BODY:
A taker stepped up on NO, landing on the NO side of "Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?" — the NO side wins if Spencer Pratt does not win. 12,706 NO contracts at 74¢ each, totaling $9,402. The market absorbed the trade as price slipped 1¢, moving from 27¢ to 26¢ on the YES side across the 1.4-hour session window. YES now sits at 26¢, implying a 26% probability for Spencer Pratt.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 1.4 hours (10:40 AM to 12:03 PM ET), flow roughly balanced — $7,911 YES vs $13,805 NO, price holding near 26¢. One $9,403 NO trade (12,706 contracts) accounts for 43% of the flow.
📊 Last 872 trades: 872 trades over 12.0 hours (12:04 AM to 12:03 PM ET), flow roughly balanced — $34,210 YES vs $60,314 NO, price holding near 26¢.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.