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- Oscar nominations for Best Music (Original Score)?
- Oscar nominations for Best Original Screenplay?
- Survivor Season 50: 2nd place
- Survivor Season 50: 3rd place
- Which countries will officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?
- Who will win Britain's Got Talent: Season 19?
- Will Daft Punk have a reunion this year?
- Will Drake occupy all top 5 spots on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for May 30th?
All New Events
🏢 Companies — 1 event, 1 market
SpaceX Starship 12th launch?: Before May 22 (bid 35¢ / ask 36¢) — listed May 19, 2026 at 11:44 AM ET
🗳️ Elections — 1 event, 15 markets
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? — 15 candidates listed, no live quotes yet · May 19, 2026 at 6:01 PM ET
Tracking: 57, 56, 55, 54, 53, 52, 51, 50, 49, 48, 47, 46, 45, Below 45, Above 57
💹 Financials — 2 events, 4 markets
Annual Return: WTI vs. Brent? — 2 outcomes — listed May 19, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| WTI Crude Oil | bid 47¢ / ask 49¢ |
| Brent Crude Oil | bid 51¢ / ask 53¢ |
Annual Return: S&P 500 Total Return Vs. BTC? — 2 outcomes — listed May 19, 2026 at 12:59 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| S&P 500 Total Return Index | bid 52¢ / ask 53¢ |
| BTC | bid 47¢ / ask 48¢ |
📊 Economics — 4 events, 25 markets
EV commodity prices on May 19, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed May 18, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
View market strikes (15 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 1326.13 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1316.13 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1306.13 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1296.13 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1286.13 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1276.13 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1266.13 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1256.13 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 1246.13 | bid 40¢ / ask 41¢ |
| Above 1236.13 | bid 73¢ / ask 80¢ |
| Above 1226.13 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1216.13 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1206.13 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1196.13 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
| Above 1186.13 | bid 99¢ (no asks) |
Auto-loan delinquencies in Q2 2026 — 8 brackets — listed May 19, 2026 at 11:24 AM ET
View market strikes (8 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 6.6% | bid 5¢ / ask 6¢ |
| Above 6.4% | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Above 6.2% | bid 14¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Above 6.0% | bid 29¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Above 5.8% | bid 46¢ / ask 47¢ |
| Above 5.6% | bid 72¢ / ask 73¢ |
| Above 5.4% | bid 85¢ / ask 86¢ |
| Above 5.2% | bid 92¢ / ask 93¢ |
Will wage satisfaction hit a new low in 2026?: Below 52.3% (bid 94¢ / ask 95¢) — listed May 19, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET
Nvidia H200 chips delivered to China before 2027?: Before 2027 (bid 75¢ / ask 77¢) — listed May 18, 2026 at 7:07 PM ET
🏛️ Politics — 6 events, 36 markets
How many votes will the next reconciliation bill receive in the House? — 12 brackets — listed May 19, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET
View market strikes (12 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 220 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 219 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 218 | last 1¢ (book empty) |
| Above 217 | bid 3¢ / ask 9¢ |
| Above 216 | bid 3¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Above 215 | bid 15¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Above 214 | bid 37¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Above 213 | bid 45¢ / ask 61¢ |
| Above 212 | bid 72¢ / ask 76¢ |
| Above 211 | bid 76¢ / ask 87¢ |
| Above 210 | bid 80¢ / ask 91¢ |
| Above 209 | bid 91¢ / ask 95¢ |
Who will attend Game 1: Cavaliers vs Knicks? — 11 outcomes — listed May 18, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET
View market options (11 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani | bid 10¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Travis Kelce | bid 12¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Tracy Morgan | bid 73¢ / ask 74¢ |
| Timothée Chalamet | bid 95¢ / ask 96¢ |
| Taylor Swift | bid 14¢ / ask 19¢ |
| Spike Lee | bid 97¢ / ask 98¢ |
| Odell Beckham Jr. | bid 16¢ / ask 20¢ |
| Kylie Jenner | bid 79¢ / ask 82¢ |
| Jay-Z | bid 70¢ / ask 71¢ |
| Jake Paul | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Ben Stiller | bid 94¢ / ask 95¢ |
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24) — 10 brackets — listed May 19, 2026 at 10:03 AM ET
View market strikes (10 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| Above 75 | bid 3¢ / ask 4¢ |
| Above 50 | bid 8¢ / ask 11¢ |
| Above 5 | bid 86¢ / ask 89¢ |
| Above 40 | bid 11¢ / ask 13¢ |
| Above 30 | bid 15¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Above 25 | bid 25¢ / ask 26¢ |
| Above 20 | bid 34¢ / ask 35¢ |
| Above 15 | bid 44¢ / ask 46¢ |
| Above 100 | bid 2¢ / ask 3¢ |
| Above 10 | bid 66¢ / ask 69¢ |
Will the US ban crude oil exports?: Before August 2026 (bid 3¢ / ask 8¢) — listed May 19, 2026 at 12:05 PM ET
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?: Before May 24, 2026 (bid 85¢ / ask 93¢) — listed May 19, 2026 at 10:36 AM ET
What will be in the next reconciliation bill?: Secret Service funding (bid 46¢ / ask 53¢) — listed May 19, 2026 at 10:27 AM ET
🎬 Entertainment — 12 events, 66 markets
How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week? — 11 brackets — listed May 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 million | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| At least 6 million | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| At least 50 million | ask 84¢ (no bids) |
| At least 40 million | bid 3¢ / ask 48¢ |
| At least 35 million | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| At least 30 million | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| At least 25 million | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| At least 21 million | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| At least 18 million | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| At least 15 million | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| At least 12 million | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
How many views will the #1 Movie on Netflix have this week? — 11 brackets — listed May 19, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET
View market strikes (11 brackets)
| Bracket | Price |
|---|---|
| At least 9 million | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| At least 6 million | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| At least 50 million | bid 1¢ / ask 14¢ |
| At least 40 million | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| At least 35 million | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| At least 30 million | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| At least 25 million | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| At least 21 million | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| At least 18 million | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| At least 15 million | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
| At least 12 million | ask 94¢ (no bids) |
Britain's Got Talent Season 19: Top 5 — 8 outcomes — listed May 19, 2026 at 1:08 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Ted Hill | bid 39¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Sonny Green | bid 39¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Rafferty Coope | bid 39¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Matty Juniosa | bid 11¢ / ask 88¢ |
| LMA | bid 12¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Liwei Yang | bid 12¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Fabian Fox | bid 8¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Anastasiia and Salsa | bid 8¢ (no asks) |
Britain's Got Talent Season 19: Top 3 — 8 outcomes — listed May 19, 2026 at 1:04 PM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Ted Hill | bid 12¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Sonny Green | bid 12¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Rafferty Coope | bid 11¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Matty Juniosa | bid 12¢ / ask 84¢ |
| LMA | bid 12¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Liwei Yang | bid 12¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Fabian Fox | bid 12¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Anastasiia and Salsa | bid 12¢ / ask 88¢ |
Who will win Britain's Got Talent: Season 19? — 8 outcomes — listed May 19, 2026 at 10:16 AM ET
View market options (8 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Ted Hill | bid 13¢ / ask 14¢ |
| Sonny Green | bid 9¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Rafferty Coope | bid 13¢ / ask 15¢ |
| Matty Juniosa | bid 8¢ / ask 9¢ |
| LMA | bid 17¢ / ask 18¢ |
| Liwei Yang | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
| Fabian Fox | bid 26¢ / ask 31¢ |
| Anastasiia and Salsa | bid 11¢ / ask 12¢ |
Survivor Season 50: 3rd place — 5 outcomes — listed May 19, 2026 at 1:32 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tiffany Nicole Ervin | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Rizo Velovic | bid 8¢ / ask 10¢ |
| Jonathan Young | bid 7¢ / ask 8¢ |
| Joe Hunter | bid 86¢ / ask 88¢ |
| Aubry Bracco | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
Survivor Season 50: 2nd place — 5 outcomes — listed May 19, 2026 at 1:27 PM ET
View market options (5 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Tiffany Nicole Ervin | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Rizo Velovic | bid 1¢ / ask 2¢ |
| Jonathan Young | bid 80¢ / ask 81¢ |
| Joe Hunter | bid 16¢ / ask 17¢ |
| Aubry Bracco | bid 4¢ / ask 5¢ |
Oscar nominations for Best Music (Original Score)? — 4 outcomes — listed May 19, 2026 at 2:57 PM ET
View market options (4 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Project Hail Mary | bid 26¢ / ask 34¢ |
| The Social Reckoning | bid 26¢ / ask 34¢ |
| The Drama | bid 16¢ / ask 24¢ |
| Cry to Heaven | bid 21¢ / ask 29¢ |
Oscar nominations for Best Original Screenplay? — 2 outcomes — listed May 19, 2026 at 2:54 PM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| The Adventures of Cliff Booth | bid 36¢ / ask 44¢ |
| Club Kid | bid 16¢ / ask 24¢ |
Which countries will officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027? — 2 outcomes — listed May 19, 2026 at 10:38 AM ET
View market options (2 outcomes)
| Outcome | Price |
|---|---|
| Canada | bid 21¢ / ask 40¢ |
| Kazakhstan | bid 41¢ / ask 60¢ |
Will Daft Punk have a reunion this year?: Before 2027 — listed May 19, 2026 at 4:22 PM ET
Will Drake occupy all top 5 spots on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for May 30th?: Exactly 5 (bid 52¢ / ask 54¢) — listed May 18, 2026 at 7:13 PM ET
🔄 Recurring Markets
5,631 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).
| Category | Markets | Series | Top Series |
|---|---|---|---|
| 💹 Financials | 5,027 | 8 | S&P 500 above/below, Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 range, +5 more |
| 🌤️ Climate and Weather | 289 | 42 | Hourly Directional NYC Temperature, Low Temperature Oklahoma City, Low Temperature Houston, +39 more |
| 📊 Economics | 167 | 12 | US gas price up, United States Personal Spending MoM, United States Personal Income MoM, +9 more |
| 🎬 Entertainment | 145 | 14 | Daily US Spotify artist chart, Daily Global Spotify songs, Daily US Spotify chart Runner-up, +11 more |
| 🏛️ Politics | 3 | 1 | Bills signed monthly |
All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.