A taker stepped up on NO in the "Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?" market — the NO side wins if Spencer Pratt does not win. 50,000 NO contracts at 74¢ each, totaling $37,000. The book absorbed the trade cleanly with no price movement, as the market held steady at 26¢ throughout the session. The YES side currently sits at 26¢, implying a ~26% probability of a Spencer Pratt mayoral win.
📊 Last 200 trades: 200 trades over 52 minutes (8:59 AM to 9:52 AM ET), NO volume leads $88,282 to $6,010, price holding near 26¢. One $37,000 NO trade (50,000 contracts) accounts for 39% of the flow.
📊 Last 1,107 trades: 1,107 trades over 12.0 hours (9:52 PM to 9:52 AM ET), flow roughly balanced — $95,185 YES vs $144,118 NO, price holding near 26¢.
🐋 About Whale Watch
You do not have to watch Kalshi all day — we do. Prediction News Network tracks every big bet on the Kalshi prediction-market exchange in real time and flags the whales the moment they hit. Each one gets written up below so you can see exactly what was bet, at what price, and whether the market moved.
What counts as a whale? Sports & crypto: $25,000+ · Parlays: $8,000+ · Politics, culture, economy: $5,000+
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
No takes. No predictions. Just the trade, the data, and the market reaction.
This is market commentary, not financial advice. Always verify contract terms and do your own research before placing any trades.