Someone just bet $7,874 on a New York City pied-à-terre tax on luxury second homes becoming law before January 1, 2027. The trade consisted of 8,653 YES contracts at 91¢ each, totaling $7,874. With no resting orders and zero liquidity in the book, the market absorbed the trade without any price movement, closing at 91¢. The market currently sits at 91¢ bid, implying a ~91% probability of resolution YES.
📊 Last 7 trades: 7 trades over 29 minutes (11:12 AM to 11:40 AM ET), YES volume leads $7,916 to $0, price holding near 91¢. One $7,874 YES trade (8,653 contracts) accounts for 99% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.