Someone just bet $25,116 against "Will Patrick Reed win the PGA Championship?" on Kalshi's PGA Championship Winner market. The trade placed 26,000 NO contracts at 97¢ each, totaling $25,116.00. With no resting orders and zero liquidity on the book, the trade had no visible market impact and absorbed without measurable slippage. The YES side currently sits between 3.3¢ bid and 3.7¢ ask, implying roughly a 3% probability that Reed wins.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 1.1 hours (9:07 AM to 10:13 AM ET), NO volume leads $58,480 to $3,325, price holding near 3¢. One $25,116 NO trade (26,000 contracts) accounts for 41% of the flow.
📊 Last 771 trades: 771 trades over 12.0 hours (10:13 PM to 10:13 AM ET), NO volume leads $75,488 to $17,156, price holding near 3¢. One $25,116 NO trade (26,000 contracts) accounts for 27% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.