Someone just bet $11,100 against the "Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?" outcome on Kalshi's Los Angeles Mayor market, backing Spencer Pratt's defeat. The trader placed 15,000 NO contracts at 74¢ each, totaling $11,100. With no resting liquidity and zero open interest in the book, the trade executed without measurable slippage and the price held flat. The YES side currently sits at 27¢, implying roughly a 27% probability for the outcome.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 2.1 hours (10:11 PM to 12:14 AM ET), flow roughly balanced — $12,498 YES vs $19,559 NO, price holding near 27¢. One $11,100 NO trade (15,000 contracts) accounts for 35% of the flow.
📊 Last 1,884 trades: 1,884 trades over 12.0 hours (12:15 PM to 12:14 AM ET), YES volume leads $101,370 to $45,888, price holding near 27¢.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.