A taker stepped up on YES, landing on the YES side of "New York wins by over 2.5 points?" in the Game 4: New York at Cleveland spread market — the YES side wins if New York wins by more than 2.5 points. The taker crossed 131,497 YES contracts at 49¢ each, totaling $64,434. The price slipped 1¢ following the activity, moving from 49¢ to 48¢. The market currently sits at a 48¢ bid, implying approximately a 48% probability of New York covering.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 2 minutes (8:02 PM to 8:04 PM ET), YES volume leads $130,280 to $7,518, price holding near 49¢. One $64,434 YES trade (131,497 contracts) accounts for 47% of the flow.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 34 minutes (7:30 PM to 8:04 PM ET), YES volume leads $417,662 to $124,257, price holding near 49¢.
📊 Past 12 hours: 5,000 trades over 3.2 hours (4:50 PM to 8:04 PM ET), YES volume leads $918,119 to $258,970, price holding near 49¢.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.