A taker stepped up on YES, taking the YES side of "Will Rafael Jodar win the Duckworth vs Jodar: Round Of 64 match?" — the YES side wins if Rafael Jodar takes the Round of 64 match. 29,827 YES contracts at 93¢ each, totaling $27,739. The book did not absorb this cleanly — price climbed 5¢ across the session's 200-trade window, moving from 86¢ to 91¢. The market's last print sits at 91¢, implying a ~91% probability of a Jodar win.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 6 minutes (12:45 PM to 12:51 PM ET), YES volume leads $58,025 to $1,780, as price moved from 86¢ to 90¢ (+4¢). One $27,740 YES trade (29,827 contracts) accounts for 46% of the flow.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 30 minutes (12:22 PM to 12:51 PM ET), YES volume leads $205,418 to $13,802, as price moved from 68¢ to 90¢ (+22¢).
📊 Past 12 hours: 3,789 trades over 12.0 hours (12:53 AM to 12:51 PM ET), YES volume leads $576,057 to $53,935, as price moved from 95¢ to 90¢ (-5¢).
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.