📖 New here? How to read this post

Every day, new prediction markets launch on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange where you can trade on real-world outcomes. Think of this post as a quick vibe check on what’s new in culture, politics, and the world — when you see markets pop up for the Oscars, a surprise album drop, Saturday Night Live hosts, or the next Fed decision, it tells you something about what people are paying attention to right now.

How to read this: On Kalshi, an event is the big question being asked — for example, “Who will win Best Picture at the 2026 Oscars?” Each event contains one or more markets, which are the specific yes-or-no outcomes you can actually trade — like “Will 1949 / Fatherland win Best Picture?” at a given price. When an event has numeric thresholds (“Will the S&P 500 close above 5,500?”), those individual levels are called brackets.

For each new event below, we include a link to find it on Kalshi so you can see live pricing. The first thing to do with any new market is understand the rules — then decide if you have an edge.

Here's every new market that launched on Kalshi in the past 24 hours (Aug 19 at 6:30 PM ET through Aug 20 at 6:30 PM ET). Our scan picked up 321 unique markets across 67 new events, plus 4,165 recurring bracket markets.

🔬 Science and Technology
1 event
7 markets
🗳️ Elections
3 events
39 markets
🎬 Entertainment
4 events
49 markets
🏛️ Politics
7 events
13 markets
💹 Financials
14 events
74 markets
📊 Economics
38 events
139 markets

⚡ What's Actionable Right Now

The launches from the past 24h with the tightest spreads and live two-sided quotes — i.e. the ones you can actually trade right now.

Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Aug 21, 2026: Life Goes On bid 31¢ / ask 32¢, Barsaat ask 81¢ (no bids), Barbaadi ask 84¢ (no bids)

Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Aug 21, 2026: Pooh Shiesty - Reap What You Sow [Official Audio] bid 32¢ / ask 33¢, Dai Dai bid 38¢ / ask 39¢, Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026 last 1¢ (book empty)

Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?: Before Jan 1, 2028 bid 44¢ / ask 46¢, Before Sep 1, 2027 bid 29¢ / ask 31¢, Before April 1, 2027 bid 24¢ / ask 26¢

Diesel prices tomorrow: Above $5.550 bid 96¢ / ask 98¢, Above $5.515 bid 95¢ / ask 99¢, Above $5.540 bid 93¢ / ask 98¢

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?: Keir Starmer bid 1¢ / ask 3¢, Richard Tice bid 1¢ / ask 4¢, No new person bid 2¢ / ask 5¢

ESPN App Downloads in August: Above 70 bid 1¢ / ask 5¢, Above 65 bid 1¢ / ask 5¢, Above 60 bid 1¢ / ask 6¢

All Events — every new event from the past 24h, at a glance

🔬 Science and Technology
🗳️ Elections
🎬 Entertainment
🏛️ Politics
💹 Financials
📊 Economics

All New Events

🔬 Science and Technology — 1 event, 7 markets

OpenRouter AI token usage: Aug 17–23 — 7 brackets — listed Aug 20, 2026 at 10:52 AM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 94T tokensbid 2¢ / ask 10¢
Above 91T tokensbid 8¢ / ask 16¢
Above 88T tokensbid 16¢ / ask 24¢
Above 85T tokensbid 56¢ / ask 64¢
Above 82T tokensbid 81¢ / ask 89¢
Above 79T tokensbid 89¢ / ask 97¢
Above 76T tokensbid 93¢ / ask 99¢

🗳️ Elections — 3 events, 39 markets

View market options (25 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Yvette Cooperbid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Wes Streetingbid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Shabana Mahmoodbid 2¢ / ask 6¢
Richard Ticebid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Rachel Reevesbid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Robert Jenrickbid 2¢ / ask 10¢
Pat McFaddenbid 1¢ / ask 5¢
No new personbid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Nigel Faragebid 22¢ / ask 31¢
Mel Stridebid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Lucy Powellbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Lisa Nandybid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Louise Haighbid 2¢ / ask 5¢
Keir Starmerbid 1¢ / ask 3¢
Kemi Badenochbid 17¢ / ask 26¢
Jonathan Reynoldsbid 1¢ / ask 5¢
John Healeybid 1¢ / ask 5¢
James Cleverlybid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Emma Reynoldsbid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Ed Milibandbid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Ed Daveybid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Bridget Phillipsonbid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Boris Johnsonbid 1¢ / ask 4¢
Angela Raynerbid 2¢ / ask 7¢
Rupert Lowebid 1¢ / ask 8¢
View market options (12 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Yorkbid 6¢ / ask 13¢
Spartanburgbid 15¢ / ask 22¢
Pickensbid 52¢ / ask 58¢
Oconeebid 82¢ / ask 88¢
Newberrybid 62¢ / ask 68¢
Lexingtonbid 82¢ / ask 88¢
Laurensbid 52¢ / ask 58¢
Lancasterbid 82¢ / ask 88¢
Horrybid 87¢ / ask 94¢
Greenvillebid 13¢ / ask 20¢
Charlestonbid 82¢ / ask 88¢
Andersonbid 62¢ / ask 68¢
View market options (2 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Scott Timkoask 93¢ (no bids)
Brandon Dukesbid 22¢ / ask 72¢

🎬 Entertainment — 4 events, 49 markets

View market options (15 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
เพราะพี่รักจริงlast 1¢ (book empty)
Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026ask 93¢ (no bids)
Tera Mera Rishta
Sunflowerask 93¢ (no bids)
Shararatlast 1¢ (book empty)
Sebebi Yarask 93¢ (no bids)
Life Goes Onbid 31¢ / ask 32¢
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MVask 94¢ (no bids)
KALYANI (Remix)ask 92¢ (no bids)
Jaiye Sajanalast 1¢ (book empty)
Goldenask 95¢ (no bids)
Dai Daiask 91¢ (no bids)
Basinga Balaalulast 1¢ (book empty)
Barsaatask 81¢ (no bids)
Barbaadiask 84¢ (no bids)
View market options (15 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
เพราะพี่รักจริงlast 1¢ (book empty)
Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026last 1¢ (book empty)
Tera Mera Rishtalast 1¢ (book empty)
Sunflowerlast 1¢ (book empty)
Shararatlast 1¢ (book empty)
Sebebi Yarlast 2¢ (book empty)
Life Goes Onlast 1¢ (book empty)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MVlast 1¢ (book empty)
KALYANI (Remix)last 1¢ (book empty)
Jaiye Sajanalast 1¢ (book empty)
Goldenlast 1¢ (book empty)
Dai Daibid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Basinga Balaalulast 1¢ (book empty)
Barsaatlast 1¢ (book empty)
Barbaadilast 1¢ (book empty)
View market options (15 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Todo Lo Fue - (Video Oficial) - Lenin Ramirez - DEL Records 2026last 1¢ (book empty)
Sunflowerask 92¢ (no bids)
Pooh Shiesty - Reap What You Sow [Official Audio]bid 32¢ / ask 33¢
Life Goes Onask 83¢ (no bids)
KATSEYE (캣츠아이) "Animal" Official MVask 92¢ (no bids)
Janice STFUlast 1¢ (book empty)
ICONIC BY MISTAKElast 1¢ (book empty)
Goldenask 94¢ (no bids)
Ghetto Love Storylast 1¢ (book empty)
Dead Freshlast 1¢ (book empty)
Dai Daibid 38¢ / ask 39¢
Choosin' Texasask 93¢ (no bids)
Big Guylast 1¢ (book empty)
Be My Friend (The Verity Band)last 1¢ (book empty)
Beat Itlast 1¢ (book empty)
View market options (4 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Royal Lasersask 95¢ (no bids)
Olivia Befusask 95¢ (no bids)
Luke Talenoask 95¢ (no bids)
Hundred Fingersask 95¢ (no bids)

🏛️ Politics — 7 events, 13 markets

View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Apr 6, 2028bid 27¢ / ask 86¢
Before Apr 6, 2027bid 14¢ / ask 85¢
Before Nov 1, 2026bid 11¢ / ask 85¢
View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Jul 1, 2027bid 37¢ / ask 43¢
Before Jan 1, 2027bid 27¢ / ask 33¢
Before Oct 1, 2026bid 17¢ / ask 23¢
View market options (3 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before April 1, 2027bid 24¢ / ask 26¢
Before Sep 1, 2027bid 29¢ / ask 31¢
Before Jan 1, 2028bid 44¢ / ask 46¢

Will CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration?: Before 2030 (bid 31¢ / ask 39¢) — listed Aug 20, 2026 at 1:41 PM ET

Who will Trump pardon in 2026?: Michael Cohen (bid 12¢ / ask 34¢) — listed Aug 20, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET

NYC teachers' aides paid the Respect Check before Feb 2027?: Before Feb 1, 2027 (bid 22¢ / ask 28¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 10:53 PM ET

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?: Ari Fleischer (bid 2¢ / ask 5¢) — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 10:32 PM ET

💹 Financials — 14 events, 74 markets

Grubhub App Downloads in August — 7 brackets — listed Aug 20, 2026 at 2:12 PM ET

View market strikes (7 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 133bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Above 130bid 4¢ / ask 12¢
Above 127bid 9¢ / ask 17¢
Above 124bid 16¢ / ask 24¢
Above 121bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
Above 118bid 56¢ / ask 64¢
Above 115bid 76¢ / ask 84¢

ESPN App Downloads in August — 6 brackets — listed Aug 20, 2026 at 2:09 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 70bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Above 65bid 1¢ / ask 5¢
Above 60bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Above 55bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Above 50bid 4¢ / ask 12¢
Above 45bid 80¢ / ask 89¢

Paramount+ App Downloads in August — 6 brackets — listed Aug 20, 2026 at 2:04 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 99bid 2¢ / ask 10¢
Above 95bid 4¢ / ask 12¢
Above 92bid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Above 88bid 16¢ / ask 24¢
Above 104bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
Above 85bid 41¢ / ask 49¢

X Money APY at end of 2026 — 6 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 7:28 PM ET

View market strikes (6 brackets)
BracketPrice
6.50% or abovebid 6¢ / ask 14¢
6.00% or abovebid 36¢ / ask 44¢
5.50% or abovebid 71¢ / ask 79¢
5.00% or abovebid 86¢ / ask 94¢
4.50% or abovebid 89¢ / ask 97¢
4.00% or abovebid 93¢ / ask 99¢

Twitter App Downloads in August — 5 brackets — listed Aug 20, 2026 at 2:16 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 98bid 1¢ / ask 7¢
Above 97bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Above 96bid 4¢ / ask 12¢
Above 95bid 7¢ / ask 15¢
Above 94bid 11¢ / ask 19¢

Instagram App Downloads in August — 5 brackets — listed Aug 20, 2026 at 2:16 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 98bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Above 97bid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Above 96bid 26¢ / ask 34¢
Above 95bid 66¢ / ask 74¢
Above 94bid 91¢ / ask 99¢

Facebook App Downloads in August — 5 brackets — listed Aug 20, 2026 at 2:12 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 99.5bid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Above 99bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
Above 98.5bid 86¢ / ask 94¢
Above 98bid 91¢ / ask 99¢
Above 100bid 1¢ / ask 9¢

Uber Ride App Downloads in August — 5 brackets — listed Aug 20, 2026 at 2:09 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 106.5bid 5¢ / ask 14¢
Above 104.5bid 14¢ / ask 23¢
Above 103bid 42¢ / ask 51¢
Above 101.5bid 70¢ / ask 79¢
Above 100bid 83¢ / ask 92¢

Lyft App Downloads in August — 5 brackets — listed Aug 20, 2026 at 2:09 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 93bid 6¢ / ask 14¢
Above 88bid 16¢ / ask 24¢
Above 84bid 46¢ / ask 54¢
Above 81bid 76¢ / ask 84¢
Above 77bid 86¢ / ask 94¢

Peacock App Downloads in August — 5 brackets — listed Aug 20, 2026 at 2:04 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 121bid 11¢ / ask 19¢
Above 116bid 41¢ / ask 49¢
Above 112bid 66¢ / ask 74¢
Above 108bid 86¢ / ask 94¢
Above 104bid 91¢ / ask 99¢

HBO App Downloads in August — 5 brackets — listed Aug 20, 2026 at 2:04 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 84bid 1¢ / ask 6¢
Above 81bid 2¢ / ask 9¢
Above 78.5bid 14¢ / ask 22¢
Above 76.5bid 66¢ / ask 74¢
Above 74bid 91¢ / ask 99¢

Hulu App Downloads in August — 5 brackets — listed Aug 20, 2026 at 2:04 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 83bid 1¢ / ask 8¢
Above 79bid 21¢ / ask 29¢
Above 75bid 46¢ / ask 54¢
Above 72bid 71¢ / ask 79¢
Above 69bid 91¢ / ask 99¢

Disney+ App Downloads in August — 5 brackets — listed Aug 20, 2026 at 2:03 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 136bid 1¢ / ask 9¢
Above 132bid 14¢ / ask 22¢
Above 129bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
Above 126bid 76¢ / ask 84¢
Above 122bid 86¢ / ask 94¢
View market options (4 outcomes)
OutcomePrice
Before Jul 1, 2028bid 67¢ / ask 75¢
Before Jan 1, 2028bid 64¢ / ask 72¢
Before Jul 1, 2027bid 36¢ / ask 44¢
Before Jan 1, 2027bid 6¢ / ask 14¢

📊 Economics — 38 events, 139 markets

Diesel prices tomorrow — 31 brackets (showing 25) — listed Aug 20, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET

View market strikes (25 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above $5.600bid 2¢ / ask 45¢
Above $5.595bid 2¢ / ask 81¢
Above $5.590ask 84¢ (no bids)
Above $5.585ask 87¢ (no bids)
Above $5.580ask 91¢ (no bids)
Above $5.575bid 7¢ (no asks)
Above $5.570bid 30¢ / ask 93¢
Above $5.565bid 14¢ / ask 94¢
Above $5.560bid 18¢ / ask 97¢
Above $5.555bid 40¢ / ask 97¢
Above $5.550bid 96¢ / ask 98¢
Above $5.545bid 92¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.540bid 93¢ / ask 98¢
Above $5.535bid 95¢ (no asks)
Above $5.530bid 91¢ (no asks)
Above $5.525bid 97¢ (no asks)
Above $5.520bid 95¢ (no asks)
Above $5.515bid 95¢ / ask 99¢
Above $5.510bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $5.505bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $5.500bid 98¢ (no asks)
Above $5.605last 49¢ (book empty)
Above $5.610
Above $5.615
Above $5.620

+ 6 more

EV commodity prices on Aug 20, 2026 — 15 brackets — listed Aug 19, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

View market strikes (15 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 1281.85last 20¢ (book empty)
Above 1271.85ask 70¢ (no bids)
Above 1261.85ask 93¢ (no bids)
Above 1251.85ask 35¢ (no bids)
Above 1241.85ask 36¢ (no bids)
Above 1231.85ask 17¢ (no bids)
Above 1221.85bid 28¢ / ask 72¢
Above 1211.85bid 75¢ / ask 94¢
Above 1201.85bid 93¢ (no asks)
Above 1191.85bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1181.85bid 97¢ (no asks)
Above 1171.85bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1161.85bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1151.85bid 99¢ (no asks)
Above 1141.85bid 99¢ (no asks)

Wisconsin corn yield in 2026 — 5 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 5:26 PM ET

View market strikes (5 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 8.4 million TEUsbid 92¢ / ask 99¢
Above 8.5 million TEUsbid 86¢ / ask 94¢
Above 8.7 million TEUsbid 51¢ / ask 59¢
Above 8.9 million TEUsbid 10¢ / ask 18¢
Above 9.1 million TEUsbid 1¢ / ask 9¢

Wyoming total coal production in 2026 — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 5:39 PM ET

Nevada visitor volume in 2026 — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 3:17 PM ET

New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026 — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 3:14 PM ET

Maine lobster landings in 2026 — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 3:03 PM ET

Kansas wheat production in 2026 — 4 brackets — listed Aug 20, 2026 at 2:51 PM ET

View market strikes (4 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 180 million bushelsbid 86¢ / ask 99¢
Above 175 million bushelsbid 88¢ / ask 99¢
Above 205 million bushelsbid 1¢ / ask 18¢
Above 210 million bushelsbid 1¢ / ask 13¢

Iowa ethanol production in 2026 — 4 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 2:41 PM ET

West Virginia total coal production in 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 5:36 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 450,000 jobsbid 82¢ / ask 88¢
Above 447,500 jobsbid 90¢ / ask 96¢
Above 462,500 jobsbid 2¢ / ask 8¢

Vermont maple syrup production in 2027 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 5:12 PM ET

Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 2:47 PM ET

Visitors to Florida in 2026 — 3 brackets — listed Aug 20, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET

View market strikes (3 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 138 millionbid 89¢ / ask 97¢
Above 136 millionbid 92¢ / ask 99¢
Above 148 millionbid 1¢ / ask 7¢
View market strikes (3 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 690,000bid 91¢ / ask 99¢
Above 680,000bid 93¢ / ask 99¢
Above 740,000bid 1¢ / ask 7¢

Port of Mobile container volume in 2026 — 3 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 2:04 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 240,000 jobsbid 89¢ / ask 96¢
Above 235,000 jobsbid 93¢ / ask 99¢

Average Wall Street bonus in 2026 — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 5:20 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 91,000 jobsbid 3¢ / ask 10¢
Above 92,000 jobsbid 1¢ / ask 7¢

Port of Virginia total container volume in 2026 — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 5:09 PM ET

South Carolina ports total container volume in 2026 — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 5:04 PM ET

Rhode Island average residential electricity price in 2026 — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 5:01 PM ET

Rhode Island commercial quahog landings in 2026 — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 3:52 PM ET

View market strikes (2 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 15.50 millionbid 92¢ / ask 98¢
Above 16.75 millionbid 2¢ / ask 8¢
View market strikes (2 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 25 daysbid 9¢ / ask 18¢
Above 30 daysbid 1¢ / ask 10¢
View market strikes (2 brackets)
BracketPrice
Above 545,000 jobsbid 92¢ / ask 98¢
Above 570,000 jobsbid 2¢ / ask 8¢

NYC median asking rent in December 2026 — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 3:20 PM ET

Mississippi cotton production in 2027 — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 3:07 PM ET

Marcellus formation natural gas production in 2026 — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 2:59 PM ET

Kentucky coal production in 2027 — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 2:57 PM ET

Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026 — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 2:54 PM ET

California permitted housing units in 2026 — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 2:18 PM ET

Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026 — 2 brackets listed, no live quotes yet · Aug 20, 2026 at 2:14 PM ET

Nebraska corn yield in 2026: Above 170 bu/acre — listed Aug 20, 2026 at 3:12 PM ET

🔄 Recurring Markets

4,165 recurring markets also launched — these are auto-generated daily/weekly/hourly brackets (weather, crypto prices, index levels, etc.).

CategoryMarketsSeriesTop Series
💹 Financials3,7007Nasdaq above/below, S&P 500 above/below, DJI Hourly, +4 more
🌤️ Climate and Weather39550Hourly Directional DC Temperature, Hourly Directional Los Angeles Temperature, Hourly Directional Austin Temperature, +47 more
📊 Economics507US gas price up, Weekly initial jobless claims, WEF tweets, +4 more
🎬 Entertainment206DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO, Will Album be runner up this week?, Billboard Top 200 #1, +3 more

All data sourced from the Kalshi public API. Prices shown are indicative Yes contract bid/ask at time of publication and may have moved. Trade responsibly.