Someone just bet $10,946 against "Will Restore Britain win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?" in Kalshi's multi-outcome Makerfield by-election market. The trader purchased 11,770 NO contracts at 93¢ each, totaling $10,946. With no resting orders and zero liquidity on the book, there is no data indicating clean absorption or slippage. YES sits at 7¢, placing Restore Britain's implied win probability at approximately 7%.
📊 Last 1 trades: 1 trades over under 1 minute (9:39 AM to 9:39 AM ET), NO volume leads $10,946 to $0, price holding near 7¢. One $10,946 NO trade (11,770 contracts) accounts for 100% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.