A taker stepped up on NO, taking the NO side of "Will Rajasthan Royals win the IPL?" — the NO side wins if the Rajasthan Royals do not claim the 2026 IPL title. The trade covered 40,000 NO contracts at 80¢ each, totaling $32,000. The book absorbed the size as part of a broader NO-side sweep that pushed the YES price from 25¢ down to 21¢ across the 28-minute window. YES now sits at 21¢, implying roughly a 21% probability of a Rajasthan Royals championship.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 28 minutes (11:55 AM to 12:23 PM ET), NO volume leads $51,288 to $1,720, as price moved from 25¢ to 22¢ (-3¢). One $32,000 NO trade (40,000 contracts) accounts for 60% of the flow.
📊 Last 1,264 trades: 1,264 trades over 12.0 hours (12:24 AM to 12:23 PM ET), NO volume leads $87,923 to $31,129, as price moved from 25¢ to 22¢ (-3¢). One $32,000 NO trade (40,000 contracts) accounts for 27% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.