Someone just bet $27,138 against the "When will SpaceX IPO?" outcome — wagering that SpaceX will not officially announce an IPO before June 1, 2026. The trade placed 28,870 NO contracts at 94¢ each, totaling $27,137.80. With zero resting liquidity in the book, the YES price has already slid from 14¢ to 6¢ across the session's trade flow, suggesting significant sell pressure absorbed without a clean market. The YES side now sits at an 8¢ bid, implying roughly an 8% probability of a SpaceX IPO announcement before the June 1 deadline.
📊 Last 178 trades: 178 trades over 11.3 hours (2:34 AM to 1:51 PM ET), NO volume leads $55,907 to $5,119, as price moved from 13¢ to 6¢ (-7¢). One $27,138 NO trade (28,870 contracts) accounts for 44% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.