Someone just bet $31,183 against the "Who will win MVP?" outcome — specifically wagering that Nikola Jokic will not win the 2025-26 NBA MVP. The trade placed 31,498 NO contracts at 99¢ each, totaling $31,183.02. The market absorbed the trade cleanly with no slippage, as the NO ask was sitting at 99¢ and price held flat with no resting liquidity to push against. The YES side now sits at roughly 1¢, implying approximately a 1% probability that Jokic wins MVP.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 11.3 hours (10:37 AM to 9:52 PM ET), NO volume leads $57,541 to $2,691, price holding near 1¢. One $31,183 NO trade (31,498 contracts) accounts for 52% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.