Someone just bet $50,002 against "Will Patrick Reed win the PGA Championship?" — the single largest trade in this market's session. 50,152 NO contracts at 100¢ each, totaling $50,001.54. With no resting liquidity and zero open interest, the book had nothing to absorb against; the trade executed into a dry market. The NO side now sits at 99.7¢ bid / 100¢ ask, with the YES outcome priced at effectively ~0% implied probability.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 1.4 hours (2:21 PM to 3:48 PM ET), NO volume leads $85,923 to $884, price holding near 0¢. One $50,002 NO trade (50,152 contracts) accounts for 58% of the flow.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 8.6 hours (7:15 AM to 3:48 PM ET), NO volume leads $181,843 to $31,773, as price moved from 3¢ to 0¢ (-3¢).
📊 Past 12 hours: 2,059 trades over 12.0 hours (3:50 AM to 3:48 PM ET), NO volume leads $184,283 to $32,645, as price moved from 4¢ to 0¢ (-3¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.