Someone just bet $295,313 on "San Antonio wins by over 11.5 points?" in the Game 1: Portland at San Antonio spread market on Kalshi. The trade placed 602,679 YES contracts at 49¢ each, totaling $295,312.71. The book absorbed the trade with a 1¢ move, pushing the last price from 49¢ to 50¢ with no notable slippage. YES now sits at 50¢ on the ask, implying roughly a 50% probability.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 23 minutes (6:36 PM to 6:59 PM ET), YES volume leads $362,223 to $2,584, price holding near 50¢. One $295,313 YES trade (602,679 contracts) accounts for 81% of the flow.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 10.2 hours (8:49 AM to 6:59 PM ET), YES volume leads $592,197 to $38,327, price holding near 50¢. One $295,313 YES trade (602,679 contracts) accounts for 47% of the flow.
📊 Past 12 hours: 2,037 trades over 11.8 hours (7:11 AM to 6:59 PM ET), YES volume leads $596,134 to $38,422, price holding near 50¢. One $295,313 YES trade (602,679 contracts) accounts for 47% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.