Someone just bet $26,064 against the "Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru Winner?" outcome, backing Royal Challengers Bengaluru to win the May 17 IPL fixture. The trader placed 27,728 NO contracts at 94¢ each, totaling $26,064. The trade landed into a book already absorbing heavy NO flow — price dropped from 14¢ to 6¢ across a four-minute window of strong selling pressure. Punjab Kings now sits at roughly 6–7¢ implied probability on the YES side, with NO bid at 93¢.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 4 minutes (8:51 AM to 8:56 AM ET), NO volume leads $77,366 to $3,253, as price moved from 14¢ to 7¢ (-7¢). One $26,065 NO trade (27,728 contracts) accounts for 32% of the flow.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 33 minutes (8:22 AM to 8:56 AM ET), NO volume leads $309,048 to $69,750, as price moved from 16¢ to 7¢ (-9¢).
📊 Past 12 hours: 5,000 trades over 54 minutes (8:01 AM to 8:56 AM ET), NO volume leads $515,289 to $253,607, as price moved from 31¢ to 7¢ (-24¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.