Someone just bet against "When will SpaceX IPO?" — wagering $7,315 that SpaceX will not officially announce an IPO before June 1, 2026. The trade placed 7,951 NO contracts at 92¢ each, totaling $7,315. With no resting orders and zero liquidity on the book, the market shows no measurable absorption or slippage data for this trade. The NO side currently sits at an ask of 93¢, with YES priced at roughly 6¢ implied probability.
📊 Last 178 trades: 178 trades over 11.3 hours (2:34 AM to 1:51 PM ET), NO volume leads $55,907 to $5,119, as price moved from 13¢ to 6¢ (-7¢). One $27,138 NO trade (28,870 contracts) accounts for 44% of the flow.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.