A taker stepped up on NO in the "Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?" market — the NO side wins if Spencer Pratt does NOT win the Los Angeles Mayoral Election. The taker landed on 8,328 NO contracts at 86¢ each, totaling $7,162. The market absorbed the trade cleanly, with the YES price holding flat at 16¢ — no slippage detected across the session. The market currently sits at 16¢ on the YES side, implying roughly a 16% probability of a Spencer Pratt mayoral win.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 15 minutes (9:31 AM to 9:46 AM ET), NO volume leads $24,751 to $8,409, price holding near 16¢.
📊 Last 2,000 trades: 2,000 trades over 4.2 hours (5:32 AM to 9:46 AM ET), NO volume leads $257,330 to $69,311, as price moved from 13¢ to 16¢ (+3¢).
📊 Past 12 hours: 5,000 trades over 9.7 hours (12:06 AM to 9:46 AM ET), NO volume leads $798,244 to $223,562, price holding near 16¢.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.