A taker stepped up on YES, landing on the YES side of the Karen Bass vs. Spencer Pratt outcome in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary market — the YES side wins if both advance as nominees. 12,069 YES contracts at 64¢ each, totaling $7,724. The market absorbed the trade without disruption, consistent with a session that has run 97% YES-weighted across 200 trades, pushing price from 62¢ to 65¢. The market currently sits at a 64¢–65¢ spread, implying roughly 64–65% probability.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 1.7 hours (8:05 AM to 9:45 AM ET), YES volume leads $40,317 to $636, as price moved from 62¢ to 65¢ (+3¢).
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 9.9 hours (11:50 PM to 9:45 AM ET), YES volume leads $442,869 to $64,603, as price moved from 81¢ to 65¢ (-16¢).
📊 Past 12 hours: 2,668 trades over 12.0 hours (9:47 PM to 9:45 AM ET), YES volume leads $539,395 to $67,588, as price moved from 73¢ to 65¢ (-8¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.